Wisconsin Megathread
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Gass3268
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« Reply #50 on: June 11, 2013, 09:11:17 PM »
« edited: June 17, 2013, 09:59:36 PM by Senator Gass3268 »

Senate District 16

Counties: Dane
Three Largest Entities: Madison, Sun Prairie and Fitchburg
PVI: D+16.5
Incumbent Party: D/DDD
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 71,100 (71.22%)/ Romney 28,520 (28.57%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 65,267 (70.94%)/ McCain 25,557 (27.78%)
Swing: 0.51% Republican
Trend: 6.46% Democratic
Change in PVI (New/Old): D+16/D+12

Senator: Mark Miller

Party: Democrat
Last Election: Uncontested
Obama Comparison: Uncontested
Serving Since: 2005
Hometown: Monona
Prior Offices: Dane County Board of Supervisors and Wisconsin State Assembly
Education: University of Wisconsin-Madison 
Birthday: 2/1/1943
Place of Birth: Boston, MA
Profession: N/A
Religion: N/A

Notes: This senate district shrunk in size as it moved further into the City of Madison and out of Columbia County. As a result the district moved 4 points to the Democrats.   

Assembly District 46

Counties: Dane
PVI: D+10.5
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 20,895 (65.33%)/ Romney 11,754 (36.75%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 19,583 (64.79%)/ Romney 10,283 (34.02%)
Swing: 2.19% Republican
Trend: 4.78% Democrat
Change in PVI (New/Old): D+9.5/D+9.5

Representative: Gary Hebl

Party: Democrat
Last Election: Gary Hebl 20,171 (64.8%)/ Trish Schaefer 10,951 (35.2%)
Obama Comparison: +0.54%
Serving Since: 2005
Hometown: Sun Prairie
Prior Offices: 
Education: University of Wisconsin-Madison (Bachelors)/ Gonzaga University (J.D.)
Birthday: 5/15/1951
Place of Birth:
Profession: Lawyer
Religion: N/A

Notes: The only change to this district was it got smaller by sheading its part of Oregon and some of the southern rural townships. Is still a very safe Democratic seat.   

Assembly District 47

Counties: Dane
PVI: D+16.5
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 23,862 (70.92%)/ Romney 9,347(27.78%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 22,418 (71.57%)/ McCain 8,468 (27.78%)
Swing: 1.39% Republican
Trend: 5.58% Democratic
Change in PVI (New/Old): D+18/D+2.5

Representative: Robb Kahl

Party: Democratic
Last Election: Robb Kahl 22,113 (70.9%)/ 9,054 (29%)
Obama Comparison: +0.05%
Serving Since: 2013
Hometown: Monona
Prior Offices: Monona City Council and Mayor of Monona
Education: Ripon College (Bachelors)/ University of Wisconsin-Madison (J.D.)
Birthday: 1/5/1972
Place of Birth: Menomonee Falls, WI
Profession: Lawyer
Religion: N/A

Notes: The new 47th takes up most of the area that was in the former 48th and a bit of 79th in Fitchburg. This is very safe Eastside Madison district.

Assembly District 48

Counties: Dane
PVI: D+22
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 26,343 (77.01%)/ Romney 7,419 (21.69%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 23,382 (76.41%)/ McCain 6,825 (22.30%)
Swing: 1.21% Democratic
Trend: 8.18% Democratic
Change in PVI (New/Old): D+23.5/D+22

Representative: Melisa Sargent 

Party: Democrat
Last Election: Melissa Sargent 24,275 (83.2%)/ Terry Gray 4,849 (Libertarian) (16.6%)
Obama Comparison: -6.19%
Serving Since: 2013
Hometown: Madison
Prior Offices: Dane County Board of Supervisors
Education: University of Wisconsin-Madison
Birthday: 3/28/1969
Place of Birth: Madison, WI
Profession: Small Business Owner
Religion: N/A

Notes: This essentially new district is centered in Northside and Northeast parts of Madison. This is an extremely safe district for the Democrats.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #51 on: June 12, 2013, 03:47:33 AM »

Senate District 17

Counties: Grant, Green, Iowa, Juneau, Layette, Monroe, Richland, Sauk and Vernon
Three Largest Entities: Platteville, Monroe and Reedsburg     
PVI: D+3.5
Incumbent Party: R/RRR
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 46,556 (56.59%)/ Romney 34,753 (42.25%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 48,485 (59.84%)/ McCain 31,297 (38.62%)
Swing: 6.88% Republican
Trend: 0.09% Democratic
Change in PVI (New/Old): D+2/D+2.5

Senator: Dale Shultz

Party: Republican
Last Election: Dale Shultz 36,122 (62.6%)/ Carol Beals 21,580 (37.4%) 
Obama Comparison: 2014 Election
Serving Since: 1991
Hometown: Richland Center
Prior Offices: Wisconsin State Assembly
Education: University of Wisconsin-Madison
Birthday: 6/12/1953
Place of Birth: Madison, WI
Profession: Farm Manager and Real Estate Broker
Religion: N/A

Notes: This district got slightly more Republican through redistricting. This happened by pulling out of Democratic friendly areas in Eastern Iowa County and Eastern Sauk County. Yet Obama still won this district by more then 14 points, but for some reason it is still a lean Republican district on the local level and it will stay that was as long as Dale Shultz is the Senator. It is also not that surprising that Senator Shultz is the most moderate Republican in the Sate Senate and he's been a pain in the side for the Republican Leadership. Representative Howard Marklein is primarying Senator Shultz from the right for the 2014 election.

Assembly District 49

Counties: Grant, Iowa, Lafayette and Richland
PVI: D+4
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 15,274 (56.19%)/ Romney 11,457 (42.15%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 16,606 (61.13%)/ McCain 10,138 (37.32%)
Swing: 9.77% Republican
Trend: 2.80% Republican
Change in PVI (New/Old): D+2.5/D+2.5

Representative: Travis Tranel

Party: Republican
Last Election: Travis Tranel 14,218 (54.2%)/ Carol Beals 11,977 (45.7%)
Obama Comparison: +10.54
Serving Since: 2011
Hometown: Cuba City
Prior Offices: None
Education: Loras College 
Birthday: 9/12/1985
Place of Birth: Dubuque, IA
Profession: Dairy Farmer and Small Business Owner
Religion: Roman Catholic

Notes: This district stayed relatively the same with redistricting as it is still centered in Grant County. A Democrat should be holding this district and there is no way of getting close in the Assembly without this district. 

Assembly District 50

Counties: Juneau, Monroe, Richland, Sauk and Vernon   
PVI: D+0.5
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 14,430 (53.97%)/ Romney 11,961 (44.73%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 14,374 (55.83%)/ McCain 10,942 (42.50%)
Swing: 4.09% Republican
Trend: 2.88% Democratic
Change in PVI (New/Old): R+2/R+2

Representative: Edward Brooks

Party: Republican
Last Election: Edward Brooks 12,842 (50.3%)/ Sarah Shanahan 11,945 (46.8%) 
Obama Comparison: +7.19%
Serving Since: 2009
Hometown: Reedsburg 
Prior Offices: Town Supervisor
Education: University of Wisconsin-Madison
Birthday: 7/1/1942
Place of Birth: Baraboo, WI
Profession: Dairy Producer
Religion: Lutheran

Notes: This district also stayed about the same, with the only noticeable change is it looks a bit uglier on the bottom. This is another district that Democrats need to win, but it would take a wave to knock out Representative Brooks.

Assembly District 51

Counties: Green, Iowa, Lafayette, Richland and Sauk
PVI: D+6.5
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 16,852 (59.46%)/ Romney 11,335 (40.00%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 17,405 (62.33%)/ McCain 10,136 (36.30%)
Swing: 6.52% Republican
Trend: 0.45% Democratic
Change in PVI (New/Old): D+5/D+7

Representative: Howard Marklein

Party: Republican
Last Election: Howard Marklein 14,279 (51.9%)/ Maureen May-Grimm 13,238 (48.1%)
Obama Comparison: +11.41%
Serving Since: 2011
Hometown: Spring Green
Prior Offices: None
Education: University of Wisconsin-Whitewater 
Birthday: 10/3/1954
Place of Birth: Madison, WI
Profession: CPA and Fraud Examiner
Religion: Roman Catholic

Notes: This district moved a couple points to the right by moving out of Eastern Iowa and Sauk Counties, but this seat should be held by a Democratic. There is no excuse as even Barrett and Feingold won this district in 2010. Maybe the Democrats will get lucky and Representative Marklein will knock out Senator Shultz resulting in the Democrats winning they can win both this Assembly seat and Senate seat.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #52 on: June 12, 2013, 04:32:26 PM »

Senate District 18

Counties: Dodge, Fond du Lac and Winnebago
Three Largest Entities: Oshkosh, Fond du Lac and Waupun   
PVI: R+4.5
Incumbent Party: R/RRD
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 42,970 (48.65%)/ Romney 44,063 (49.89%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 44,473 (51.24%)/ McCain 41,061 (47.31%)
Swing: 5.17% Republican
Trend: 1.80% Democratic
Change in PVI (New/Old): R+5.5/R+.5.5

Senator: Richard Gudex

Party: Republican
Last Election: Richard Gudex 43,079 (50.3%)/ Jessica King 42,479 (49.6%)
Obama Comparison: -0.95%
Serving Since: 2013
Hometown: Fond du Lac
Prior Offices: Mayor of Mayville and Fond du Lac City Council 
Education: N/A
Birthday: 7/23/1968
Place of Birth: Fond du Lac, WI
Profession: N/A
Religion: Roman Catholic

Notes: This district did not change due to redistricting. This was one of three districts where a recall was successful. Jessica King was probably the best candidate to win and hold this district. She came close to keeping it, but its partisan nature was too much to overcome.

