2016 Battleground States?

[BlueSwan]

I predict that Ohio will be the key battleground state yet again.

I think Pennsylvania, which was largely ignored during this cycle, will yet again be a key battleground.

Florida is a dead given battleground as well.

Colorado and Virginia are trending dem, but not fast enough to put them out of contention, so they're in as well.

North Carolina should be trending dem enough to put it in play.

Iowa is always competitive and will probably be so again.

Missouri and Indiana are gone for the dems, I think. Likewise, I don't think Arizona, Georgia, Montana or Texas are ready to really be contested by the dems yet. 2020 at the very earliest unless we face a landslide.

On the other side, I think New Hampshire is gone for GOP. If Romney and McCain couldn't do much in New Hamspire, I don't think many other GOP'ers can. I'm unsure about Minnesota, Wisconsin and Michigan, but I'm thinking that these aren't really all that competitive.

So I make it 7 key battleground states. Sure others will be contested, but in a fairly even election, I don't think they'll break from rank.