OH: 52-47 Obama, PPP

[Franzl]

Amazing news!

[Franzl]

Initiate J.J effect, tied race

Don't forget the house effect!!!!

[Franzl]

Initiate J.J effect, tied race

Probably.  PPP has problems. 

What explanation are you going to provide if Obama really wins Ohio by about this margin?

[Franzl]

Initiate J.J effect, tied race

Probably.  PPP has problems. 

Jesus, JJ. You've lost it all now.

Yes... when PPP is saying what you want, they're reasonable... now they've got problems

Was J.J. actually calling PPP reasonable at some point in this campaign? I don't specifically remember that but I don't not remember it either.

Yes.

[Franzl]

I think J.J. is only capable of one thought at a time.

Last time it was the Bradley Effect, this time it's PPP's supposedly massive house bias. And in every state without exception, of course.

[Franzl]

Even if a "house bias" exists , J.J. isn't interpreting what that means correctly.

[Franzl]

Zogby is only 1 poll of those listed. Reading comprehension problems?

[Franzl]

It depends what the margin is, J.J., and what happens in other states. If Obama wins by 3 in Ohio but is underestimated in other places...that wouldn't be indicative of a house bias.

I'm sure you'll cherry-pick random states, though, to argue that it did exist and was relevant. The same thing you attempted with the Bradley Effect 4 years ago.