Assembly District 52

Counties: Fond du Lac
PVI: R+8
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 13,248 (44.97%)/ Romney 15,857 (53.82%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 13,774 (48.01%)/ McCain 14,579 (50.82%)
Swing: 6.04% Republican
Trend: 0.93% Democratic
Change in PVI (New/Old): R+9.5/R+8

Representative: Jeremy Thiesfeldt

Party: Republican
Last Election: Jeremy Thiesfeldt 16,313 (60.6%)/ Paul Czisny 10.575 (39.3%)
Obama Comparison: +5.66%
Serving Since: 2011
Hometown: Fond du Lac
Prior Offices: Fond du Lac City Council
Education: Dr. Martin Luther College
Birthday: 11/22.1966
Place of Birth: Fond du Lac, WI
Profession: N/A
Religion: Lutheran

Notes: This district got a point and a half more Republican, not that it really matters as this is a safe Republican district.   

Assembly District 53

Counties: Dodge, Fond du Lac and Winnebago
PVI: R+10.5
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 12,258 (43.28%)/ Romney 15,705 (55.45%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 12,116 (44.65%)/ McCain 14,588 (53.76%)
Swing: 3.06% Republican
Trend: 3.91% Democratic
Change in PVI (New/Old): R+11.5/R+12

Representative: Michael Schraa

Party: Republican
Last Election: Michael Schraa 15,844 (60.3%)/ Ryan Flejter 10,410 (39.6%)
Obama Comparison: +3.68%
Serving Since: 2013
Hometown: Oshkosh
Prior Offices: N/A
Education: University of Wisconsin-Oshkosh
Birthday: Fort Carson, CO
Place of Birth: 5/17/1961
Profession: Restaurant Owner
Religion: N/A

Notes: This district trades a few townships with the 52nd District, still a safe Republican district. 

Assembly District 54

Counties: Winnebago
PVI: D+4
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 17,464 (57.18%)/ Romney 12,501 (40.93%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 18,583 (60.00%)/ McCain 11,894 (38.40%)
Swing: 5.35% Republican
Trend: 1.62% Democratic
Change in PVI (New/Old): D+3.5/D+3.5

Representative: Gordon Hintz

Party: Democrat
Last Election: Gordon Hintz 17,400 (59.9%)/ Paul Essinger 11,594 (39.9%)
Obama Comparison: -2.70%
Serving Since: 2007
Hometown: Oshkosh
Prior Offices: None   
Education: Hamline University (Bachelors)/ University of Wisconsin-Madison (MBA)
Birthday: 11/29/1973
Place of Birth: Oshkosh, WI
Profession: Municipal Consultant
Religion: Congregationalist

Notes: This district also stays the same, which means it’s a pretty safe Democratic seat and I only see this district getting more Democratic as time goes on. 
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Gass3268
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« Reply #53 on: June 12, 2013, 05:26:24 PM »

Senate District 19

Counties: Outagamie and Winnebago
Three Largest Entities: Appleton, Neenah and Menasha     
PVI: D+2.5
Incumbent Party: R/RRD
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 45,794 (49.58%)/ Romney 45,782 (49.57%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 49,161 (54.31%)/ McCain 39,677 (43.83%)
Swing: 10.48% Republican
Trend: 3.51% Republican
Change in PVI (New/Old): R+2.5/R+3

Senator: Michael Ellis

Party: Republican
Last Election: Unopposed in 2010 under the old lines 
Obama Comparison: 2014 Election
Serving Since: 1982
Hometown: Neenah
Prior Offices: Neenah City Council and Wisconsin State Assembly
Education: University of Wisconsin-Oshkosh
Birthday: 2/21/1941
Place of Birth: Neenah, WI
Profession: N/A
Religion: Roman Catholic

Notes: This district stays pretty much the same, only getting a bit smaller. This is a district that could become competitive in future elections once Senator Ellis retires and it is a district that Democrats would need to win in order to possibly get the majority back in the Senate.

Assembly District 55

Counties: Outagamie and Winnebago
PVI: R+5
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 14,931 (47.18%)/ Romney 16,118 (50.93%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 16,151 (52.14%)/ McCain 14,187 (45.80%)
Swing: 10.09% Republican
Trend: 3.12% Republican
Change in PVI (New/Old): R+4.5/D+1

Representative: Dean Kaufert

Party: Republican
Last Election: Dean Kaufert 19,142 (63%%)/ Jim Crail 10,202 (33.6)
Obama Comparison: +13.63%
Serving Since: 1991
Hometown: Neenah
Prior Offices: Neenah City Council
Education: N/A
Birthday: 5/23/1957
Place of Birth: Outagamie County
Profession: Trophy and Awards Store Owner
Religion: N/A

Notes: This district goes from being a very competitive district to a district that it would be hard to see a Democrat win, other then in a wave year. This was done by adding the City of Menasha to the Appleton centric 57th District and giving this district more rural areas from the 56th. This is still a district that Democrats need to compete for in order to get close in the Assembly, but will have to wait until Dean Kaufert moves on.

Assembly District 56

Counties: Outagamie and Winnebago 
PVI: R+8
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 14,330 (44.33%)/ Romney 18,537 (57.34%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 14,980 (48.89%)/ McCain 15,240 (49.74%)
Swing: 12.16% Republican
Trend: 5.19% Republican
Change in PVI (New/Old): R+8/R+10

Representative: David Murphy

Party: Republican
Last Election: Dave Murphy 18,306 (58.3%)/ Richard Schoenbohm 13,071 (41.6%) 
Obama Comparison: +2.71
Serving Since: 2013
Hometown: Greenville
Prior Offices: None
Education:  N/A
Birthday: 11/26/1954
Place of Birth: Appleton, WI
Profession: N/A
Religion: Lutheran

Notes: This district gets two points more Democratic, this was done by giving more rural areas to 55th District and taking in some of the Northern parts of Appleton. Means nothing, as this district is still very Republican. 

Assembly District 57

Counties: Outagamie and Winnebago
PVI: D+6
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 15,533 (58.23%)/ Romney 11,127 (39.19%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 18,020 (62.37%)/ McCain 10,240 (35.44%)
Swing: 7.89% Republican
Trend: 0.92% Republican
Change in PVI (New/Old): D+6/D+3

Representative: Penny Bernard Schaber

Party: Democratic
Last Election: Uncontested
Obama Comparison: Uncontested
Serving Since: 2008
Hometown: Appleton, WI
Prior Offices: None
Education: Southern Illinois University
Birthday: 11/5/1953
Place of Birth: Mundelein, IL
Profession: N/A
Religion: N/A

Notes: This district gets 3 points more Democratic by adding the City of Menasha. This is very safe Democratic seat for Northeast Wisconsin.   
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Gass3268
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« Reply #54 on: June 13, 2013, 06:42:59 PM »

Senate District 20

Counties: Calumet, Fond du Lac, Ozaukee, Sheboygan and Washington 
Three Largest Entities: West Bend, Cedarburg and Port Washington   
PVI: R+20
Incumbent Party: R/RRR
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 33,919 (31.87%)/ Romney 71,420 (67.10%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 35,410 (37.15%)/ McCain 58,631 (61.51%)
Swing: 10.87% Republican
Trend: 3.90% Republican
Change in PVI (New/Old): R+19.5/R+21

Senator: Glenn Grothman

Party: Republican
Last Election: Glen Grothman 66,882 (68.6%)/ Tanya Lohr 30,504 (31.3%
Obama Comparison: +0.57%
Serving Since: 2005
Hometown: West Bend
Prior Offices: Wisconsin Sate Assembly
Education: University of Wisconsin-Madison (Bachelors)/ University of Wisconsin-Madison (J.D.)
Birthday: 7/3/1955
Place of Birth: Milwaukee, WI
Profession: N/A
Religion: N/A

Notes: This district went from being shaped more like a box to vertical rectangle. It gets a point and a half less Democratic, but it is still the most Republican district in the state. 

Assembly District 58

Counties: Washington
PVI: R+21
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 9,703 (30.42%)/ Romney 21,952 (68.82%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 11,302 (36.88%)/ McCain 18,968 (61.89%)
Swing: 13.39% Republican
Trend: 6.42% Republican
Change in PVI (New/Old): R+21/R+20

Representative: Patricia Strachota

Party: Republican
Last Election: Uncontested
Obama Comparison: Uncontested
Serving Since: 2005
Hometown: West Bend, WI
Prior Offices: Washington County Board of Supervisors
Education: St. Mary’s College 
Birthday: 6/29/1955
Place of Birth: Cuyahoga County, OH
Profession: N/A
Religion: N/A

Notes: This district stays relatively the same other then becoming a more vertical district rather then the previous horizontal shape. Is a very Republican seat.

Assembly District 59

Counties: Calumet, Fond du Lac, Sheboygan and Washington
PVI: R+19
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 12,900 (33.13%)/ Romney 25,561 (65.65%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 11,622 (38.17%)/ McCain 18,337 (60.23%)
Swing: 10.46% Republican
Trend: 3.49% Republican
Change in PVI (New/Old): R+24/R+19.5ß

Representative: Daniel LeMahieu

Party: Republican
Last Election: Uncontested 
Obama Comparison: Uncontested
Serving Since: 2003
Hometown: Cascade
Prior Offices: Sheboygan County Board
Education: N/A
Birthday: 11/5/1946
Place of Birth: Sheboygan, WI
Profession: N/A
Religion: N/A

Notes: This district takes a more vertical shape as it goes through the county boundary line between Calumet/Fond du Lac and Sheboygan. No change in the partisan nature as it is a very safe Republican seat.

