The Official Obama 2.0 Approval Ratings Thread

[windjammer]

In LA, not too bad!

[Bandit3 the Worker]

NYT/Kaiser polls:

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

AR: 33-60
KY: 32-60
LA: 42-54
NC: 41-51

http://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/1146701/polls-in-four-southern-states-april-8-15-2014.pdf

The GOP is ahead by only 6% in the U.S. House vote in KY, even though the GOP has 5 of 6 seats? That's got to scare Andy Barr.

[windjammer]

NYT/Kaiser polls:

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

AR: 33-60
KY: 32-60
LA: 42-54
NC: 41-51

http://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/1146701/polls-in-four-southern-states-april-8-15-2014.pdf

The GOP is ahead by only 6% in the U.S. House vote in KY, even though the GOP has 5 of 6 seats? That's got to scare Andy Barr.

I would love to see Jensen defeating him, especially because she's praising Healthcare. But that's unlikely

[Bandit3 the Worker]

NYT/Kaiser polls:

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

AR: 33-60
KY: 32-60
LA: 42-54
NC: 41-51

http://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/1146701/polls-in-four-southern-states-april-8-15-2014.pdf

The GOP is ahead by only 6% in the U.S. House vote in KY, even though the GOP has 5 of 6 seats? That's got to scare Andy Barr.

I would love to see Jensen defeating him, especially because she's praising Healthcare. But that's unlikely

At this point, I think Jensen will win.

[windjammer]

NYT/Kaiser polls:

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

AR: 33-60
KY: 32-60
LA: 42-54
NC: 41-51

http://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/1146701/polls-in-four-southern-states-april-8-15-2014.pdf

The GOP is ahead by only 6% in the U.S. House vote in KY, even though the GOP has 5 of 6 seats? That's got to scare Andy Barr.

I would love to see Jensen defeating him, especially because she's praising Healthcare. But that's unlikely

At this point, I think Jensen will win.

But Bandit, I love your enthusiasm, but I guess you recognize that your predictions are always too favorable to democrats?

[Bandit3 the Worker]

But Bandit, I love your enthusiasm, but I guess you recognize that your predictions are always too favorable to democrats?

My predictions are usually favorable to the Republicans. There was a special election for Kentucky House about a year ago that I thought for sure the GOP would win. But the Democrat won it by 10%.

[windjammer]

But Bandit, I love your enthusiasm, but I guess you recognize that your predictions are always too favorable to democrats?

My predictions are usually favorable to the Republicans. There was a special election for Kentucky House about a year ago that I thought for sure the GOP would win. But the Democrat won it by 10%.

Really? Hmmmm
I seriously hope you're right Bandit, we're on the same side after all!

[pbrower2a]

NYT/Kaiser polls:

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

AR: 33-60
KY: 32-60
LA: 42-54
NC: 41-51

http://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/1146701/polls-in-four-southern-states-april-8-15-2014.pdf

60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)
50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)

If he were running for a third term and actively campaigning for the Presidential election this year, then he would win none of the States in question. He won in 2012 without them.  Of course, Louisiana would be much closer than in either 2008 or 2012.

Obama now at -2 in both Rasmussen and Gallup today:

Gallup is 46-48 and Rasmussen is 48-50.

Obama now has the best rating at Gallup since Sept. last year.

There really isn't a source of bad news to pull things down. The economy is going steady, the health care roll out was fixed and the country is more or less at peace though Afghanistan is still winding down and there is rumor of war in Ukraine.

The average incumbent as a campaigner adds about 6-7% to his approval ratings to get the final share between himself and the key opponent, which means that based upon these polls (Barack Obama is a slick campaigner) he would get somewhere between 52% and 55% of the vote nationwide. 

...Of course he won't be running for a Third Term, he isn't campaigning actively, and the next Presidential election will be in 2016.  All in all the state polls are generally old, reflecting times when the President's approval was lower than it is now. 

[pbrower2a]

Quinnipiac, Colorado:

With the usual caveat that Q gets polls for other states reasonably well but gets extremely R-leaning results for Colorado (methods that undercount Spanish-speaking voters?)

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/colorado/release-detail?ReleaseID=2034

Huh? Lower approval of the President in Colorado than Kaiser finds in Louisiana?

Quinnipiac is still a good-faith poster. It may have a good methodology for Northeastern  and Midwestern states, and maybe Florida -- but may mess up badly in Colorado.

60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)
50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)

[RogueBeaver]

Post-ABC: 52/41 disapproval.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Post-ABC: 52/41 disapproval.

LOL at the Post.

[Lief 🗽]

Post-ABC: 52/41 disapproval.

lol, I love that article. Paragraphs and paragraphs on how Obama and Democrats are doomed, and then they finally get to the congressional ballot question hidden away in the middle of the piece, and Democrats lead by 1%.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Post-ABC: 52/41 disapproval.

lol, I love that article. Paragraphs and paragraphs on how Obama and Democrats are doomed, and then they finally get to the congressional ballot question hidden away in the middle of the piece, and Democrats lead by 1%.

Not only that, but the Democrats have a humongous lead on climate change and same-sex marriage.

More importantly, this poll contradicts every other poll, where the Democrats are doing much better.

[Lief 🗽]

Meanwhile, movement in the NBC/WSJ poll is the opposite: Obama up to 44-50.

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/first-read/poll-slight-improvements-tough-terrain-ahead-democrats-n92921

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Meanwhile, movement in the NBC/WSJ poll is the opposite: Obama up to 44-50.

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/first-read/poll-slight-improvements-tough-terrain-ahead-democrats-n92921

He's improving in every poll except ABC. He just leaped from -15 to -7 in YouGov (which usually gives him poor numbers).

I wish these pollsters would specify whether people oppose him from the left or from the right.

[pbrower2a]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

- See more at: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/#sthash.vjHmoY1e.dpuf

60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)
50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)

[pbrower2a]

Quinnipiac, Connecticut: Obama approval/disapproval tied at 48.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/connecticut/release-detail?ReleaseID=2039

60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)
50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)

[Matty]

This is great news for democrats in the 2014 midterms.

[Badger]

This is great news for democrats in the 2014 midterms.

Sarcasm I assume? There's a LOT of blue on that map, and most of it quite dark.

[pbrower2a]

Marist/NBC -- Kentucky:

Obama approval -- 32% approve, 56% disapprove.

60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)
50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)

[Adam Griffin]

Doesn't change the shading, but a new poll shows Obama sitting at 44/51 in GA.

[pbrower2a]

Doesn't change the shading, but a new poll shows Obama sitting at 44/51 in GA.

No need for a new map.

Barack Obama is not hurting Democrats in Georgia, and he is unlikely to hurt any chance of Hillary Clinton winning Georgia in 2016.

[pbrower2a]

May 8-11, 2014
Survey of 582 Alaska voters

information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Alaska Survey Results

You must be logged in to read this quote.

 

60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)
50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)

[pbrower2a]

So what could be less popular than Barack Obama in Alaska?

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2014/05/alaska-miscellany.html#more

Shaky independence, or a 'reunion' with Russia. Nobody asked about Canada.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

So what could be less popular than Barack Obama in Alaska?

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2014/05/alaska-miscellany.html#more

Shaky independence, or a 'reunion' with Russia. Nobody asked about Canada.

No need to.  After all, clearly Alaskan "independence" will only be a ruse to allow Canada to annex Alaska a la Russia and Ukraine.