Georgia's Very Own Megathread!

[Maxwell]

Go Jason!

[Podgy the Bear]

Rasmussen (not one of my favorite pollsters) has a new poll this week with Carter-45, Deal-44. 

I didn't think that Carter would be running this strongly going into August.  It's encouraging, but that 50%+1 has hurt us twice in the past (Wyche Fowler in 1992 and Jim Martin in 2008).  I'm afraid we could be doubly hit this year.

[RogueBeaver]

NR got their hands on Nunn's campaign plan... which covers everything. 140-odd pages. Lots of interesting things in it.

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

NR got their hands on Nunn's campaign plan... which covers everything. 140-odd pages. Lots of interesting things in it.

Fascinating read, but bringing in ~30% of the white vote (an extra 100,000 votes) seems like a very tall order.

[Adam Griffin]

NR got their hands on Nunn's campaign plan... which covers everything. 140-odd pages. Lots of interesting things in it.

Yes, I've begun reading it.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

NR got their hands on Nunn's campaign plan... which covers everything. 140-odd pages. Lots of interesting things in it.

Yes, I've begun reading it.

IIRC, they estimated that Minnesota is the DSCC's fifth highest priority.  Is there something we don't know about?  I doubt it, but...

[Adam Griffin]

NR got their hands on Nunn's campaign plan... which covers everything. 140-odd pages. Lots of interesting things in it.

Yes, I've begun reading it.

IIRC, they estimated that Minnesota is the DSCC's fifth highest priority.  Is there something we don't know about?  I doubt it, but...

MN being fifth makes sense to me, if they're using the same assessment that I'm imagining (that being vulnerability for incumbents and competitiveness for open/potential flips). Minnesota isn't all that vulnerable compared to several others (though could be a sleeper). They're putting their incumbents first, then everyone else.

Still, you can tell that this is really old, as IA is practically considered safe in this assessment, while GA and KY are lowly-prioritized. This same plan projected that under just these circumstances, that the DSCC might pour $10 million into Georgia. It wouldn't surprise me that before all's said and done, that they put more into GA than just about every other Senate race.

[Miles]

The NRCC is dropping $2.6M for Perdue. Democrats say its a good sign (because Republicans don't consider GA off the table).

Nunn calls for five debates.

[Panda Express]

Are there any ads in Georgia this cycle as good as this one from 2010?

http://youtu.be/Lt35BYEOlEw

Still one of the best ads ever IMO

[moderatevoter]

http://m.wsbtv.com/videos/news/ad-zell-miller-endorses-michelle-nunn/vCnWJb/

Zell Miller endorsed Michelle Nunn.

[JRP1994]

http://m.wsbtv.com/videos/news/ad-zell-miller-endorses-michelle-nunn/vCnWJb/

Zell Miller endorsed Michelle Nunn.

This is HUGE. Miller endorsed Saxby Chambliss in the 2008 runoff, and PPP found him with a 64/7 favorability among GA Republicans.

[Badger]

http://m.wsbtv.com/videos/news/ad-zell-miller-endorses-michelle-nunn/vCnWJb/

Zell Miller endorsed Michelle Nunn.

This is HUGE. Miller endorsed Saxby Chambliss in the 2008 runoff, and PPP found him with a 64/7 favorability among GA Republicans.

Am I cynical to doubt how many voters Zell's blessing can sway any more?

Still, gives her some necessary moderate cred.

A moot point considering the 50% + 1 threshold will stop her if nothing else.

[Adam Griffin]

Miller also endorsed Deal for re-election.

[Adam Griffin]

Michelle Nunn takes the Ice Bucket Challenge

[Adam Griffin]

Georgia now 50th in unemployment

[Flake]

Michelle Nunn takes the Ice Bucket Challenge

So does Sam.

[Bacon King]

I'm visiting my maternal grandmother in Macon so it's now time for a

BK FAMILY TRACKER MINI-UPDATE

background: she is a conservative Democrat but voted for Obama twice mostly out of serious concerns she had with the Republican candidates. In 2008 said, "I never woulda thought I'd see myself voting for a negro"

• She regrets her Obama votes. Admits she still wouldn't have voted Romney; as we watched a McCain interview on Face the Nation she said, "I voted against him because his age and his cancer, but see he looks younger than ever! He's a very intelligent man."
• She really liked "that young fella" who ran as Romney's running mate, and is excited to hear he is considering a 2016 presidency
• Absolutely loves Hillary Clinton, doesn't believe she is responsible for "those embassy terrorists"; she will enthusiastically vote Clinton if she runs and is certain she will win
• Doesn't like Nathan Deal but she wants to learn about Jason Carter before she makes up her mind
• She really liked Sonny Perdue so she's inclined to support David but she's concerned about how he "fired all those people and closed that plant down up in North Carolina"
• Has some personal concerns about Michelle Nunn: didn't know if "she was his daughter-in-law or if she's a spinster"; expressed concern and bewilderment when she learned that Michelle is married but kept her maiden name.

