Southern white Democrats in deep south state legislatures
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  Southern white Democrats in deep south state legislatures
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Mr.Phips
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« on: November 13, 2012, 05:32:49 AM »

Are there any left outside of Florida?  They've basically been wiped out in Alabama, Mississippi and Louisiana.  There are probably some in the liberal white parts of metro Atlanta, Charleston, and Richmond.   

Does anyone have an answer to this question?
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Donerail
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« Reply #1 on: November 13, 2012, 06:33:47 AM »

Check Arkansas and Kentucky.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #2 on: November 13, 2012, 06:34:54 AM »

"Deep".
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morgieb
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« Reply #3 on: November 13, 2012, 06:46:49 AM »

What makes those states so shallow?
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #4 on: November 13, 2012, 07:16:50 AM »

There are a few left in all the Deep Southern states, I believe, though not many.
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Miles
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« Reply #5 on: November 13, 2012, 03:35:35 PM »

We still have some in LA, like Senator Ben Nevers and Rep. Jim Fannin.
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justfollowingtheelections
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« Reply #6 on: November 13, 2012, 05:51:43 PM »

We still have some in LA, like Senator Ben Nevers and Rep. Jim Fannin.

Where do they stand politically?  Are they conservative blue dogs or more in line with the national democratic party?
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Bacon King
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« Reply #7 on: November 13, 2012, 06:43:50 PM »

The liberal white parts of metro atlanta got consumed by black-majority VRA districts.  Most white Democrats in the metro mostly represent suburban districts that are about even split between whites, blacks, and hispanics. Doug Stoner was one, but he got redistricted into rich and white Sandy Springs so lost reelection. Give me a bit and I'll have a full list.
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Bacon King
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« Reply #8 on: November 13, 2012, 08:37:42 PM »

Georgia State Senate: 56 members total; 18 Democrats (5 white Democrats)

Curt Thompson (District 5): He represents a slice of Gwinnett County cutting from Norcross to northern Lawrenceville.
SD 5 is 38% Hispanic, 28% Black.
Steve Thompson (District 33): He represents a slice of Cobb County from Austell to Central Marietta.
SD 33 is 34% Black, 16% Hispanic.
Nan Orrack (District 36): She represents a district centered around Midtown and Downtown Atlanta.
SD 36 is 57% Black (but the whites here are very liberal).
Steve Henson (District 41): He represents a district that reaches from Central Dekalb to Tucker, and then extends a tendril into Gwinnett to take in part of Lilburn. SD 41 is 50% Black, 12% Hispanic.
Jason Carter (District 42): He represents a Decatur-based district. Tons of white liberals.
SD 42 is 24% Black, 12% Hispanic.


Georgia State House: 180 members; 60 Democrats (13 white Democrats).

Stacey Evans (District 42): She represents Southeast Marietta, in Cobb County.
HD 42 is 39% Black, 23% Hispanic.
Pat Gardner (District 57): She represents a precinct-wide strip of territory from super-black to super-white Atlanta.
HD 57 is 55% Black.
Margaret Kaiser (District 59): She represents a district like Gardner's.
HD 59 is 56% Black.
Scott Holcomb (District 81): He represents the Chamblee/Doraville area, in northern Dekalb County.
HD 81 is 35% Hispanic, 10% Black.
Mary Oliver (District 82): She represents the white liberals in the Druid Hills area north of Decatur.
HD 82 is 20% Hispanic, 15% Black.
Karla Drenner (District 85): She represents another noodle district, taking in liberal whites north of Decatur as well as blacks south of Decatur.
HD 85 is 57% Black.
Michelle Henson (District 86): She represents another noodle, directly to the East of Drenner's district.
HD 86 is 61% Black.
Pam Stephenson (District 90): She represents some territory bisected by the Henry-Rockdale County line.
HD 90 is 67% Black.
Hugh Floyd (District 99): He represents a district between Lilburn and Norcross in SW Gwinnett.
HD 99 is 52% Hispanic, 22% Black.
Brian Thomas (District 100): He represents the area just north of Lilburn in Gwinnett County.
HD 100 is 34% Hispanic, 32% Black.
Spencer Frye (District 118): He represents the northern half of Athens-Clarke.
HD 118 is 30% Black, 12% Hispanic.
Debbie Buckner (District 137): She represents the outskirts of Columbus and adjacent rural territory.
HD 137 is 52% Black.
Carol Fullerton (District 153): She represents northeastern Albany.
HD 153 is 59% Black.





