Realistic 2012 Prez Scenario: Obama (D) v. Romney (R) v. Paul (L)

[defe07]

OK, I know this is far-fetched but let's assume the following.

Ron Paul decides to accept the Prez nomination of the Libertarians. His running mate is Gary Johnson.

Rand Paul, on the other hand, decides to go with Romney and campaigns for him to an extent.

Question: what would be a realistic scenario if the race were Obama v. Romney v. Paul? What would the popular vote look like? What would the electoral vote look like? Would Paul be able to get into any of the debates or not?

[Northeast Rep Snowball]

Almost the same, same, same, no

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

Almost the same, same, same, no

[Donerail]

Significantly different, decrease for both sides, around the same (less for Romney maybe, Paul possible breakthroughs in states like Montana or Alaska), yes.

[7,052,770]

NC flips; otherwise the map stays the same, but Paul does well in Alaska, Texas, and most of the rural west.