Things Get Nuttier in 2020

[Maxwell]

Tom Coburn announces Presidential Run!



"This field lacks a serious concern for conservative vision and ideas, and therefore I will be entering the race today with a rally in Iowa!"

Republican Primary Poll:
Marco Rubio: 18%
Chris Christie: 18%
Paul Ryan; 12%
Bobby Jindal: 10%
Condoleezza Rice: 5%
Rick Santorum: 4%
John Thune: 3%
Tom Coburn: 1%
Rick Perry: 0%
Undecided: 29%

Notable States:

Iowa:
Paul Ryan: 26%
Marco Rubio: 16%
Bobby Jindal: 13%
Rick Santorum: 8%
Chris Christie: 6%
Tom Coburn: 5%
John Thune: 4%
Condoleezza Rice: 3%
Rick Perry: 1%
Undecided: 18%

New Hampshire:
Chris Christie: 15%
Marco Rubio: 14%
Condoleezza Rice: 14%
Paul Ryan: 14%
John Thune: 7%
Tom Coburn: 4%
Rick Santorum: 1%
Rick Perry: 0%
Undecided: 31%

South Carolina:
Marco Rubio: 28%
Bobby Jindal: 22%
Chris Christie: 8%
Tom Coburn: 7%
Rick Santorum: 6%
Condoleezza Rice: 2%
Rick Perry: 2%
John Thune: 1%
Undecided: 24%

Hillary doesn't run!



"I am officially announcing that I will not be running for the Presidency of the United States and announcing my full retirement from public life."

Democratic Primary Poll:
Joe Biden: 20%
Andrew Cuomo: 16%
Elizabeth Warren: 12%
Martin O'Malley: 10%
Deval Patrick: 5%
Kirsten Gillibrand: 4%
Rahm Emanuel: 3%
Kathleen Sebelius: 1%
Undecided: 29%

Iowa Poll:
Joe Biden: 20%
Martin O'Malley: 18%
Andrew Cuomo: 12%
Elizabeth Warren: 12%
Rahm Emanuel: 5%
Kathleen Sebelius: 3%
Deval Patrick: 2%
Kirsten Gillibrand: 1%
Undecided: 27%

New Hampshire Poll:
Andrew Cuomo: 17%
Elizabeth Warren: 15%
Deval Patrick: 12%
Joe Biden: 10%
Kirsten Gillibrand: 8%
Rahm Emanuel: 3%
Martin O'Malley: 3%
Kathleen Sebelius: 0%
Undecided: 32%

South Carolina:
Joe Biden: 30%
Andrew Cuomo: 10%
Martin O'Malley: 9%
Deval Patrick: 5%
Elizabeth Warren: 4%
Rahm Emanuel: 4%
Kathleen Sebelius: 3%
Undecided: 35%

On the Republican side, the Ames Straw Poll is coming up, many Republicans are situating themselves to try to gain some momentum there. Even though Governor Branstad tried to get rid of it, he ultimately dropped the affair. The main contenders right now for the Ames Straw Poll currently are Rick Santorum, Paul Ryan, and Tom Coburn, with a slight chance of a strong write-in showing from Mike Pence, who has explored the possibility of entering the race. Marco Rubio has his name in the Straw Poll, but is not too seriously contesting it. Chris Christie asked his name not be on the ballot completely, as has Condoleezza Rice.

On the Democratic side, Deval Patrick has been attempting to build a stronghold in New Hampshire, as shown by his constantly improved standing in the state. Biden, the ever continuing front-runner, has been fading as of late due to campaign gaffes and a lack of endorsement from the Obama White House. Cuomo, looking to take the front-runner mantle, has many liberals afraid, with Brian Schweitzer and Russ Feingold endorsing Warren fairly early in the race. Finally, Kathleen Sebelius and Rahm Emanuel entered the race a little while ago to fairly little fan-fair, though both are taking aim at Iowa and South Carolina at the moment.

[Maxwell]

Ryan wins the Straw Poll, while Coburn shocks



"We'd like to thank the Ames Iowa Straw Poll for their endorsement of our campaign!"



