LA and NC 2014 Congressional Races
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  LA and NC 2014 Congressional Races
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Author Topic: LA and NC 2014 Congressional Races  (Read 212035 times)
Never
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« Reply #1775 on: August 28, 2014, 04:37:12 PM »

WaPo: Senator Landrieu's Louisiana residency questioned, because at the age of 58, she still registers to vote from her parents' home in the state.

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jfern
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« Reply #1776 on: August 29, 2014, 02:09:15 AM »

I noticed something interesting about the 2002 LA election. In the first election, Republicans got a majority of the vote.
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Miles
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« Reply #1777 on: August 29, 2014, 08:43:09 AM »

^ I'm almost sure I did map of the swing from non-Landrieu/Landrieu to Terrell/Landrieu in 2002. I'll dig it up. I think John Cookey's supporters (up north) didn't break as heavily towards Terrell as expected.

With these residency "issues" in the news, I don't expect to hear a peep out of the NRSC about it; seems like they had no problem standing by Pat Roberts.
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Miles
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« Reply #1778 on: August 29, 2014, 02:53:16 PM »

NC-Sen: As reported earlier, the Wake County Democratic Party has largely stepped up to fill the organizational void left by the inept NCDP. The DSCC transferred about $520K to the Wake County DP, whereas its disbursements elsewhere went to the actual state parties.

LA-Sen: Maness has filed a complaint urging the SOS to investigate Landrieu's residency. Whatever.

More LA-Sen: The CW is that, since Landrieu is pushing for more debates, she's in a weaker position. She and Maness have agreed to four, while Cassidy has only committed to one. One reason, however, for Cassidy's rulactance may be his genuine timidity:

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LA-Misc.Sad I've suspected for a while now that the jungle primary's year in LA would be numbered. Last weekened, the LA GOP Central Committee passed a resolution which encourages legislators to pass legislation providing for a closed system. My friends within the LADP have yet to issue a stance, but personally I've been making the case in favor of the jungle primary to them. In any case, even if changes are made it, I don't see them going into effect before 2015.
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #1779 on: August 29, 2014, 02:54:16 PM »

http://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2014/08/29/Sen-Mary-Landrieu-uses-moms-home-as-Louisiana-address/8371409329742/?spt=sec&or=tn

Looks like Landrieu's residency problem is more serious than anyone thinks... Still hard to not see advancing from the jungle primary however.
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Miles
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« Reply #1780 on: August 29, 2014, 03:03:07 PM »
« Edited: August 29, 2014, 03:08:26 PM by Miles »

^ Its a minor issue and , if anything, will be a distraction from bigger things, like the ACA. Living with your parents isn't uncommon for bigger families (Landrieu has eight siblings).

Knowing the LAGOP, they'd be doing everything they can to get her off that ballot. The fact that they haven't filed anything formal says a lot.

Of course, she'd advance from the jungle primary (if not win outright). Thats a given as long as Maness stays in.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #1781 on: August 29, 2014, 04:06:20 PM »

Landrieu is probably toast if she wasn't already.  Fortunately, Hagan and Pryor look like they'll win at this point Smiley
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windjammer
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« Reply #1782 on: August 30, 2014, 09:38:13 AM »

Landrieu is probably toast if she wasn't already.  Fortunately, Hagan and Pryor look like they'll win at this point Smiley

This is sarcastic? Tongue
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #1783 on: August 30, 2014, 12:45:12 PM »

Landrieu is probably toast if she wasn't already.  Fortunately, Hagan and Pryor look like they'll win at this point Smiley

This is sarcastic? Tongue

Nope Sad

She was in trouble before this due and needed everything to go right, this is a pretty big deal as Roberts and Luger have proven and it'll do more than she can afford.
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windjammer
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« Reply #1784 on: August 30, 2014, 12:50:20 PM »

Landrieu is probably toast if she wasn't already.  Fortunately, Hagan and Pryor look like they'll win at this point Smiley

This is sarcastic? Tongue

Nope Sad

She was in trouble before this due and needed everything to go right, this is a pretty big deal as Roberts and Luger have proven and it'll do more than she can afford.

