With the 2012 results, are VA/CO slowly becoming D leans and not 50/50?

[Skill and Chance]

I would say that at least until 2016, both are at the Tilt D end of toss up.  Colorado looks stronger for Democrats on paper, but 1. it's much easier to get a big swing in a Western state than in a Southern state and 2. there is an obvious strategy to win Colorado in a close race- a libertarian and/or Hispanic Republican could flip all of the counties surrounding Denver.  Virginia is more intimidating, because while an Evangelical nominee would boost rural turnout, he/she would be lucky to get 35% in Fairfax.  On the other hand, Romney was just about the best style of Republican possible for NOVA and Fairfax barely swung at all from 2008.  Henrico seems more like a mini-Fairfax than anything else in its voting patterns and probably isn't coming back anytime soon.  Looking south to NC, we see that the Democratic floor in a competitive race is probably above 47% now.  In VA, you have to wonder if the Democratic floor is now something like 49%.