LA and NC 2014 Congressional Races

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

"I'll make a decision at the end of the session"

JUST DONT RUN!!!!!!

[RogueBeaver]

"I'll make a decision at the end of the session"

JUST DONT RUN!!!!!!

Berger? Dem glee would be well-justified if Hagan won a second term simply because the Pub bench is a mile wide and an inch deep.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

"I'll make a decision at the end of the session"

JUST DONT RUN!!!!!!

Berger? Dem glee would be well-justified if Hagan won a second term simply because the Pub bench is a mile wide and an inch deep.

Berger, Tillis the whole lot these Assembly people.

[illegaloperation]

"I'll make a decision at the end of the session"

JUST DONT RUN!!!!!!

Berger? Dem glee would be well-justified if Hagan won a second term simply because the Pub bench is a mile wide and an inch deep.

Berger, Tillis the whole lot these Assembly people.

Kay Hagan was a state senator, after all.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

"I'll make a decision at the end of the session"

JUST DONT RUN!!!!!!

Berger? Dem glee would be well-justified if Hagan won a second term simply because the Pub bench is a mile wide and an inch deep.

Berger, Tillis the whole lot these Assembly people.

Kay Hagan was a state senator, after all.

Was she President of a Senate that voted to cut 170,000 people from the unemployment rolls, cut education spending, and had an approval rating in the teens?

To beat an incumbent you have to give them a reason to toss her out. That requires focusing the attention on her actions and offering an alternative. Every minute spent defending the state legislative agenda, is a minute not spent on Obamacare, amnesty or whatever it might be that Hagan has done.

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

I feel confident rating this as Likely D now.

[Miles]

New North Carolina Senate poll: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NC_071713.pdf

Hagan has hit 49%.

And her approval rating is still slightly negative at 43/45.

It really speaks to how much people are turned off by the Republicans' overreaching.

[Miles]

FWIW, Berger just raised 475K.

For a midterm cycle, that is apparantly a record for an NC legislative leader.

[windjammer]

You're the best mapper of this forum  Miles, congratulations . I hope you will become a politician!

[Miles]

You're the best mapper of this forum  Miles, congratulations . I hope you will become a politician!

Haha thanks! I actually consider homely the best mapper here, but I like to think I'm not too far behind him!

[Miles]

The Hill says that Cassidy's $1.1 million haul this quarter really helps the GOP's prospects in there. Landrieu, though, still outraised him. Maness, the tea party guy, is far behind, as he only raised a measley $40K.

[Miles]

A few more things on Congressman Coble.

He was in the news yesterday, adn not for a particuarly positive reason (at least to this Democrat):

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I must have missed this but Coble has a primary challenger. Don Webb was the Chairman of the High Point Republican Party.

[Miles]

Thom Tillis has made POLITICO'S list of 50 pols to watch. I liked this line:

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That really speaks to how poor the rest of the field is...

The Charlotte Observer called him out today. While he was funraising up in DC this week, he missed votes on 36 different bills.

[RogueBeaver]

Plus have the benefit of a state/federal pincer assist. Not only crucial for the Senate but completing local Republicanization. That article hints at a knife-fight campaign, which doesn't surprise me at all.

[windjammer]

http://www.leaderandtimes.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=12600:run-elbert-guillory-against-sen-mary-landrieu--hes-what-the-gop-needs&catid=29:opinion&Itemid=58

I suppose t's unlikely. He will probably run for Cassidy's seat.

[Miles]

http://www.leaderandtimes.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=12600:run-elbert-guillory-against-sen-mary-landrieu--hes-what-the-gop-needs&catid=29:opinion&Itemid=58

I suppose t's unlikely. He will probably run for Cassidy's seat.

No kidding.

I don't think he'd run for Cassidy's seat as his Senate district is located entirely outside of LA-06.

[windjammer]

http://www.shreveporttimes.com/article/20130630/NEWS01/130630006/State-Sen-Elbert-Guillory-raises-profile-party-switch?nclick_check=1

Honestly, I don't think he will run for the us senate. But he must have a good reason for becoming republican in a 65%democrat district.

[Miles]

Raleigh suburbs have been creeping into Johnston County in the last decade or so but there are still a lot of so-called "Jesse Helms Democrats" in Johnston.

This is late to respond, but I just saw that, as of 2012, registered Republicans now outnumber registered Democrats in Johnston. Its definitely moving away from its Blue Dog roots and its becoming more similar to Union or Gaston Counties.

[Miles]

Jeff Landry has been raising his profile lately. There's speculation that he may run for Attorney General, though the incumbent Buddy Caldwell will be running for a third term, or, as we've mentioned here, the open CD6:

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In that first paragraph, Landry is factually wrong. 24% of his old district stayed in CD3 while only 21% ended up in CD6.

[Miles]

The NC Assembly's annual budget was released ysterday. Its cuts to public education, totalling about half a billion, were notably brutal. Among other things, its elimates teacher tenure, phases out almost 4,000 teacher assistants and expands subsides for private school vouchers. North Carolina is already #48 in the country when it comes to funding per student.

Did Tillis think of his Senate prospects at all when he was crafting this budget!? I can already see the attack ads Hagan will run against him about this.

[windjammer]

The NC Assembly's annual budget was released ysterday. Its cuts to public education, totalling about half a billion, were notably brutal. Among other things, its elimates teacher tenure, phases out almost 4,000 teacher assistants and expands subsides for private school vouchers. North Carolina is already #48 in the country when it comes to funding per student.

Did Tillis think of his Senate prospects at all when he was crafting this budget!? I can already see the attack ads Hagan will run against him about this.

Of course, he doesn't want to have a tea party challenge.
Honestly, what I dream, it's a big dem landslide in 2020 to retake control of redistricting...

[Miles]

Regrettably, a three-judge panel has upheld the 2011 Congressional and Legislative maps.

The NAACP has 30 days to appeal to the NC Surpreme Court, but I personally wasn't expecting this to go very far anyway.

The NAACP is appealing the redistricting ruling to the NC Supreme Court.

[windjammer]

Regrettably, a three-judge panel has upheld the 2011 Congressional and Legislative maps.

The NAACP has 30 days to appeal to the NC Surpreme Court, but I personally wasn't expecting this to go very far anyway.

The NAACP is appealing the redistricting ruling to the NC Supreme Court.

Is it possible to win?

[Miles]

Is it possible to win?

I'm not holding my breath

[windjammer]

Time to say one's prayer in the church