Partisan advantages for state governors, 2012-2016, by margin

[pbrower2a]

Texans may be tiring of Rick Perry.

Texas Survey Results (PPP)

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http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_TX_129.pdf

He is vulnerable despite being in a very R state.   

I am going on margins here. Democrats ahead will of course be shown in red and Republicans ahead will be shown in blue. Saturation of color will so look:

tie white
1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Rule change: The lowest level of saturation  (20%) now applies for any incumbent Governor whose positive margin of  approval is under 8% but whose approval rating is under 50%. The second-lowest level of saturation (40%) now applies to any Governor whose approval rating is under 50% but whose margin of difference is 8% or higher. No change applies to any Governor whose approval is lower than disapproval.

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are white.

Governors who die, resign, are defeated in bids for re-election, retire at the end of their terms, or are impeached and removed from office will be whited out. Independent governor or no governor -- white.

[pbrower2a]

Rhode Island Survey Results

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http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_RI_131.pdf

Absolutely awful. He is an independent, so I can't show any partisan advantage on the map.  Tiny Rhode Island remains in white because it is impossible to figure whether his unpopularity offers any advantage to a Democrat or to a Republican. No new map here.

[pbrower2a]

California, PPIC, Governor Jerry Brown:


PPIC Statewide Survey, January 2013


Approve    Disapprove  Don’t Know
All Adults

51%  -  28%  - 21%

Registered Voters

51   -    33   -   16

Likely Voters

50  -     36   -   14

http://www.ppic.org/content/pubs/other/APR_Brown0113.pdf

"Registered voters" or "Likely voters" look the same on the map, and "all adults" is much too lenient.

I am going on margins here. Democrats ahead will of course be shown in red and Republicans ahead will be shown in blue. Saturation of color will so look:

tie white
1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Qualification: The lowest level of saturation  (20%) now applies for any incumbent Governor whose positive margin of  approval is under 8% but whose approval rating is under 50%. The second-lowest level of saturation (40%) now applies to any Governor whose approval rating is under 50% but whose margin of difference is 8% or higher. No change applies to any Governor whose approval is lower than disapproval. A governor is not in a strong position until he has at least 50% approval. The rationale is to avoid giving a recently-elected Governor credit for a "honeymoon".

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are white.

Governors who die, resign, are defeated in bids for re-election, retire at the end of their terms, or are impeached and removed from office will be whited out. Independent governor or no governor -- white.

[pbrower2a]

Iowa Survey Results(PPP)

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http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_IA_206.pdf

About as weak a positive as I can see for an incumbent Governor. A one-point lead and decidedly under 50%. It's a virtual tie. At this point he wins against a weak campaigner on the other side and loses to a strong campaigner in November 2014. His biggest asset may be that the Senate seat is open, stretching the Democratic talent some.

Governor Branstad had better avoid unpopular positions if he is to win re-election.  

I am going on margins here. Democrats ahead will of course be shown in red and Republicans ahead will be shown in blue. Saturation of color will so look:

tie white
1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Qualification: The lowest level of saturation  (20%) now applies for any incumbent Governor whose positive margin of  approval is under 8% but whose approval rating is under 50%. The second-lowest level of saturation (40%) now applies to any Governor whose approval rating is under 50% but whose margin of difference is 8% or higher. No change applies to any Governor whose approval is lower than disapproval. A governor is not in a strong position until he has at least 50% approval. The rationale is to avoid giving a recently-elected Governor credit for a "honeymoon".

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.

Governors who die, resign, are defeated in bids for re-election, retire at the end of their terms, or are impeached and removed from office will be whited out. Independent governor or no governor -- white.

[pbrower2a]

I would have never have expected this (PPP, Louisiana):

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http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_LA_213.pdf

This is almost Rick Scott territory.

PPP, North Carolina

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http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NC_213.pdf

Still OK, but I don't expect this to stick. Views of other Republicans (Senator Burr, Republicans in the State Legislature. and the generic ballot) aren't so favorable.  The honeymoon is not quite over, but life in the trailer isn't so wonderful as a night in the posh Hotel.

