LA and NC 2014 Congressional Races

[Miles]

Alexander's resignation will take effect September 26. Jindal hasn't set a special election date, but he has pretty wide discretion.

Democrats' best candidate could be Monroe mayor Jamie Mayo:

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[windjammer]

Honestly, is there a chance? I can't believe it!

[illegaloperation]

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2013/08/north-carolina-question-suggestions.html


PPP will poll NC again!

Ah, good. We'll see if the cookies brought McCrory's approval rating up.

lol.

[Miles]

The LA-05 Special is Saturday, October 19.

[windjammer]

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls 10 h
Fewer than 20% of NC voters on 1st night of poll think it was appropriate for McCrory to give protesters cookies instead of meeting w/ them

[Miles]

Boustany and Fleming have gotten behind Riser in the CD5 Special.

[Miles]

State Reps Jay Morris (R) and Marcus Hunter (D), both from Monroe, have joined the LA-05 race.

The final day for ballot qualification is August 21, so the field of candidates should solidify pretty quickly.

[RogueBeaver]

Landrieu had an interesting town hall recently.

[RogueBeaver]

Landrieu grilled Obama on Keystone, saying a strong majority of the Senate supports it. Kudos.

[windjammer]

Well, I suppose Keystone Pipeline will be vetoed?

[Miles]

Yeah, she's been pushing for the Keystone XL for a while.

[windjammer]

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Louisiana%27s_5th_congressional_district_special_election,_2013

R hold I guess?

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Probably, but there was a ten year period or so where every open LA seat other then LA-01 and LA-02, would switch parties. That came to an end when Fleming barely won the LA-06 delayed general election (that was quite an interesting night back in December 2008 ).

[windjammer]

http://www.sanluisobispo.com/2013/08/11/2627069/democrats-wont-concede-congressional.html


I guess except for the Landrieus, the louisiana democratic party is dying...

[Miles]

Add Steve Scalise's name to the list of Riser's endorsements from the current delegation.

[Miles]

http://www.sanluisobispo.com/2013/08/11/2627069/democrats-wont-concede-congressional.html


I guess except for the Landrieus, the louisiana democratic party is dying...

Not if we Louisiana College Dems can help that

Seriously though, I do think CD5 would be winnable if a white Blue Dog ran and Obama wasn't President.

[Miles]

Probably, but there was a ten year period or so where every open LA seat other then LA-01 and LA-02, would switch parties. That came to an end when Fleming barely won the LA-06 delayed general election (that was quite an interesting night back in December 2008 ).

Yeah, it was an interesting decade for LA. Every seat except CD1 was seriously contested during one cycle or another.

[Miles]

Also, FWIW, the special election runoff is scheduled for November 16. Riser, though, could very well win the primary outright.

[Miles]

The FayObserver says that Hagan is feeling confident about next year. With the Assembly pulling down state Republicans and their subpar primary field, I'd probably be feeling pretty good too.

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[Miles]

Roll Call has a commentary on Alexander. The theme of the piece is that Congressman are leaving the Hill on their own accord in favor of better-paying jobs that they actually, ya know, might enjoy more.

Alexander is the 6th lawmaker in the last year to leave Congress in such a manner:

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[Miles]

PPP did some polling on the just-signed NC voter suppression bill.

NC voters strongly support the idea of showing a photo ID to vote, 66/27. Of course, leave it to this Assembly to screw up a potentially popular piece of legislation. Support for the bill that the legislators actually passed is at a poor 39/50. Voters oppose the package as a whole because of all the superfluous restrictions that the Republicans added.

PPP finds that:

- 33% support the Assembly's cuts to early voting while 59% oppose it.
- 68% think straight-ticket voting should still be allowed.
- Whites only narrowly support the bill, 46/44, while blacks are vehemently opposed, 16/72.

[Vern]

Didn't the bill move NC primary date?

[Miles]

Didn't the bill move NC primary date?

Yes, thats the only thing I like about it. NC's primary is now relevant, as its in February.

[Miles]

Well, this would make the special election more fun to watch:

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[Miles]

The Advocate is downplaying Maness:

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