Pennsylvania 2014 Discussion Thread
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Author Topic: Pennsylvania 2014 Discussion Thread  (Read 85098 times)
henster
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« Reply #700 on: May 17, 2014, 11:15:46 AM »


Yet the state is 48th in job growth and facing a $1B shortfall this year.
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DemPGH
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« Reply #701 on: May 17, 2014, 11:57:11 AM »

Yeah, I need to get tuned into this. There's a great chance I'll vote for Wolf on Tues. I've perused his website and certainly find him acceptable. There's a lot on economics (where I find him infinitely preferable to the awful Corbett), Education (where Corbett has tried to gut the state system of higher education - our dozen or so small state universities that produce a lot of teachers and business degrees, I imagine), and some some stuff on Marcellus Shale, where I find him meh, but at least he thinks that it should be taxed. Not much on social issues beyond the big picture rhetoric, but he can't be nearly as bad as Corbett.

But! Wolf stands the best chance to beat Corbett? He's got my vote, then.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #702 on: May 18, 2014, 12:54:18 PM »

New Muhlenberg poll shows little change

Wolf 41
Schwartz 16
McCord 11
McGinty 7
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J. J.
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« Reply #703 on: May 18, 2014, 08:31:42 PM »

If I had to make a prediction.


Wolf 43
Schwartz 30
McCord 17
McGinty 10

Slight erosion of support, but still impressive.
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SawxDem
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« Reply #704 on: May 18, 2014, 08:34:18 PM »

Wolf 46
Schwartz 27
McCord 16
McGinty 9
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henster
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« Reply #705 on: May 18, 2014, 10:45:06 PM »

I say Wolf breaks 50%.
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windjammer
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« Reply #706 on: May 19, 2014, 03:07:35 AM »

Is there a recent poll about the Corbett-Wolf match up?

I'm curious to see if he has been damaged by the primary.

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TX Conservative Dem
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« Reply #707 on: May 19, 2014, 08:58:04 AM »

If that happens on the winner of the Democratic primary being damaged, Corbett still has a good chance of winning reelection.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #708 on: May 19, 2014, 10:48:38 AM »

Wolf 46
Schwartz 27
McCord 16
McGinty 9

This would be mine, actually
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Badger
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« Reply #709 on: May 19, 2014, 05:29:56 PM »

Half-assed guess: Wolf falls short of 50%, but still finishes miles ahead of Schwartz who takes second.
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DemPGH
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« Reply #710 on: May 20, 2014, 09:41:51 AM »

Voted for Wolf and Stack first thing this morning, and I have to say that what little I've read of Mike Stack I liked. I also voted for one local person who I actually want to win and left the little bit that was left blank because I didn't know anybody.

Here's my impression: It's one thing to have teachers and academics and unions and women and pipe fitters and bus drivers and so on against you, but when you start making angry the old people, you're in trouble. Corbett has pissed off too many old people, mostly lower or middle income.

I imagine that what's left of the tea party, the old money types, and a number of white men in, say, their 40s who hate unions and 'Big Gubment' will be the bulk of Corbett's support. At this point Corbett can't even play the tax card because of the gasoline tax increase.
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angus
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« Reply #711 on: May 20, 2014, 12:03:50 PM »

I voted in the primary today as well.  Changed my affiliation to Democrat a few weeks ago for the purpose.  Will change it back to unaffiliated tomorrow.

I voted for Wolf for Governor, but I voted for Smith for LG.  
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IceSpear
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« Reply #712 on: May 20, 2014, 03:36:51 PM »

Just voted for Schwartz and Stack. Though I anticipate adding a Wolf for Governor picture in my sig tonight...
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J. J.
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« Reply #713 on: May 20, 2014, 04:43:16 PM »

Turnout is a bit stronger in Philadelphia.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #714 on: May 20, 2014, 05:06:48 PM »

I'm saying...

Wolf - 45%
Schwartz - 26%
McCord - 23%
McGinty - 6%

I say Stack takes it as well.
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angus
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« Reply #715 on: May 20, 2014, 06:26:58 PM »

y'all seem to like stack.  Hopefully Wolf won't die in office, so it might not matter much.  Haven't we had enough lawyers already?  The whole point of becoming a Democrat long enough to vote in the primary is to help get rid of the one who is our governor already.

If you haven't voted yet, consider Mark Smith for LG.  Check out his badass guitar riffs:

http://www.marksmithforpa.com/  
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IceSpear
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« Reply #716 on: May 20, 2014, 06:40:49 PM »

y'all seem to like stack.  Hopefully Wolf won't die in office, so it might not matter much.  Haven't we had enough lawyers already?  The whole point of becoming a Democrat long enough to vote in the primary is to help get rid of the one who is our governor already.

If you haven't voted yet, consider Mark Smith for LG.  Check out his badass guitar riffs:

http://www.marksmithforpa.com/  

Smith was actually my first choice. My vote for Stack was strategic, as he has the best chance of stopping Critz.
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DemPGH
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« Reply #717 on: May 20, 2014, 08:22:11 PM »
« Edited: May 20, 2014, 08:59:11 PM by DemPGH »

Smith would be perfectly fine. He actually looks kind of close to Stack, but Stack makes it clear throughout this that he's basically opposed to Corbett on everything. I said almost verbatim what he said on higher education and education.

On issues

I actually didn't research the LGs much because I agree that Wolf is likely to be in for the haul, but I found myself in really broad agreement with Stack.

And yeah, Critz just seems very old school and I didn't find his "on the issues" page very compelling. 
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SawxDem
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« Reply #718 on: May 20, 2014, 08:43:30 PM »

YEAH WOLF
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Miles
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« Reply #719 on: May 20, 2014, 08:44:36 PM »

Stack leads 50-16 for PA LG with 44% in. Western PA may not save Critz.
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Badger
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« Reply #720 on: May 20, 2014, 09:05:10 PM »
« Edited: May 20, 2014, 09:12:23 PM by Badger »

SoS website shows almost all the vote in for HD 197 and incumbent Jose Mirand getting only 5% of the vote. If that's not a typo, what happened? Did he die in office?

And incumbent Ed Gainey getting only 8% in HD 24? Huh
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IceSpear
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« Reply #721 on: May 20, 2014, 09:13:15 PM »

Stack has been declared the winner of the LG race.

And a new sig for me. Smiley
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J. J.
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« Reply #722 on: May 20, 2014, 09:45:42 PM »

Impressive win.  Anything above 10% was good.  40% is gigantic.  Unstoppable in the General, barring a major scandal or Corbett pulling an elephant out of his hat.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #723 on: May 20, 2014, 09:51:57 PM »

Impressive win.  Anything above 10% was good.  40% is gigantic.  Unstoppable in the General, barring a major scandal or Corbett pulling an elephant out of his hat.

Yeah, I'm stunned by his margin of victory. I don't think anyone expected a blowout of this magnitude. The polls really missed the boat on this one.
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Flake
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« Reply #724 on: May 20, 2014, 09:57:25 PM »

Fifty-eight percent.

Good for you, Wolf.
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