I am going on margins here. Democrats ahead will of course be shown in red and Republicans ahead will be shown in blue. Saturation of color will so look:

tie white
1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Qualification: The lowest level of saturation  (20%) now applies for any incumbent Governor whose positive margin of  approval is under 8% but whose approval rating is under 50%. The second-lowest level of saturation (40%) now applies to any Governor whose approval rating is under 50% but whose margin of difference is 8% or higher. No change applies to any Governor whose approval is lower than disapproval. A governor is not in a strong position until he has at least 50% approval. The rationale is to avoid giving a recently-elected Governor credit for a "honeymoon".

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.

Governors who die, resign, are defeated in bids for re-election, retire at the end of their terms, or are impeached and removed from office will be whited out. Independent governor or no governor -- white.

[pbrower2a]

Montana

Q8 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Brian Schweitzer?
Favorable........................................................ 56%
Unfavorable .................................................... 37%
Not sure .......................................................... 7%

PPP. Former Governor, so that does not now count on the map.

[pbrower2a]

PPP, Georgia

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Absolutely awful. Few pols do well in Georgia. With these numbers, Deal either (1) decides not to run for re-election,  (2) loses to a primary challenge, (3) loses to a reasonably-competent Democratic campaigner, (4) resigns or is impeached, or  (5) has an incredible set of miracles happening in his favor. A conservative politician can lose in a conservative state.

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2010/02/myth-of-incumbent-50-rule.html

The usual threshold of a 50% chance  of winning re-election for a Senator or Governor at the outset of the campaign season based upon approval is 44%; below that the chance of winning re-election drops to near zero for an approval of about 40%. 

If his approval ratings are this awful a year from now he has practically no chance of winning re-election. 

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2013/02/deal-unpopular-still-leads-opponents.html

New Jersey -- Quinnipiac

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http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-centers/polling-institute/new-jersey/release-detail?ReleaseID=1851

Just about the opposite of Nathan Deal. Americans seem to like bipartisanship when it is rare.

I am going on margins here. Democrats ahead will of course be shown in red and Republicans ahead will be shown in blue. Saturation of color will so look:

tie white
1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Qualification: The lowest level of saturation  (20%) now applies for any incumbent Governor whose positive margin of  approval is under 8% but whose approval rating is under 50%. The second-lowest level of saturation (40%) now applies to any Governor whose approval rating is under 50% but whose margin of difference is 8% or higher. No change applies to any Governor whose approval is lower than disapproval. A governor is not in a strong position until he has at least 50% approval. The rationale is to avoid giving a recently-elected Governor credit for a "honeymoon".

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.

Governors who die, resign, are defeated in bids for re-election, retire at the end of their terms, or are impeached and removed from office will be whited out. Independent governor or no governor -- white.

[pbrower2a]

Montana, PPP:

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http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_MT_022113.pdf

Honeymoon period, and he follows a popular Democrat. The "not sure" probably don't know him well, and who knows how they will break. That is why I discount positive (but not negative!) margins for those Governors whose approval ratings are under 50%. Being up 54-46 will be worth more than being up 43-18 a year from now, and the "not sure" category will be much less than 39% by then. He could get there, but he could also end up 47-53, and I have no way of predicting. The state is Montana, and both Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton are doing badly there.

I am going on margins here. Democrats ahead will of course be shown in red and Republicans ahead will be shown in blue. Saturation of color will so look:

tie white
1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Qualification: The lowest level of saturation  (20%) now applies for any incumbent Governor whose positive margin of  approval is under 8% but whose approval rating is under 50%. The second-lowest level of saturation (40%) now applies to any Governor whose approval rating is under 50% but whose margin of difference is 8% or higher. No change applies to any Governor whose approval is lower than disapproval. A governor is not in a strong position until he has at least 50% approval. The rationale is to avoid giving a recently-elected Governor credit for a "honeymoon".

