The Official Obama 2.0 Approval Ratings Thread
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 29, 2024, 04:25:01 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  General Politics
  U.S. General Discussion (Moderators: The Dowager Mod, Chancellor Tanterterg)
  The Official Obama 2.0 Approval Ratings Thread
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 17 18 19 20 21 [22] 23 24 25 26 27 ... 36
Author Topic: The Official Obama 2.0 Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 160356 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #525 on: February 16, 2014, 12:16:26 PM »

Rasmussen is showing a 51-48 approval today:

Link

All other recent polls are between 40-45% approve and 50-55% disapprove ...

The MN poll is in line with those polls, not with Rasmussen.
Logged
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,843
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #526 on: February 20, 2014, 12:29:32 PM »

Quinnipiac, Ohio:

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/ohio/release-detail?ReleaseID=2010



"The good news for President Barack Obama is his job approval rating among Ohioans has improved from its record low in November. The bad news is that with a 40 percent approval rating he remains in the Buckeye dog house," Brown said. "If those numbers remain where they are or go lower, it's difficult to see him as an asset to Democratic candidates this November."


60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)

50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)












Logged
Miles
MilesC56
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,324
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #527 on: February 24, 2014, 01:05:48 PM »

Gallup: Obama at 44/52 nationally.
Logged
Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,952


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #528 on: February 24, 2014, 01:10:07 PM »

He's +5 on Rasmussen now - 52/47.
Logged
President von Cat
captain copernicus
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 619


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #529 on: February 24, 2014, 02:38:53 PM »


Yeah, I didn't really get where Sean Trende was coming from in his latest biased crap piece about how Obama's awful approvals are going to kill Dem changes at holding the Senate.
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,324
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #530 on: February 24, 2014, 02:44:52 PM »

High Point University: 40/53 in NC.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #531 on: February 24, 2014, 07:04:19 PM »


Yeah, I didn't really get where Sean Trende was coming from in his latest biased crap piece about how Obama's awful approvals are going to kill Dem changes at holding the Senate.

Rasmussen is the clear outlier though.

That said, Trende does think Obama's approval matters in Senate races much more than it actually does.
Logged
The Vorlon
Vorlon
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,657


Political Matrix
E: 8.00, S: -4.21

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #532 on: March 04, 2014, 10:14:56 AM »


Ever since Scott Rasmussen got kicked out of his own company left to pursue other options, that poll has been very, very erratic.

To have Obama's approval go from minus 11 (44/55 on Feb 14th) to plus 5 (52/47 on Feb 24th) and then back down to minus 9 (45/54 o March 4) is just clearly in wild contrast with reality. 

Unless I somehow missed that Obama cured cancer one week , followed by being outed as a child molester the next week, presidential approval simply does not change that fast.

Rasmussen reports methodology was never all that transparent to begin with, and since Scott has left, it has if anything gotten worse.
Logged
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,843
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #533 on: March 04, 2014, 06:51:01 PM »

February 28-March 2, 2014
Survey of 870 Arizona voters
February 28-March 2, 2014
Survey of 870 Arizona voters
Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.




60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)

50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)













[/quote]
Logged
Badger
badger
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 40,258
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #534 on: March 05, 2014, 08:47:30 AM »


Ever since Scott Rasmussen got kicked out of his own company left to pursue other options, that poll has been very, very erratic.

To have Obama's approval go from minus 11 (44/55 on Feb 14th) to plus 5 (52/47 on Feb 24th) and then back down to minus 9 (45/54 o March 4) is just clearly in wild contrast with reality. 

Unless I somehow missed that Obama cured cancer one week , followed by being outed as a child molester the next week, presidential approval simply does not change that fast.

Rasmussen reports methodology was never all that transparent to begin with, and since Scott has left, it has if anything gotten worse.

