The Official Obama 2.0 Approval Ratings Thread
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  The Official Obama 2.0 Approval Ratings Thread
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Author Topic: The Official Obama 2.0 Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 160346 times)
pbrower2a
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« Reply #625 on: July 16, 2014, 01:10:08 PM »
« edited: July 16, 2014, 02:53:50 PM by pbrower2a »

PPP, Mississippi

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http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_MS_715.pdf

Not bad in view of how Mississippi voted.




60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)

50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)









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pbrower2a
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« Reply #626 on: July 21, 2014, 09:47:49 PM »

July 17-18, 2014
Survey of 574 Montana voters(PPP)

Montana Survey Results
Q1
Do you approve or disapprove of President
Barack Obama's job performance?
37%
Approve
..........................................................
57%
Disapprove
......................................................
6%
Not sure


...More significantly the US Senate race is tightening up. Such matters far more.




60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)

50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)










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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #627 on: July 21, 2014, 11:31:05 PM »


It's been so long coming that people probably believe the recovery is occurring in spite of Obama, not because of him.
Or, they're just not feeling the so-called "recovery." Despite all the recent employment "growth" data, labor force participation has shown no improvement, while the number of full-time jobs declined by 523,000. Most of the jobs that were created were low-wage and/or part-time, so it isn't surprising that this "recovery" hasn't translated into great approval ratings for Obama.
It's worth noting that while the current unemployment rate is 6.2 (http://www.huffingtonpost.com/tag/unemployment-rate-june/), including people who would like a job but haven't looked for one recently due to discouragement (which are not included in the unemployment rate) raises the rate to 9.6% (http://seekingalpha.com/article/2299505-the-real-real-unemployment-rate-for-june-2014-9_6-percent), and adding in those employed part-time for economic reasons only gets it up to 12.1% (often referred to as underemployment) (http://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/empsit.pdf (page 27, U-6)).
------
Granted, this number was significantly worse back in '10 and '11, but it is still too high - it was at 7.9% in Jan. 2008, just as the recession was beginning (it peaked at around 17% in 2011) (http://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/empsit.pdf).

Even though most people don't know what the underemployment rate is, that doesn't change the fact that 12% of the country is experiencing some level of unemployment (the rate is even higher in some states) that they were told they wouldn't be experiencing six years into Obama's presidency (Obama's 2008 promise of a speedy recovery in which un/underemployment would not significantly raise from where they were in Jan. 2009 has not been forgotten by most), and that's what people are witnessing in their cities, families, and neighborhoods - people giving up, people settling for part-time work - and (since we are so far in Obama's presidency) people view it as 'Sure, it's a slow recovery, but it's really helping yet and won't be soon' or 'Sure it's a very slow recovery, but it would have happened without Obama' or even 'bah, it's too slow to even be called a recovery'. Take it all into account, and it's easy to see why Obama's approval ratings haven't skyrocketed.


 


 


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pbrower2a
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« Reply #628 on: July 22, 2014, 04:25:16 PM »

July 17-20, 2014
North Carolina Survey Results
Q1
Do you approve or disapprove of President
Barack Obama's job performance?
41%
Approve
..........................................................
53%
Disapprove
......................................................
5%
Not sure

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_NC_722925.pdf

July 17-20, 2014
Survey of 653 Colorado voters

Colorado Survey Results
Q1
Do you approve or disapprove of President
Barack Obama’s job performance?
39%
Approve
..........................................................
53%
Disapprove
......................................................
8%
Not sure
..........................................................

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_CO_7221118.pdf



60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)

50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)











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Matty
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« Reply #629 on: July 23, 2014, 02:43:56 AM »

wow, Obama is steadily doing better in the Gallup rolling polls. Also, on RCP, he's underwater by 9.7, but it was 13 a few weeks ago.
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Miles
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« Reply #630 on: July 23, 2014, 08:23:50 AM »

CNN/ORC: 42/55 nationally.

The ACA is at 40/59.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #631 on: August 05, 2014, 05:57:22 PM »


Alaska Survey Results
Q1
Do you approve or disapprove of President
Barack Obama’s job performance?
35%
Approve
..........................................................
58%
Disapprove
......................................................
8%
Not sure
..........................................................

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_AK_8051205.pdf




60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)

50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)












[/quote]
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #632 on: August 05, 2014, 08:35:45 PM »
« Edited: August 06, 2014, 03:31:24 PM by pbrower2a »

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60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)

50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)











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Miles
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« Reply #633 on: August 06, 2014, 01:53:53 PM »

AP-GfK: 40/59 nationally.

Ouch.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #634 on: August 12, 2014, 10:56:11 AM »

Barack Obama's unpopularity in Kentucky continues to make the landscape difficult for Democrats- only 32% of voters approve of the job he's doing to 63% who disapprove. 38% of the voters who disapprove of McConnell also disapprove of Obama, and among that group McConnell is receiving 20% of the vote, which is how you get to 44% of the vote with only a 37% approval rating.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2014/08/mcconnell-holds-small-lead-in-kentucky.html





60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)

50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)












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Miles
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« Reply #635 on: August 14, 2014, 08:53:55 PM »

Fox News national: 42/47.

ACA at 41/52.
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Fuzzy Stands With His Friend, Chairman Sanchez
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« Reply #636 on: August 21, 2014, 07:02:56 PM »

Obama's poll numbers aren't really that bad.  They're not as bad as the press he gets, and they're not as bad as the sounds the pundits make dwelling on this. 

