Pennsylvania 2014 Discussion Thread (user search)
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  Pennsylvania 2014 Discussion Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Pennsylvania 2014 Discussion Thread  (Read 85879 times)
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« on: April 24, 2014, 09:47:05 PM »

Back in 1994, all of the so-called experts predicted then-California Governor Pete Wilson (R) was toast following the disastrous budget crisis, etc.,

Wilson came from the political dead and won reelection by double digits.


Corbett, thus far, has not given us any evidence that he has near the political skill that Pete Wilson has.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #1 on: May 01, 2014, 05:01:28 PM »

Why didn't McGuinty drop out when she had the chance? Now she's going to get embarrassed.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #2 on: May 14, 2014, 10:00:49 PM »

Harper also polled the Lt. Gov primary:

20% Stack
18% Critz
9% Koplinski
6% Smith
5% Neuman
42% undecided

I'll admit I haven't paid a single iota of attention to this race, but looks like I'll be voting Stack since he has the best chance of stopping Critz.

I don't really know Pennsylvania, but why are Democrats such as yourself against Critz?
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #3 on: May 14, 2014, 10:28:04 PM »

Harper also polled the Lt. Gov primary:

20% Stack
18% Critz
9% Koplinski
6% Smith
5% Neuman
42% undecided

I'll admit I haven't paid a single iota of attention to this race, but looks like I'll be voting Stack since he has the best chance of stopping Critz.

I don't really know Pennsylvania, but why are Democrats such as yourself against Critz?

Critz is pro-life.

Oh, okay. That's a good reason.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #4 on: May 19, 2014, 10:48:38 AM »

Wolf 46
Schwartz 27
McCord 16
McGinty 9

This would be mine, actually
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #5 on: May 20, 2014, 10:56:30 PM »

Corbett has his goose cooked officially.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #6 on: May 21, 2014, 03:56:52 PM »

It wasn't so much that Corbett got elected, it was that the GOP got elected. Corbett could have been a blank disc, and still beaten Onorato because 2010.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #7 on: May 27, 2014, 11:47:40 PM »

Is PA so difficult to poll seriously?

I mean, the last poll was made in February...

I think its less that and more that the outcome of the race seems to be crystal clear.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #8 on: May 29, 2014, 04:33:52 PM »

PPP is polling Pennsylvania this weekend.

Predictions:

Wolf 52
Corbett 39

Toomey 45
Sestak 42

Toomey 48
Kane 40

Hillary leads all Republicans by double digits, except Christie who she leads by 7.

I think this, though even Christie down by 10.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #9 on: June 07, 2014, 10:48:22 PM »

He should go back to Santorum margins now instead of Blanche margins
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #10 on: September 20, 2014, 03:59:43 PM »

Why did Wolf agree to debate in the first place? Couldn't he have pulled a Kasich and just ignored it? He's so far up in the polls as is.

He wasn't going to get away with flat out refusing to debate.

From what I can tell, ducking debates rarely has any lasting consequences. More likely is that Wolf is just confident he can beat Corbett.

I remember Tom Wolf was fairly solid in those Democratic debates anyways, so it probably won't be a problem.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #11 on: November 01, 2014, 10:35:33 AM »

Is this really a testing or are these numbers the results of the early vote? I noticed that the numbers change all the time. http://www.electionreturns.state.pa.us/

Tom Corbett is only losing by .08% so I'm pretty sure it's just a test Tongue

Yesterday he lead with 0.03%. Likely just test, but in recent polls Corbett closed the gap a bit. I think there's a 10% chance the governor still wins.

What is your deal and concern trolling on Tom Corbett?
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #12 on: November 05, 2014, 06:53:25 AM »

Wolf's victory is unquestionably a hollow one. Those GOP gains in the legislature are amazing. 119 (!) total seats in the House now. Two pickups in the Senate while defending all of our seats. Wolf is going to have four very long years.

His margin was way lower than I expected to be. Do you think Corbett would give 2018 a try?
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #13 on: November 05, 2014, 10:11:15 AM »

His margin was way lower than I expected to be. Do you think Corbett would give 2018 a try?

I want to say what's wrong with you, but instead, I'll just say... why?

I was incredibly tired when I made that comment. I apologize.
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