Assembly District 60

Counties: Ozaukee and Washington
PVI: R+20.5
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 11,316 (31.78%)/ Romney 23,907 (67.14%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 12,386 (36.51%)/ McCain 21,129 (62.28%)
Swing: 9.59% Republican
Trend: 2.62% Republican
Change in PVI (New/Old): R+19.5/R+18

Representative: Duey Strobel

Party: Republican
Last Election: Duey Strobel 23,905 (71.1%)/ Perry Duman 9,682 (28.8%) 
Obama Comparison: +2.99%
Serving Since: 2011
Hometown: Saukville
Prior Offices: None
Education: University of Wisconsin Madison (Bachelors)/ University of Wisconsin-Madison (M.S.)
Birthday: 9/1/1959
Place of Birth: Cedarburg, WI
Profession: Real Estate
Religion: N/A

Notes: This district becomes more compact and it moves out of Village of Grafton. Actually gets more Republican, if that was possible. 
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« Reply #55 on: June 14, 2013, 06:37:25 AM »

Senate District 21

Counties: Kenosha and Racine
Three Largest Entities: Caledonia, Mount Pleasant and Pleasant Prairie     
PVI: R+9
Incumbent Party: D/RRR
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 41,116 (44.06%)/ Romney 51,248 (54.92%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 43,987 (47.45%)/ McCain 47,460 (51.20%)
Swing: 7.11% Republican
Trend: 0.14% Republican
Change in PVI (New/Old): R+9/R+1.5

Senator: John Lehman

Party: Democratic
Last Election: John Lehman 36,351 (50.5%)/ Van Wanggaard (49.4%) (2012-Recall) 
Obama Comparison: 2014 Election
Serving Since: 2012 (Also prior from 2007-2010)
Hometown: Racine
Prior Offices: Racine City Council and Wisconsin State Assembly
Education: Luther College (Bachelors)/ Carthage College (M.A.)
Birthday: 8/2/1945
Place of Birth: Rhinelander, WI
Profession: N/A
Religion: N/A

Notes: This district radically changed with redistrict. The former district was previously centered in Racine County and was a great competitive district. Now the district takes in all of the rural and most of the suburban areas of Kenosha and Racine Counties. This has made the district unwinnable for the Democrats. Senator John Lehman, who narrowly won a recall race in 2012, would not be competitive in this district. Some brilliant gerrymandering here!

Assembly District 61

Counties: Kenosha
PVI: R+8
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 13,611 (44.33%)/ Romney 16,727 (54.48%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 14,215 (47.45%)/ McCain 47,460 (51.20%)
Swing: 8.47% Republican
Trend: 1.50% Republican
Change in PVI (New/Old): R+13/D+9

Representative: Samantha Kerkman

Party: Republican
Last Election: Samantha Kerkman 16,589 (55.7%)/ John Steinbrink 13,186 (44.3%)
Obama Comparison: +0.08%
Serving Since: 2001
Hometown: Powers Lake
Prior Offices: N/A
Education: University of Wisconsin-Whitewater
Birthday: 3/6/1974
Place of Birth: Burlington, WI
Profession: N/A
Religion: Roman Catholic

Notes: This district is a mix of Assembly district 65 and 66. As the rural and suburban Kenosha County district, it is a very safe Republican district. It was an incumbent on incumbent race as John Steinbrink decided to go down fighting.

Assembly District 62

Counties: Racine 
PVI: R+7.5
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 15,593 (45.67%)/ Romney 18,228 (53.39%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 16,210 (48.09%)/ McCain 17,066 (50.63%
Swing: 5.18% Republican
Trend: 1.79% Democratic
Change in PVI (New/Old): R+8/D+4

Representative: Thomas Weatherston

Party: Republican
Last Election: Thomas Weatherston 17,045 (53.1%)/ Melissa Lemke 15,054 (46.9%)
Obama Comparison: -1.18%
Serving Since: 2013
Hometown: Racine
Prior Offices: Caledonia Village Council
Education: State University of New York at Buffalo
Birthday: 2/15/1950
Place of Birth: Buffalo, NY
Profession: N/A
Religion: N/A

Notes: This district is the northern Racine County rural and suburban district. It does also include some northwestern parts of the city of Racine. Even though there are some strong Democratic areas in the eastern part of the district, this is also a safe Republican seat.

Assembly District 63

Counties: Kenosha
PVI: R+10.5
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 11,912 (41.84%)/ Romney 16,293 (57.23%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 13,562 (45.81%)/ McCain 15,685 (52.98%)
Swing: 8.22% Republican
Trend: 1.25% Republican
Change in PVI (New/Old): R+14/D+10.5

Representative: Robin Vos

Party: Republican
Last Election: Robin Vos 17,704 (58.3%)/ Kelley Albrecht 12,637 (41.6%)
Obama Comparison: +0.22%
Serving Since: 2005
Hometown: Burlington
Prior Offices: Racine County Board
Education: University of Wisconsin-Whitewater
Birthday: 8/5/1968
Place of Birth: Burlington, WI
Profession: Owner of Several Small Businesses
Religion: Roman Catholic

Notes: This district is the southern Racine rural and suburban district. Again there are some areas of Democratic strength in the eastern part of the district, but this is a very strong Republican district. Robin Vos is the Speaker of the Assembly.
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« Reply #56 on: June 17, 2013, 08:47:04 PM »

Senate District 22

Counties: Kenosha and Racine
Three Largest Entities: Kenosha, Racine and Somers
PVI: D+12
Incumbent Party: D/DDD
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 51,841 (66.54%)/ Romney 25,147 (32.28%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 52,078 (66.72%)/ McCain 24,718 (31.67%)
Swing: 0.79% Republican
Trend: 6.18% Democratic
Change in PVI (New/Old): D+11/D+0

Representative: Robert Wirch

Party: Democrat
Last Election: Robert Wirch 51,177 (69.6%)/ Pam Stevens 22,278 (30.3%)
Obama Comparison: -3.03%
Serving Since: 1997
Hometown: Pleasant Prairie 
Prior Offices: Kenosha County Supervisor and Wisconsin State Assembly
Education: University of Wisconsin-Parkside
Birthday: 11/16/1943
Place of Birth: Kenosha, WI
Profession: N/A
Religion: N/A

Notes: This is the opposite of the previous district as is this is the Kenosha and Racine urban district. This is a very safe Democratic district. This gerrymander move resulted in transforming 1 Likely & 1 Lean Democratic Senate Seats into a Safe Democratic and Safe Democratic Seat. Also on the Assembly level it went from 4 Democratic Seats and 2 Republican Seats to 3 Democratic Seats and 3 Republican Seats. Senator Robert Wirch would have to move into Kenosha proper if he wants to run for reelection in 2014.

Assembly District 64

Counties: Kenosha and Racine
PVI: D+5.5
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 16,827 (58.81%)/ Romney 11,453 (40.03%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 16,819 (61.29%)/ McCain 10,161 (37.03%)
Swing: 5.48% Republican
Trend: 1.49% Democratic
Change in PVI (New/Old): D+5/D+11.5

Representative: Peter Barca

Party: Democrat
Last Election: Uncontested
Obama Comparison: Uncontested
Serving Since: 2009 (Also prior from 1984-1992)
Hometown: Kenosha
Prior Offices: United States Congress
Education: University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee (Bachelors)/ University of Wisconsin-Madison (M.A.)
Birthday: 8/7/1955
Place of Birth: Kenosha, WI
Profession: N/A
Religion: N/A

Notes: This is the Northwestern Kenosha and Racine connection district. This is a pretty safe Democratic seat. Representative Peter Barca is the Minority Leader in the Assembly.

Assembly District 65

Counties: Kenosha
PVI: D+12.5
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 16,654 (66.92%)/ Romney 7,892 (31.71%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 17,462 (66.89%)/ McCain 8,169 (31.29%)
Swing: 0.39% Republican
Trend: 6.58% Democratic
Change in PVI (New/Old): D+11/D+1.5

Representative: Tom Ohnstad

Party: Democrat
Last Election: Uncontested
Obama Comparison: Uncontested
Serving Since: 2013
Hometown: Kenosha
Prior Offices: City of Kenosha Alderman
Education: University of Wisconsin-Parkside
Birthday: 5/21/1952
Place of Birth: Eau Claire, WI
Profession: N/A
Religion: N/A

Notes: This is the primary Kenosha district. This is a very safe Democratic seat.