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.

Governors who die, resign, are defeated in bids for re-election, retire at the end of their terms, or are impeached and removed from office will be whited out. Independent governor or no governor -- white.

[pbrower2a]

Scott Walker (R), Wisconsin:

Wisconsin Survey Results

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http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WI_022613.pdf

Scott Parnell (R), Alaska -- PPP

Sorry. I missed this one.

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http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2013/02/begich-and-parnell-looking-strong-for-2014-re-election-bids.html#more

But this is awful, considering how solidly R Kansas is:

February 21-24, 2013
Survey of 1,229 Kansas voters

Kansas Survey Results

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http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_KS_022613.pdf


I am going on margins here. Democrats ahead will of course be shown in red and Republicans ahead will be shown in blue. Saturation of color will so look:

tie white
1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.


Qualification: The lowest level of saturation  (20%) now applies for any incumbent Governor whose positive margin of  approval is under 8% but whose approval rating is under 50%. The second-lowest level of saturation (40%) now applies to any Governor whose approval rating is under 50% but whose margin of difference is 8% or higher. No change applies to any Governor whose approval is lower than disapproval. A governor is not in a strong position until he has at least 50% approval. The rationale is to avoid giving a recently-elected Governor credit for a "honeymoon".


Governors who die, resign, are defeated in bids for re-election, retire at the end of their terms, or are impeached and removed from office will be whited out. Independent governor or no governor -- white.

[pbrower2a]

Here is a change in the color scheme. Because of the lesser intensity of colors for green and orange, I hereby raise the intensity by 10% for all but the slightest categories of  mass displeasure. This is entirely for esthetic reasons; 40% saturation and 60% saturation look too much alike for shades of green.


I am going on margins here. Democrats ahead will of course be shown in red and Republicans ahead will be shown in blue. Saturation of color will so look:

tie yellow
1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.

tie yellow
1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       50% saturation
8%-20%  70% saturation
over 20% 90% saturation

The higher saturation reflects that green and orange on this color scheme are much lighter than the corresponding level of saturation for blue and red, respectively. 


Qualification: The lowest level of saturation  (20%) now applies for any incumbent Governor whose positive margin of  approval is under 8% but whose approval rating is under 50%. The second-lowest level of saturation (40%) now applies to any Governor whose approval rating is under 50% but whose margin of difference is 8% or higher. No change applies to any Governor whose approval is lower than disapproval. A governor is not in a strong position until he has at least 50% approval. The rationale is to avoid giving a recently-elected Governor credit for a "honeymoon".


Governors who die, resign, are defeated in bids for re-election, retire at the end of their terms, or are impeached and removed from office will be whited out. Independent governor or no governor -- white.

[pbrower2a]

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http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-centers/polling-institute/ohio/release-detail?ReleaseID=1857

This is a surprise. Maybe as in Wisconsin going from a confrontational, take-no-prisoners approach to becoming a do-nothing governor seems an improvement. The opposite (see Rick Snyder in Michigan) is a disaster. 


I am going on margins here. Democrats ahead will of course be shown in red and Republicans ahead will be shown in blue. Saturation of color will so look:

tie white
1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.


Qualification: The lowest level of saturation  (20%) now applies for any incumbent Governor whose positive margin of  approval is under 8% but whose approval rating is under 50%. The second-lowest level of saturation (40%) now applies to any Governor whose approval rating is under 50% but whose margin of difference is 8% or higher. No change applies to any Governor whose approval is lower than disapproval. A governor is not in a strong position until he has at least 50% approval. The rationale is to avoid giving a recently-elected Governor credit for a "honeymoon".


Governors who die, resign, are defeated in bids for re-election, retire at the end of their terms, or are impeached and removed from office will be whited out. Independent governor or no governor -- white.

