Why was he so delusional about his chances?
Because he only lost by 2% nationally, less than 2% in Ohio, and underestimated the opposition's turnout machine?
Remember: Obama could have lost Florida, Virginia, and Ohio - and still he would have won.
What's at issue here is his expectation, and they had every reason to expect that if they won FL, OH, VA and nationally, that they would win somewhere else.
Again, this isn't a case where he was coming up with decoration ideas for the Oval Office, its a planned victory party in case he won, which was certainly not outside of the realm of possibility.