Georgia's Very Own Megathread!

[Kingpoleon]

Could Jason Carter/Michelle Nunn be a very strong ticket in 2018?

[Kingpoleon]

Could Jason Carter/Michelle Nunn be a very strong ticket in 2018?

Personally, I think Jason Carter could be a lot stronger in 2018 (open seat) than he was this past time. I'm not sure what you mean by Michelle Nunn (Lt Gov?), since there isn't a Senate election in 2018 in GA. The fact that Carter did only 0.3 points worse than her against an incumbent when she was running for an open seat makes me think she is no better than mediocre. She really doesn't bring much to the table in terms of enthusiasm, passion or ideas: just her name. She definitely did nothing for turnout in 2014 and I would wager that she lost a substantial number of votes from both sides because everybody was afraid she'd end up being the opposite of them: nobody knew where she stood on anything, really. Hopefully, she won't be running again for anything.


Also, just for fun:

If I understand correctly, Nunn is the only other Georgia Democrat who hasn't offended ~40-45% of the electorate already. She'd be a good Lt. Gov., as all she needs to do is keep the legislature from getting too partisan. I think she's well suited to do that. Yes, Carter-Nunn does sound a little dynasty-filled, but they can't be any worse than in 2014.

[Kingpoleon]

So, would Jason Carter, Kasim Reed, Scott Holcomb, or Burrell Harris be the best recruit.

[Kingpoleon]

Obama 2008+Clinton 2016+Carter/Nunn 2014+Barksdale 2016 should be a broad enough coalition of counties and margins to beat Casey Cagle or Brian Kemp.

[Kingpoleon]

Obama 2008+Clinton 2016+Carter/Nunn 2014+Barksdale 2016 should be a broad enough coalition of counties and margins to beat Casey Cagle or Brian Kemp.

Carter/Barnes in the rurals and Clinton margins in the metro is sufficient.

2002 Barnes or 2010?

[Kingpoleon]

2010 Barnes. Both Carter and Barnes did about net 15% better than Clinton in rural Georgia, and with that, she would've almost crossed 50.

I think the Carter/Nunn result in 2014 was very impressive. Nunn is more of a libertarian moderate, so I'd prefer her, but Carter is pretty great, too.

[Kingpoleon]

2010 Barnes. Both Carter and Barnes did about net 15% better than Clinton in rural Georgia, and with that, she would've almost crossed 50.

I think the Carter/Nunn result in 2014 was very impressive. Nunn is more of a libertarian moderate, so I'd prefer her, but Carter is pretty great, too.

I'm agnostic about Dems winning this race, but I think either could win if things break right. The path is there, IMO. The other will likely go for the Senate race in 2020.

These are some down ballot races both could run for:
Nunn: Lieutenant Governor, Secretary of State, Commissioner, Insurance Commissioner
Carter: Lieutenant Governor, Secretary of State, Attorney General

[Kingpoleon]

^Yeah, I think Catholics (NOVA and Virginia Beach) and Methodists (coal counties) together are a majority of the state. That's one way to measure the decline of "southernness" in Virginia, more objective than its move to the left.

Methodism is a map overlaid with German-Americans, alongside Lutheranism. I would wager the two combined would cut amazingly deep into the Baptist map, particularly in counties with large numbers of people of German descent.

[Kingpoleon]

Must be preparing for another run - very high-energy!

What a very Trumpish thing to say. Are all populists this direct, thus naturally less influential?

[Kingpoleon]

The Battle of the Staceys commences: Stacey Evans announces her bid for Governor.

Which Stacey is better?

Stacey Abrams is rather left wing for Georgia. Evans is at least a bit to her right.

[Kingpoleon]

Will Jon Ossoff run for something statewide in 2018 or is he basically done? He is very young and charismatic He could still give it another run. Maybe LG or something else down ballot?

He could run for State Treasurer. He has a MS from the London School of Economics.

[Kingpoleon]

ahahahahahaha Kingpoleon busted!

Could be worse - I could have to wear the Avatar of Shame known as Oklahoma.

[Kingpoleon]

ahahahahahaha Kingpoleon busted!

Could be worse - I could have to wear the Avatar of Shame known as Oklahoma.

You have an Arkansas avatar...

Indeed, but I don't have the avatar of a failed, incompetent state party.

[Kingpoleon]

ahahahahahaha Kingpoleon busted!

Could be worse - I could have to wear the Avatar of Shame known as Oklahoma.

You have an Arkansas avatar...

Indeed, but I don't have the avatar of a failed, incompetent state party.

Again, you have an Arkansas avatar.

Lowest unemployment rate in fifty years would like to have a talk with you.

[Kingpoleon]

So, to summarize:
Stacey Abrams: Semi-moderate on economics, pretty liberal socially
Stacey Evans: Semi-moderate on social issues, very populist economically


Interesting... Is there still a chance of Nunn running?