[pbrower2a]

Maryland, Washington Post:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/polling/washington-post-maryland-poll-february-2013/2013/02/26/515a36f8-8007-11e2-a671-0307392de8de_page.html

49% approve, 41% disapprove. Under 50%, so the approval is shown in a lower category than if it were 50% approve, 42% disapprove.


I am going on margins here. Democrats ahead will of course be shown in red and Republicans ahead will be shown in blue. Saturation of color will so look:

tie white
1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.


Qualification: The lowest level of saturation  (20%) now applies for any incumbent Governor whose positive margin of  approval is under 8% but whose approval rating is under 50%. The second-lowest level of saturation (40%) now applies to any Governor whose approval rating is under 50% but whose margin of difference is 8% or higher. No change applies to any Governor whose approval is lower than disapproval. A governor is not in a strong position until he has at least 50% approval. The rationale is to avoid giving a recently-elected Governor credit for a "honeymoon".


Governors who die, resign, are defeated in bids for re-election, retire at the end of their terms, or are impeached and removed from office will be whited out. Independent governor or no governor -- white.

[pbrower2a]

Texas Tribune, Gov. Rick Perry (R-TX):

Voters were divided in their impressions of Perry, the better known of the two, with 41 percent saying they have a favorable opinion of the governor and 42 percent saying they have an unfavorable opinion. His foes feel fervently about him: 30 percent said they have a “very unfavorable” opinion, while 18 percent registered a “very favorable” opinion.

http://www.texastribune.org/2013/03/04/uttt-poll-perry-starts-ahead-abbott-2014-race/

Favorability and an internet poll -- not usable.

[pbrower2a]

Maryland, Washington Post:

March 2-4, 2013
Survey of 702 Michigan voters

information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Michigan Survey Results

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Awful. Simply awful.

There's plenty of blame to cast about -- against Michigan Republicans:

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...and a likely consequence:

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Big issue:

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Snyder is going to need a huge number of high-paying non-union jobs to rescue any political ambitions. I wouldn't count on it.

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The state went 54-45 for Obama, so the 'forgetting' is about even. 

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_MI_306.pdf

I am going on margins here. Democrats ahead will of course be shown in red and Republicans ahead will be shown in blue. Saturation of color will so look:

tie white
1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.


Qualification: The lowest level of saturation  (20%) now applies for any incumbent Governor whose positive margin of  approval is under 8% but whose approval rating is under 50%. The second-lowest level of saturation (40%) now applies to any Governor whose approval rating is under 50% but whose margin of difference is 8% or higher. No change applies to any Governor whose approval is lower than disapproval. A governor is not in a strong position until he has at least 50% approval. The rationale is to avoid giving a recently-elected Governor credit for a "honeymoon".


Governors who die, resign, are defeated in bids for re-election, retire at the end of their terms, or are impeached and removed from office will be whited out. Independent governor or no governor -- white.

[pbrower2a]

un-elec-table adj., un-, negative prefix, elect (from electus, Lat. past part. of eligere, to "choose"), -able, suffix signifying potential)  1. unsuited for winning a contest involved in voting for a winner due to objectionability, as for incompetence, unreadiness, or offensiveness, but not for disqualification. Contrast ineligible. Thus

"Kwame Kilpatrick and Rod Blagojevich are unelectable for President of the United States, but Madeleine Albright is  ineligible to be President of the United States".

2. See below (PPP):  

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http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_PA_031213.pdf

... Contributing factors:

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Incompetence and standing for unpopular and unnecessary positions is one way to ensure that one does not get re-elected.  This does not help:

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tie white
1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.


Qualification: The lowest level of saturation  (20%) now applies for any incumbent Governor whose positive margin of  approval is under 8% but whose approval rating is under 50%. The second-lowest level of saturation (40%) now applies to any Governor whose approval rating is under 50% but whose margin of difference is 8% or higher. No change applies to any Governor whose approval is lower than disapproval. A governor is not in a strong position until he has at least 50% approval. The rationale is to avoid giving a recently-elected Governor credit for a "honeymoon".


