Georgia's Very Own Megathread!

[Miles]

Brewer for Handel:

[Adam Griffin]

Too little too late for Handel, I'm afraid. It says something when the only major support you can garner is from out-of-state females.


With that being said: early voting for the primary opened today! I just got back from casting my vote.

[tmthforu94]

Too little too late for Handel, I'm afraid. It says something when the only major support you can garner is from out-of-state females.


With that being said: early voting for the primary opened today! I just got back from casting my vote.

She surged late in 2010 as well, didn't she? She's going to have to get a lot of momentum to win the run-off, but I don't think she is out of it quite yet.

[tmthforu94]

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=e52a072d-c58b-461c-81b7-b3db6c5e0f45&c=26

A SurveyUSA poll from 4/24 - 4/27.

Perdue - 26%
Kingston - 20%
Handel - 15%
Broun - 13%
Phil Gingrey - 6%

Perdue strong with male voters, tied with Handel with female voters.

[Maxwell]

Oh wow. Phil Gingrey's campaign is a disaster. What the hell happened?

[Adam Griffin]

Too little too late for Handel, I'm afraid. It says something when the only major support you can garner is from out-of-state females.


With that being said: early voting for the primary opened today! I just got back from casting my vote.

She surged late in 2010 as well, didn't she? She's going to have to get a lot of momentum to win the run-off, but I don't think she is out of it quite yet.

She did, but that was a two-way race. In this case, she's just one of seven and wasn't raising the type of money that she needed to be competitive this close to the election (though she is raising more now, thanks to Perdue's comments).


Let's talk about Nunn! Has anybody seen her TV ads yet? A new one released today ("Point Guard") with her dad in it - we all knew it was just a matter of time. There was also "Optimist" and "What's Going On".

[JRP1994]

Oh wow. Phil Gingrey's campaign is a disaster. What the hell happened?

He started talking.

[tmthforu94]

I'm not sure what you're referring to on 2010 being a 2-person race. Off the top of my head I can think of Deal (obviously), Oxendine, and Johnson. I think there were a couple small candidates in there as well.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Georgia_gubernatorial_election,_2010

Yep. Handel was also trailing up until two weeks before the election. I don't think she'll have the surge she had then, but it certainly may be enough to vault her into the run-off against Perdue.

[Adam Griffin]

I'm not sure what you're referring to on 2010 being a 2-person race. Off the top of my head I can think of Deal (obviously), Oxendine, and Johnson. I think there were a couple small candidates in there as well.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Georgia_gubernatorial_election,_2010

Yep. Handel was also trailing up until two weeks before the election. I don't think she'll have the surge she had then, but it certainly may be enough to vault her into the run-off against Perdue.

It was pretty much always Handel and Deal (see the video in the first post of this thread to understand why Oxendine was never going to hold up). I guess this race by those standards isn't technically a 7-person melee, but you do have 4 or 5 candidates that have been in the lead at one point or another. In 2010, there was a clear front-runner the entire time - Handel surged and Deal held his own throughout. In the case of the latter, that's usually the one that'll win a primary run-off in Georgia (kinda like a game we know).

[Maxwell]

The gender gap between Perdue and Handel is pretty stupendous: Perdue is at 31 with men, while Handel only holds 12% of that group, but Perdue only leads Handel by 1 point amon women (21-20). The fact that Gingrey only leads Grayson (who?) by 1 is the most hilarious part of that poll, though.

[Nhoj]

The gender gap between Perdue and Handel is pretty stupendous: Perdue is at 31 with men, while Handel only holds 12% of that group, but Perdue only leads Handel by 1 point amon women (21-20). The fact that Gingrey only leads Grayson (who?) by 1 is the most hilarious part of that poll, though.

Grayson seems to be a black Ron Paul fan.

[Adam Griffin]

The gender gap between Perdue and Handel is pretty stupendous: Perdue is at 31 with men, while Handel only holds 12% of that group, but Perdue only leads Handel by 1 point amon women (21-20). The fact that Gingrey only leads Grayson (who?) by 1 is the most hilarious part of that poll, though.