That's a frightening concept.
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,324
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #535 on: March 05, 2014, 06:35:19 PM »

Fox: 38/54 nationally.
Logged
Warren 4 Secretary of Everything
Clinton1996
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,203
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -4.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #536 on: March 05, 2014, 06:42:36 PM »

Are there any other Dems here in denial of how unpopular nationally Obama is? I just can't wrap my mind around it. What has he done to get to Pre-2008 Bush levels?
Logged
Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,952


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #537 on: March 05, 2014, 07:29:02 PM »

He's -4 on ABC but -16 on Fox. They can't both be right.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #538 on: March 05, 2014, 08:42:01 PM »

Are there any other Dems here in denial of how unpopular nationally Obama is? I just can't wrap my mind around it. What has he done to get to Pre-2008 Bush levels?

His average seems to be around 41-43%. Bush was in the 30s for 2006-2007, I believe.
Logged
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,843
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #539 on: March 05, 2014, 08:44:04 PM »

Are there any other Dems here in denial of how unpopular nationally Obama is? I just can't wrap my mind around it. What has he done to get to Pre-2008 Bush levels?

Not I.

President Obama's Approval (Quinnipiac)

Connecticut voters give President Barack Obama a negative 45 - 51 percent approval rating, his lowest score ever in the state. There is a wide gender gap as men disapprove 57 - 40 percent rating while women are divided, with 49 percent approving and 47 percent disapproving.


60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)

50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)



Logged
The Vorlon
Vorlon
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,657


Political Matrix
E: 8.00, S: -4.21

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #540 on: March 06, 2014, 11:36:04 PM »

He's -4 on ABC but -16 on Fox. They can't both be right.

Gallup                                       41   55    -14
Rasmussen Reports                       46   53    -7
FOX News                               38   54    -16
The Economist/YouGov               42   55    -13
ABC News/Wash Post               46   52    -6
CBS News/NY Times                       41   51    -10

Approval... anywhere from 38 to 46...   pretty wide range
Disapproval .... from 51 to 55....

In a Presidents second term "job approval" polling gets pretty murky.  In the first term "Job Approval" is a pretty darn good proxy for "Will ya vote for him again?" in a second term it is less clear.

Obama is in the "unpopular" range (ie 40-45%) but still hanging in above the "toxic" range (below 40%)

FWIW the Huffington Post model (Basically a declining weight least squares fit) has Obama about -9 (52 to 43) which looks about right to my eye.

Obama has a base,  he is unlikely to ever drop below 40% unless the media were to turn upon him, and that is deeply unlikely.

Logged
Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,952


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #541 on: March 06, 2014, 11:41:40 PM »

unless the media were to turn upon him, and that is deeply unlikely.

Uh.

They've turned upon him since 2008.
Logged
The Vorlon
Vorlon
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,657


Political Matrix
E: 8.00, S: -4.21

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #542 on: March 07, 2014, 01:59:13 PM »

unless the media were to turn upon him, and that is deeply unlikely.

Uh.

They've turned upon him since 2008.

Yup you're right.  My God MSMBC has just turn into a GOP lapdog... kinda sickening isn't it?
Logged
publicunofficial
angryGreatness
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,010
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #543 on: March 07, 2014, 07:26:25 PM »

unless the media were to turn upon him, and that is deeply unlikely.

Uh.

They've turned upon him since 2008.

Yup you're right.  My God MSMBC has just turn into a GOP lapdog... kinda sickening isn't it?


Way to fight Bandit's left-hackishness with your right-hackishness.
Logged
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,843
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #544 on: March 10, 2014, 08:21:13 AM »

Des Moines Register (Selzer);

Obama approval 36%, disapproval 59%.

http://www.desmoinesregister.com/article/20140310/NEWS09/303090106/-1/iowapoll/Iowa-Poll-Access-voting-trumps-voter-fraud-concerns?nclick_check=1

Hillary Clinton as President is a "good idea" for 50% of the people and a "bad idea" for 45%. Huckabee breaks even at 44% with 12% undecided, and others (Biden, Santorum, and Ryan) are all in the hole with low levels for "good idea".

Iowa voters are more concerned with people getting to vote if registered (71%) than with the desirability of disqualifying those whose voting credentials are suspect (25%).

............

