NYC'13: Congrats to Mayor de Blasio (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 27, 2024, 01:01:06 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  NYC'13: Congrats to Mayor de Blasio (search mode)
Pages: [1] 2 3
Author Topic: NYC'13: Congrats to Mayor de Blasio  (Read 73552 times)
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,942
« on: July 24, 2013, 03:21:46 PM »
New Q-poll:

First Round:
Weiner 26%
Quinn 22%
Thompson 20%
De Blasio 15%
Liu 7%
Albanese 1%

Thompson would beat Quinn and Weiner by 9% and 11% in a run-off. In a Quinn-Weiner runoff, Quinn leads 46 to 44.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/new-york-city/release-detail?ReleaseID=1927
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,942
« Reply #1 on: July 24, 2013, 11:32:42 PM »
In the Q-poll, if Weiner drops out it's Quinn 30%, Thompson 26%, de Blasio 21%. So he'd be in with a decent shot. Minority candidates usually do better than their polling in NYC elections, so a Thompson-de Blasio runoff would be interesting (and possible).
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,942
« Reply #2 on: July 25, 2013, 06:09:23 PM »
De Blasiomentum, according to Marist!

Among likely Democratic primary voters:

Quinn 26%
De Blasio 17%
Weiner 16%
Thompson 15%
Liu 7%

http://online.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/wsjpoll0725.pdf
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,942
« Reply #3 on: July 25, 2013, 08:14:22 PM »
« Edited: July 25, 2013, 08:16:55 PM by Lіef »
Unless Weiner magically recovers, I think Thompson is basically guaranteed to get into the runoff off the strength of the black vote (and even based on polls pre-second scandal, Thompson still had a good shot of coming in second). I think the question is whether or not de Blasio can pick up enough of the Weiner vote to challenge Quinn for the other spot (probably not, but we can hope).
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,942
« Reply #4 on: July 28, 2013, 12:08:44 PM »
Yup, and the results map will be great!
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,942
« Reply #5 on: July 28, 2013, 12:17:32 PM »
Oh lol, Weiner's campaign manager has resigned.
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,942
« Reply #6 on: July 29, 2013, 03:34:03 PM »
Good, good. The pieces are all falling into place.
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,942
« Reply #7 on: July 31, 2013, 01:09:17 AM »
Harry Belafonte and Congresswoman Yvette Clark endorse de Blasio: http://www.nydailynews.com/news/election/harry-belafonte-endorses-public-advocate-bill-de-blasio-mayor-article-1.1412254
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,942
« Reply #8 on: July 31, 2013, 01:49:08 PM »
Yeah Weiner was actually winning blacks according to the polls before the new sexting scandal hit. Not really sure why blacks like Weiner so much (probably because he was the most well known anti-Quinn) but hopefully a lot of that vote shifts to de Blasio now (who's also received the endorsement of the 1199 SEIU, which I assume is mostly minorities).
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,942
« Reply #9 on: August 11, 2013, 10:21:52 AM »
God, four years of Thompson being mayor is going to be so boring.
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,942
« Reply #10 on: August 13, 2013, 06:00:46 PM »

GAME CHANGE

De Blasio 30%
Quinn 24%
Thompson 22%
Weiner 10%
Liu 6%
Albanese 1%

De Blasio 54
Quinn 38

De Blasio 50
Thompson 41

De Blasio 72
Weiner 22 (lol)

Pretty good chance that Quinn comes in third at this point, especially as New York polls usually underestimate minority turnout.
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,942
« Reply #11 on: August 13, 2013, 11:22:19 PM »
Today I found out that when I registered in NY state last year I picked no party for some damn fool reason, and I won't be able to vote in the primary as a result. Sad

I think I'm allowed to the vote in the Independence Party primary though?
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,942
« Reply #12 on: August 15, 2013, 12:45:07 AM »


Damn, de Blasio is tall.
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,942
« Reply #13 on: August 15, 2013, 10:03:06 PM »
Excellent. Let's ride this de Blasiomentum to the finish line!
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,942
« Reply #14 on: August 21, 2013, 06:55:16 PM »
debates currently happening: http://gothamist.com/2013/08/21/watch_nyc_democratic_mayoral_hopefu.php

quinn is on THE ATTACK

so is Thompson

everyone hates de blasio Sad
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,942
« Reply #15 on: August 21, 2013, 06:57:26 PM »
quinn and thompson joining together to attack de blasio

wtf
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,942
« Reply #16 on: August 21, 2013, 07:00:43 PM »
weiner still going after quinn, nice
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,942
« Reply #17 on: August 21, 2013, 07:38:09 PM »
Weiner is a good politician and has great positions (though this anti-nanny state nonsense is annoying), as he showed tonight. Too bad he's a creepy sex addict pervert and everyone knows what his penis looks like.
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,942
« Reply #18 on: August 28, 2013, 02:40:23 PM »
Wonderful news! That would be great if we could avoid a run-off, but I doubt it'll happen. Looking more and likely that we'll have a de Blasio-Thompson faceoff.
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,942
« Reply #19 on: August 28, 2013, 02:47:06 PM »
Pollster chart of all the polls in the race:
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,942
« Reply #20 on: August 30, 2013, 08:49:52 AM »
NYT/Siena Poll released this morning; DB is crushing it

De Blasio 32%
Thompson 18%
Quinn 17%
Weiner 11%

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/08/30/new-york-city-mayoral-poll_n_3842463.html?ncid=edlinkusaolp00000003
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,942
« Reply #21 on: September 02, 2013, 09:50:00 PM »
My girlfriend and I got lunch in Chinatown yesterday and there were a couple of Liu posters lol
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,942
« Reply #22 on: September 03, 2013, 12:37:33 PM »
The Quinnipiac poll released this afternoon will show de Blasio over 40%, you heard it here first.
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,942
« Reply #23 on: September 03, 2013, 01:16:50 PM »
QUINNIPIAC NUMBERS (developing...)

De Blasio: 43%
Thompson: 20%
Quinn 18%
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,942
« Reply #24 on: September 03, 2013, 01:37:45 PM »
Run-off numbers:

De Blasio over Quinn 66 - 25 percent
De Blasio leads Thompson 56 - 36 percent
Thompson tops Quinn 59 - 33 percent

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/new-york-city/release-detail?ReleaseID=1948
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 3  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.038 seconds with 12 queries.