Grayson seems to be a black Ron Paul fan.

A black Ron Paul fan with his own band.

[Adam Griffin]

Also, a friend got polled by PPP on both the Governor and Senator races today, so expect a new PPP GA poll in a few days.

[Maxwell]

The gender gap between Perdue and Handel is pretty stupendous: Perdue is at 31 with men, while Handel only holds 12% of that group, but Perdue only leads Handel by 1 point amon women (21-20). The fact that Gingrey only leads Grayson (who?) by 1 is the most hilarious part of that poll, though.

Grayson seems to be a black Ron Paul fan.

A black Ron Paul fan with his own band.

This guy rules!

[Adam Griffin]

I can't believe I never shared this here.

GA over the past four elections (non-Atlas colors) - with swings between each election annually averaged by county. It helps to understand pop distribution to appreciate it, but the metro is moving fast. Don't let the deepening pockets of red fool you, as those (with the exception of Cherokee, Forsyth and Hall; combined population of ~650k) are mostly relatively unpopulated areas.

[Bacon King]

Guys who should I vote for

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Guys who should I vote for

Paul Broun!

[Heimdal]

The gender gap between Perdue and Handel is pretty stupendous: Perdue is at 31 with men, while Handel only holds 12% of that group, but Perdue only leads Handel by 1 point amon women (21-20). The fact that Gingrey only leads Grayson (who?) by 1 is the most hilarious part of that poll, though.

Grayson seems to be a black Ron Paul fan.

A black Ron Paul fan with his own band.

If that guy can get on Fox and call Obama a fascist or a Nazi, I am certain that he will lead in at least a couple of polls before the 2016 GOP primary in Iowa.

[RogueBeaver]

Chamber has bought $32k of pro-Kingston ads to run in Atlanta and Macon.

[JRP1994]

Chamber has bought $32k of pro-Kingston ads to run in Atlanta and Macon.

I live in Macon, and already average seeing a Kinsgton ad every 48 hours or so.

[Adam Griffin]

Chamber has bought $32k of pro-Kingston ads to run in Atlanta and Macon.

FCC filings show that the Chamber is spending $537,000 on Atlanta broadcast television through May 20 on Kingston’s behalf. The Washington Post is reporting that the Chamber bought $32,000 worth of ads in Macon and Augusta.

[Bacon King]

Chamber has bought $32k of pro-Kingston ads to run in Atlanta and Macon.

FCC filings show that the Chamber is spending $537,000 on Atlanta broadcast television through May 20 on Kingston’s behalf. The Washington Post is reporting that the Chamber bought $32,000 worth of ads in Macon and Augusta.

Context: Macon and Augusta are Podunk small town media markets where used car lots often buy prime time network ad slots, Atlanta is one of the biggest and most expensive media markets in the country where "local" ad space mostly goes to the locally tailored ads of Fortune 500 companies. I would not be surprised if those amounts equate to more actual ad time in Macon/Augusta than Atlanta

[Adam Griffin]

Who will fight for conservative principles AND get results?

Who wants to stop illegal immigration and Obamacare AND cut spending?

[Bacon King]

Who will fight for conservative principles AND get results?

Who wants to stop illegal immigration and Obamacare AND cut spending?

I like this ad. I think it's effective at distinguishing her from her opponents and I'm expecting to see her bump in the polls, assuming it's running as often as I seem to be seeing it

[tmthforu94]

Who will fight for conservative principles AND get results?

Who wants to stop illegal immigration and Obamacare AND cut spending?

I like this ad. I think it's effective at distinguishing her from her opponents and I'm expecting to see her bump in the polls, assuming it's running as often as I seem to be seeing it

It's pretty effective, I would agree. She's using her 2010 playbook it appears - my concern is that all of the other candidates will rally around Perdue and the eventual outcome will be similar to 2010. Granted, I am not on the ground, but my advice to her would be to tone back on the negativity on everyone but Perdue and don't say anything about Broun or Gingrey - their endorsement would be very beneficial to her in the run-off.