Georgia's Very Own Megathread!
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  Georgia's Very Own Megathread!
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Author Topic: Georgia's Very Own Megathread!  (Read 310112 times)
Donerail
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« Reply #875 on: August 11, 2015, 07:54:33 PM »
« edited: August 11, 2015, 07:59:45 PM by SJoyce »

Seems to be holding - I think Bennett might have this. RIP GOP supermajority, RIP GOP majority in Fulton County.

Bennett (D): 2,446 (54.54%)
Davis (R):   2,039 (45.46%)
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Yelnoc
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« Reply #876 on: August 11, 2015, 08:06:26 PM »

Galloway says Bennett's won it on twitter, according to a "well-connected Republican contact." And that looks likely. With 1 out of 2 counties reporting in, here is the current count.

54.54% Bennett (2,465)
45.46% Davis (2,039)
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #877 on: August 11, 2015, 08:17:21 PM »

There's no way he loses it now without fraud. There can't be more than a few hundred remaining votes left in that Fulton section - if even anywhere near that - and Bennett's up by 400!

RIP GOP supermajority
RIP GOP majority in Fulton County
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Barnes
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« Reply #878 on: August 11, 2015, 08:21:29 PM »
« Edited: August 11, 2015, 08:39:48 PM by Barnes »

Fantastic! Very few votes left in the part that's in Fulton.

Bennett's campaign was focused on opposing attempts to undermine SSM. His victory gives some much needed voice to that effort.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #879 on: August 11, 2015, 08:22:23 PM »

Bennett looks like a rising star coming out of this, if he holds on to his seat this November of 2016.
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Podgy the Bear
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« Reply #880 on: August 11, 2015, 08:30:03 PM »

According to the AJC, it looks we would have avoided the supermajority even if Bennett had lost.  But it's still a sweet win--and hopefully, the start of a serious Democratic comeback in the years to come...
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Barnes
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« Reply #881 on: August 11, 2015, 08:32:58 PM »

According to the AJC, it looks we would have avoided the supermajority even if Bennett had lost.  But it's still a sweet win--and hopefully, the start of a serious Democratic comeback in the years to come...

Technically the GOP was already one seat short but they could usually rely on Rusty Kidd (the only Independent in the General Assembly) to get them the exact number needed.  Now, that's assuming that the Democrats remained totally united in their opposition - something that cannot always be assured, naturally.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #882 on: August 11, 2015, 08:37:49 PM »

Fantastic! Very few votes left in the part that's in Fulton.

Bennett's campaign was focused on opposing attemtps to undermine SSM. His victory gives some much needed voice to that effort.

The religious liberty laws, to be precise. It's odd to see a Democrat run on - and win - LGBT issues in a "conservative" Georgia House district and win. Of course, Brookhaven is 55% socially liberal and 45% economically conservative, so...
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Barnes
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« Reply #883 on: August 11, 2015, 08:41:44 PM »

Fantastic! Very few votes left in the part that's in Fulton.

Bennett's campaign was focused on opposing attemtps to undermine SSM. His victory gives some much needed voice to that effort.

The religious liberty laws, to be precise. It's odd to see a Democrat run on - and win - LGBT issues in a "conservative" Georgia House district and win. Of course, Brookhaven is 55% socially liberal and 45% economically conservative, so...

Yep, had to make the simplification on my iPhone before it died. 

And the oddity is very encouraging.  Until now, it was really a one-sided steam roller of what McKoon would do in the next session.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #884 on: August 11, 2015, 08:46:17 PM »

According to the AJC, it looks we would have avoided the supermajority even if Bennett had lost.  But it's still a sweet win--and hopefully, the start of a serious Democratic comeback in the years to come...

Technically the GOP was already one seat short but they could usually rely on Rusty Kidd (the only Independent in the General Assembly) to get them the exact number needed.  Now, that's assuming that the Democrats remained totally united in their opposition - something that cannot always be assured, naturally.

Interesting.  Is this the only GOP-leaning seat they would need to hold going forward to sustain a veto, or are there conservadems left in rural seats?  This could be particularly relevant come 2021 if you know what I mean.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #885 on: August 11, 2015, 10:04:00 PM »
« Edited: August 11, 2015, 10:05:38 PM by RG Griff »

According to the AJC, it looks we would have avoided the supermajority even if Bennett had lost.  But it's still a sweet win--and hopefully, the start of a serious Democratic comeback in the years to come...

Technically the GOP was already one seat short but they could usually rely on Rusty Kidd (the only Independent in the General Assembly) to get them the exact number needed.  Now, that's assuming that the Democrats remained totally united in their opposition - something that cannot always be assured, naturally.

Interesting.  Is this the only GOP-leaning seat they would need to hold going forward to sustain a veto, or are there conservadems left in rural seats?  This could be particularly relevant come 2021 if you know what I mean.

I suppose if they didn't irritate Rusty Kidd in redistricting (who is usually either with them, or goes MIA come vote time on select issues like gun control when he's not with them), this would be the only seat they would need to override a veto. Technically, the House is now 118-61-1 with Bennett's victory.