Governors who die, resign, are defeated in bids for re-election, retire at the end of their terms, or are impeached and removed from office will be whited out. Independent governor or no governor -- white.

[pbrower2a]

As I see it Tom Corbett is so unpopular that if he is on the 2014 ballot he takes lots of Republicans down with him. 

[pbrower2a]

Connecticut, Governor Malloy (D) -- Quinnipiac.

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tie white
1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.


Qualification: The lowest level of saturation  (20%) now applies for any incumbent Governor whose positive margin of  approval is under 8% but whose approval rating is under 50%. The second-lowest level of saturation (40%) now applies to any Governor whose approval rating is under 50% but whose margin of difference is 8% or higher. No change applies to any Governor whose approval is lower than disapproval. A governor is not in a strong position until he has at least 50% approval. The rationale is to avoid giving a recently-elected Governor credit for a "honeymoon".


Governors who die, resign, are defeated in bids for re-election, retire at the end of their terms, or are impeached and removed from office will be whited out. Independent governor or no governor -- white.

[pbrower2a]

March 19, 2013
Scott trails Crist by 12 points

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http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2013/03/scott-trails-crist-by-12-points.html#more

Ouinnipiac, New York

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http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-centers/polling-institute/new-york-state/release-detail?ReleaseID=1867

No need for a new map.

[pbrower2a]

This one deserves a new map.

Marquette Law School, Wisconsin:

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https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2013/03/19/new-mu-law-poll-looks-at-wisc-views-on-guns-education-economy/  

Does Scott Walker suddenly become the Great Republican Hope for 2016 so long as he has unlimited funds behind his campaign? Probably not, especially if he reverts to his 'old' and abrasive ways, which is what those who supply those funds would seek in him.
 



tie white
1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.


Qualification: The lowest level of saturation  (20%) now applies for any incumbent Governor whose positive margin of  approval is under 8% but whose approval rating is under 50%. The second-lowest level of saturation (40%) now applies to any Governor whose approval rating is under 50% but whose margin of difference is 8% or higher. No change applies to any Governor whose approval is lower than disapproval. A governor is not in a strong position until he has at least 50% approval. The rationale is to avoid giving a recently-elected Governor credit for a "honeymoon".


Governors who die, resign, are defeated in bids for re-election, retire at the end of their terms, or are impeached and removed from office will be whited out. Independent governor or no governor -- white.

[pbrower2a]

Quinnipiac, NJ, Governor Chris Christie  (R):

Approval 70-23

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-centers/polling-institute/new-jersey/release-detail?ReleaseID=1872

Gov. Bob McDonnell gets a static 53 - 26 percent job approval rating, compared to his 53 - 28 percent in Quinnipiac University's February 20 survey. The State Legislature has a split 40 - 40 percent job approval, compared to a negative 38 - 46 percent rating last month.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-centers/polling-institute/virginia/release-detail?ReleaseID=1874

Nothing really new.
 



tie white
1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.


Qualification: The lowest level of saturation  (20%) now applies for any incumbent Governor whose positive margin of  approval is under 8% but whose approval rating is under 50%. The second-lowest level of saturation (40%) now applies to any Governor whose approval rating is under 50% but whose margin of difference is 8% or higher. No change applies to any Governor whose approval is lower than disapproval. A governor is not in a strong position until he has at least 50% approval. The rationale is to avoid giving a recently-elected Governor credit for a "honeymoon".


Governors who die, resign, are defeated in bids for re-election, retire at the end of their terms, or are impeached and removed from office will be whited out. Independent governor or no governor -- white.

[pbrower2a]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://www.nationalmemo.com/poll-jindals-approval-rating-craters-in-louisiana/


tie white
1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.