Assembly District 66

Counties: Kenosha
PVI: 19.5
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 18,360 (75.21%)/ Romney 5,802 (23.77%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 17,797 (72.60%)/ McCain 6,388 (26.06%)
Swing: 4.90% Democratic
Trend: 11.87% Democratic
Change in PVI (New/Old):

Representative: Cory Mason

Party: Democratic
Last Election: Uncontested
Obama Comparison: Uncontested
Serving Since: 2007
Hometown: Racine
Prior Offices: None
Education: University of Wisconsin-Madison
Birthday: 1/25/1973
Place of Birth: Racine, WI
Profession: N/A
Religion: N/A

Notes: This is the primary Racine district. This is a very safe Democratic district.   
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« Reply #57 on: June 24, 2013, 12:25:41 AM »

Senate District 23

Counties: Barron, Chippewa, Clark, Dunn, Eau Claire, Jackson, Marathon, Trempealeau and Wood
Three Largest Entities: Marshfield, Chippewa Falls and Altoona   
PVI: R+4
Incumbent Party: R/RRR
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 39,587 (47.62%)/ Romney 42,399 (51.00%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 44,478 (53.81%)/ McCain 36,674 (44.37%)
Swing: 12.82% Republican
Trend: 4.85% Republican
Change in PVI (New/Old): R+4/R+4.5

Senator: Terry Moulton

Party: Republican
Last Election: Terry Moulton 39,864 (56.6%)/ Kristen Dexter 30,504 (43.3%) (2012-Recall) 
Obama Comparison: 2014 Eleaction
Serving Since: 2011
Hometown: Chippewa Falls
Prior Offices: Wisconsin State Assembly
Education: University of Wisconsin-Eau Claire
Birthday: 8/191946
Place of Birth: Whitefish, MT
Profession: Owner of Archery and Tackle Shop and Fishing Tackle Manufacturer
Religion: N/A

Notes: The main change of this district was it totally pulled out of the city of Eau Claire and it went farther into eastern Eau Claire County. This resulted in this district becoming a point and a half more Republican. The trends in this area of the state are not good for the Democrats and it would probably take a wave for them to take it back. 

Assembly District 67

Counties: Barron, Chippewa and Dunn
PVI: R+4
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 13,876 (48.12%)/ Romney 14,588 (50.59%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 15,170 (52.70%)/ McCain 13,098 (45.50%)
Swing: 9.67% Republican
Trend: 2.70% Republican
Change in PVI (New/Old): R+4.5/R+4.5

Representative: Thomas Larson

Party: Republican
Last Election: Thomas Larson 15,194 (53.%)/ Deb Bieging 13,325 (46.7%) 
Obama Comparison: +1.43%
Serving Since: 2011
Hometown: Colfax
Prior Offices: N/A
Education: N/A
Birthday: 2/11/1948
Place of Birth: Eau Claire, WI
Profession: N/A
Religion: N/A

Notes: This district only visually changed, as it had to shrink by moving out of Barron County. This district could probably go Democrat in a good year and a good candidate. It is a district they would need in order to win the Assembly back

Assembly District 68

Counties: Chippewa, Clark, Eau Claire, Jackson and Trempealeau   
PVI: R+1
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 14,195 (50.99%)/ Romney 13,260 (47.63%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 15,033 (55.67%)/ McCain 11,526 (42.69%)
Swing: 9.62% Republican
Trend: 2.65% Republican
Change in PVI (New/Old): R+1.5/D+3

Representative: Kathleen Bernier

Party: Republican
Last Election: Kathleen Bernier 13,758 (52.4%)/ Judy Smriga 12,482 (47.5%)
Obama Comparison: +3.46%
Serving Since: 2011
Hometown: Chippewa Falls
Prior Offices: Village of Lake Hallie Trustee
Education: University of Wisconsin-Eau Claire
Birthday: 4/29/1956
Place of Birth: Eau Claire, WI
Profession: N/A
Religion: N/A

Notes: This is another district that the Democrats would need to win in order to get closer in the Assembly. By moving out of the City of Eau Claire and into Clark County the district did get much more Republican, but Obama still won the district 2012. This district is very similar to the 67th. 

Assembly District 69

Counties: Clark, Marathon and Wood
PVI: R+6
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 11,516 (43.53%)/ Romney 14,551 (55.00%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 14,504 (53.08%)/ McCain 12,274 (44.92%)
Swing: 19.63% Republican
Trend: 12.66% Republican
Change in PVI (New/Old): R+5.5/R+6

Representative: Scott Suder

Party: Republican
Last Election: Scott Suder 15,785 (61.2%)/ Paul Knoff 9,998 (38.7%)
Obama Comparison: +4.79%
Serving Since: 1999
Hometown: Abbotsford
Prior Offices: Abbotsford City Council 
Education: University of Wisconsin-Eau Claire
Birthday: 9/28/1968
Place of Birth: Medford, WI
Profession: N/A
Religion: N/A

Notes: This district is more Republican then it’s rating. Obama over performed here in 2008. Also Scott Suder is very popular, he did almost 5 points better then Romney and he is the Majority Leader in the Assembly.   
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« Reply #58 on: June 24, 2013, 12:40:30 AM »

Senate District 24

Counties: Adams, Jackson, Monroe, Portage, Waushara and Wood
Three Largest Entities: Stevens Point, Wisconsin Rapids and Sparta   
PVI: D+3
Incumbent Party: D/DDR
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 46,654 (51.61%)/ Romney 42,299 (46,79%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 52,254 (58.00%)/ McCain 36,121 (40.09%)
Swing: 13.09% Republican
Trend: 6.12% Republican
Change in PVI (New/Old): D+1/D+2

Senator: Julie Lassa 

Party: Democratic
Last Election: Julie Lass 48,677 (56.6%)/ Scott Kenneth Noble 37,259 (43.3%)
Obama Comparison: -4.98%
Serving Since: 2003
Hometown: Stevens Point
Prior Offices: Dewey Town Board and Wisconsin State Assembly
Education: University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Birthday: 10/21/1970
Place of Birth: Stevens Point, WI
Profession: N/A
Religion: N/A

Notes: This district saw big changes as it lost the Marshfield area of Wood County and all of Southern Adams County. It its place it gained Sparta and Tomah in Monroe County, parts of Eastern Jackson County and more of Western Waushara. This entire process resulted in the district becoming a point less Democratic. This district should be safe with Lassa as the incumbent, but could be competitive in the future.

Assembly District 70

Counties: Jackson, Monroe, Portage and Wood 
PVI: R+3
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 13,683 (48.43%)/ Romney 14,116 (49.96%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 15,068 (54.77%)/ McCain 11,957 (43.47%)
Swing: 12.83% Republican
Trend: 5.86% Republican
Change in PVI (New/Old): R+3/R+0.5

Representative: Amy Sue Vruwink

Party: Democratic
Last Election: Amy Sue Vruwink 13,518 (50.2%)/ Nancy VanderMeer 13,374 (49.7%)
Obama Comparison: -1.76%
Serving Since: 2003
Hometown: Milladore
Prior Offices: None
Education: Marian University 
Birthday: 5/22/1975
Place of Birth: Wisconsin Rapids, WI
Profession: N/A
Religion: N/A

Notes: Representative Vruwink got screwed in redistricting and yet survived in 2012. I unfortunately don’t see that happening in 2014 with what will probably be depressed turnout. Her old district would have still been difficult, but it would have had areas, like Marshfield, that she was familiar with and the voters there would have been familiar with her. Maybe she’ll be able to put down some roots with the new people in her district, especially in Northern Monroe County, but I would doubt it. 

Assembly District 71

Counties: Portage
PVI: D+6.5
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 18,451 (57.37%)/ Romney 13,155 (40.91%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 22,229 (64.79%)/ McCain 11,395 (33.21%)
Swing: 15.21% Republican
Trend: 8.15% Republican
Change in PVI (New/Old): D+8/D+7

Representative: Katrina Shankland

Party: Democrat
Last Election: Katrina Shankland 17,619 (60.8%)/ Patrick Testin 11,279 (38.9%)
Obama Comparison: -3.45%
Serving Since: 2013
Hometown: Stevens Point
Prior Offices: None
Education: University of Wisconsin-Madison
Birthday: 8/4/1987
Place of Birth: Wausau, WI
Profession: N/A
Religion: N/A

Notes: The trend for this district between 2008 and 2012 is pretty scary for the Democrats, but Obama still won this district by 17 points in the last election and it is one of few seats north of Madison that Walker lost in his recall race. It is still a very safe Democratic district. District pulled out of Waushara in order to give that to District 72.

Assembly District 72

Counties: Adams, Portage, Waushara and Wood
PVI: R+3
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 14,520 (48.41%)/ Romney 15,028 (50.11%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 15,957 (54.50%)/ McCain 12,769 (43.61%)
Swing: 12.59% Republican
Trend: 5.62% Republican
Change in PVI (New/Old): R+2.5/R+0.5

Representative: Scott Krug

Party: Republican
Last Election: Scott Krug 14,138 (50.2%)/ Justin Pluess 14,029 (49.8%)
Obama Comparison: -1.36%
Serving Since: 2011
Hometown: Nekoosa
Prior Offices: None
Education: University of Wisconsin-Green Bay
Birthday: 9/16/1975
Place of Birth: Wisconsin Rapids, WI
Profession: Employment Training Specialist
Religion: N/A

Notes: By taking away the Southern Adams County and adding very Republican areas in Waushara County this district got 2 points more Republican through redistricting. This saved Representative Scott Krug as even one more half a point towards the Democrats would have lead to his defeat.   
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« Reply #59 on: June 24, 2013, 12:50:56 AM »
« Edited: June 24, 2013, 01:49:48 PM by Senator Gass3268 »

Senate District 25

Counties: Ashland, Barron, Bayfield, Burnett, Douglas, Dunn, Iron, Polk, Price, Sawyer, St. Croix and Vilas
Three Largest Entities: Superior, Rice Lake and Ashland
PVI: D+2.5
Incumbent Party: D/DDD
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 51,637 (55.48%)/ Romney 39,992 (42.97%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 55,409 (56.68%)/ McCain 37,517 (39.73%)
Swing: 6.44% Republican
Trend: 0.53% Democratic
Change in PVI (New/Old): D+3.5/D+3.5

Senator: Robert Jauch

Party: Democratic
Last Election: Robert Jauch 31,437 (51.27%)/ Dane Deutsch 29,854 (48.69%)
Obama Comparison: 2014 Election
Serving Since: 1987
Hometown: Poplar
Prior Offices: Wisconsin State Assembly
Education: N/A
Birthday: 11/22/1945
Place of Birth: Wheaton, IL
Profession: N/A
Religion: N/A

Notes: This district takes all of Price County and in return loses most of Sawyer County. The partisan nature of the district doesn’t change and it will remain a safe Democratic seat throughout the decade. The problem for Democrats will be if there loss continual loss in population in this region of the state and this district has to go further into Republican areas.