The only Presidential candidate that excites anyone is Hillary.  The entire GOP stable is the Sominex Squad, and some of these guys have a real unsavory side that will stun folks (Christie, Walker, Perry).  Rand Paul generates enthusiasm, but he's also staunchly opposed by the GOP establishment. 

There's not going to be a lot of swing for a while.  We're locked into ideological and partisan regularity on both sides.  It's hard to make me see what would cause a huge faction of Republicans or Democrats to leave their respective parties.  Most of the conservative Democrats bailed by 2000, and most of the moderate Republicans were wiped out in 2006. 
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« Reply #637 on: August 22, 2014, 03:02:06 PM »

Obama's poll numbers aren't really that bad.  They're not as bad as the press he gets, and they're not as bad as the sounds the pundits make dwelling on this. 

The only Presidential candidate that excites anyone is Hillary.  The entire GOP stable is the Sominex Squad, and some of these guys have a real unsavory side that will stun folks (Christie, Walker, Perry).  Rand Paul generates enthusiasm, but he's also staunchly opposed by the GOP establishment. 

There's not going to be a lot of swing for a while.  We're locked into ideological and partisan regularity on both sides.  It's hard to make me see what would cause a huge faction of Republicans or Democrats to leave their respective parties.  Most of the conservative Democrats bailed by 2000, and most of the moderate Republicans were wiped out in 2006. 

59/60% disapproval is pretty bad.
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #638 on: August 22, 2014, 03:18:47 PM »


For a President who's been in office for 6 years, it isn't.
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Clarko95 📚💰📈
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« Reply #639 on: August 22, 2014, 07:36:19 PM »

What polls (if any) are asking about the degree of approval/disapproval?

I bet most of the approvals are from people who approve from mostly approve to strongly approve, while a large segment of disapprovals come from "somewhat disapprove" (who voted for Obama in 2008 with great enthusiasm, but also voted for him in 2012 as simply a vote for the lesser of two bad options).

I think Obama's job approval is like Obamacare's approvals, in the sense that many disapprove, but for different reasons when asked further.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #640 on: August 23, 2014, 08:07:31 AM »

What polls (if any) are asking about the degree of approval/disapproval?

I bet most of the approvals are from people who approve from mostly approve to strongly approve, while a large segment of disapprovals come from "somewhat disapprove" (who voted for Obama in 2008 with great enthusiasm, but also voted for him in 2012 as simply a vote for the lesser of two bad options).

I think Obama's job approval is like Obamacare's approvals, in the sense that many disapprove, but for different reasons when asked further.

Obamacare will be his most obvious legacy.

What has gone wrong?

Scandals? This administration is squeaky clean. I can't see anyone lining his pockets because of closeness to the Presidency. People may be seeing their investments gain value, but that is not because of the President choosing winners and losers.

Military disasters? Diplomatic debacles? No. Some things will spiral out of control. The US does not own Iraq or Syria.

Poor economic stewardship? One can blame slow growth in pay to decisions of the GOP and related organizations. Of course the Right wants people to work longer and harder for less for greater profits for elites.   

So he is unable to get Congress to do anything. Such was no problem in his first two years of office, and we well know what the ethos of the GOP is -- enrich the right people and all is wonderful, fail to put enriching extant elites above all else and you will regret being born. Nobody ever makes progress arguing against "My Way or the Highway".  Moses was never going to succeed in softening the heart of the Pharaoh. Moses took "the highway".
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #641 on: August 26, 2014, 11:23:13 PM »

August 22-24, 2014
Survey of 915 Iowa voters

Iowa Survey Results
Q1
Do you approve or disapprove of President
Barack Obama’s job performance?
40%
Approve
..........................................................
53%
Disapprove
......................................................
7%
Not sure
..........................................................

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_IA_826930.pdf
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #642 on: August 28, 2014, 01:06:00 PM »

August 24-25, 2014
Survey of 588 likely voters

Arizona Survey Results

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Barack Obama?
40%
Favorable
........................................................
51%
Unfavorable
....................................................
9%
Not sure


Not bad -- considering that it is Arizona.



60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)

50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)














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Miles
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« Reply #643 on: September 03, 2014, 12:26:36 PM »

The Tarrance Group, which I think is GOP-affliated, has a 466 (!)-page report with Obama at 44/51 nationally.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #644 on: September 03, 2014, 04:11:43 PM »

44% approval going into an electoral campaign by the "average" elected incumbent is just barely good enough for the re-election against the "average" challenger.

Of course the President is not running for a third term. 
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #645 on: September 09, 2014, 02:43:20 PM »

September 4-7, 2014

Michigan Survey Results
Q1
Do you approve or disapprove of President
Barack Obama’s job performance?
42%
Approve
..........................................................
50%
Disapprove
......................................................
8%
Not sure
..........................................................




60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)

50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)















[/quote]
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #646 on: October 06, 2014, 07:42:50 AM »

YouGov polled all 50 states:



The national rating was 40% approve, 57% disapprove.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #647 on: October 06, 2014, 12:27:13 PM »

Damn Illinois, that's cold. Sad
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IceSpear
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« Reply #648 on: October 06, 2014, 01:14:00 PM »


Though YouGov does have it under the national average (43-53).
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IceSpear
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« Reply #649 on: October 06, 2014, 05:24:27 PM »

Interestingly, RCP now has Obama at his highest approval since early June. Is it due to the economic news, ISIS events, or both?
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