Because Huckabee is almost exclusively on FoX News Channel, which liberal-leaning voters  try to avoid, I figure that his 44% is close to his ceiling. 

60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)

50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)




Logged
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,843
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #545 on: March 11, 2014, 09:45:50 PM »

March 6-9, 2014
Survey of 884 North Carolina voters

North Carolina Survey Results

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President
Barack Obama's job performance?


42% Approve - 55% Disapprove - 3% Not sure

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_NC_311.pdf


60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)

50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)





Logged
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,843
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #546 on: March 11, 2014, 09:54:56 PM »

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-03-12/americans-split-on-obama-as-69-back-minimum-wage-hike.html
..............................

With the caveat that this could be a "Rally Around the Flag" with respect to the Russian takeover of Crimea... it looks like a major rebound.
Logged
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,843
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #547 on: March 12, 2014, 07:20:02 AM »

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-03-12/americans-split-on-obama-as-69-back-minimum-wage-hike.html
..............................

With the caveat that this could be a "Rally Around the Flag" with respect to the Russian takeover of Crimea... it looks like a major rebound.

Also,

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2014/03/national-picture-improves-slightly-for-dems.html

.....

As perceptions change of a cause of a fall in the President's approval rating to his advantage, a recovery in that could be slow.  There's plenty of time between now and November for Senate and Congressional Democrats.
Logged
The Vorlon
Vorlon
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,657


Political Matrix
E: 8.00, S: -4.21

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #548 on: March 13, 2014, 12:37:14 PM »
« Edited: March 13, 2014, 12:46:38 PM by The Vorlon »

I am not really seeing any major changes actually....

I am a bit surprised the WSJ/NBC and ABC/WASHPOST disagree as much as they do, those are both excellent polls and they (almost always) very closely agree....

March 13th, 2014

RCP Average      43.0   52.9    -9.9
Huffington Post   42.9   52.2    -9.3

February 13th, 2014

RCP Average      43.0   52.6    -9.6
Huffington Post        42.7 52.3 -9.6

IE - exactly the same in the Huff Po model
Gain of 0.6% in RCP average (throw out Bloomberg and he is actually down)

 
Current Polling

Gallup         41   54    -13
Rasmussen Reports   45   54    -9
The Economist/YouGov   42   56    -14
Bloomberg      48   48    Tie
CNN/Opinion Research   43   53    -10
PPP (D)   3/6 - 3/9   43   51    -8
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl   41   54    -13
FOX News      38   54    -16
ABC News/Wash Post   46   52    -6

Polls This Month versus last Month



Gallup

Gallup   3/10 - 3/12   1500 A   41   54   -13
Gallup   2/10 - 2/12   1500 A   39   51   -12

Net Change - Obama +1

Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports   3/10 - 3/12   1500 LV   45   54   -9
Rasmussen Reports   2/10 - 2/12   1500 LV   44   55   -11

Obama +2


ABC News/Wash Post   2/27 - 3/2   RV   46   52   -6
ABC News/Wash Post   1/20 - 1/23   RV   45   52   -7

Net change +1 Obama

FOX News   3/2 - 3/4   1002 RV   38   54   -16
FOX News   2/9 - 2/11   1006 RV   42   53   -11

Net change -5 Obama

NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl   3/5 - 3/9   1000 A   41   54   -13
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl   1/22 - 1/25   800 A   43   51   -8

Net Change - 5 obama


The Economist/YouGov   3/8 - 3/10   714 RV   42   56   -14
The Economist/YouGov   3/1 - 3/3   710 RV   42   55   -13
The Economist/YouGov   2/22 - 2/24   710 RV   43   55   -12
The Economist/YouGov   2/15 - 2/17   723 RV   42   56   -14
The Economist/YouGov   2/8 - 2/10   716 RV   42   56   -14

No real changes
Logged
Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,952


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #549 on: March 13, 2014, 12:39:41 PM »

Remember, they're using a Fox News poll that's essentially spam, like that CBS poll late last year.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 17 18 19 20 21 [22] 23 24 25 26 27 ... 36  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.071 seconds with 12 queries.