Edit to add:

• The reason she likes Sonny is because he eliminated the state income tax for retired people
• She considers Jimmy Carter as a great man and thought he was a good governor; she feels his Presidency was bad because he was "too much of a strong Christian to be successful in Washington"
• She really doesn't like Chris Christie; she thinks he is "on drugs, dancing around like that" (?) and thinks he's a corrupt jerk
• "[Rick Perry]'s tryin' to look smart, wearing those glasses, he ain't foolin' nobody"

[windjammer]

I'm visiting my maternal grandmother in Macon so it's now time for a

BK FAMILY TRACKER MINI-UPDATE

background: she is a conservative Democrat but voted for Obama twice mostly out of serious concerns she had with the Republican candidates. In 2008 said, "I never woulda thought I'd see myself voting for a negro"

• She regrets her Obama votes. Admits she still wouldn't have voted Romney; as we watched a McCain interview on Face the Nation she said, "I voted against him because his age and his cancer, but see he looks younger than ever! He's a very intelligent man."
• She really liked "that young fella" who ran as Romney's, and is excited to hear he is considering a 2016 presidency
• Absolutely loves Hillary Clinton, doesn't believe she is responsible for "those embassy terrorists"; she will enthusiastically vote Clinton if she runs and is certain she will win
• Doesn't like Nathan Deal but she wants to learn about Jason Carter before she makes up her mind
• She really liked Sonny Perdue so she's inclined to support David but she's concerned about how he "fired all those people and closed that plant down up in North Carolina"
• Has some personal concerns about Michelle Nunn: didn't know if "she was his daughter-in-law or if she's a spinster"; expressed concern and bewilderment when she learned that Michelle is married but kept her maiden name.

Yeeeeeeeeeah, BK tracker is back .

[Bacon King]

I'm glad you like it Windjammer! I've added more bullet points of things she's said since I made the post; I'm currently eating at the Golden Corral with her and my brother. Discussion is no longer related to politics but if she mentions anything else ill make a new post

[windjammer]

I'm glad you like it Windjammer! I've added more bullet points of things she's said since I made the post; I'm currently eating at the Golden Corral with her and my brother. Discussion is no longer related to politics but if she mentions anything else ill make a new post

Could you ask her some specific questions please?

1) Does she believe Deal is a corrupt rightwinger?
2) Zell Miller endorsed Michelle Nunn, opinion of that?
3) Opinion of the GA republican party?

[Bacon King]

I'm glad you like it Windjammer! I've added more bullet points of things she's said since I made the post; I'm currently eating at the Golden Corral with her and my brother. Discussion is no longer related to politics but if she mentions anything else ill make a new post

Could you ask her some specific questions please?

1) Does she believe Deal is a corrupt rightwinger?
2) Zell Miller endorsed Michelle Nunn, opinion of that?
3) Opinion of the GA republican party?

1. She doesn't have a strong opinion of Deal; she remembers seeing something about his administration's corruption issues on the news but doesn't recall any details. Her opinion of politics is that "every one of em's corrupt, either from the start or it'll happen once they get up there" so she tolerates minor ethical lapses as expected behavior. She's never stated so, but my suspicion is that this belief is related to the fact that her father owned the construction company that originally paved all the roads in Byron, while simultaneously serving on its city council!

2. Didnt get to ask her this, but her expressed opinion of him is that "Ol Zig-Zag Zell don't even know which way is up" so I can't imagine his endorsement would mean very much to her personally

3. No strong opinion- she judges candidates individually. On down ballot races between two nobodies she votes for the Democrat because she says "more often than not I usually tend to like the ones on that side better"

[windjammer]

I'm glad you like it Windjammer! I've added more bullet points of things she's said since I made the post; I'm currently eating at the Golden Corral with her and my brother. Discussion is no longer related to politics but if she mentions anything else ill make a new post

Could you ask her some specific questions please?

1) Does she believe Deal is a corrupt rightwinger?
2) Zell Miller endorsed Michelle Nunn, opinion of that?
3) Opinion of the GA republican party?

1. She doesn't have a strong opinion of Deal; she remembers seeing something about his administration's corruption issues on the news but doesn't recall any details. Her opinion of politics is that "every one of em's corrupt, either from the start or it'll happen once they get up there" so she tolerates minor ethical lapses as expected behavior. She's never stated so, but my suspicion is that this belief is related to the fact that her father owned the construction company that originally paved all the roads in Byron, while simultaneously serving on its city council!

2. Didnt get to ask her this, but her expressed opinion of him is that "Ol Zig-Zag Zell don't even know which way is up" so I can't imagine his endorsement would mean very much to her personally

3. No strong opinion- she judges candidates individually. On down ballot races between two nobodies she votes for the Democrat because she says "more often than not I usually tend to like the ones on that side better"

There is no way you can convince your grandma to register on this forum?

[Adam Griffin]

YEEEEES

I'm visiting my maternal grandmother in Macon so it's now time for a

BK FAMILY TRACKER MINI-UPDATE

• She really doesn't like Chris Christie; she thinks he is "on drugs, dancing around like that" (?) and thinks he's a corrupt jerk

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=reK2Nd0WYKA

[Bacon King]

Windjammer she has a hard enough time just figuring out how to use her email

I just asked the questions as part of standard conversation, I have no idea how she'd react if she knew I was asking her things because a random guy in France wanted to know lol

Although facilitating the Q&A was pretty neat- next time I visit with relatives ill make a post soliciting questions for them

[windjammer]

Long live to Georgia, a long time I didn't laugh so hard haha.


BK, I will prepare the questions for your family! Are all the members of your family "conservadem", or some of them are different?