"I know my face doesn't express it, but I am shocked and chagrined by the results of the Straw Poll here today. I'd like to thank all of my local Iowa supporters for this result."

Ames Iowa Straw Poll Results:
Paul Ryan: 29.1%
Tom Coburn: 24.7%
Bobby Jindal: 16.0%
Rick Santorum: 13.5%
John Thune: 7.2%
Marco Rubio: 4.7%
Write-In: Mike Pence: 4.7%
Rick Perry: 0.0%



Will he or won't he? Indiana Governor Pence keeps teasing supporters

"I will be making my decision tomorrow, and there will be some who are pleased with the decision, and some who will be disappointed by the decision, but it is one in which I have thought about carefully for years and this result at the Straw Poll is only a piece of."

Post-Ames Iowa Poll w/o Pence:
Paul Ryan: 24%
Marco Rubio: 17%
Bobby Jindal: 14%
Tom Coburn: 10%
Chris Christie: 5%
Rick Santorum: 5%
John Thune: 5%
Condoleezza Rice: 2%
Rick Perry: 1%
Undecided: 17%

Post-Ames Iowa Poll w/Pence:
Paul Ryan: 19%
Mike Pence: 15%
Marco Rubio: 14%
Bobby Jindal: 12%
Tom Coburn: 9%
Chris Christie: 4%
Rick Santorum: 4%
John Thune: 4%
Condoleezza Rice: 2%
Rick Perry: 0%
Undecided: 17%

Meanwhile, on the Democrat Side...

Biden mixes Social Security and Medicare in debate, leaves Democrats looking for a new front-runner



National Polls:
Joe Biden: 18%
Andrew Cuomo: 18%
Elizabeth Warren: 13%
Martin O'Malley: 9%
Deval Patrick: 7%
Kirsten Gillibrand: 5%
Rahm Emanuel: 2%
Kathleen Sebelius: 2%
Undecided: 26%

John Kerry endorses Deval Patrick, Bill Clinton endorses Andrew Cuomo, Obama yet to endorse...

[Maxwell]

Damon slams Democratic field, weighs in on Presidential Run!



"None of these people are the reason why I became a Democrat. The only person in the field I could see voting for is Warren, and even then, she's not the fighter for the middle class that I've seen her be in the Senate. It's almost enough to make me want to run for President or something... and it's starting to be a serious possibility."

National Polls w/Damon:
Matt Damon: 22%
Andrew Cuomo: 15%
Joe Biden: 12%
Elizabeth Warren: 9%
Martin O'Malley: 9%
Deval Patrick: 7%
Kirsten Gillibrand: 4%
Kathleen Sebelius: 2%
Rahm Emanuel: 1%
Undecided: 19%

Biden, Emanuel attack Damon



"He's a fine actor, sure, but what does he know about the policies, what does he understand about how government works, where are his credentials? You don't go to a job interview to be a CEO of an Engineering Company when your experience is as a top chef! If he wants to join the field, I'll get him, but may I remind you, I'm the one that understands the way things are!"



Gregory: "What are your thoughts on Damon's comments in the past couple of days?"
Emanuel: "Well, I mean, I like his movies."
Gregory: "Anything else?"
Emanuel: "Well, not really, because he's not a serious person. It's easy to criticize someone when you aren't in that position to be making all those decisions. It's much harder to actually make those decisions"
Gregory: "So basically you're saying it's irrelevant because you actually govern and he doesnt?"
Emanuel: "Exactly, now lets get back to seriousness."

Meanwhile, on the Republican Side

Pence, Perry out; Sandoval in!



"As much as I love the nationwide enthusiasm for my running, I will not be running for President, as I care too deeply about the people of Indiana to be distracted by a Presidential run. I will, however, be running for re-election in my home state of Indiana. Also, I will be endorsing Senator Coburn of Oklahoma, as he has proven himself in his career as a legislative mind to be the sharpest, hardest working, and most conservative man in the Senate, and deserves a chance at the Presidency!"



"I will be announcing my official retirement from politics, as I feel I no longer have a role to play in the national scope of the United States, and I will be ending my campaign for President. I will be endorsing my good friend Bobby Jindal for President of the United States, as he has the vision, and candor, to be the President."