Assembly District 73

Counties: Burnett, Douglas and Washburn
PVI: D+7
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 18,712 (60.84%)/ Romney 11,566 (37.61%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 20,103 (62.48%)/ McCain 11,537 (35.86%)
Swing: 3.39% Republican
Trend: 3.58% Democratic 
Change in PVI (New/Old): D+7/D+7.5

Representative: Nick Milroy

Party: Democrat
Last Election: Uncontested
Obama Comparison: Uncontested
Serving Since: 2009
Hometown: South Range
Prior Offices: Superior City Council
Education: University of Wisconsin-Superior
Birthday: 4/15/1974
Place of Birth: Duluth, MN
Profession: N/A
Religion: N/A

Notes: The only changes to this district were some changes in what townships were included. It is a very safe Democratic seat.

Assembly District 74

Counties: Ashland, Bayfield, Douglas, Iron, Price, Sawyer and Vilas 
PVI: D+4.5
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 19,077 (57.63%)/ Romney 13,505 (40.80%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 19,681 (60.54%)/ McCain 12,300 (37.84%)
Swing: 5.87% Republican
Trend: 1.10% Democratic
Change in PVI (New/Old): D+6/D+4.5

Representative: Janet Bewley

Party: Democrat
Last Election: Janet Bewley 18,582 (59%)/ John Sendra 12,911 (41%)
Obama Comparison: -1.34%
Serving Since: 2011
Hometown: Ashland
Prior Offices: Ashland City Council
Education: Case Western Reserve (Bachelors)/ University of Maine (M.A.)
Birthday: 11/10/1951
Place of Birth: Plainesville, OH
Profession: N/A
Religion: N/A

Notes: By dropping most of Sawyer County and adding Price County this district became even safer for the Democrats. It also moved into the Lac du Flambea, a safe Democratic Native American Reservation. 

Assembly District 75

Counties: Barron, Burnett, Dunn, Polk, St. Croix and Washburn
PVI: R+4.5
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 13,848 (47.41%)/ Romney 14,921 (51.08%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 15,445 (52.24%)/ McCain 13,680 (46.27%)
Swing: 9.64% Republican
Trend: 2.67% Republican
Change in PVI (New/Old): R+3.5/R+3

Representative: Stephen Smith

Party: Democrat
Last Election: Stephen Smith 14,456 (51%)/ Roger Rivard 13,841 (48.8%)   
Obama Comparison: -3.61%
Serving Since: 2013
Hometown: Shell Lake
Prior Offices: Barron County Board of Supervisors
Education: University of Wisconsin-Superior 
Birthday: 8/31/1951
Place of Birth: Minneapolis, MN
Profession: Home Center Owner
Religion: Roman Catholic

Notes: Stephen Smith defeated Roger “Some Girls Just Rape Easy” Rivard in 2012, but not by as big of a margin as he should have. This is the most likely seat to flip to the other party in 2014 as I don’t see Representative Smith being able to hold a trending Republican seat that is already R+3.5.
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« Reply #60 on: June 24, 2013, 01:07:22 AM »

Senate District 26

Counties: Dane    
Three Largest Entities: Madison and Shorewood Hills
PVI: D+25
Incumbent Party: D/DDD
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 89,760 (78.56%)/ Romney 22,184 (19.42)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 87,600 (80.67%)/ McCain 19,203 (17.68%)
Swing: 3.85% Republican
Trend: 3.12% Democratic
Change in PVI (New/Old): D+28.5/D+29

Senator: Fred Risser

Party: Democrat
Last Election: Uncontested
Obama Comparison: Uncontested
Serving Since: 1963
Hometown: Madison
Prior Offices: Wisconsin State Assembly
Education: University of Oregon (Bachelors)/ University of Oregon (LL.B.)
Birthday: 5/5/1927
Place of Birth: Madison, WI
Profession: Attorney
Religion: N/A

Notes: This is a Madison centric district taking all of the Westside and the Downtown Isthmus areas. It is the safest Democratic district outside of Milwaukee and is the home of Senator Fred Risser who is the longest serving member in the history of the Wisconsin Legislature and currently longest serving legislature in the United States.

Assembly District 76

Counties: Dane
PVI: D+27.5
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 33,815 (81.44%)/ Romney 6,504 (15.66%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 34,256 (84.32%)/ McCain 5,499 (13.54%)
Swing: 5.00% Republican
Trend: 1.97% Democratic
Change in PVI (New/Old): D+32.5/D+26

Representative: Chris Taylor

Party: Democrat
Last Election: Uncontested
Obama Comparison: Uncontested
Serving Since:  2011
Hometown: Madison
Prior Offices: None
Education: University of Pennsylvania (Bachelors)/ University of Wisconsin-Madison(J.D.) 
Birthday: 1/13/1968
Place of Birth: Los Angeles, CA
Profession: N/A
Religion: N/A

Notes: The numbers for the Madison Assembly districts got all rearranged, making things very confusing. This is really the area of the old 78th District ad both made up the Isthmus, parts of the University of Wisconsin-Madison campus and the near Eastside. This district shrunk rapidly in redistrict, as it had to shred a good amount of population in Northeast and Southern parts of Madison. Representative Chris Taylor used to represent the 47th district, but here home was moved in here. This was current Congressman Mark Pocan’s district and is an extremely safe Democratic seat.

Assembly District 77

Counties: Dane
PVI: D+28
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 29,537 (82.10%)/ 5,819 (16.17%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 28,970 (82.70%)/ 5,531 (15.79%)
Swing: 0.98% Republican
Trend: 5.99% Democratic
Change in PVI (New/Old): D+31/D+26.5

Representative: Terese Berceau

Party: Democrat
Last Election: Uncontested
Obama Comparison: Uncontested
Serving Since: 1999
Hometown: Madison
Prior Offices: Dane County Board of Supervisors
Education: University of Wisconsin-Madison (Bachelors)/ University of Wisconsin-Madison (M.A.) 
Birthday: 8/23/1973
Place of Birth: Green Bay, WI
Profession: Staff for Robert M Lafollette School at University of Wisconsin-Madison, Real Estate and substitute teacher
Religion: N/A

Notes: What they did with the new 77th and 78th Assembly districts is they split the area vertically, instead of horizontally. The 77th becomes the near Westside district with most of Southside of Madison and the 78th becomes the far Westside district. This is an extremely safe Democratic seat.   

Assembly District 78

Counties: Dane
PVI: D+18.5
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 26,408 (71.83%)/ Romney 9,861 (26.82%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 24,249 (73,94%)/ McCain 8,154 (24.86%)
Swing: 4.07% Republican
Trend: 2.90% Democratic
Change in PVI (New/Old): D+21/D+34

Representative: Brett Hulsey

Party: Democrat
Last Election: Brett Hulsey 22,853 (75.4%)/ Jonathan Debering 7,323  (Green) (24.2%) 
Obama Comparison: -3.61%
Serving Since: 2011
Hometown: Madison
Prior Offices: Dane County Supervisor
Education: Middlebury College (Bachelors)/ University of Oklahoma (M.A.) 
Birthday: 5/28/1959
Place of Birth: Oklahoma City, OK
Profession: Founder-Owner of a Energy and Environmental Consulting Firm
Religion: N/A

Notes: This is the far Westside of Madison district and it did take in a little bit of the old 79th District that went into Madison. There are some rumors right now that Representative Brett Hulsey may leave the Democrats and become an Independent. While this district is less Democratic then the other Madison districts, it would still be a death sentence for the Representative if he made that move.   
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« Reply #61 on: June 24, 2013, 03:13:42 AM »

You finally got my area! Anyways i seem to recall jauch having a opponent in 2010 so i think that's wrong that he was unopposed. As for smith he will lose for being poorly spoken more than the districts lean  I wager.
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« Reply #62 on: June 24, 2013, 01:50:41 PM »

You finally got my area! Anyways i seem to recall jauch having a opponent in 2010 so i think that's wrong that he was unopposed. As for smith he will lose for being poorly spoken more than the districts lean  I wager.

I don't know how I missed that he had an opponent.
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« Reply #63 on: June 24, 2013, 02:09:14 PM »

Senate District 27

Counties: Columbia, Dane, Green, Iowa and Sauk
Three Largest Entities: Middleton, Waunakee and Baraboo   
PVI: D+8.5
Incumbent Party: D/DDD
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 63,466 (62.07%)/ Romney 37,823 (36.99%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 61,049 (64.26%)/ McCain 32,847 (34.58%)
Swing: 4.60% Republican
Trend: 2.37% Democratic
Change in PVI (New/Old): D+9.5/D=12.5

Senator: Jon Erpenbach

Party: Democrat
Last Election: Jon Erpenbach 51,742 (61.84%)/ Kurt Schlicht 31,909 (38.13%) (2010 – Old Lines) 
Obama Comparison: 2014 Election
Serving Since: 1999
Hometown: Middleton
Prior Offices: None
Education: N/A
Birthday: 1/28/1961
Place of Birth: Middleton, WI
Profession: N/A
Religion: N/A

Notes: This district changed in a big way by moving to the north intro Western Columbia County and Eastern Sauk County from Green County. This was done in order to get Representative Fred Clark out of the 14th Senate District. As a result the district moved 3 points towards the Republicans, but it still has enough Westside Madison suburbs to make it a very safe Democratic seat.