You're pessimistic!
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Miles
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« Reply #1785 on: August 31, 2014, 03:24:11 PM »

Nope Sad

She was in trouble before this due and needed everything to go right, this is a pretty big deal as Roberts and Luger have proven and it'll do more than she can afford.

You're pessimistic!

Not to mention that Maness has been much more vocal on this residency "issue" than Cassidy, who has laid pretty low. I wouldn't surprised to see Maness rise in the polls now, as his profile is higher.
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #1786 on: September 02, 2014, 12:25:01 PM »

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Miles
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« Reply #1787 on: September 02, 2014, 12:31:59 PM »

^ Here's where it will be streamed.
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Miles
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« Reply #1788 on: September 02, 2014, 12:42:24 PM »
« Edited: September 02, 2014, 01:43:45 PM by Miles »

LA-Sen: The Baton Rouge DA said that he will not pursue Maness' challenge to Landrieu's residency.

LA-02: Meanwhile, another Landrieu will actually get bounced from the ballot. Gary Landrieu, the Senator's cousin who ran a quixotic bid here in 2012, was disqualified from running against Rep. Richmond. It appears Landrieu was late in paying fines from his previous campiagns.

NC-State Sen.Sad This is really worth noting: Phil Berger Sr. is spending more than $120K on airtime. I doubt he loses, but some say Berger could at least be in for a close race. This is a district that Romney won by 19, so the fact that Berger has to plunk down this much on ads says something.
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Miles
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« Reply #1789 on: September 02, 2014, 03:12:42 PM »

LA-Sen: 'Big Dog alert:

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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1790 on: September 03, 2014, 09:49:45 AM »

LA-Sen: Kraushaar says he's hearing there's a decent chance Chamber may endorse Landrieu if control is not at stake.
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windjammer
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« Reply #1791 on: September 03, 2014, 09:53:06 AM »

RogueBeaver ‏@Rogue_Beaver  2 min
@HotlineJosh cc @JMilesColeman

Haha
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Miles
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« Reply #1792 on: September 03, 2014, 12:40:58 PM »

^ Haha, yep. Rogue helps me a lot on Twitter! Smiley
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Miles
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« Reply #1793 on: September 04, 2014, 02:30:49 PM »

NC-Sen: Civitas has a poll out of Unaffliated voters, showing Hagan up:

Hagan (D)- 39%
Tillis (R)- 27%
Haugh (L)- 8%
Unsure- 23%

Hagan- 41%
Tillis- 33%

The sample seems to tilt Democratic overall though. Obama, and the ACA, are breaking better than even.
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Bacon King
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« Reply #1794 on: September 05, 2014, 08:12:57 AM »

So I literally haven't read this thread since it only had a single page but I just learned today that Clay Aiken is running for Congress in NC? Huh

I know it's apparently a very conservative district but does he have a chance Miles
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Miles
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« Reply #1795 on: September 05, 2014, 09:44:05 AM »

^ Yes, Aiken is running in NC-02. He got more attention during the primary season; in a bizarre and sad twist, the Democrat that he beat by less than 400 votes literally dropped dead a few days after the election. But since then, the race has seemed pretty quiet.

Overall, Ellmers is favored and I'd expect her to win by about 10 points. There were complaints that Aiken was running a poor campaign leading up the primary, despite his very good kickoff video. He seems to have recovered somewhat, but I'm not sure it will be enough.
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Miles
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« Reply #1796 on: September 05, 2014, 10:46:05 AM »

LA-Sen: After a hearing that lasted less than an hour, a Baton Rouge judge has tossed out Paul Hollis' silly challenge to Landrieu's residency.
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Miles
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« Reply #1797 on: September 05, 2014, 07:03:38 PM »

LA-Sen: This is really sketchy. The SCF has another "poll" out where Maness leads Landrieu, but Cassidy trails:



And from what I can tell, its not the same poll as this one they were floating.
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Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
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« Reply #1798 on: September 06, 2014, 09:20:55 PM »


LOL
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Miles
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« Reply #1799 on: September 07, 2014, 12:05:23 PM »
« Edited: September 07, 2014, 12:20:00 PM by Miles »

LA-Sen: Geez, Maness actually has a really great point; this is what I call opposition research, folks:

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