The Official Obama 2.0 Approval Ratings Thread

[Tender Branson]

Rasmussen seems to be a total outlier right now:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_obama_job_approval-1044.html

[pbrower2a]

North Carolinians aren't particularly happy with any of their politicians though. Barack Obama's approval numbers have hit a new record low in the state, with only 40% of voters approving of him to 54% who disapprove.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2014/01/north-carolinians-strongly-back-teacher-pay-increase.html#more



60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)
50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)

[hopper]

North Carolinians aren't particularly happy with any of their politicians though. Barack Obama's approval numbers have hit a new record low in the state, with only 40% of voters approving of him to 54% who disapprove.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2014/01/north-carolinians-strongly-back-teacher-pay-increase.html#more



60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)
50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)

Colorado and Ohio he is underwater in his approvals. He only won Colorado by 3% and Ohio by 1% so maybe not that surprising. He only won Colorado because Hispanics disliked Romney and he only won Ohio because of high black turnout in the age 45-64 age range(I think)especially black women.

What happened to him in Iowa and New Hampshire? He is underwater in those 2 states too in his approvals.

New York, CA, and NJ he is pretty low in his approvals for a blue state like those 3 states.. VA, GA, WI, MN, OR, MD, TX, AR, KY, LA and FL his approval are pretty much near his 2012 vote total % in those 10 states.

[PJ]

Why are Obama's approval ratings in Oregon better than the actual results in 2012?

[New_Conservative]

Why are Obama's approval ratings in Oregon better than the actual results in 2012?

Yeah, so much for the aparrent slight trend to the right that I thought was occuring in that state.

[PJ]

Why are Obama's approval ratings in Oregon better than the actual results in 2012?

Yeah, so much for the aparrent slight trend to the right that I thought was occuring in that state.

Trust me, we are not trending to the right, fortunately.

[pbrower2a]

Why are Obama's approval ratings in Oregon better than the actual results in 2012?

Probably an old poll  from a time in which President Obama had peak approval.

[pbrower2a]

January 16-21, 2014
Survey of 591 Florida voters

information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

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About where he was before the Obamacare website went bad. If he were running for re-election this year he would be in striking distance in Florida. We never saw such weak approvals as we might have expected during the Obamacare rollout at its inception.



60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)
50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)

[Miles]

Fox News- 42/53 nationally. Up from a 40/55 low in November.

[Miles]

ABC/WaPo: Obama at 46/50 nationally.

[Miles]

Gallup has it annual Obama approvals by state out:

[PJ]

Map of Gallup poll results:

It's in traditional Atlas coloring. Sorry for any confusion.

[pbrower2a]

Map of Gallup poll results:

It's in traditional Atlas coloring. Sorry for any confusion.

What a weird pattern!

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Texas???

[IceSpear]

wat @ Texas

[Blue3]

Texas?

And surprised Florida is still positive, compared to the others who are no longer.

[Miles]

PPP national- 41/53 for Obama.

[pbrower2a]

California, PPIC, 46-51 (likely voters)

It's 53-43 among residents. Who knows who will be voting in 2016 in California?

http://www.ppic.org/content/pubs/survey/S_114MBS.pdf



60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)
50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)

[Tender Branson]

Who knows who will be voting in 2016 in California?

2014 likely voters.

[pbrower2a]

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Awful! But before any Republican salivates about defeating the Democratic Senator from Alaska, who barely won against an incumbent with severe questions about his ethics in office:

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http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2014/02/begich-continues-to-hold-small-leads-for-reelection.html#more

No need for a new map.

[J. J.]

Stating the obvious:

Rasmussen had Obama underwater, but close, consistently.  He has been running in a 6 point range, generally around 48%, and reasonably stable since January 1.

Gallup shows about an 8-13 point gap with declining numbers.

PPP, which isn't a tracking poll, looks remarkably like Gallup.

It is strange that the only place Obama is doing "well" is Rasmussen.

[pbrower2a]

February 6-9, 2014
Survey of 635 Louisiana voters

information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Louisiana Survey Results

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Close to 2012 results (41-58).


60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)
50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)

[Nichlemn]

Map of Gallup poll results:

It's in traditional Atlas coloring. Sorry for any confusion.

What a weird pattern!

Well in 50 polls, statistically it would be unusual if there weren't a couple of outliers.

[pbrower2a]

Minnesota, Minnesota Poll (Minneapolis Star-Tribune)

Mason-Dixon (I saw a lot of their polls in 2008). They're back!

President Obama:

Among adults:

43-50 disapprove

Among RV:

44-49 disapprove

http://www.startribune.com/politics/statelocal/245706661.html

No third term!


60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)
50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Incidentally, he's back up to +3 on Rasmussen (51/48).