Assembly District 79

Counties: Dane
PVI: D+7.5
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 22,538 (60.82%)/ Romney 14,174 (38.25%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 21,230 (63.67%)/ McCain 11,798 (35.38%
Swing: 5.72% Republican
Trend: 1.25% Democratic
Change in PVI (New/Old): D+9.5/D+14

Representative: Dianne Hesselbein

Party: Democrat
Last Election: Uncontested
Obama Comparison: Uncontested
Serving Since: 2013
Hometown: Middleton
Prior Offices: Dane County Board of Supervisors
Education: University of Wisconsin-Oshkosh (Bachelors)/ Edgewood College (M.A.)
Birthday: 3/10/1971
Place of Birth: Madison, WI
Profession: N/A
Religion: N/A

Notes: This district has gone from being a strip that went from the Western Madison suburbs to the western part of the county, to a district that hugs the City of Madison. It goes from the northeast township of Burke, all the way around to the western parts of the Town of Verona. The districts moves almost 5 points to the Republicans as it lost many solid Democratic areas, but it is still a very safe Democratic seat. 

Assembly District 80

Counties: Dane, Green and Iowa
PVI: D+11
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 22,359 (64.03%)/ Romney 12,268 (35.13%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 22,157 (66.89%)/ McCain 10,571 (31.91%)
Swing: 6.08% Republican
Trend: 0.89% Democratic
Change in PVI (New/Old): D+12/D+8.5

Representative: Sondy Pope-Roberts

Party: Democrat
Last Election: Sondy Pope-Roberts 20,864 (63.9%)/ Tom Lamberson 11,771 (36%)
Obama Comparison: +0.18%
Serving Since: 2003
Hometown: Cross Plaines
Prior Offices: None
Education: N/A
Birthday: 4/27/1950
Place of Birth: Madison, WI
Profession: N/A
Religion: N/A

Notes: This district gets 3.5 points more Democratic as it moves out of Southern Green County and into friendly Democratic areas like Southeastern Iowa County, Verona and Fitchburg. This is a safe Democratic seat.

Assembly District 81

Counties: Columbia, Dane, Iowa and Sauk
PVI: D+7
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 18,569 (61.34%)/ Romney 11,381 (37.59%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 17,896 (61.89%)/ McCain 10,627 (36.75%)
Swing: 1.39% Republican
Trend: 5.5*% Democratic 
Change in PVI (New/Old): D+6/D+14

Representative: Fred Clark

Party: Democrat
Last Election: Fred Clark 17,829 (61.8%)/ Scott Frostman 10,995 (38.1%)
Obama Comparison: -0.49%
Serving Since: 2009
Hometown: Sauk City
Prior Offices: 
Education:  Michigan State University (Bachelors)/ University of Wisconsin-Madison (M.S.)
Birthday: 5/14/1954
Place of Birth: Ann Arbor, MI
Profession: Forester and Small Business Owner
Religion: N/A

Notes: This district is essential a majority of the old 42nd and parts of the 47th, 51st and the old 81st. The point was to put Fred Clark’s home turf out of the 14th Senate District so it would have been harder for him to hold that district had he won the 2011 recall race.
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« Reply #64 on: June 24, 2013, 02:23:42 PM »

Senate District 28

Counties: Milwaukee, Racine, Walworth and Waukesha
Three Largest Entities: Franklin, Muskego and Greenfield   
PVI: R+14.5
Incumbent Party: R/RRR
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 39,881 (38.48%)/ Romney 62,638 (60.44%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 41,54 (41.54%)/ McCain 57,077 (57.27%)
Swing: 6.23% Republican
Trend: 0.71% Democratic
Change in PVI (New/Old): R+14/R+16.5

Senator: Mary Lazich

Party: Republican
Last Election: Mary Lazich 60,854 (63.4%)/ Jim Ward 35,053 (36.5%)
Obama Comparison: +1.97%
Serving Since: 1999
Hometown: New Berlin
Prior Offices: New Berlin City Council, Waukesha County Board and Wisconsin State Senate
Education: University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee 
Birthday: 10/3/1952
Place of Birth: Loyal, WI
Profession: N/A
Religion: N/A

Notes:  This Southwest Milwaukee suburbs district shrank in size due to redistricting. It moved out of the Northern half of New Berlin and out of Mukwonago. It got a couple points less Republican, but is still very safe for the GOP.

Assembly District 82

Counties: Milwaukee
PVI: R+10.5
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 14,210 (42.72%)/ Romney 18,600 (55.92%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 14,735 (45.51%)/ McCain 17245 (53.26%)
Swing: 5.45% Republican
Trend: 1.49% Democratic
Change in PVI (New/Old): R+10/R+11.5

Representative: Jeff Stone

Party: Republican
Last Election: Jeff Stone 18,032 (60.2%)/ Kathleen Wied-Vincent 11,896 (39.7%)
Obama Comparison: +3.03%
Serving Since: 1999
Hometown: Greendale
Prior Offices: Greenfield City Council
Education: Washburn University
Birthday: 1/28/1961
Place of Birth: Topeka, KS
Profession: Printing Busniess Owner
Religion: N/A

Notes: This district stayed pretty much the same in redistricting. This is the most Republican district in Milwaukee County.

Assembly District 83

Counties: Milwaukee, Racine, Walworth and Waukesha 
PVI: R+21.5
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 11,304 (31.09%)/ Romney 24,734 (68.02%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 12,336 (35.42%)/ McCain 22,126 (63.53%)
Swing: 8.82% Republican
Trend: 1.88% Democratic
Change in PVI (New/Old): R+20/R+21

Representative: David Craig

Party: Republican
Last Election: David Craig 23,034 (69.7%)/ James Brownlow 9,967 (30.2%)
Obama Comparison: +0.91%
Serving Since: 2011
Hometown: Big Bend
Prior Offices: Village of Big Bend Trustee
Education: University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Birthday: 3/16/1979
Place of Birth: 3/16/1979
Profession: Real Estate Agent
Religion: N/A

Notes: This district also stayed pretty much the same with the differences being the loss of Mukwonago and the addition of Hales Corners. This is a very safe Republican district.

Assembly District 84

Counties: Milwaukee and Waukesha
PVI: R+11.5
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 14,367 (42.23%)/ Romney 19,304 (56.75%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 14,317 (44.17%)/ McCain 17,678 (54.54%)
Swing: 1.94% Republican
Trend: 5.00% Democratic
Change in PVI (New/Old): R+11/R+16.5

Representative: Mike Kuglitsch

Party: Republican
Last Election: Mike Kuglitsch 18,379 (62.7%)/ Jesse Roelke 10,882 (37.1%)
Obama Comparison: +5.12%
Serving Since: 2011
Hometown: New Berlin
Prior Offices: None
Education: University of Wisconsin-Whitewater
Birthday: 2/3/1960
Place of Birth: Milwaukee, WI
Profession: Business Consultant
Religion: N/A

Notes: It is rather unfortunate that they had to split up the City of New Berlin, as the old 84th was a really clean district with all the municipalities intact. Regardless, this is a very safe Republican district.
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« Reply #65 on: June 24, 2013, 02:42:37 PM »

Senate District 29

Counties: Clark, Marathon, Rusk, Sawyer, Taylor and Wood
Three Largest Entities:
PVI: Wausau, Weston and Rothschild     
Incumbent Party: R/DRR
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 41,526 (46.81%)/ Romney 46,095 (51.96%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 46,750 (53.31%)/ McCain 39,342 (44.86%)
Swing: 13.60% Republican
Trend: 6.66% Republican
Change in PVI (New/Old): R+4/R+3.5

Senator: Jerry Petrowski

Party: Republican
Last Election: Jerry Petrowski 44,107 (61.3%)/ Donna Seidel 27,744 (38.6%) (2012 Recall/Special Election)
Obama Comparison: 2014 Election
Serving Since: 2012
Hometown: Marathon
Prior Offices: Wisconsin State Senate
Education: N/A
Birthday: 6/16/1950
Place of Birth: Wausau, WI
Profession: N/A
Religion: N/A

Notes: I have never been a fan of this district, whether it is in this new Republican drawn map or the court drawn map for the last decade. It is the least compact district in either map and it takes the Wausau metro area and then goes into completely dissimilar areas in the Northwest Part of the state. The changes in the district made it a half a point, which will make it even harder for Democrats to get the district back after losing it in 2010. 

Assembly District 85

Counties: Marathon
PVI: D+0
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 15,023 (52.11)/ Romney 13,513 (46.84%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 16,309 (57.32%)/ McCain 11,625 (40.85%)
Swing: 11.20% Republican
Trend: 4.26% Republican
Change in PVI (New/Old): D+0.5/R+0

Representative: Mandy Wright 

Party: Democrat
Last Election: Mandy Wright 13,930 (49.7%)/ Patrick Snyder 13,025 (46.5%)
Obama Comparison: +2.41%
Serving Since: 2013
Hometown: Wausau
Prior Offices: None
Education: St. Olaf
Birthday: 6/7/1977
Place of Birth: Wausau, WI
Profession: N/A
Religion: N/A

Notes: This district actually got a half of point more Democratic through redistricting and it looks like that actually saved the Democrats in 2012. This area of the state is really trending away fast from Democrats and it wouldn’t shock me if Representative Wright loses in 2014.

