2 polls show boost in Christie popularity from Hurricane Sandy
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  2 polls show boost in Christie popularity from Hurricane Sandy
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Author Topic: 2 polls show boost in Christie popularity from Hurricane Sandy  (Read 940 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: November 21, 2012, 03:02:44 AM »

Quinnipiac poll of NYC voters:

http://www.nj.com/news/index.ssf/2012/11/ny_residents_give_christie_hig.html#incart_river

Who did the best job responding to the storm?

Christie 36%
Obama 22%
Cuomo 15%
Bloomberg 12%

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Rutgers-Eagleton poll of New Jersey registered voters:

PDF link

favorable / unfavorable opinion of the person in question:
Obama 61 / 32%
Christie 67 / 25%
Booker 52 / 11%

How did Christie handle the the hurricane and its aftermath?
very well or somewhat well 92%
very poorly or somewhat poorly 5%

Did Christie's response to Sandy make you more supportive of him, less supportive of him, or no effect?
more 61%
less 3%
no effect 35%

Was Christie right to praise and embrace Obama during his visit after the storm, or did he go too far?
praise was appropriate 81%
praise went too far 12%
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jfern
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« Reply #1 on: November 21, 2012, 03:07:28 AM »

So does this mean gay marriage in New Jersey will have to wait until 2018?
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politicallefty
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« Reply #2 on: November 21, 2012, 06:44:55 AM »

So does this mean gay marriage in New Jersey will have to wait until 2018?

Unless the courts rule on it, probably. The NJ Legislature probably should have taken up Christie's ballot proposal. It almost certainly would have passed this year.
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Holmes
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« Reply #3 on: November 21, 2012, 09:28:39 AM »

The gay marriage situation in New Jersey is complicated (and frustrating). It's making its way through the courts again, and last time the Supreme Court had to rule on this issue, they sort of punted it back to the legislature demanding either full marriage or something similar and equal. So the legislature passed civil unions and set up a bipartisan commission to assess whether civil unions were truly equal to marriage. The commission, years ago, said they weren't and recommended full marriage. The legislature failed to act. Corzine was then voted out of office. Key Democrats that would've helped the measure pass then change their position on same-sex marriage afterwards when it's too late.

What's different now is that the Court is not the same as it was when it demanded full marriage or something equal. And it can take quite a while for it to actually reach the Supreme Court. I believe the legislature technically still has time to override Christie's veto until next year, I think? But that's not gonna happen.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #4 on: November 21, 2012, 10:17:12 AM »

LOL good luck with that Gubernatorial run, Cory. Oh...what's that? You're passing? Thought so.
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #5 on: November 24, 2012, 01:57:23 AM »

So does this mean gay marriage in New Jersey will have to wait until 2018?

Unless the courts rule on it, probably. The NJ Legislature probably should have taken up Christie's ballot proposal. It almost certainly would have passed this year.

It is not unreasonable to think that Christie could change his position on marriage equality, and change it soon. If he's going to run in 2016 on a platform of sanity, it could be an asset by then. If he's not going to run for president, I think he'll just flip his opinion in 2014 anyway. This is certainly not an issue he wants to have to deal with on a regular basis because it makes Republicans look bad, and the NJ GOP establishment is very moderate, socially.
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Warren 4 Secretary of Everything
Clinton1996
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« Reply #6 on: November 24, 2012, 02:05:17 AM »

LOL good luck with that Gubernatorial run, Cory. Oh...what's that? You're passing? Thought so.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #7 on: November 24, 2012, 03:07:44 AM »

With these numbers it's virtually impossible for him to lose, unless he has a major blunder down the road.
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Holmes
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« Reply #8 on: November 24, 2012, 08:28:11 AM »

So does this mean gay marriage in New Jersey will have to wait until 2018?

Unless the courts rule on it, probably. The NJ Legislature probably should have taken up Christie's ballot proposal. It almost certainly would have passed this year.

It is not unreasonable to think that Christie could change his position on marriage equality, and change it soon. If he's going to run in 2016 on a platform of sanity, it could be an asset by then. If he's not going to run for president, I think he'll just flip his opinion in 2014 anyway. This is certainly not an issue he wants to have to deal with on a regular basis because it makes Republicans look bad, and the NJ GOP establishment is very moderate, socially.

