The Official Obama 2.0 Approval Ratings Thread
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  The Official Obama 2.0 Approval Ratings Thread
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Author Topic: The Official Obama 2.0 Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 160352 times)
Kraxner
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« Reply #675 on: December 14, 2014, 11:40:42 PM »

Obama had a boost after the 2010 midterms too, for what it's worth.

AKA the dead cat bounce.

http://i.imgur.com/uT8qIKT.png
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Brittain33
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« Reply #676 on: December 17, 2014, 10:58:42 AM »

Both Gallup and Rasmussen now have improving poll numbers for Obama (Thanksgiving effect ?):

Gallup: 45-50
Rasmussen: 48-50

On the other hand, Reuters/Ipsos and The Economist/YouGov (both done before Thanksgiving) show the opposite:

37-56 and 39-58

But Ipsos and YouGov were also miles away from the 2014 exit poll result.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_obama_job_approval-1044.html

Hey, I was polled for a Rasmussen poll around that time.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #677 on: December 21, 2014, 01:52:27 PM »

Up to 47-49 approval today on Gallup.

Rasmussen has it at 48-51.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #678 on: December 21, 2014, 02:07:46 PM »

I think people also generally support ending the Cuba embargo.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #679 on: December 21, 2014, 02:48:42 PM »

Obama's approval always seems to increase over the holidays when he's away from the spotlight and on vacation in Hawaii, so he might as well see positive numbers over the next 2 weeks for the first time in a year or so.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #680 on: December 21, 2014, 03:48:36 PM »

Up to 47-49 approval today on Gallup.

Rasmussen has it at 48-51.

Those paradoxically suggest that he would win re-election if the 22nd amendment weren't in the way. The 'average' incumbent as a Governor or Senator gains 6-7% from his approval rating to the election... although that might be irrelevant in the wake of Citizens United. 
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King
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« Reply #681 on: December 22, 2014, 11:31:41 AM »

Keep dropping those executive orders.
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user12345
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« Reply #682 on: December 23, 2014, 05:32:39 PM »

"President Obama's approval rating jumps to 48% after actions on Cuba and immigration, CNN/ORC poll shows." -- CNN
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #683 on: December 23, 2014, 06:07:32 PM »

Yeah, this is your traditional "YAY!" bounce. One/Two small scale but really good thing(s) happens, a few obama critics join the other side briefly, then jump back a few weeks later when they realize it doesn't undo everything they didn't like about Obama.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #684 on: December 23, 2014, 10:52:42 PM »

Yeah, this is your traditional "YAY!" bounce. One/Two small scale but really good thing(s) happens, a few obama critics join the other side briefly, then jump back a few weeks later when they realize it doesn't undo everything they didn't like about Obama.

Unless you know, people actually like what he did on immigration and Cuba.
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« Reply #685 on: December 23, 2014, 10:54:26 PM »

"President Obama's approval rating jumps to 48% after actions on Cuba and immigration, CNN/ORC poll shows." -- CNN

The Republicans are glad that Obama waited until after the election for that.
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #686 on: December 23, 2014, 11:01:40 PM »

If he kills the Keystone pipeline or closes Gitmo, it'll go up even more.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #687 on: December 24, 2014, 08:05:14 AM »

If he kills the Keystone pipeline or closes Gitmo, it'll go up even more.
the Keystone pipeline is popular, actually. But you're right on gitmo.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #688 on: December 27, 2014, 03:24:26 PM »

Treasure polls!
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #689 on: December 27, 2014, 03:26:54 PM »

If we really want to see his numbers go up, he should oppose the TeaPP.
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user12345
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« Reply #690 on: December 30, 2014, 07:02:01 PM »

@GallupNews: #Obama's Job Approval Reaches 48%, Highest Since August 2013
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user12345
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« Reply #691 on: December 31, 2014, 04:56:05 PM »

New Rasmussen Report poll has Obamas approval 49-49.
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Stockdale for Veep
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« Reply #692 on: December 31, 2014, 06:48:09 PM »

I've never understood why these ratings are out of 100. Wouldn't a more accurate method use their percent in the last election? So Obama's ceiling is 51%. If his current poll is at 48 then he is at 94%.

Barring a rally round the flag scenario, support rarely exceeds 55 anyway.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #693 on: January 03, 2015, 01:02:01 PM »

Obama approval now positive on both Gallup and Rasmussen today:

Gallup: 48-47 approve
Rasmussen: 50-48 approve

The Christmas/economy bump.
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King
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« Reply #694 on: January 03, 2015, 04:10:16 PM »

It's almost like going against a Congress 90% of America hates was a good idea.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #695 on: January 14, 2015, 01:14:02 PM »

President Obama's overall job approval rating has risen seven points since last October, although it still remains below 50 percent. Forty-six percent of Americans now approve of the job the president is doing, while just as many disapprove. His approval rating is now at the level it was a year ago.

The bump up in his approval comes largely from his own party and independents. Forty-five percent of independents now approve of the job Mr. Obama is doing, up 11 points from October.

At the start of his seventh year in office and heading into this year's State of the Union address, President Obama's 46 percent approval rating is higher than that of his immediate predecessor, President George W. Bush (28 percent), at a similar point in his presidency. However, Mr. Obama's rating is lower than both Presidents Ronald Reagan (52 percent) and Bill

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/obamas-approval-rating-ticks-up-in-2015/

Even at 46%.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #696 on: January 14, 2015, 02:11:56 PM »

I have sent RCP an email that they should remove that silly Reuters/Ipsos tracking poll from their average, just like the Economist/YouGov poll.

They are major outliers.

Rasmussen, Gallup, CNN and CBS all show ca. 50-50 ratings right now.

Reuters/Ipsos has a 38% (!!!) approval and YouGov is not much better.

These 2 were already way off compared with the 2014 exit poll.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #697 on: January 14, 2015, 03:03:50 PM »

I have sent RCP an email that they should remove that silly Reuters/Ipsos tracking poll from their average, just like the Economist/YouGov poll.

They are major outliers.

Rasmussen, Gallup, CNN and CBS all show ca. 50-50 ratings right now.

Reuters/Ipsos has a 38% (!!!) approval and YouGov is not much better.

These 2 were already way off compared with the 2014 exit poll.

Rasmussen has had Obama's approval rating much higher than the consensus for years and RCP never removed them.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #698 on: January 14, 2015, 06:56:33 PM »

High enough for decisive re-election. Except for the 22nd Amendment, of course.
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jaichind
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« Reply #699 on: January 18, 2015, 12:24:16 PM »

I have sent RCP an email that they should remove that silly Reuters/Ipsos tracking poll from their average, just like the Economist/YouGov poll.

They are major outliers.

Rasmussen, Gallup, CNN and CBS all show ca. 50-50 ratings right now.

Reuters/Ipsos has a 38% (!!!) approval and YouGov is not much better.

These 2 were already way off compared with the 2014 exit poll.

Perhaps, on the flip side if we go back 3-4 month ago we can make a similar argument that Rasmussen should be taken off the RCP average since it consistently has a much higher approval rating for Obama than the rest of the pack.  All that took place since was Gallup and CBS has converged to the Rasmussen while Reuters/Ipsos and to some extend FOX and Economist/YouGov still has approval ratings more like 3-4 months ago.  That is the whole point of a RCP average.  House effects is not constant (in 2012 Reuters/Ipsos and Economist/YouGov were very accurate while Rasmussen has a history of a GOP bias which now seems to be reversed.)  So the best way to cater for all of this is go for an average accepting that there will be some that would not be close to the pack for some period of time.
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