Assembly District 86

Counties: Marathon and Wood
PVI: R+7
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 14,077 (43.85%)/ 17,617 (54.89%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 15,691 (51.09%)/ 14,488 (47.17%0
Swing: 14.96% Republican
Trend: 8.02% Republican
Change in PVI (New/Old): R+6.5/R+5.5

Representative: John Spiros

Party: Republican
Last Election: John Spiros 17,175 (55.6%)/ Dennis Halkoski 13,664 (44.2%) 
Obama Comparison: -0.39%
Serving Since: 2013
Hometown: Marshfield
Prior Offices: Marshfield City Council
Education: MTCC (A.A.S.)
Birthday: 8/28/1961
Place of Birth: Akron, OH
Profession: Vice President for Safety and Claims Management for a Transport Company
Religion: N/A

Notes: Representative Spiros ran and lost against Amy Sue Vruwink in the 2010 elections. This trend of this district is awful for the Democrats and I see no way how they could get this district back.

Assembly District 87

Counties: Clark, Marathon, Rusk, Sawyer and Taylor
PVI: R+6.5
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 12,417 (44.71%)/ 14,963 (53.87%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 14,314 (51.63%)/ 12,875 (46.44%)
Swing: 14.35%
Trend: 7.41%
Change in PVI (New/Old): R+5.5/R+4.5

Representative: Mary Williams

Party: Republican
Last Election: Mary Williams 15,680 (58.5%)/ Elizabeth Riley 11,100 (41.4%)
Obama Comparison: +3.28%
Serving Since: 2003
Hometown: Medford
Prior Offices: Taylor County Board
Education: University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Birthday: 7/8/1949
Place of Birth: Phillips, WI
Profession: Restaurant Owner
Religion: N/A

Notes: Like all the Assembly Districts in the 29th, the recent trends have been awful for the Democrats. This district switched out Price County for most of Sawyer County This is a very safe Republican seat. 
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« Reply #66 on: July 15, 2013, 09:22:43 PM »

Senate District 30

Counties: Brown, Marinette and Oconto
Three Largest Entities: Green Bay, Bellevue and Marinette     
PVI: R+0.5
Incumbent Party: D/RRD
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 42,461 (51.63%)/ Romney 38,733 (47.10%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 45,200 (56.58%)/ McCain 33,654 (42.13%)
Swing: 9.92% Republican
Trend: 2.95% Republican
Change in PVI (New/Old): R+1/R+1

Senator: Dave Hansen

Party: Democrat
Last Election: Dave Hansen 42,949 (54.2%)/ John Macco 36,178 (45.7%)
Obama Comparison: -2.60%
Serving Since: 2001
Hometown: Green Bay
Prior Offices: Brown County Board
Education: University of Wisconsin-Green Bay
Birthday: 12/18/1947
Place of Birth: Green Bay, WI
Profession: N/A
Religion: N/A

Notes: This district did not change much, just a few switches in the townships that make up the district. As long as Dave Hansen is here this district will be safe for the Democrats, but once he retires it could be competitive.

Assembly District 88

Counties: Brown
PVI: R+3.5
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 14,960 (48.71%)/ Romney 15,436 (50.26%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 15,633 (53.76%)/ McCain 13,147 (45.21%)
Swing: 10.10% Republican
Trend: 3.13% Republican
Change in PVI (New/Old): R+3.5/R+4.5

Representative: John Klenke

Party: Republican
Last Election: John Klenke 14,445 (52.4%)/ Ward Bacon 13,085 (47.5%)
Obama Comparison: +1.24%
Serving Since: 2011
Hometown: Green Bay
Prior Offices: None
Education: Bachelors and M.A. (No School Listed)
Birthday: 4/25/1958
Place of Birth: Green Bay, WI
Profession: N/A
Religion: Roman Catholic

Notes: Too much rural and suburban areas in this district for the Democrats. Could go to the Democrats in a good year, but they would have to preform well in Green Bay and De Pere. 

Assembly District 89

Counties: Brown, Marinette and Oconto
PVI: R+5.5
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 13,484 (45.96%)/ Romney 15,520 (52.90%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 14,673 (52.14%)/ McCain 13,098 (46.55%)
Swing: 12.53% Republican
Trend: 5.56% Republican
Change in PVI (New/Old): R+5.5/R+5.5

Representative: John Nygren

Party: Republican
Last Election: John Nygren 16,081 (59.1%)/ Joe Reinhard 11,129 (40.9%)
Obama Comparison: +5.09%
Serving Since: 2007
Hometown: Marinette
Prior Offices: None
Education: N/A
Birthday: 2/27/1964
Place of Birth: Marinette, WI
Profession: Insurance and Financial Representative
Religion: N/A

Notes: This district takes all of the Eastern Green Bay shoreline.  There is too much of the Green Bay suburbs in the southern part of this district for it to be competitive.

Assembly District 90

Counties: Brown
PVI: D+10
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 14,017 (63.19%)/ 7,777 (35.06%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 14,894 (65.70%)/ 7,409 (32.68%)
Swing: 4.89% Republican
Trend: 2.08% Democratic
Change in PVI (New/Old): D+8.5/R+0.5

Representative: Eric Genrich

Party: Democrat
Last Election: Eric Genrich 11,353 (60.2%)/ David Vanderleest 7,432 (39.4%) 
Obama Comparison: 2.98%
Serving Since: 2013
Hometown: Green Bay
Prior Offices: None
Education: University of Wisconsin –Madison (Bachelors)/ University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee (MLIS)
Birthday: 10/8/1979
Place of Birth: Green Bay, WI
Profession: N/A
Religion: N/A

Notes: This district is a Green Bay Democratic vote sink. Democrats even won this district by double digits in 2010.
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« Reply #67 on: July 15, 2013, 09:36:48 PM »

Senate District 31

Counties: Buffalo, Chippewa, Dunn, Eau Claire, Jackson, Pepin, Pierce, Trempealeau and St. Croix
Three Largest Entities: Eau Claire, Prescott and Black River Falls   
PVI: D+2
Incumbent Party: D/DDR
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 49,805 (54.38%)/ Romney 40,408 (44.12%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 53,386 (58.85%)/ McCain 35,786 (39.45%)
Swing: 11.00% Republican
Trend: 4.06% Republican
Change in PVI (New/Old): D+2.5/D+0.5

Senator: Kathleen Vinehout

Party: Democrat
Last Election: Kathleen Vinehout 30,314 (50.27%)/ Ed Thompson 29,9911 (49.61%)
Obama Comparison: 2014 Election
Serving Since: 2007
Hometown: Alma
Prior Offices: None
Education: Southern Illinois University (Bachelors)/ St. Louis University (M.P.H.)/ St. Louis University (Ph.D.)
Birthday: 6/16/1958
Place of Birth: Albany, NY
Profession: Organic Farmer
Religion: N/A

Notes: This district got 2 points more Democrat as it lost all of Monroe County and added all of the City of Eau Claire. This should be a solid Democratic seat moving forward. 

Assembly District 91

Counties: Chippewa and Eau Claire
PVI:D+8
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 19,110 (60.47%)/ Romney 11,877 (37.59%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 20,322 (64.25%)/ McCain 10,745 (33.97%
Swing: 7.40% Republican
Trend: 0.46% Republican
Change in PVI (New/Old): D+8.5/D+1

Representative: Dana Wachs

Party: Democrat
Last Election: Uncontested
Obama Comparison: Uncontested
Serving Since: 2013
Hometown: Eau Claire
Prior Offices: Eau Claire City Council
Education: Marquette University (Bachelors)/ Valparaiso University (J.D.)   
Birthday: 8/25/1957
Place of Birth: Eau Claire, WI
Profession: Attorney
Religion: N/A

Notes: One positive change in this set of maps is Eau Claire has been unified into one assembly district. While that makes this more of a Democratic vote sink, it makes more sense when thinking of community of interests.

Assembly District 92

Counties: Buffalo, Jackson and Trempealeau
PVI: D+3.5
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 15,056 (55.80%)/ Romney 11,579 (42.91%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 16,349 (60.68%)/ McCain 10,187 (37.81%)
Swing: 9.98% Republican
Trend: 3.04% Republican
Change in PVI (New/Old): D+2.5/R+3

Representative: Chis Danou

Party: Democrat
Last Election: Uncontested
Obama Comparison: Uncontested
Serving Since: 2009
Hometown: Trempealeau
Prior Offices: None
Education: University of Wisconsin – Madison (Bachelors)/ American University (M.A.)/ University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point (M.S.)
Birthday: 1967
Place of Birth: Bloomington, IL
Profession: N/A
Religion: N/A

Notes: This is a central Driftless Area district and is pretty safe for the Democrats. Also Chris Danou is very popular in this area and would have outrun Obama here if he had a Republican challenger.

