The Official Obama 2.0 Approval Ratings Thread

[Bandit3 the Worker]

A new Rasmussen poll has Obama back up to 50%.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Why is Obama performing so poorly in the Reuters/Ipsos poll? He's roughly even in all the other polls, even Rasmussen, but he's getting demolished by Reuters.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Also, the RCP average has Obama with the worst approval since he became President:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_obama_job_approval-1044.html

RCP cherry-picks what polls to use.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Obama continues to sink:

Allstate/National Journal Poll

38% approve
55% disapprove

Allstate's final 2012 poll was Obama+5 btw ...

http://www.nationaljournal.com/white-house/poll-obama-down-but-congress-is-down-further-20131118

I saw this already. This poll is weeks old.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

New WaPo survey:

41-56 disapprove

http://www.washingtonpost.com/page/2010-2019/WashingtonPost/2013/11/19/National-Politics/Polling/question_12477.xml?uuid=dFWkolDXEeOe5iWACG2CVA

In before Bandit sees a conspiracy ("the polls must all be wrong") ...

For the record, this poll (like several others) actually shows Obamacare to be more popular than Obama. So there has to be some other reason besides Obamacare why Obama's numbers aren't as good as they were.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Obama drops and drops ...

CBS poll: 37% approve, 57% disapprove

http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-250_162-57613067/poll-obamacare-support-obama-approval-sink-to-new-lows

Seven points worse than on Rasmussen?

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Also, this CBS poll had Obamacare at minus 30, while other polls have it between minus 10 and minus 20.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

According to the internals for the CBS poll, they interviewed 281 Republicans, 299 Democrats, and 430 others. That's a mighty GOP-leaning sample.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

According to the internals for the CBS poll, they interviewed 281 Republicans, 299 Democrats, and 430 others. That's a mighty GOP-leaning sample.

They weighed that sample back to

23.7% GOP,
29.3 Democrat
48.0% Independant.

That's still way off.

This is borne out by the fact that even in Rasmussen, he's not doing nearly that bad.

But this is the same CBS that produced that discredited Benghazi report a few weeks back, so who's surprised?

[Bandit3 the Worker]

One thing I found intesting about this poll (and other polls shows something similar as well) is that while approval of Congressional GOP is lower than Congressional Dem, the level of independent approaval for both GOP and Dem are about the same.

Independent isn't the same as moderate.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Is this all because of a bloody glitchy website?

If this really caused his numbers to drop, then people really don't deserve to even have a government.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

I am sure it has more to do with reports of premiums rising + folks having their current plan cancelled.

Except that none of this really happened - except to the folks who had junk insurance and had to buy real insurance.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Obama's numbers aren't sinking because of a botched website rollout; they're sinking because this whole situation has nurtured growing distrust in big government.

They were sinking because The Media stinks.

Past few days though, they've gone back up.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

If this were a year before the election then one could expect the Republican nominee to win about a 40-state landslide.

Well, no, because the Republicans would actually have to campaign.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

He's back up to 46% again on Rasmussen. For a Democrat, that's not exactly a losing formula.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Another interesting little tidbit: Respondents in the Illinois poll said they voted for Obama by 9. Actually he won the state by 17. So they greatly oversampled Republicans.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Or people don't want to admit they voted for Obama.

I wouldn't be ashamed to admit it. Especially with the smooth rollout of Obamacare.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

That translates to a 52% vote share nationwide based on the "6% gain rule". 
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2010/02/myth-of-incumbent-50-rule.html

So he'd win with a greater percentage than he did in 2012?

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Quinnipiac is such an outlier that I don't even know why we take it at face value here. Remember how bad all their Colorado polls were?

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Yeah Obama having 61% disapproval in Ohio is insane.

I live near Cincinnati, and from the way people have been talking lately, I think maybe they disapprove because he isn't liberal enough.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Also, a new nationwide poll says 54% think Obamacare is either just right or not liberal enough:

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2013/11/27/cnnorc-poll-are-obamacares-flaws-fixable

I think Obama is actually losing support from the left.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

The Mercyhurst poll in OH has shown the same, that Obama's approvals there are in the dumpster.

But keep on ignoring the facts ...

Mercyhurst??? We're going by Mercyhurst??

[Bandit3 the Worker]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/11/27/us-usa-iran-poll-idUSBRE9AQ01420131127

In case the poll numbers improve -- you will know why.

It isn't hurting him, but people aren't really paying much attention to this story.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

It's official. People now disapprove of Obama from the left...

http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/business/most-us-youth-unhappy-with-barack-obamas-job-performance-poll/articleshow/26864608.cms

[Bandit3 the Worker]

The Colorado poll isn't too bad, considering PPP overpolled Romney supporters - again.