Austrian Parliamentary Election - Sept. 29

[Tender Branson]

NEOS is strongest in the urban areas and suburbs, where the middle-aged, upper middle class, professional ÖVP & Green people live. So, it's no surprise that they sucked away the votes there with their pro-business policies, pro-pension/education reform, while at the same time being not as 20th century social-policy wise like the ÖVP is.

Some ÖVP areas have been especially hit by the NEOS: Western Vienna, where many of the above mentioned people live + wealthy ÖVP retirees. Contrary to this, in the SE of Vienna the NEOS did badly (workers districts, low income people in cheaper housing).

The City of Vienna (1st district) is where many businesses and offices are located, therefore the strongest NEOS vote there.

In the inner districts of Vienna that surround the 1st district, NEOS attracted the usually Green-voting and bobo/hipster student voters, because the universities are there.

Vorarlberg, a typical ÖVP stronghold was 13-15% NEOS - because of the home state effect of NEOS-leader Matthias Strolz.

East Tyrol is another example where the NEOS sucked votes away from the usually dominant ÖVP there.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

[Filuwaúrdjan]

[Leftbehind]

Nice work.

NEOS is strongest in the urban areas and suburbs, where the middle-aged, upper middle class, professional ÖVP & Green people live. So, it's no surprise that they sucked away the votes there with their pro-business policies, pro-pension/education reform, while at the same time being not as 20th century social-policy wise like the ÖVP is.

Does not compute. [/rhetorical]

[Filuwaúrdjan]

[Filuwaúrdjan]

And for those who are new to following elections in Austria, the area in the north west of Upper Austria where they're rather strong is indeed where Hitler was from.

[Tender Branson]

I've made a map too over the weekend, using the good old Microsoft "Paint":



Right-click for big version.

It shows how the Austrian districts voted using Right vs. Left.

Right: ÖVP+FPÖ+Team Stronach+NEOS+BZÖ+CPÖ+EU-Exit
Left: SPÖ+Greens+KPÖ+Pirate Party+SLP+The Change

[Tender Branson]

Austria voted ca. 59% "Right" and 41% "Left" in the election.

Not much of a change compared with 2008.

The district of South-East Styria was the most "right-wing" with ca. 76%, while there were a few Vienna inner-city districts with ca. 59% for the Left.

I find it remarkable how the Right is ahead in most of the country, even in the "steel area" in Upper Styria that usually voted for the Left (also in 2008) and usually by big margins. I guess it's the first time ever that the Upper Styrian districts did not vote for the Left ...

[Tender Branson]

Compare with Kentucky 2012:

[Tender Branson]

And for those who are new to following elections in Austria, the area in the north west of Upper Austria where they're rather strong is indeed where Hitler was from.

This is not really because of Hitler though, but because the FPÖ historically campaigns very hard in the Ried im Innkreis area:



http://www.nachrichten.at/nachrichten/politik/innenpolitik/FPOe-Rieder-Messe-mit-viel-Naechstenliebe;art385,1190612

The district of Ried is north of Braunau and the FPÖ is holding their big "Stammtisch" there every year, as well as their "Political Ash Wednesday" meeting, in which they meet in a big tent full of 5000 beer-drinking and smoking supporters, while trashing the main parties such as SPÖ, ÖVP and Greens.

Basically, everywhere where the FPÖ campaigned hard this year or in 2008, they had very good results, such as in the Western Upper Austria region, in Southern Vienna where FPÖ-leader Strache is living and in Styria.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

And why do they campaign so heavily there I wonder?

(yeah, it's a cheap shot, but they deserve it )

FPÖ support patterns do have a habit of wandering around, even if some tendencies are stable. Though that's exactly what you'd expect from a blatant protest party.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

[Filuwaúrdjan]

[Tender Branson]

Here's another map I made:



Right-click for huge version.

[Tender Branson]

Fun fact:

The Vienna district Favoriten, where HC Strache (FPÖ-leader) is living, was 34.99%.

A little bit more and there would have been 3 Vienna districts with 35%+ of the eurosceptic vote.

[Tender Branson]

Styria really sticks out this time and has replaced Carinthia as the state with the biggest euro-sceptic vote.

I've discussed the reason for this before (forced town/city mergers in Styria by the so called Styria state "reform" government of SPÖVP, which people dislike. They want to keep their own towns/cities and refuse to be merged and they sent a heavy protest signal by voting FPÖ and TS).

The good eurosceptic vote in Carinthia, despite the Haider-era corruption there, also shows us that there's still a good enough potential for the FPÖ to have a "comeback" in 2018, when the BZÖ is probably not running anymore and the Team Stronach is likely also not on the political stage anymore (at least with decreased appeal).

[minionofmidas]

And for those who are new to following elections in Austria, the area in the north west of Upper Austria where they're rather strong is indeed where Hitler was from.

But not where his family was originally from, where the FPÖ does badly. Next.

Also, "Grunë"? Austria is of course a Balkan country, but since when do they speak Albanian?

[Tender Branson]

And for those who are new to following elections in Austria, the area in the north west of Upper Austria where they're rather strong is indeed where Hitler was from.

But not where his family was originally from, where the FPÖ does badly. Next.

Also, "Grunë"? Austria is of course a Balkan country, but since when do they speak Albanian?

Where did Hitler's parents originally come from again ? Lower Austria ? Today's Czech Republic ?

[minionofmidas]

And for those who are new to following elections in Austria, the area in the north west of Upper Austria where they're rather strong is indeed where Hitler was from.

But not where his family was originally from, where the FPÖ does badly. Next.

Also, "Grunë"? Austria is of course a Balkan country, but since when do they speak Albanian?

Where did Hitler's parents originally come from again ? Lower Austria ? Today's Czech Republic ?

Lower Austria, the Waldviertel to be precise. (Pretty near the Czech border IIRC.)

[minionofmidas]

A propos of nothing whatsoever, if Austria had a five percent threshold NEOS would have missed it by exactly 1700 votes, 0.04 percentage points, even more narrowly than the FDP did over here.

[Tender Branson]

This thread will close now and a new thread will be created !

Thanks for reading and posting.

I hope you enjoyed it.