Assembly District 93

Counties: Buffalo, Dunn, Pepin, Pierce and St. Croix 
PVI: R+4
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 14,906 (47.02%)/ 16,391 (51.70%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 16,715 (52.01%)/ 14,854 (46.22%0
Swing: 10.47% Republican
Trend: 3.53% Republican
Change in PVI (New/Old): R+4/D+4

Representative: Warren Petryk

Party: Republican
Last Election: Warren Petryk 15,612 (50.8%)/ Jeff Smith 15,114 (49.2%) 
Obama Comparison: -2.14%
Serving Since: 2011
Hometown: Eleva
Prior Offices: None
Education: University of Wisconsin-Eau Claire 
Birthday: 1/24/1955
Place of Birth: Eau Claire, WI
Profession: N/A
Religion: N/A

Notes: This is a frustrating district for the Democrats. The Eastern part of this district has some friendly areas, but the Western part in Pierce County is trending pretty hard to the Republicans, as it becomes more of a Twin Cities suburban area.  It is hard to see the Democrats winning in this district in the future.
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« Reply #68 on: July 15, 2013, 09:52:52 PM »

Senate District 32

Counties: Crawford, La Crosse, Monroe and Vernon 
Three Largest Entities: La Crosse, Onalaska and Holmen   
PVI: D+4.5
Incumbent Party: D/DDR
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 51,687 (57.12%)/ Romney 37,339 (41.26%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 54,503 (60.51%)/ McCain 34,123 (37.88%)
Swing: 6.77% Republican
Trend: 0.20% Democratic
Change in PVI (New/Old): D+3.5/D+3.5

Senator: Jennifer Shilling

Party: Democrat
Last Election: Jennifer Shilling 
Obama Comparison: -1.16%
Serving Since: 2011 
Hometown: La Crosse
Prior Offices: La Crosse County Board and Wisconsin State Senate
Education: University of Wisconsin-La Crosse
Birthday: 7/4/1969
Place of Birth: Oshkosh, WI
Profession: N/A
Religion: N/A

Notes: No major changes to this district as it keeps the same general shape. Now that a Democrat finally won this seat, I don’t see how a Republican would ever win it back outside of a wave year.

Assembly District 94

Counties: La Crosse
PVI: R+1.5
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 16,430 (51.45%)/ 15,086 (47.24%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 17,488 (54.84%)/ 13,973 (43.81%)
Swing: 6.82% Republican
Trend: 0.15% Democratic
Change in PVI (New/Old): R+3/R+2

Representative: Steve Doyle

Party: Democrat
Last Election: Steve Doyle 18,566 (60.6%)/ Bruce Evers 12,068 (39.4%)
Obama Comparison: -9.14%
Serving Since: 2011
Hometown: Onalaska
Prior Offices: La Crosse County Board
Education: University of Wisconsin-La Crosse (Bachelors)/ University of Wisconsin-Madison (J.D.)
Birthday: 5/21/1958
Place of Birth: La Crosse, WI
Profession: Attorney
Religion: N/A

Notes: This district is all of La Crosse County, minus the actual City of La Crosse. Normally this would be a swing seat, but Steve Doyle is very popular here and I could only see him losing in a wave.     

Assembly District 95

Counties: La Crosse
PVI: D+11
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 20,263 (64.27%)/ Romney 10,665 (33.83%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 21,036 (67.15%)/ McCain 9,728 (31.05%)
Swing: 5.70% Republican
Trend: 1.27% Democratic
Change in PVI (New/Old): D+11/D+11

Representative: Jill Billings

Party: Democrat
Last Election: Uncontested
Obama Comparison: Uncontested
Serving Since: 2011
Hometown: La Crosse
Prior Offices: La Crosse County Board
Education: Augsburg College
Birthday: 1/19/1962
Place of Birth: Rochester, MN
Profession: N/A
Religion: N/A

Notes: This is the City of La Crosse and it’s a very safe Democratic seat. Senator Jennifer Shilling was a Representative here before becoming the Democratic challenger in the 2011 recall.

Assembly District 96

Counties: Crawford, Monroe and Vernon
PVI: D+3
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 14,994 (55.47%)/ Romney 11,588 (42.87%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 16,079 (59.44%)/ McCain 10,503 (38.83%)
Swing: 8.01% Republican
Trend: 1.04% Republican
Change in PVI (New/Old): D+2.5/D+3.5

Representative: Lee Nerison

Party: Republican
Last Election: Lee Nerison 15,344 (59.5%)/ Tom Johnson 10,426 (40.4%)
Obama Comparison: +15.03%
Serving Since: 2005
Hometown: Westby
Prior Offices: Vernon County Board
Education: N/A
Birthday: 7/31/1952
Place of Birth: La Crosse, WI
Profession: Farmer
Religion: Christian

Notes: This is a very frustrating district for the Democrats. The political nature of this district is very similar to the areas in the 17th Senate District. Great Democratic numbers on the national level, but very Republican on the local level. I only see the Democrats winning this district in a wave year or if Representative Nerison retires.
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« Reply #69 on: July 15, 2013, 10:07:30 PM »

Senate District 33

Counties: Waukesha 
Three Largest Entities: Waukesha, Pewaukee and Sussex   
PVI: R+19.5
Incumbent Party: R/RRR
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 33,951 (33.06%)/ Romney 67,687 (65.92%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 37,527 (37.38%)/ McCain 61,850 (61.60%)
Swing: 8.64% Republican
Trend: 1.67% Republican
Change in PVI (New/Old): R+19/R+19

Senator: Paul Farrow

Party: Republican
Last Election: Paul Farrow 22,665 (70.4%)/ Eric Prudent 9,503 (29.5%) (2012 Special Election) 
Obama Comparison: 2014 Election
Serving Since: 2012
Hometown: Pewaukee
Prior Offices: Wisconsin State Assembly
Education: Carroll College
Birthday: 7/17/1964
Place of Birth: Milwaukee, WI
Profession: Self-Employed
Religion: N/A

Notes: This district got much more compact as it pulled out of Washington County and took in a lot of parts that was previously in 11th Senate District. This is a very safe Republican Milwaukee suburban district, but its also pretty compact so that’s good.

Assembly District 97

Counties Waukesha
PVI: R+13
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 12,577 (39.82%)/ Romney 18,582 (58.82%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 13,608 (43.16%)/ McCain 17,555 (55.68%)
Swing: 6.49% Republican
Trend: 0.48% Democratic
Change in PVI (New/Old): R+13.5/R+11

Representative: Bill Kramer

Party: Republican
Last Election: Bill Kramer 18,399 (64.6%)/ Marga Krumins 10,051 (35.3%)   
Obama Comparison: +4.53%
Serving Since: 2007
Hometown: Waukesha
Prior Offices: Waukesha County Board
Education: University of Wisconsin-Whitewater (Bachelors)/ Duke University (J.D.)
Birthday: 1/21/1965
Place of Birth: Waukesha, WI
Profession: Financial Planner, Attorney and CPA 
Religion: Roman Catholic

Notes: This district takes the southern parts of the city of Waukesha and some rural parts to its southwest. This is a very Republican seat.   

Assembly District 98

Counties: Waukesha
PVI: R+18.5
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 11,636 (33.65%)/ Romney 22,608 (65.38%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 12,163 (38.31%)/ McCain 19,272 (60.70%)
Swing: 9.34% Republican
Trend: 2.37% Republican
Change in PVI (New/Old): R+18.5/R+21

Representative: Adam Neylon

Party: Republican
Last Election: Unopposed (Special Election)
Obama Comparison: Unopposed
Serving Since: 2013
Hometown: Pewaukee
Prior Offices: None
Education: Carroll University 
Birthday: 12/30/1984
Place of Birth: Elgin, IL
Profession: Small Busniess Owner
Religion: N/A

Notes: This seat takes up the northern parts of the city of Waukesha along with Pewaukee and Sussex. This is also a very Republican seat.

Assembly District 99

Counties: Waukesha
PVI: R+25.5
2012 Presidential Election: Obama 9,738 (26.66%)/ 26,497 (72.55%)
2008 Presidential Election: Obama 11,756 (31.66%)/ 25,023 (67.39%)
Swing: 10.16% Republican
Trend: 3.19% Republican
Change in PVI (New/Old): R+24/R+23.5

Representative: Chris Kapenga

Party: Republican
Last Election: Chris Kapenga 26,314 (76.3%)/ Thomas Hibbard 8,166 (23.7%)
Obama Comparison: +2.99%
Serving Since: 2011
Hometown: Delafield
Prior Offices: None
Education: Holland Christian and Calvin College
Birthday: 2/19/1972
Place of Birth: Zeeland, MI
Profession: Busniess Owner
Religion: Evangelical Christian 

Notes: This takes up the area directly west of the city of Waukesha. Takes in the areas that make up the Arrowhead and Kettle Moraine School Districts.
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« Reply #70 on: July 21, 2013, 08:34:01 PM »

Here is the State Legislature ranked from the most Democratic seat to the most Republican seat. All of the PVI numbers are based on the state average, which is 54.52% Democratic, rather then the national average. I would argue that it is definitely possible for the Democrats to take back the Senate, but it would require a great year and probably a few open seats.   

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« Reply #71 on: July 21, 2013, 08:41:56 PM »

Outside of Milwaukee, Wisconsin is very white. Also I'd guess that Senate District 3 will be plurality Hispanic by the end of the decade.
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« Reply #72 on: July 21, 2013, 08:51:41 PM »

Here is the State Assembly ranked from the most Democratic seat to the most Republican seat. All of the PVI numbers are based on the state average, which is 54.52% Democratic, rather then the national average. The Assembly is almost impossible for the Dems to get back, baring a huge wave or some crazy unexpected trends.
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« Reply #73 on: July 21, 2013, 09:01:01 PM »

Again this shows the whiteness of Wisconsin. 6 African American majority districts, 1 Hispanic majority district and 1 Hispanic plurality district, all in Milwaukee. District 66 could become only white plurality by the end of the decade as the district takes up most of Downtown Racine.   
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« Reply #74 on: July 22, 2013, 03:22:50 PM »

Any questions?
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