There are very few white Democrats remaining at all outside of Atlanta, let alone conservative ones. There are only two white Democrats in the House remaining outside of metro Atlanta - one represents a pretty rural, half-white/half-black stretch of territory between Columbus and Atlanta that is safe for her, and the other represents a rural-to-urban black-majority area near Albany that is relatively safe. Both have a small conservative lean on some issues but the latter one doesn't have much of a track record (newly-elected in 2014).

There's really no one left who would be likely to buck based on the tendency of the district's voters - Bennett will be the only Democrat in either chamber representing a district that voted for Romney. On any given issue, however, you can find a few Democrats who will side with Republicans (a good example is school choice/charter school support from some black urban Ds).
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #886 on: October 18, 2015, 12:43:32 AM »
« Edited: October 18, 2015, 02:41:55 AM by Trumpenproletariat »

This GIF is comparable to a static swing map, but instead of it being a simple swing map, it shows the election results for Governor between 2000-2014 & President between 2000-2012 in animated fashion. The changes in D & R % of the vote in each county is averaged out over a 4-year period and proportioned (as best possible) by frame/year. I know that the legend really can't be read, but you don't necessarily need it to appreciate the overall trends (lightest colors begin at 50% and each shade represents a 2-point range, with the last numbered shade being 86%).

Watch the gubernatorial frames from 2000-2002 jesus christ



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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #887 on: October 18, 2015, 04:10:15 AM »

Could Jason Carter/Michelle Nunn be a very strong ticket in 2018?
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #888 on: October 18, 2015, 05:24:26 AM »

Could Jason Carter/Michelle Nunn be a very strong ticket in 2018?

Personally, I think Jason Carter could be a lot stronger in 2018 (open seat) than he was this past time. I'm not sure what you mean by Michelle Nunn (Lt Gov?), since there isn't a Senate election in 2018 in GA. The fact that Carter did only 0.3 points worse than her against an incumbent when she was running for an open seat makes me think she is no better than mediocre. She really doesn't bring much to the table in terms of enthusiasm, passion or ideas: just her name. She definitely did nothing for turnout in 2014 and I would wager that she lost a substantial number of votes from both sides because everybody was afraid she'd end up being the opposite of them: nobody knew where she stood on anything, really. Hopefully, she won't be running again for anything.



Also, just for fun:

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Gass3268
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« Reply #889 on: October 18, 2015, 03:04:50 PM »

But the colors???
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #890 on: October 19, 2015, 04:54:36 AM »


Anything that I make primarily not for Atlas features non-Atlas colors, sorry. Sad



But I did finally complete this, going all the way back to 1990:



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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #891 on: November 24, 2015, 11:06:33 AM »
« Edited: November 24, 2015, 11:49:03 AM by President Griffin »

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publicunofficial
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« Reply #892 on: November 24, 2015, 05:45:52 PM »

Whenever Killer Mike gets in the news, my favorite thing is conservatives saying he's a thug because he has "Killer" in his name.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #893 on: November 25, 2015, 11:13:02 AM »

Could Jason Carter/Michelle Nunn be a very strong ticket in 2018?

Personally, I think Jason Carter could be a lot stronger in 2018 (open seat) than he was this past time. I'm not sure what you mean by Michelle Nunn (Lt Gov?), since there isn't a Senate election in 2018 in GA. The fact that Carter did only 0.3 points worse than her against an incumbent when she was running for an open seat makes me think she is no better than mediocre. She really doesn't bring much to the table in terms of enthusiasm, passion or ideas: just her name. She definitely did nothing for turnout in 2014 and I would wager that she lost a substantial number of votes from both sides because everybody was afraid she'd end up being the opposite of them: nobody knew where she stood on anything, really. Hopefully, she won't be running again for anything.



Also, just for fun:



If I understand correctly, Nunn is the only other Georgia Democrat who hasn't offended ~40-45% of the electorate already. She'd be a good Lt. Gov., as all she needs to do is keep the legislature from getting too partisan. I think she's well suited to do that. Yes, Carter-Nunn does sound a little dynasty-filled, but they can't be any worse than in 2014.
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15 Down, 35 To Go
ExtremeRepublican
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« Reply #894 on: December 01, 2015, 06:58:51 PM »

Republicans are trying to court former Georgia football coach Mark Richt to run for Governor in 2018:

http://www.wsbtv.com/news/news/local/georgia-republicans-courting-richt-governor/npZb2/
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #895 on: December 01, 2015, 09:40:59 PM »

Republicans are trying to court former Georgia football coach Mark Richt to run for Governor in 2018:

http://www.wsbtv.com/news/news/local/georgia-republicans-courting-richt-governor/npZb2/

Poor Casey Cagle. Cry

I guess Republicans are s[inks]ing their pants after seeing one cheating sleazeball taken down for a years-old affair.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #896 on: December 02, 2015, 08:08:31 PM »

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publicunofficial
angryGreatness
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« Reply #897 on: December 03, 2015, 01:44:09 AM »

Republicans are trying to court former Georgia football coach Mark Richt to run for Governor in 2018:

http://www.wsbtv.com/news/news/local/georgia-republicans-courting-richt-governor/npZb2/

Apparently didn't court hard enough. Richt is the new head coach of the University of Miami Hurricanes.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #898 on: December 03, 2015, 10:48:44 PM »

I took my Gwinnett GIF back all the way to 2002.

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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #899 on: December 04, 2015, 10:34:16 PM »

Beautiful!

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