Georgia's Very Own Megathread!

[Adam Griffin]

Who will fight for conservative principles AND get results?

Who wants to stop illegal immigration and Obamacare AND cut spending?

I like this ad. I think it's effective at distinguishing her from her opponents and I'm expecting to see her bump in the polls, assuming it's running as often as I seem to be seeing it

It's pretty effective, I would agree. She's using her 2010 playbook it appears - my concern is that all of the other candidates will rally around Perdue and the eventual outcome will be similar to 2010. Granted, I am not on the ground, but my advice to her would be to tone back on the negativity on everyone but Perdue and don't say anything about Broun or Gingrey - their endorsement would be very beneficial to her in the run-off.

I'll admit that I've left a ton of burning corpses in the form of wrong predictions all along about this R Senate primary, and this is another. She is surging like a mofo. It's 2010 all over again.

[old timey villain]

http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2014/05/sprawled-out-in-atlanta-106500.html#.U2z0ua1dU9V

A great expose on suburban poverty in Cobb County. The article isn't directly related to the races this year but it sheds light on a new dynamic in metro Atlanta that could affect the upcoming elections.

[Adam Griffin]

http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2014/05/sprawled-out-in-atlanta-106500.html#.U2z0ua1dU9V

A great expose on suburban poverty in Cobb County. The article isn't directly related to the races this year but it sheds light on a new dynamic in metro Atlanta that could affect the upcoming elections.

Read it yesterday - very good.


And April's numbers are in:

Senate

$840,000 - Nunn (D)
$291,000 - Kingston (R)
$219,000 - Perdue* (R)
$142,000 - Broun (R)
$135,000 - Handel (R)
$75,000 - Gingrey (R)

1st

$41,000 - Carter (R)
$39,000 - Johnson (R)
$27,000 - McCollum (R)
$6,000 - Chapman (R)
$4,000 - Tavio (D)
$3,000 - Reese (D)

4th

$15,000 - Brown
$19,000 - Johnson

10th

$32,000 - Sheldon
$28,000 - Hice
$13,000 - Simpson
$12,000 - Collins
$6,000 - Gerrard
$4,000 - Swan

11th

$90,000 - Loudermilk
$35,000 - Lindsey
$24,000 - Pridemore
$22,000 - Barr

12th

$114,000 - Barrow (D)
$40,000 - Allen (R)
$14,000 - Dutton (R)
$2,000 - Yu (R)

* gave himself a million dollars

[Adam Griffin]

We still love him:

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While some couldn't possibly believe it based on Georgia's dynamics and how Carter's talked about nationally, I think Jason may get just as big of a boost via name recognition as Michelle at this point.

[Indy Texas]

http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2014/05/sprawled-out-in-atlanta-106500.html#.U2z0ua1dU9V

A great expose on suburban poverty in Cobb County. The article isn't directly related to the races this year but it sheds light on a new dynamic in metro Atlanta that could affect the upcoming elections.

Read it yesterday - very good.

What should concern people is that Cobb County is a harbinger of what poverty in America will look like for most of this century, not an aberration.

Republicans will say, "Keep the taxes low so the jobs will come and the poor will be able to have money that way." But the low taxes mean low infrastructure investment, meaning the poor often have little to no way of getting to those jobs, and when they do, they find that the jobs don't pay enough for them to live without some form of state assistance.

Georgia and other states ought to amend their constitutions to allow for supra-county public transit districts that would serve sprawling metro areas like Atlanta. County and municipal governments could collect taxes on its behalf and remit the revenue to said transit district. No more patchwork county and city systems that don't work together.

Cobb County residents clearly can't be trusted to provide input into their own transit policy. They'd rather live amid an impoverished landscape of empty strip malls and overcrowded rental houses as long as "those people" get as little money and public service as absolutely possible.

[Adam Griffin]

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[Gass3268]

David Perdue hints support for tax increases.

http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2014/05/13/david-perdue-and-the-reality-of-increasing-federal-revenue/

[tmthforu94]

It looks like he is trying to set himself up for November, but this might open the door a little wider for Handel/Kingston to knock him off in the run-off.  This is going to be a tough race regardless, I'm just glad we aren't having to worry about Broun or Gingrey.