Qualification: The lowest level of saturation  (20%) now applies for any incumbent Governor whose positive margin of  approval is under 8% but whose approval rating is under 50%. The second-lowest level of saturation (40%) now applies to any Governor whose approval rating is under 50% but whose margin of difference is 8% or higher. No change applies to any Governor whose approval is lower than disapproval. A governor is not in a strong position until he has at least 50% approval. The rationale is to avoid giving a recently-elected Governor credit for a "honeymoon".


Governors who die, resign, are defeated in bids for re-election, retire at the end of their terms, or are impeached and removed from office will be whited out. Independent governor or no governor -- white.

[pbrower2a]

April 11-14, 2013
Survey of 500 Colorado voters

Colorado Survey Results (PPP)

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http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_CO_417.pdf





tie white
1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.


Qualification: The lowest level of saturation  (20%) now applies for any incumbent Governor whose positive margin of  approval is under 8% but whose approval rating is under 50%. The second-lowest level of saturation (40%) now applies to any Governor whose approval rating is under 50% but whose margin of difference is 8% or higher. No change applies to any Governor whose approval is lower than disapproval. A governor is not in a strong position until he has at least 50% approval. The rationale is to avoid giving a recently-elected Governor credit for a "honeymoon".


Governors who die, resign, are defeated in bids for re-election, retire at the end of their terms, or are impeached and removed from office will be whited out. Independent governor or no governor -- white.

[/quote]

[pbrower2a]

New Jersey voters approve 67 - 24 percent of the job Christie is doing and say 66 - 26 percent that he deserves reelection. By a 66 - 24 percent margin, voters have a favorable opinion of the governor.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes--centers/polling-institute/new-jersey/release-detail?ReleaseID=1886


tie white
1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.


Qualification: The lowest level of saturation  (20%) now applies for any incumbent Governor whose positive margin of  approval is under 8% but whose approval rating is under 50%. The second-lowest level of saturation (40%) now applies to any Governor whose approval rating is under 50% but whose margin of difference is 8% or higher. No change applies to any Governor whose approval is lower than disapproval. A governor is not in a strong position until he has at least 50% approval. The rationale is to avoid giving a recently-elected Governor credit for a "honeymoon".


Governors who die, resign, are defeated in bids for re-election, retire at the end of their terms, or are impeached and removed from office will be whited out. Independent governor or no governor -- white.

[/quote]
[/quote]

[pbrower2a]

Michigan, EPIC/MRI

The governor’s favorable rating hit a high of 55% in early December. But that was before controversial right-to-work legislation was passed in the raucous final days of the legislative session. Since then, Snyder’s ratings have been slipping. In the April survey, 42% of the people had a favorable view of him, while 46% had an unfavorable view. His job rating was 38% positive to 58% negative.

http://www.freep.com/article/20130422/NEWS15/304220147/


tie white
1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.


Qualification: The lowest level of saturation  (20%) now applies for any incumbent Governor whose positive margin of  approval is under 8% but whose approval rating is under 50%. The second-lowest level of saturation (40%) now applies to any Governor whose approval rating is under 50% but whose margin of difference is 8% or higher. No change applies to any Governor whose approval is lower than disapproval. A governor is not in a strong position until he has at least 50% approval. The rationale is to avoid giving a recently-elected Governor credit for a "honeymoon".


Governors who die, resign, are defeated in bids for re-election, retire at the end of their terms, or are impeached and removed from office will be whited out. Independent governor or no governor -- white.

[pbrower2a]

PPP, New Hampshire

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tie white
1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.


Qualification: The lowest level of saturation  (20%) now applies for any incumbent Governor whose positive margin of  approval is under 8% but whose approval rating is under 50%. The second-lowest level of saturation (40%) now applies to any Governor whose approval rating is under 50% but whose margin of difference is 8% or higher. No change applies to any Governor whose approval is lower than disapproval. A governor is not in a strong position until he has at least 50% approval. The rationale is to avoid giving a recently-elected Governor credit for a "honeymoon".


Governors who die, resign, are defeated in bids for re-election, retire at the end of their terms, or are impeached and removed from office will be whited out. Independent governor or no governor -- white.