LA and NC 2014 Congressional Races

[windjammer]

Miles, do you think that the republicans will be united behind Bill Cassidy? I don't see another republicans who could run for senate if Jeff Landry rules out.

[windjammer]

And is Cassidy a strong candidate or an Akin-style?

[windjammer]

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2013/04/hagan-leads-all-republicans-berry-leads-gop-hopefuls.html

Good news! Her support for gay mariage doesn't weaken her. What's more, her reelection won't be compromised because of gun control.

[windjammer]

The club for growth is targeting her. So it would be risky for her to run for the US senate.

[windjammer]

Howard Coble won't probably seek reelection:
-- Rep. Howard Coble, R-N.C.: Coble raised just $4,167 in the first quarter, compared to about $64,000 in the first quarter of 2011. He ended March with just $37,681 in the bank. He'll be 83 on Election Day and was briefly hospitalized in Februar

[windjammer]

Is it possible for democrats to retake the house or the senate despite gerrymandering?

[windjammer]

Today's good news keeps rolling in.

Cherrie Berry is out, per AP.

http://www.news-record.com/blogs/north_state_politics/article_176b2c68-c87d-11e2-9434-001a4bcf6878.html

http://www.wbtv.com/story/22447551/berry-wont-run-for-us-senate-against-hagan


Safe lean D.

It's North Carolina, not Massachussett. So we need to wait before saying it's a likely/safe race!

[windjammer]

I just have a question. Why is this Gop gerrymandering passed in 2010? I mean, the governor was democrat!

[windjammer]

I just have a question. Why is this Gop gerrymandering passed in 2010? I mean, the governor was democrat!

The Governor can't veto redistricting in NC. NC has a relatively weak executive; the Governor's office didn't get veto power over anything until 1996.

So as Krazen said, the democrats risk to have "100 years of punishment"...

[windjammer]

How are the LSU democrats?
So Miles will be the next democratic senater after Mary and Mitch's retirement .

Is the other republican candidate strong?

[windjammer]

I don't think it will hurt her. After all, Rand Paul and John Barrow had the same problem recently with their respective son...

[windjammer]

Yankee, you are probably a kind of "moderate to conservative republican". So I would like to know, what's your opinion of Hagan, could you vote for her if the republican nominee is just horrible (Tillis,...)?

And Miles, how make you the maps, have you a software?

[windjammer]

https://www.facebook.com/LouisianaSenateVet?fref=ts

Rob Maness has 15000 likes and seems to be supported by the Tea  Party. I think he risks to hurt Cassidy.

[windjammer]

I love the gop with their successfull political suicide

[windjammer]

Maybe this bill will be declared anti-constitutionnal?

[windjammer]

You're the best mapper of this forum  Miles, congratulations . I hope you will become a politician!

[windjammer]

http://www.leaderandtimes.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=12600:run-elbert-guillory-against-sen-mary-landrieu--hes-what-the-gop-needs&catid=29:opinion&Itemid=58

I suppose t's unlikely. He will probably run for Cassidy's seat.

[windjammer]

http://www.shreveporttimes.com/article/20130630/NEWS01/130630006/State-Sen-Elbert-Guillory-raises-profile-party-switch?nclick_check=1

Honestly, I don't think he will run for the us senate. But he must have a good reason for becoming republican in a 65%democrat district.

[windjammer]

The NC Assembly's annual budget was released ysterday. Its cuts to public education, totalling about half a billion, were notably brutal. Among other things, its elimates teacher tenure, phases out almost 4,000 teacher assistants and expands subsides for private school vouchers. North Carolina is already #48 in the country when it comes to funding per student.

Did Tillis think of his Senate prospects at all when he was crafting this budget!? I can already see the attack ads Hagan will run against him about this.

Of course, he doesn't want to have a tea party challenge.
Honestly, what I dream, it's a big dem landslide in 2020 to retake control of redistricting...

[windjammer]

Regrettably, a three-judge panel has upheld the 2011 Congressional and Legislative maps.

The NAACP has 30 days to appeal to the NC Surpreme Court, but I personally wasn't expecting this to go very far anyway.

The NAACP is appealing the redistricting ruling to the NC Supreme Court.

Is it possible to win?

[windjammer]

Time to say one's prayer in the church

[windjammer]

But Landrieu is a bit a survivor, but yeah, Cassidy seems to be strong.

[windjammer]

I hope Tillis will continue to seek this seat

[windjammer]

Sorry the Pubs, but if it's Tillis he has probably few chances to be elected.

[windjammer]

Poor North Carolina Yankee, with a NCdem becoming the same democratic party in national lever, and the gop becoming even more extremist, you won't like politics in NC in the future!