LA and NC 2014 Congressional Races

[RogueBeaver]

LA-Sen: Cassidy is in.

http://m.apnews.com/ap/db_268748/contentdetail.htm?contentguid=7gnoo859

[Miles]

Lets get ready to rumble!!!

[krazen1211]

Mr. Cassidy is a good man.

[Miles]

His $500K Q1 haul was probably the biggest hint that he was actually running.

Mr. Cassidy is a good man.

And Mrs. Mary is a wonderful woman

[Miles]

With this, the ball is definitely in Fleming's court.

I also haven't heard a peep out of Jeff Landry in the last few months.

[RogueBeaver]

Given that Landrieu's already at 50, Cassidy has his work cut out for him. The pincer will help but 'tis not a miracle worker.

[Incipimus iterum]

let the Games begin

[Miles]

Given that Landrieu's already at 50, Cassidy has his work cut out for him. The pincer will help but 'tis not a miracle worker.

This is what worries me though (from the SMOR survey out today):

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[RogueBeaver]

Given that Landrieu's already at 50, Cassidy has his work cut out for him. The pincer will help but 'tis not a miracle worker.

This is what worries me though (from the SMOR survey out today):

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She's been unabashed on that subject and has even hinted that she supports gay marriage. I guess she figures if things go south better to go down with all flags flying, and if not she doesn't want to risk a further turnout decrease in a red state midtemr.

[krazen1211]

Given that Landrieu's already at 50, Cassidy has his work cut out for him. The pincer will help but 'tis not a miracle worker.

Scott Brown's approval was at 57% or so. So was Lincoln Chafee's in 2006.

[RogueBeaver]

I was referring to GE numbers, not approvals. Otherwise agreed with your point.

[krazen1211]

I would expect this fellow to end up in LA-06.

http://theadvocate.com/home/5158341-125/bese-president-mulls-senate-race

[Miles]

I would expect this fellow to end up in LA-06.

http://theadvocate.com/home/5158341-125/bese-president-mulls-senate-race

Ugh, his dad was much better.

This LSU forum thread from a few years ago about him is a pretty interesting read.

[Miles]

FWIW, here is Cassidy's announcement video.

Among other things, he criticizes Mary Landrieu for her support for "earmarks and federal spending for all sorts of things." Being from a vulnerable coastal state, those earmarks go to such decadently wasteful things like, ya know, disaster aid and levee enhancement. He goes on to criticize her for "supporting overseas abortions." Didn't she just pwn Ted Cruz over that?

Its clear that Cassidy will run against Obama as much as possible Mary will need to keep the debates as localized as possible.

Since this announcement, I've read all sorts of things, ranging from "Mary's campaign is on life support!" to "Cassidy is a weak and bland candidate."

[RogueBeaver]

National/local will probably determine the winner here, like in other red/blue races.

[RogueBeaver]

LA-Sen: Fleming is out, Landry will clarify things next week.

http://atr.rollcall.com/louisiana-fleming-opts-out-of-senate-race/

[Miles]

Damn, he sounds like a real team player:

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Landry, though, owes the party nothing.

[Miles]

Senator Landrieu basically says her hands are tied on the issue of SSM:

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Folks, though I support SSM, it would be suicide for Landrieu to come out in favor of it:

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[Miles]

I've heard this guy's name mentioned as a potential candidate, but it seems like a long shot at best: Tony Perkins, the president of the Family Research Council.

A bit on his history: he served in the state Legislature from 1996 to 2004. In 2002, he ran for Senate, but was the third-ranking Republican, behind Elections Commissioner Suzanne Haik Terrell and Congressman John Cooksey.

With Cassidy already in the field, I doubt he'll run, but I'll welcome anything that makes Cassidy's path rockier.

[Miles]

I really wish the Huffington Post would stop with these headlines:

[Miles]

I like how this article puts it:

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[Miles]

Looks like Landry wants to play conservative kingmaker as opposed to running himself. He launched a new Super PAC called Restore Our Republic "to support hard-right conservatives in the House of Representatives."

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[Miles]

As for the open LA-06 seat, The Advocate mentions a few names:

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Greene, who represents the southeastern corner of EBR Parish, seems like the most committed.

As for Chas Roemer, a Senatorial run could still be in the works:

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[RogueBeaver]

Good news, now Cassidy can go straight into the GE.

[RogueBeaver]

NC-Sen: Ellmers will decide by June, Berger and Tillis when the session wraps up later this summer.

http://atr.rollcall.com/north-carolina-ellmers-will-decide-on-hagan-challenge-in-june/