So he'd be the Huntsman of 2016? After nominating "moderates" twice in a row, you think Republicans would do it again?
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #9 on: November 24, 2012, 03:23:27 PM »

So does this mean gay marriage in New Jersey will have to wait until 2018?

Unless the courts rule on it, probably. The NJ Legislature probably should have taken up Christie's ballot proposal. It almost certainly would have passed this year.

It is not unreasonable to think that Christie could change his position on marriage equality, and change it soon. If he's going to run in 2016 on a platform of sanity, it could be an asset by then. If he's not going to run for president, I think he'll just flip his opinion in 2014 anyway. This is certainly not an issue he wants to have to deal with on a regular basis because it makes Republicans look bad, and the NJ GOP establishment is very moderate, socially.

So he'd be the Huntsman of 2016? After nominating "moderates" twice in a row, you think Republicans would do it again?

I doubt Christie would run as a moderate. He doesn't need to. He's got solid conservative credentials on issues the base cares about -- union busting and being pro-life, for starters. His resume is good enough to get the major GOP donors lined up by 2014 or 2015, and that's really the most important thing in a national primary.

All I'm saying is that there's a very real possibility that gay marriage may no longer be a serious litmus test by then. Can Republicans stay opposed to gay marriage when the public supports it 60/40? 70/30?
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« Reply #10 on: November 26, 2012, 12:19:26 AM »

If Christie signs a gay marriage bill, I'll take that as a sign he's not running. No one who does so is winning the GOP nomination in 2016. Even if the country is split 60-40 in favor, it's obvious which party is going to be dominant amongst the 40%, and where most of the GOP base will fall. And positions being unpopular has not stopped the Republicans from holding them in the past (see: Republicans talking about rape this year.)
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Svensson
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« Reply #11 on: November 26, 2012, 01:08:50 PM »

If Christie signs a gay marriage bill, I'll take that as a sign he's not running.

I have a suspicion that this is at least part of the reason he vetoed the last attempt that came through to his office and insisted that it be a constitutional amendment instead.
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Incipimus iterum
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« Reply #12 on: November 27, 2012, 11:40:52 AM »

Christie has his Reelection in the bag
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #13 on: November 27, 2012, 12:14:21 PM »

Quinnipiac has Christie's approval rating at 72%. Obama's is 59%.

77% of Independents and 52% of Dems approve of America's Governor.
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CountryRoads
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« Reply #14 on: November 27, 2012, 12:16:40 PM »

Hope he wins, and stays in New Jersey.

Me likey Gov. Christie but no likey Pres. Christie.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #15 on: November 27, 2012, 12:17:57 PM »

A new Rutgers-Eagleton Institute of Politics poll has Christie demolishing Booker. He leads 53% to 34%.
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Incipimus iterum
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« Reply #16 on: November 27, 2012, 12:19:20 PM »

my advise to the National Democrats: Let Christie win
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Holmes
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« Reply #17 on: November 27, 2012, 02:13:09 PM »

Well it's not like there's a long line of people lining up to face him...
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Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
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« Reply #18 on: November 27, 2012, 02:30:19 PM »

You know Christie is safe when CountryRoads (E:+9, S: +6) and myself (E:-7, S: -6) are supporting him.
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Simfan34
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« Reply #19 on: November 27, 2012, 04:25:53 PM »

A new Rutgers-Eagleton Institute of Politics poll has Christie demolishing Booker. He leads 53% to 34%.

Junk pollster.
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politicus
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« Reply #20 on: November 27, 2012, 04:32:20 PM »

You know Christie is safe when CountryRoads (E:+9, S: +6) and myself (E:-7, S: -6) are supporting him.
Surprised a Socialist like you supports a prominent union-buster.
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Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
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« Reply #21 on: November 27, 2012, 05:41:15 PM »

You know Christie is safe when CountryRoads (E:+9, S: +6) and myself (E:-7, S: -6) are supporting him.
Surprised a Socialist like you supports a prominent union-buster.

It may be because I don't live in NJ, but I feel republicans need people like Chris Christie, and he's one republican I wouldn't fear if he became President (the other is Huntsman). So, that makes me a Christie supporter.
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #22 on: November 27, 2012, 06:51:12 PM »

my advise to the National Democrats: Let Christie win

The last time Democrats in New Jersey said, "hey, this guy's not so bad, let's not really waste effort on our lame nominee," Tom Kean won with 70+% of the vote and Democrats lost four Assembly seats in heavily urban, heavily Hispanic Hudson County (Jersey City).
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