Georgia's Very Own Megathread!

[windjammer]

Is Jason Carter interested for this seat? He's young, he could wait!

[windjammer]

Is Jason Carter interested for this seat? He's young, he could wait!

He should be, the next one isnt open til 2018 and Deal looks competitive for re-election sadly. And unless Broun wins, Carter would have a better chance at winning the Governor's mansion. He down 46/38 with 16 undecided. He's also only at 65% among blacks w/ 20 neutral. If they come home the race would be 40-46. Currently, Deal is getting 14% of the black vote. He'll probably get about 10 percent on Election Day, at most. I believe the Governor's mansion is still an option.

And the United States Senate elections in 2016? Johnny Isakson will be 71 years old and he could retire. What's more, Non-Hispanic White should represent 58% of the eligible voters in 2016 (62% in 2012). That's why I think Jason Carter should wait 2016, John Barrow is the best candidate we could have if we want to pick up Georgia senate seat in 2014, because he's a conservative democrats and abstentionis higher during a Midterm election for black people.

(I apologize for my spelling mistakes).

[windjammer]

Yeah! An another woman senator is always appreciated!

[windjammer]

I wonder if Gingrey will keep pushing the idea of teaching classes on traditional gender roles if he makes it to the Senate.

At this point I can't decide who'd be a better candidate for Nunn to take on between him and Broun.

Probably Broun. Gingrey isn't really crazy I think, he just wants to win the senate race. But Broun,...

[windjammer]

On facebook:
Paul Broun has 40000 "like"
Jack Kingston: 6000
Karen Handel: 8250
Phil Gingrey: 23500

So, good news? Broun seems to be successfull with the base!

[windjammer]

http://www.ajc.com/weblogs/political-insider/2013/jun/18/paul-broun-abortion-vote-could-secure-georgia-righ/


Go  Paul Broun!

[windjammer]

The GA dems of this forum, would it be possible to vote in the primaries for Paul Broun and to urge your friends to the same thing?

[windjammer]

The GA dems, opinion of Sam Nunn?

[windjammer]

For Cook: the georgia senate race is now lean republican.

[windjammer]

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2013/08/georgia-question-suggestions.html

PPP will poll Georgia next week.

[windjammer]

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls 12 h
Sam Nunn has a 56/12 favorability rating in Georgia

[windjammer]

Is your family really conservative?
A Nunn victory would be great, Georgia is trending dem so she would be in a better environment 6 years later.

[windjammer]

So this is fun. If Carter runs:

the Democratic nominees for governor and senator will both be grandchildren of the men who held those respective offices exactly fourty years prior.

Are you sure? I thought it was her father...

Has Carter really a chance? I don't see Deal losing except if he's investigated...

[windjammer]

Governor Carter and Senator Nunn are going to make a great team!

Too bad only one of the two is likely to happen.

Would you support them?

[windjammer]

Well, if Deal has to resign because of ethic violations, Georgia will be really interesting!
Will the democrats regain the governor office and the senate seat?

BK, what does your family think about Jason Carter?

[windjammer]

Well, is there a slight chance to regain majority in the state house and state senate in Georgia?
Has someone PVI for state districts please?

[windjammer]

Thank you  Griffin!

[windjammer]

Have you some news of your dear governor Nathan Deal? Will Carter run?

[windjammer]

http://www.examiner.com/article/democrat-michelle-nunn-draws-republican-donors-support-georgia-senate-race

Good news!

[windjammer]

Has someone PVI for state districts please?

Well, I'm an idiot. I calculated these House districts incorrectly, unfortunately, due to my sobriety. I'm too tired to re-do right now, so I'll get it updated correctly later. The actual PVIs are just a couple points off, but you'll get an idea of how much the northern part of the state is relatively off-limits at this point. These are based on 2008 aggregate vote totals; I'm sure much of this marked is even more Republican.

Thank you!

[windjammer]

And for Nathan Deal, some news about his scandal?

[windjammer]

http://www.politico.com/story/2013/11/jason-carter-georgia-governor-race-10-things-to-know-99544.html

[windjammer]

It's funny, isn't it?

[windjammer]

If Pennington could win the Primaries

[windjammer]

Just got back from my grandmother's funeral, spent three days with my relatives down in the rural south of the state. So it's time for

BACON KING'S FAMILY POLITICAL TRACKER UPDATE

• In the GOP Senate race, they like Kingston because they thought he was a good Congressman when they were in the 1st District. Mixed opinion on Broun. General consensus is that there are a lot of candidates and the election's still a ways away so they're keeping an open mind towards all of them.
• Nobody really likes Nathan Deal but they don't really see him losing reelection. Even the savviest family politico (I'm talking regular attendee to the state GOP convention, who proudly displays a picture of himself with Newt Gingrich on the dining room wall) wasn't even aware Deal had a primary challenger.
• There's a "wait and see" attitude towards Carter and Nunn, on whether they'll be "Georgia Democrats" who represent the working man, or "National Democrats" who serve the interests of "special interests"
• They're more open towards Nunn because if she takes after her dad they know they'll like her, whereas if Carter is like his grandfather they still don't know whether he'll be like Governor Jimmy Carter (good, honest, common sense man), President Jimmy Carter (well intentioned but inept) or Former President Jimmy Carter (raging liberal socialist who loves the terrorists, god bless him for building those houses for poor people though).
• When the news that the Federal Judge had ruled the NSA stuff unconstitutional, reaction varied from "the only problem with it, really, was that they didn't tell people they were doing it to start with," to staunch libertarian views on the topic.

Also I discovered I have a possible networking connection with the new DPG Chair DuBose Porter! My cousin and his son played soccer on the same team for several years. My uncle recounted conversations he had with Porter, where the two agreed that the state Democratic Party would be doing a lot better if they could win back the votes of "those scared white folks who are, y'know, afraid of the minorities taking over, getting too much power over them," so make of that what you will.

I'm sorry for your grandmother BK.

Well, Georgia will be interesting!