Pennsylvania 2014 Discussion Thread
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Anti Democrat Democrat Club
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« Reply #525 on: March 28, 2014, 01:00:06 AM »

I don't know about Wolf, but Schwartz and McCord both favor fracking, Corbett's signature issue.  They want to keep it and tax it.  It does strengthen the idea that he made the right decision.

So does Wolf, as long as it's regulated.
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J. J.
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« Reply #526 on: March 28, 2014, 08:21:30 AM »

Calling for a special prosecutor in the Philly 5 case:  http://blog.pennlive.com/capitol-notebook/2014/03/york_cos_grove_wants_independe.html#incart_river_default
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J. J.
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« Reply #527 on: March 28, 2014, 08:26:41 AM »
« Edited: March 28, 2014, 08:12:18 PM by J. J. »

I don't know about Wolf, but Schwartz and McCord both favor fracking, Corbett's signature issue.  They want to keep it and tax it.  It does strengthen the idea that he made the right decision.

So does Wolf, as long as it's regulated.

Good to know.

I'm not a Corbett fan, and actually kind of like Wolf.  His ads are very similar to Ridge in 1994.

McCord is rapidly turning me off, but it is somewhat due to his presentation.

My main reason why I could vote for Corbett is to spite the "Joebots."  There are more important issues.
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J. J.
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« Reply #528 on: March 28, 2014, 08:30:53 AM »

Wagner, this time out, was possibly Corbett's strongest opponent in the fall.  He's a conservative, who won't scare off conservatives.  He'd from Western PA, so he could be competitive in Corbett's base.

Ideology is not the only factor in candidate quality. Wagner is uninspiring, dull, a crap fundraiser, and would potentially depress the Democratic base. All this to attract conservatives, almost all of which will vote for Corbett in the end anyway? Not worth it.

There is a lot of discontent with the firing of Paterno, even among conservatives, and perhaps especially so.  Wagner could have tapped into that without effort.

A more liberal candidate won't.
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Grumpier Than Uncle Joe
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« Reply #529 on: March 28, 2014, 02:57:00 PM »

Jay Paterno has decided not to run for Lite Governor.......good.

http://triblive.com/news/adminpage/5850922-74/state-paterno-primary#axzz2wuJFAiH5
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J. J.
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« Reply #530 on: March 28, 2014, 03:14:00 PM »


Just about to post:  http://www.pennlive.com/midstate/index.ssf/2014/03/jay_paterno_bows_out_of_race_f.html#incart_river_default

My guess is that his petitions were bad.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #531 on: March 28, 2014, 04:00:52 PM »

The Paterno for Lt. Governor thing was one of the most random things while it lasted.
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J. J.
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« Reply #532 on: March 29, 2014, 01:06:54 PM »

And Kane is now officially a joke:  http://www.pennlive.com/opinion/index.ssf/2014/03/justice_kathleen_kane-style_a.html
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J. J.
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« Reply #533 on: April 03, 2014, 07:08:24 AM »
« Edited: April 03, 2014, 07:10:42 AM by J. J. »

F & M Poll:  Wolf at 33%, trailed by Schwartz at 7%.  http://www.pennlive.com/midstate/index.ssf/2014/04/wolf_holds_his_gubernatorial_p.html#incart_river_default

I believe that is down by 3 points, but it is still a huge lead.
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Badger
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« Reply #534 on: April 03, 2014, 12:32:07 PM »
« Edited: April 03, 2014, 12:35:18 PM by Badger »

F & M Poll:  Wolf at 33%, trailed by Schwartz at 7%.  http://www.pennlive.com/midstate/index.ssf/2014/04/wolf_holds_his_gubernatorial_p.html#incart_river_default

I believe that is down by 3 points, but it is still a huge lead.

That 3 points is easily MoE averaged between two polls. The point is his nearest competitor is 26 points behind and in single digits. Plus he should have plenty of money to match or outdo his opponents' ad campaigns when they finally hit the airwaves.

For one of the pack to over take Wolf at this point is probably going to take a scandal, megagaffe(s), or a negative campaign of unsurpassed effectiveness.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #535 on: April 03, 2014, 12:46:49 PM »

Dominating.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #536 on: April 03, 2014, 01:11:49 PM »

A lot of his support is from people who haven't even heard of the other candidates. His margin will narrow significantly. That said, he'll likely still win in the end due to the lack of a runoff, his financial resources, and the fact that the other three seem unlikely to carve out a significant niche of support at this point.