(All figures are VAP for 2010 Census, taken directly from the legislature's redistricting reports)
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #9 on: November 14, 2012, 02:51:35 AM »

We still have some in LA, like Senator Ben Nevers and Rep. Jim Fannin.

If i remember correctly - you also have Ward, Smith, Thompson, LeFleur and Heitmeier in state Senate (none of them being especially liberal, but Ward being, probably, the most conservative), and some in House, like Danahay and  Thibaut (i ask your pardon for possible bad spelling because i take names from memory). In 2015 Fannin and Nevers will be term-limited and their seats will, most likely, go Republican though. We shall see what happens with the rest.

And i remember few rather conservative Democrats from neighboring states too - like Steverson in Mississippi's house or Laird - in Alabama's...
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #10 on: November 14, 2012, 02:54:33 AM »
« Edited: November 14, 2012, 02:57:18 AM by smoltchanov »

We still have some in LA, like Senator Ben Nevers and Rep. Jim Fannin.

Where do they stand politically?  Are they conservative blue dogs or more in line with the national democratic party?

Nevers, and, especially, Fannin (and Rick Ward, and, probably, at least, Smith, Danahay and Thibaut) are "on par" if not more conservative then Jindal and Vitter. Some other are slightly less conservative, but, surely, more so then Boren or Ross were in the last US House. So - most of them are not Blue Dogs, but something substantially more conservative)))). Closer to what was "Deep South norm" 20 or 30 years ago...

P.S. Miles, correct me if i am wrong))) You are closer to "place of events" then i am)))
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Miles
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« Reply #11 on: November 14, 2012, 02:59:36 AM »

We still have some in LA, like Senator Ben Nevers and Rep. Jim Fannin.

Where do they stand politically?  Are they conservative blue dogs or more in line with the national democratic party?

Nevers, and, especially, Fannin (and Rick Ward, and, probably, at least, Smith, Danahay and Thibaut) are "on par" if not more conservative then Jindal and Vitter. Some other are slightly less conservative, but, surely, more so then Boren or Ross were in the last US House. So - most of them are not Blue Dogs, but something substantially more conservative)))). Closer to what was "Deep South norm" 20 or 30 years ago...

P.S. Miles, correct me if i am wrong))) You are closer to "place of events" then i am)))

Yeah, that sounds about right. Nevers ran ads during the 2011 campaign emphasizing his pro-gun, pro-life record.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #12 on: November 14, 2012, 03:12:30 AM »

We still have some in LA, like Senator Ben Nevers and Rep. Jim Fannin.

Where do they stand politically?  Are they conservative blue dogs or more in line with the national democratic party?

Nevers, and, especially, Fannin (and Rick Ward, and, probably, at least, Smith, Danahay and Thibaut) are "on par" if not more conservative then Jindal and Vitter. Some other are slightly less conservative, but, surely, more so then Boren or Ross were in the last US House. So - most of them are not Blue Dogs, but something substantially more conservative)))). Closer to what was "Deep South norm" 20 or 30 years ago...

P.S. Miles, correct me if i am wrong))) You are closer to "place of events" then i am)))

Yeah, that sounds about right. Nevers ran ads during the 2011 campaign emphasizing his pro-gun, pro-life record.

Thanks! It's always a pleasure to be basically correct in estimates))))
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #13 on: November 14, 2012, 04:42:02 AM »

Georgia State Senate: 56 members total; 18 Democrats (5 white Democrats)

Curt Thompson (District 5): He represents a slice of Gwinnett County cutting from Norcross to northern Lawrenceville.
SD 5 is 38% Hispanic, 28% Black.
Steve Thompson (District 33): He represents a slice of Cobb County from Austell to Central Marietta.
SD 33 is 34% Black, 16% Hispanic.
Nan Orrack (District 36): She represents a district centered around Midtown and Downtown Atlanta.
SD 36 is 57% Black (but the whites here are very liberal).
Steve Henson (District 41): He represents a district that reaches from Central Dekalb to Tucker, and then extends a tendril into Gwinnett to take in part of Lilburn. SD 41 is 50% Black, 12% Hispanic.
Jason Carter (District 42): He represents a Decatur-based district. Tons of white liberals.
SD 42 is 24% Black, 12% Hispanic.


