The "Who is running?" tea leaves thread

[RogueBeaver]

6 Hillary themes. Though I have to LOL at "DC outsider" and "selfless ambition."

[RogueBeaver]

Politico on Cruz in IA.

[RogueBeaver]

Cillizza ranks the Dem field. Suggests Warren might run if Hillary doesn't, which I disagree with. Also says that all public and private indications are that Hillary's running.

[RogueBeaver]

Politico on Cruz at IA's Reagan Dinner.

[Mechaman]

New Mexico Senator Martin Heinrich will run for President.  And given that Hillary will decline due to some unforeseen health problem (either with her husband or herself) and that no really "YEAH!" candidate exists, he will win the nomination and then go onto win another term in office for president.  His opponent will be New Jersey Governor Chris Christie.  The race will be extremely close and the results of the electoral map will surprise quite a few people.  Here's what I would project:

Martin Heinrich (D-NM)/Maggie Hassan (D-NH): 275 Electoral Votes 48.78% PV
Chris Christie (R-NJ)/Marco Rubio (R-FL) 263 Electoral votes 49.3% PV

I'm calling it.

[Mr. Morden]

McCaskill to make her second trip to Iowa in recent months:

http://therun2016.com/mccaskill-to-iowa/

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[RogueBeaver]

I'm guessing as a Hillary surrogate. Her newfound alliance with the Clintons has always *interested* me, especially after her famous '08 remarks about Bubba.

[RogueBeaver]

Catanese on Cruz's IA visit.

[Mr. Morden]

Biden is helping the DCCC recruit candidates:

http://www.politico.com/story/2013/10/joe-biden-democratic-recruiter-98870.html?hp=t1

....which of course means that if the party does well next year, some may owe him a political debt.

[Keystone Phil]

Santorum is on Meet the Press this morning.

[RogueBeaver]

Jindal on FNS: "I don't know yet and I think it's too early."

[Likely Voter]

This morning on ABC Howard Dean said if Hillary runs he would not challenge her in the primary and would in fact support her.

[Mr. Morden]

Dean and Santorum will practice their debating skills when they debate each other on "The Proper Role of Government in a Free Society" at Fort Hays State University in Kansas next month:

http://www.gbtribune.com/section/69/article/61748/

[tmthforu94]

Dean and Santorum will practice their debating skills when they debate each other on "The Proper Role of Government in a Free Society" at Fort Hays State University in Kansas next month:

http://www.gbtribune.com/section/69/article/61748/

That's awesome - I might try and attend that.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

Dean and Santorum will practice their debating skills when they debate each other on "The Proper Role of Government in a Free Society" at Fort Hays State University in Kansas next month:

http://www.gbtribune.com/section/69/article/61748/

That's awesome - I might try and attend that.

I wouldn't mind watching that, despite my strong dislike of both Dean and Santorum.

[RogueBeaver]

Model for Hillary: Senate 2000.

[Mr. Morden]

Another interview in which Schweitzer sounds open to a 2016 run:

http://www.ravallirepublic.com/news/local/article_2a99f2d6-ccd4-5c49-8ddd-0dff21182b26.html

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But then in the same interview, he seems to throw cold water on the idea:

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He also again asked the rhetorical question about whether nominating so many Bushes and Clintons meant that the USA was turning into a monarchy, but acknowledged that the nomination is Hillary Clinton's to lose if she runs.

He said that he opted out of next year's Senate race because Congress is a "do-nothing branch of government", and because he thinks he has the temperament of a CEO, not a legislator.

Finally, it looks like Schweitzer will be one of the rotating hosts of CNN's Crossfire, appearing on the show four times next month..

[Mr. Morden]

Kasich defends the social safety net in a way that suggests that he's no longer really thinking about a place on the GOP presidential ticket (presumably because his reelection is in such deep trouble):

http://www.nytimes.com/2013/10/29/us/politics/ohio-governor-defies-gop-with-defense-of-social-safety-net.html?hp&_r=2&

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[RogueBeaver]

Cruz to Columbia to meet with pastors next week. Christie won't commit to a full term.

[RogueBeaver]

Hagan: All female Dem Senators wrote a letter to Hillary urging her to run.

Hillary talks the last shutdown.

Morden: I thought Kasich was out of the woods now?

[Mr. Morden]

Morden: I thought Kasich was out of the woods now?

Didn't FitzGerald have a slight lead in the latest poll?

[RogueBeaver]

Morden: I thought Kasich was out of the woods now?

Didn't FitzGerald have a slight lead in the latest poll?

Yeah, in a PPP taken back in August.

[RogueBeaver]

Hillary reportedly said at St. Andrews last week "I haven't made up my mind", then after being pressed by an august companion "I'm inclined to do it."

[Mr. Morden]

Here's a story on how Klobuchar is seeking out a more visible role in the national spotlight, after having largely kept her head down in her first term:

http://minnesota.cbslocal.com/2013/10/20/minnesotas-klobuchar-assumes-more-visible-role/

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[Mr. Morden]

Much of this stuff:

http://therun2016.com/cruz-paul-cant-elected-president/

was mentioned in the Cruz vs. Paul thread, but therun2016 follows up with this:

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This was suggested in the Vogue story back in September:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=164982.msg3872928#msg3872928

that Paul's wife Kelley doesn't sound too excited about him running for president.