"After 8 years of Hope and Change, it's time to turn around from this crash course of Democratic leadership, and I think my view is so much different than the GOP field that I will be announcing my run for the Presidency of the United States!"

National Polls:
Marco Rubio: 19%
Chris Christie: 18%
Paul Ryan: 12%
Bobby Jindal: 12%
Condoleezza Rice: 6%
Tom Coburn: 5%
John Thune: 3%
Rick Santorum: 3%
Brian Sandoval: 2%
Undecided: 19%

Mitt Romney endorses Paul Ryan, Tom Ridge endorses Brian Sandoval, and Mike Rounds endorses John Thune

[Niemeyerite]

Loving this. Go Biden!

[Maxwell]

Debates Coming...

Sebelius, Patrick calls for a more knowledgeable field, back up Damon



"I know many of my peers are rudely dismissing Mr. Damons remarks, but that doesn't make them any less true. We need to be more knowledgeable on the policy so we can have a serious conversation with the American people, not just talk down to them like children. As someone who worked in the Health and Human Services department of the Obama administration, I believe we need an educated discussion on Heath Care, and hope my peers can follow up."



"What Joe Biden and Rahm Emanuel said about Matt Damon fundamentally disrespects the people of this nation. So what he doesn't have experience? He has a right to criticize the Government as much as anyone else does, and we should listen. We are the party of the people, and yet they talk like Plutocratic Republicans, these are not the men who should lead the free world, much less our party!"

Bill Clinton holds massive, $3 Million dollar fundraiser for Andrew Cuomo



National Polls:
Andrew Cuomo: 20%
Joe Biden: 17%
Elizabeth Warren: 13%
Martin O'Malley: 10%
Deval Patrick: 8%
Kirsten Gillibrand: 6%
Kathleen Sebelius: 4%
Rahm Emanuel: 3%
Undecided: 19%

Meanwhile, on the Republican side...



Rice stands strong in New Hampshire, Rubio support in the state evaporates!

New Hampshire:
Condoleezza Rice: 18%
Chris Christie: 14%
Paul Ryan: 11%
John Thune: 9%
Brian Sandoval: 8%
Marco Rubio: 7%
Tom Coburn: 6%
Bobby Jindal: 1%
Rick Santorum: 1%
Undecided: 28%

Coburn announces tour of all 99 counties of Iowa



"Every great journey begins somewhere, why not Iowa in the journey to the Presidency?"

Christie pulls ahead of Rubio Nationally for the first time!



National Polls:
Chris Christie: 19%
Marco Rubio: 17%
Bobby Jindal: 12%
Paul Ryan: 11%
Condoleezza Rice: 6%
Tom Coburn: 6%
John Thune: 3%
Brian Sandoval: 3%
Rick Santorum: 2%
Undecided: 21%

[Maxwell]

Democratic Debate Results:

Who won?
Deval Patrick: 35%
Kathleen Sebelius: 13%
Andrew Cuomo: 10%
Rahm Emanuel: 8%
Kirsten Gillibrand: 8%
Elizabeth Warren: 8%
Martin O'Malley: 3%
Joe Biden: 0%
Tie: 5%
Undecided: 10%

Deval Patrick tears down the field, Sebelius and Cuomo impress, Biden collapses



Biden, who usually stands tall at debates, has completely sunk. He looked sullen, angry, and a bit out of sorts. Other than his performance, most of the candidates did rather well, with Kathleen Sebelius getting massive applause on the healthcare issue. However, the person who overtook everyone on the field was, surprisingly, Deval Patrick, who managed to upgrade the conversation to a bigger level. Cuomo also had his moments, but he mostly stayed out of the spotlight of the debate.

Post-Debate Democratic National Poll:
Andrew Cuomo: 21%
Joe Biden: 14%
Elizabeth Warren: 14%
Deval Patrick: 11%
Martin O'Malley: 8%
Kathleen Sebelius: 7%
Kirsten Gillibrand: 4%
Rahm Emanuel: 4%
Undecided: 17%


Republican Debate Results:

Who won?
Condoleezza Rice: 20%
Chris Christie: 15%
Tom Coburn: 13%
John Thune: 9%
Brian Sandoval: 8%
Paul Ryan: 6%
Marco Rubio: 3%
Bobby Jindal: 1%
Tie: 10%
Undecided: 15%

Condoleeza Rice wins narrowly over Christie and Coburn, with Thune and Sandoval impressing.