Georgia State House: 180 members; 60 Democrats (13 white Democrats).

Stacey Evans (District 42): She represents Southeast Marietta, in Cobb County.
HD 42 is 39% Black, 23% Hispanic.
Pat Gardner (District 57): She represents a precinct-wide strip of territory from super-black to super-white Atlanta.
HD 57 is 55% Black.
Margaret Kaiser (District 59): She represents a district like Gardner's.
HD 59 is 56% Black.
Scott Holcomb (District 81): He represents the Chamblee/Doraville area, in northern Dekalb County.
HD 81 is 35% Hispanic, 10% Black.
Mary Oliver (District 82): She represents the white liberals in the Druid Hills area north of Decatur.
HD 82 is 20% Hispanic, 15% Black.
Karla Drenner (District 85): She represents another noodle district, taking in liberal whites north of Decatur as well as blacks south of Decatur.
HD 85 is 57% Black.
Michelle Henson (District 86): She represents another noodle, directly to the East of Drenner's district.
HD 86 is 61% Black.
Pam Stephenson (District 90): She represents some territory bisected by the Henry-Rockdale County line.
HD 90 is 67% Black.
Hugh Floyd (District 99): He represents a district between Lilburn and Norcross in SW Gwinnett.
HD 99 is 52% Hispanic, 22% Black.
Brian Thomas (District 100): He represents the area just north of Lilburn in Gwinnett County.
HD 100 is 34% Hispanic, 32% Black.
Spencer Frye (District 118): He represents the northern half of Athens-Clarke.
HD 118 is 30% Black, 12% Hispanic.
Debbie Buckner (District 137): She represents the outskirts of Columbus and adjacent rural territory.
HD 137 is 52% Black.
Carol Fullerton (District 153): She represents northeastern Albany.
HD 153 is 59% Black.





(All figures are VAP for 2010 Census, taken directly from the legislature's redistricting reports)

Only 1 (probably) state Senator from majority-white district and only 3 - in House. Speaks a lot)))
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #14 on: November 14, 2012, 05:06:26 AM »

Georgia State Senate: 56 members total; 18 Democrats (5 white Democrats)

Curt Thompson (District 5): He represents a slice of Gwinnett County cutting from Norcross to northern Lawrenceville.
SD 5 is 38% Hispanic, 28% Black.
Steve Thompson (District 33): He represents a slice of Cobb County from Austell to Central Marietta.
SD 33 is 34% Black, 16% Hispanic.
Nan Orrack (District 36): She represents a district centered around Midtown and Downtown Atlanta.
SD 36 is 57% Black (but the whites here are very liberal).
Steve Henson (District 41): He represents a district that reaches from Central Dekalb to Tucker, and then extends a tendril into Gwinnett to take in part of Lilburn. SD 41 is 50% Black, 12% Hispanic.
Jason Carter (District 42): He represents a Decatur-based district. Tons of white liberals.
SD 42 is 24% Black, 12% Hispanic.


Georgia State House: 180 members; 60 Democrats (13 white Democrats).

Stacey Evans (District 42): She represents Southeast Marietta, in Cobb County.
HD 42 is 39% Black, 23% Hispanic.
Pat Gardner (District 57): She represents a precinct-wide strip of territory from super-black to super-white Atlanta.
HD 57 is 55% Black.
Margaret Kaiser (District 59): She represents a district like Gardner's.
HD 59 is 56% Black.
Scott Holcomb (District 81): He represents the Chamblee/Doraville area, in northern Dekalb County.
HD 81 is 35% Hispanic, 10% Black.
Mary Oliver (District 82): She represents the white liberals in the Druid Hills area north of Decatur.
HD 82 is 20% Hispanic, 15% Black.
Karla Drenner (District 85): She represents another noodle district, taking in liberal whites north of Decatur as well as blacks south of Decatur.
HD 85 is 57% Black.
Michelle Henson (District 86): She represents another noodle, directly to the East of Drenner's district.
HD 86 is 61% Black.
Pam Stephenson (District 90): She represents some territory bisected by the Henry-Rockdale County line.
HD 90 is 67% Black.
Hugh Floyd (District 99): He represents a district between Lilburn and Norcross in SW Gwinnett.
HD 99 is 52% Hispanic, 22% Black.
Brian Thomas (District 100): He represents the area just north of Lilburn in Gwinnett County.
HD 100 is 34% Hispanic, 32% Black.
Spencer Frye (District 118): He represents the northern half of Athens-Clarke.
HD 118 is 30% Black, 12% Hispanic.
Debbie Buckner (District 137): She represents the outskirts of Columbus and adjacent rural territory.
HD 137 is 52% Black.
Carol Fullerton (District 153): She represents northeastern Albany.
HD 153 is 59% Black.