[RogueBeaver]

Ugly social attack on Handel from Gingrey.

[tmthforu94]

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Disgusting.

[Adam Griffin]

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Disgusting.

While obviously I don't approve of the attack in broader scope, I don't feel so bad for it happening to Handel. This isn't the first race they've went after her over matters of LGBT issues or abortion. In 2010, she was accused as being a member of the Log Cabin Republicans back in 2003 or so; she denied it. They uncovered old membership records and proved it, and she still denied it. For her to do that makes me view her as a coward, so let them string her up by it as far as I'm concerned. She should've owned it.

[JRP1994]

http://www.macon.com/2014/05/18/3102709/endorsements.html

Macon Telegraph endorses David Perdue and Michelle Nunn.

[windjammer]

OH MY GOD
The GA republican partt is full of homophobes, I'm so surprised.

[Adam Griffin]

Oh. My. God.

This is the best thing I've seen in a while

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Oh. My. God.

This is the best thing I've seen in a while

That was up there with the demon sheep ad.

[RogueBeaver]

New InsiderAdvantage Pub Senate primary poll: Perdue 26%, Handel/Kingston 17%, Gingrey 11%, Broun 10%.

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

New InsiderAdvantage Pub Senate primary poll: Perdue 26%, Handel/Kingston 17%, Gingrey 11%, Broun 10%.

Is Handel one of the ones that Democrats want to pull out a win to better Nunn's chances?

[IceSpear]

New InsiderAdvantage Pub Senate primary poll: Perdue 26%, Handel/Kingston 17%, Gingrey 11%, Broun 10%.

Is Handel one of the ones that Democrats want to pull out a win to better Nunn's chances?

Gingrey and Broun are almost universally seen as the worst candidates, while Purdue is usually seen as the best. Opinions vary on Kingston and Handel.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

I would say that Perdue/Kingston/Handel are about equal between all there gaffes and such with Perdue's money giving him the edge electability wise, but we have seen that backfire before.

Gingrey comes next simple because he did win such a sprawling district that was suppose to elect a Democrat in 2002. Of course that was a long time ago. Otherwise he would be equal with Broun in this score.

I have no confidence at all in Broun save for the lean of the state adn the year to carry him over and pray to god, he doesn't say something stupid. His district was always all in the NE part of the state and thus doesn't have the slight leg up electability wise that Gingrey has.

[Maxwell]

Jack Kingston probably should be the most electable by being able to swing some Dem leaners due to his record as an appropriator, but his ads show he's been rather ineffective at getting his message out. If it's a Kingston v. Perdue run-off, then Perdue will clobber him, because for conservatives in the state, its a complete wash, as they are about equal. However, if it's a Perdue v. Handel run-off, things get more interesting, and even though her fundraising/advertising has been weak, outside conservative groups will probably funnel more money to her.

I'd say Perdue is the most electable due to his money, but honestly, all three would beat Nunn due to the fact that Nunn can not get 50+1 in November against any of them. Only chance Nunn has of winning is, as everyone else has said, getting Gingrey or Broun, and neither of them has a chance.

[moderatevoter]

I basically agree with Maxwell. I still think Kingston could beat Perdue in a run-off, but ultimately, I'm sure that any of the top three could win against Nunn in the General. Nunn's path always included having a messy GOP primary and a flawed nominee (Broun or Gingrey).

[Adam Griffin]

OMG PRIMARY DAY PRIMARY DAY PRIMARY DAY

I'll be poll-watching throughout the day and at an election party tonight, but I'll try to report in with any interesting results/stats during or after 8 PM. Thankfully, even at an election night party, I'll more or less be hunched over a desk watching numbers.

[windjammer]

Well, maybe Blue Georgia isn't evolving into Red Georgia

[badgate]

Happy Primary Day Adam Griffin!

[Adam Griffin]

Happy Primary Day Adam Griffin!

I'M VERY EXCITE


Just as a side-note, here's what I've been up to in our local primary.