The Official Obama 2.0 Approval Ratings Thread (user search)
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  The Official Obama 2.0 Approval Ratings Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: The Official Obama 2.0 Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 160738 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« on: November 08, 2012, 02:01:11 AM »
Please post all approval rating polls from now on here ...

My other thread got locked by Dave because it got too big ... Wink

Please also sticky this, one of the Mods.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #1 on: November 08, 2012, 02:02:33 AM »
National Exit Poll:

54% Approve
45% Disapprove
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #2 on: November 08, 2012, 09:56:51 AM »

Thx.

Anyway, Rasmussen is 52-47 approve today.

Rasmussen was 50-49 approve on Tuesday, when the Exit Poll showed 54-45 approve.

So, factoring in the "4%-Rasmussen-effect", it's basically 56-43 approve today.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #3 on: November 08, 2012, 10:02:13 AM »
Bush went from 49.5 approve on RCP 1 day before the election to about 53% approve a few weeks after that.

But I guess Obama will get a similar 5% or so bounce which will last a few weeks and when the budget talks start it will drop back again.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #4 on: November 11, 2012, 06:53:11 AM »
Quote from: Governor Scott on November 11, 2012, 01:04:25 AM
Quote from: Tender Branson on November 08, 2012, 02:02:33 AM
National Exit Poll:

54% Approve
45% Disapprove

So four percent who approve voted against him? Huh

No, among the 54% who approve, Obama won 89-9.

Among the 45% who disapprove, Romney won 94-3.

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/elections/2012-exit-poll
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #5 on: November 11, 2012, 10:04:14 AM »
Rasmussen:

53% Approve (+2)
45% Disapprove (-2)

So, basically 57-41, considering the "4%-Rasmussen effect" ...
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #6 on: November 12, 2012, 02:07:51 PM »
Quote from: Lief on November 12, 2012, 02:35:00 AM
Has Rasmussen re-weighted its numbers to a D+6 electorate? And has Gallup started including non-whites in their poll?

Yes:

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #7 on: November 14, 2012, 02:37:36 PM »
Virginia (Quinnipiac):

52-44 approve

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-centers/polling-institute/virginia/release-detail?ReleaseID=1813
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #8 on: November 15, 2012, 06:51:19 AM »
Pennsylvania (Quinnipiac):

52-45 approve

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-centers/polling-institute/pennsylvania/release-detail?ReleaseID=1815
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #9 on: November 27, 2012, 02:10:33 PM »
CNN poll:

52-43 approve

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/11/26/cnn-poll-americans-less-optimistic-than-four-years-ago

NJ - Quinnipiac:

59-38 approve

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-centers/polling-institute/new-jersey/release-detail?ReleaseID=1818
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #10 on: December 04, 2012, 02:02:53 PM »
NJ (Monmouth University):

61% Approve
32% Disapprove

58-35 among RV.

http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/84/159/2147483694/08b85cf6-3aae-41bf-b836-20840e832a06.pdf
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #11 on: December 05, 2012, 02:10:27 PM »
South Carolina (Winthrop University):

All Adults:

48% Approve
41% Disapprove

Registered Voters:

43% Approve
49% Disapprove

Those who voted in the 2012 general election:

43% Approve
52% Disapprove

http://www.winthrop.edu/winthroppoll/default.aspx?id=9804&ekmensel=fee512e3_566_0_9804_3
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #12 on: December 05, 2012, 02:34:01 PM »
« Edited: December 05, 2012, 02:39:41 PM by Tender Branson »
SC unregistered voters must be quite Obama-loving.

Considering that there were about 2.88 Mio. registered voters out of 3.49 Mio. people aged 18+, who are also citizens.

Which further means that there were 610.000 unregistered adult citizens.

Based on the sample, unregistered voters have to approve of Obama by 72-3, with 25% undecided to get an adult 48-41 approval.

My math:

Adult sample: 929 (48% approve (446), 41% disapprove (381), 102 undecided)

RV sample: 767 (43% approve (330), 49% disapprove (376), 61 undecided)

Difference: 162, 116 who approve and 5 who disapprove and 41 undecided

72% approve, 3% disapprove and 25% are undecided.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #13 on: December 05, 2012, 03:25:50 PM »
IL (PPP):

57-41 approve

NJ (PPP):

59-38 approve

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_ILNJ_120512.pdf
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #14 on: December 06, 2012, 01:47:12 PM »
Quinnipiac National Poll:

53-40 approve

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-centers/polling-institute/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=1821
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #15 on: December 07, 2012, 02:15:24 PM »
AP-GfK:

57-41 approve

http://surveys.ap.org/data/GfK/AP-GfK%20Poll%20November%202012%20Final%20Topline_POLITICS.pdf

Allstate/National Journal:

54-42 approve

http://www.allstate.com/Allstate/content/refresh-attachments/Heartland_Monitor_XV_Data.pdf

Zogby:

53-45 approve

http://www.jzanalytics.com

Georgia (PPP):

46-52 disapprove

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_GA_120512.pdf
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #16 on: December 07, 2012, 03:31:35 PM »
Oregon (PPP):

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

Approve .......................................................... 55%
Disapprove...................................................... 42%

PPP surveyed 614 Oregon voters from December 3rd to 5th. The margin of error for the
survey is +/-4.0%. This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or political
organization. PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_OR_12712.pdf
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #17 on: December 10, 2012, 01:49:49 PM »
Rasmussen - Monday, December 10, 2012:

58% Approve (+2)
41% Disapprove  (-2)

This is the president's highest rating since the first few months of his time in office.

Today’s figures include 33% who Strongly Approve of the way Obama is performing as president and 33% who Strongly Disapprove.

Today marks the first time since July 2009 that the number of voters who Strongly Approve has matched the number who Strongly Disapprove.

Gallup - Monday, December 10, 2012:

51% Approve (+1)
43% Disapprove  (-1)
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #18 on: December 11, 2012, 01:48:52 PM »
OH (Quinnipiac):

54-42 approve

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-centers/polling-institute/ohio/release-detail?ReleaseID=1822

SC (PPP):

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

Approve .......................................................... 44%
Disapprove...................................................... 53%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_SC_1211.pdf
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #19 on: December 12, 2012, 06:12:28 AM »
NY (Quinnipiac):

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

62-35 approve

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-centers/polling-institute/new-york-state/release-detail?ReleaseID=1824
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #20 on: December 12, 2012, 09:39:36 AM »
pbrower, you forgot to include PA in your map. It's on page 2 of this thread. The result was 52-45 approve by Quinnipiac.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #21 on: December 12, 2012, 01:16:01 PM »
NC (PPP):

48-49 disapprove

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NC_121212.pdf
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #22 on: December 13, 2012, 02:20:25 PM »
Pew:

55-39 approve

http://www.people-press.org/2012/12/13/as-fiscal-cliff-nears-democrats-have-public-opinion-on-their-side
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #23 on: December 15, 2012, 01:11:22 PM »
Virginia - Public Opinion Strategies (R):

55-43 approve

http://hamptonroads.com/2012/12/va-poll-mcdonnell-gets-lofty-marks-cuccinellimcauliffe-race-tossup
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #24 on: December 16, 2012, 10:01:19 AM »
Rasmussen - Sunday, December 16, 2012:

57-42 approve

34% strongly approve, 33% strongly disapprove

Today is the first time the president’s Approval Index has been in positive territory since June 29, 2009.
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