I'm surprised you support Wolf. You know he isn't a socialist/communist, right? Tongue Plus I thought all CEOs were evil tyrants who would be guillotined during the revolution?
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #537 on: April 03, 2014, 01:34:56 PM »

All politicians should be guillotined but some are still better than others.
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henster
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« Reply #538 on: April 03, 2014, 02:56:26 PM »

Schwartz is the only candidate not on air it's not like she's broke either. I mean McGinty is even on air and she's not exactly flowing in cash. What is Team Schwartz doing/planning their completely MIA and sitting on a ton of cash this has to be one of the worst run campaigns I've seen in a while. Going from frontrunner to single digits is a disaster for any candidate.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #539 on: April 03, 2014, 04:35:04 PM »

Having major institutional support still means more in PA than having a boatload of money, in my opinion. So I'm still not sold on Wolf having this locked up. Let's see if Wolf is able to win over that establishment support with the big bucks and feeling of inevitability. Still almost two months to go for almost anything to happen...except McGinty surging ahead. I see her stuck in fourth for good.
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J. J.
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« Reply #540 on: April 03, 2014, 05:19:45 PM »

F & M Poll:  Wolf at 33%, trailed by Schwartz at 7%.  http://www.pennlive.com/midstate/index.ssf/2014/04/wolf_holds_his_gubernatorial_p.html#incart_river_default

I believe that is down by 3 points, but it is still a huge lead.

That 3 points is easily MoE averaged between two polls. The point is his nearest competitor is 26 points behind and in single digits. Plus he should have plenty of money to match or outdo his opponents' ad campaigns when they finally hit the airwaves.

For one of the pack to over take Wolf at this point is probably going to take a scandal, megagaffe(s), or a negative campaign of unsurpassed effectiveness.

I think that qualifies as a "huge lead."  Smiley

At least in Phila, McCord has been on the air.  It has barely made a dent in his and Wolf's numbers.  That is a very good sign for Wolf.
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Badger
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« Reply #541 on: April 04, 2014, 02:14:53 PM »

Having major institutional support still means more in PA than having a boatload of money, in my opinion. So I'm still not sold on Wolf having this locked up. Let's see if Wolf is able to win over that establishment support with the big bucks and feeling of inevitability. Still almost two months to go for almost anything to happen...except McGinty surging ahead. I see her stuck in fourth for good.

Agreed. And if these numbers don't change notably in the next few weeks, at that point the dam of uncommitted establishment support will likely start cracking fast. A bloody primary is one of the few things that MIGHT give Corbett a chance, and the party bigwigs know it. A consensus choice of the establishment is their best case scenario.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #542 on: April 04, 2014, 09:12:08 PM »

Admittedly, I haven't been following this race much aside from getting Tom Wolf's e-mails, but how Schwartz is not dominating is beyond me. I thought she was the guaranteed nominee late last year. Not complaining as Wolf is the only D that I can get behind if my opinion of Corbett worsens and Libertarians aren't serious.

Gonna have to request an absentee ballot soon for the primary.
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« Reply #543 on: April 04, 2014, 10:09:16 PM »

F & M Poll:  Wolf at 33%, trailed by Schwartz at 7%.  http://www.pennlive.com/midstate/index.ssf/2014/04/wolf_holds_his_gubernatorial_p.html#incart_river_default

I believe that is down by 3 points, but it is still a huge lead.

That 3 points is easily MoE averaged between two polls. The point is his nearest competitor is 26 points behind and in single digits. Plus he should have plenty of money to match or outdo his opponents' ad campaigns when they finally hit the airwaves.

For one of the pack to over take Wolf at this point is probably going to take a scandal, megagaffe(s), or a negative campaign of unsurpassed effectiveness.

I think that qualifies as a "huge lead."  Smiley

At least in Phila, McCord has been on the air.  It has barely made a dent in his and Wolf's numbers.  That is a very good sign for Wolf.

Can confirm, saw a McCord commercial up in the Lanc recently.
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J. J.
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« Reply #544 on: April 04, 2014, 10:19:01 PM »

Schwartz is the only candidate not on air it's not like she's broke either. I mean McGinty is even on air and she's not exactly flowing in cash. What is Team Schwartz doing/planning their completely MIA and sitting on a ton of cash this has to be one of the worst run campaigns I've seen in a while. Going from frontrunner to single digits is a disaster for any candidate.

McGinty is not on with any major buys.  She is not on in Phila.

Paterno is officially off the ballot.
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #545 on: April 07, 2014, 04:24:12 PM »

Schwartz has finally got her first ad out, talking about her role in creating CHIP while serving in the State Senate


McCord also has a new ad out, citing his bona-fides when it comes to taking on Corbett
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #546 on: April 07, 2014, 04:33:07 PM »

I almost expected Schwartz to wait maybe two weeks longer and then start pounding the airwaves all at once as the Wolf honeymoon started to die down.
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J. J.
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« Reply #547 on: April 07, 2014, 05:25:54 PM »


Just saw Schwartz in the Phila market.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #548 on: April 07, 2014, 05:27:34 PM »


Same. Which is interesting since I rarely watch TV live (never even saw a Wolf ad). I tuned in at the perfect time to see my girl Allyson.
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Badger
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« Reply #549 on: April 07, 2014, 06:05:16 PM »

So anything new on Kane's scandal, or has that died down some?
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