(All figures are VAP for 2010 Census, taken directly from the legislature's redistricting reports)

Only 1 (probably) state Senator from majority-white district and only 3 - in House. Speaks a lot)))

So basically, Democrats are at something of a floor in the legislature, down to just black/Hispanic majority and a couple liberal white enclaves?
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #15 on: November 14, 2012, 06:22:25 AM »


So basically, Democrats are at something of a floor in the legislature, down to just black/Hispanic majority and a couple liberal white enclaves?

Probably - yes)))
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Bacon King
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« Reply #16 on: November 14, 2012, 07:52:09 PM »

I think HD 81 is actually only plurality white- there's significant Vietnamese and Korean communities in the area. I'll have to check on DRA.

But yeah, this is essentially the floor for Democrats in the statewide legislature. The problem is that the ceiling isn't much higher, on account of the GOP's horrible gerrymander.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #17 on: November 15, 2012, 05:02:57 PM »

<Sigh>.  I wish there were more of those kind of Democrats.  The South has the best kind of Democrats (i.e. the white, Deep South kind) and the worst kind of Republicans (the ones that make the GOP look bad).
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #18 on: November 15, 2012, 10:21:45 PM »

<Sigh>.  I wish there were more of those kind of Democrats.  The South has the best kind of Democrats (i.e. the white, Deep South kind) and the worst kind of Republicans (the ones that make the GOP look bad).

Unlikely. With outrageous polarization of vote (Blacks - 98% Democratic, whites - about 90% Republican) - unlikely. Though as far as i see from LABI's 2012 ratings 2 Democratic legislators with highest (and VERY high - 97 and 91% accordingly) from this business organization are black Democrats, at least one of which is very social conservative too. So - in some rare cases it's still possible...
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Bacon King
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« Reply #19 on: November 16, 2012, 12:21:45 AM »

I don't know how it is in other states, but in Georgia, urban black politicians are generally progressive/liberal, while rural black democrats are often fairly conservative. Hell, Sanford Bishop ran ads this year announcing his opposition to gay marriage (and he has no chance of losing at all).
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #20 on: November 16, 2012, 01:17:38 AM »

We need maps!!! Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #21 on: November 16, 2012, 01:21:19 AM »

I don't know how it is in other states, but in Georgia, urban black politicians are generally progressive/liberal, while rural black democrats are often fairly conservative. Hell, Sanford Bishop ran ads this year announcing his opposition to gay marriage (and he has no chance of losing at all).

As far as i know - the same, but 2 i mentioned in Louisiana - especially. Elbert Guillory had 97 rating from LABI and 100 - from Louisiana Family Forum (leading social conservative organization in that state) in 2012, Troy Brown - 91 and 90 correspondingly. Sanford Bishop is a sort of "centrist", these two - (IMHO, of course) - very different sort)))
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Miles
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« Reply #22 on: November 16, 2012, 01:27:04 AM »


Too depressing Tongue
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #23 on: November 16, 2012, 01:36:24 AM »


Yeah)) Miles - how do you explain such deep conservatism of Guillory and Brown? Their ratings are at least as high (sometimes -  higher) then Nevers's  or Smith's. IMHO - only Fannin may "compete" with them (sometimes - Danahay, Thibaut and Ward as well, but not always)
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jimrtex
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« Reply #24 on: November 17, 2012, 07:13:05 AM »

Are there any left outside of Florida?  They've basically been wiped out in Alabama, Mississippi and Louisiana.  There are probably some in the liberal white parts of metro Atlanta, Charleston, and Richmond.   

Does anyone have an answer to this question?
In Texas

3 US representatives
3 senators
6 Texas representatives

The relatively larger share of senators and US representatives probably has to do with the larger districts.
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