Grothman is the frontrunner only because I'm pretty sure he's the only one that's officially in. I may be wrong though.
Grothman is running, and there are four other Republicans also in the race. They are:
-State Senator Joe Leibham
-State Representative Duey Stroebel
-Some Dude Thom Denow
-Some Dude(tte) Nancy Olson
I predict a Grothman win in a plurality, as he will be supported by Social Conservatives and Tea Partiers, while Leibham and Stroebel will split the moderate/establishment vote. The vote shares of the some dude candidates will probably add up to 5 percent.
However, I could be very wrong, as there is no polling of the race. Hopefully, we'll have a clearer view once the polls start rolling out.