LA and NC 2014 Congressional Races

[Miles]

Surprise! Dardenne is running for Governor!

[Maxwell]

I think its more likely than not Dardenne wins: Mitch Landrieu, who is dedicated to New Orleans, I think will stay there for the full two terms.

Who do the Dems run if not Mitch?

[Miles]

Who do the Dems run if not Mitch?

Last month, Rep. John Bel Edwards got in.

[Miles]

Tillis made some interesting comments last week about the voter ID package that Republicans are pushing. According to him fraud "isn't the primary reason" that for the laws. Really? I guess one is left to assume that the primary reason is to make it harder for people to vote.

Also down further in the article, was that McCrory held a fundraiser for Tillis last Friday night in Charlotte. 'Kinda makes sense, actually. McCrory happened to be in town last weekend as he was the in St. Patrick's Day parade the following day. I guess he thought he'd make the best of the trip and help out his buddy Tillis before partying!

[free my dawg]

Tillis made some interesting comments last week about the voter ID package that Republicans are pushing. According to him fraud "isn't the primary reason" that for the laws. Really? I guess one is left to assume that the primary reason is to make it harder for people to vote.

People still haven't realized this yet? Where I'm from, there are new regulations next election that restrict any IDs you use (driver's license, state ID, passport, military ID) and force you to have your picture taken. They then send it to you in the mail with your affidavit to sign.

If that isn't government sponsored voter intimidation, I don't know what is.

[Miles]

I went to look at Google News today and Mary Landrieu's picture was appearing in with a few of the front page headlines. Apparently the stories were about the Senate budget that narrowly passed 50-49.

Four red state Democrats voted against: Baucus, Begich, Pryor and Hagan. Lautenberg was absent.

[Miles]

As admirable as Claire McCaskill's SSM announcement was, its become somewhat of an onus on her colleagues who don't have the luxury having to wait six years 'til their next campaign. Some Democrats, who, 'ya know, have to actually run in conservative states next year, are being pressured on their stances.

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[Miles]

BOOM!

This is why I love my Senator:

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[Sol]

I could see Hagan supporting SSM if it weren't for this:

[Miles]

In case anyone missed it, Kay Hagan has come out in favor of SSM.

I'd advise Landrieu to stay quiet on this. This may disappoint some liberals in New Orleans, but she needs to hold onto socially conservative voters, especially in Acadiana.

[Miles]

There's been some enthusiasm on the right for Renee Ellmers, who I objectively don't think would be a particularly good candidate, but whatever.

Anyway, when asked about running for Senate, she deferred to the Good Lord:

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[Gass3268]

Miles what do you think the Gay Marriage Ban vote would have looked like in NC if Obama would have came out in favor beforehand? Do you think he could have improved the percentage against among African Americans like many think happened in PG County and Baltimore City in Maryland?     

[Miles]

Its really hard to say. I think it would have helped slightly with blacks in the bigger cities, especially Fayetteville and Charlotte. For the rural blacks, NC-01 was actually a pretty good bellwether for the state.

[Miles]

Fleming has sent out releases criticizing Landrieu for her vote for the Senate Democratic budget. The Times-Picayune suggests that saber-rattling means that he's getting increasingly serious about running.

Other than his criticisms, there was this bit about Fleming:

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[publicunofficial]

Fleming has sent out releases criticizing Landrieu for her vote for the Senate Democratic budget. The Times-Picayune suggests that saber-rattling means that he's getting increasingly serious about running.

Other than his criticisms, there was this bit about Fleming:

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Landrieu is cowering in fear I'm sure.

[Miles]

Landrieu is cowering in fear I'm sure.

Well, Santorum won Louisiana by more than 20 points, so he musn't have done too bad a job

But, yeah, I'd welcome Fleming to take the plunge.

[Miles]

While we're talking about Ellmers, here's one issue that she's been known for. Last year, she tried to have one of the main Post Office buildings in Raleigh renamed after Jesse Helms. It sparked lots of pushback from progressive groups and the bill has been stalled.

[Miles]

How bout that! Since rolling out her support for gay marriage, Hagan has gotten some fundraising help.   

LGBT Democrats of North Carolina raised just over $2,000 for her within 5 hours. There could also be such efforts down the road.

One bit of bad news is that Nate Silver is projecting that NC will be the 9th slowest-trending state in terms of SSM support. Despite its swigny status, NC finds itself sandwiched in between Tennessee and Texas on this issue.

[Miles]

'All hands on deck!!!

David Rouzer will be running again in 2014 after losing to McIntyre by 654 votes last year.

Fortunately, McIntyre has been hard at work reaching out to his new constituents, such as opening three offices in Johnston County.

[RogueBeaver]

Landrieu is certainly not trimming her sails. The article says that neither Jindal nor Vitter are particularly enthusiastic about Cassidy? Also that Angelle is considered a potential candidate but more likely to look at a gubernatorial bid.

http://dyn.politico.com/printstory.cfm?uuid=F542AB51-457A-4A5F-8E7B-EDF3FB01D64C

[Miles]

Love it!

The 2015 Governor race is shaping up to be a clown car if Angelle, Dardenne and Vitter all run...

[Miles]

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This is true.

Even some of my very conservative relatives will say "well, I don't really mind Mary Landrieu."

[Miles]

A local piece about Fleming. 'Nothing RogueBeaver and I haven't already covered! XD

Its probably worth noting that Senator Bennett Johnson, who Landrieu replaced in 1996, was also from Shreveport.

[RogueBeaver]

I'm guessing that Angelle and Dardenne share some voters. How conservative is Angelle? I know he's a Mansionista, unlike Dardenne.

[Miles]

I've heard Angelle's name over the years, but I don't really know too much about him, TBH.

In a Dardenne-Vitter-Democrat race for Gov, I don't think he'd get very far.