On the Republican side, it was a bit less decisive, with Condoleezza Rice's foreign policy credentials completely trouncing everyone else on the stage, while sounding polished enough on everything else. Christie came on strong and fast, and managed to attack without sounding petulant. Rubio, however, couldn't do the same, whose bad performance tonight is only matched by Bobby Jindal, who collapsed on substance in a near Rick Perry fashion. The only other surprise was that Paul Ryan faltered a bit on budgetary matters, his supposed strength. Rick Santorum wasn't invited due to polling below 3%.

Post-Debate Republican Poll:
Chris Christie: 22%
Marco Rubio: 14%
Paul Ryan: 11%
Bobby Jindal: 10%
Condoleezza Rice: 9%
Tom Coburn: 8%
John Thune: 5%
Brian Sandoval: 5%
Rick Santorum: 1%
Undecided: 15%

[Maxwell]

Scandal: Marco Rubio's record as Florida Speaker of the House revealed, turns out he made deals for companies that funded his campaigns



"The campaign cannot comment on this at the moment."

National Polls:
Chris Christie: 22%
Paul Ryan: 12%
Bobby Jindal: 11%
Condoleezza Rice: 10%
Tom Coburn: 9%
Marco Rubio: 6%
John Thune: 5%
Brian Sandoval: 5%
Rick Santorum: 2%
Undecided: 18%

*blue now means Coburn*

Iowa:
Paul Ryan: 18%
Tom Coburn: 15%
Bobby Jindal: 15%
John Thune: 9%
Chris Christie: 8%
Rick Santorum: 5%
Marco Rubio: 5%
Condoleezza Rice: 4%
Undecided: 21%

New Hampshire:
Condoleezza Rice: 17%
Chris Christie: 15%
John Thune: 10%
Brian Sandoval: 9%
Paul Ryan: 8%
Bobby Jindal: 4%
Tom Coburn: 4%
Marco Rubio: 3%
Rick Santorum: 1%
Undecided: 29%

South Carolina:
Bobby Jindal: 22%
Tom Coburn: 11%
Chris Christie: 10%
Paul Ryan: 10%
Marco Rubio: 6%
Rick Santorum: 4%
Condoleezza Rice: 4%
John Thune: 3%
Brian Sandoval: 3%
Undecided: 27%

Big Update on the Democrat side coming...

[Maxwell]

Damon still not impressed, enters the race!

"I am tired of the way that political campaigns are done, so I will be doing a nationwide campaign, not just focusing on Iowa and New Hampshire!"

National Polls:
Matt Damon: 20%
Andrew Cuomo: 17%
Elizabeth Warren: 13%
Joe Biden: 12%
Deval Patrick: 12%
Martin O'Malley: 6%
Kathleen Sebelius: 6%
Kirsten Gillibrand: 4%
Rahm Emanuel: 3%

Green = Biden
Blue = Cuomo
Red = Damon
Yellow = Warren

Iowa:
Martin O'Malley: 14%
Elizabeth Warren: 13%
Andrew Cuomo: 13%
Joe Biden: 12%
Matt Damon: 12%
Rahm Emanuel: 9%
Kathleen Sebelius: 7%
Deval Patrick: 1%
Kirsten Gillibrand: 1%
Undecided: 18%

New Hampshire:
Deval Patrick: 17%
Elizabeth Warren: 16%
Andrew Cuomo: 14%
Matt Damon: 13%
Kirsten Gillibrand: 8%
Joe Biden: 7%
Rahm Emanuel: 3%
Kathleen Sebelius: 3%
Martin O'Malley: 2%
Undecided: 17%

South Carolina:
Joe Biden: 18%
Andrew Cuomo: 15%
Matt Damon: 15%
Martin O'Malley: 8%
Kathleen Sebelius: 8%
Deval Patrick: 7%
Rahm Emanuel: 5%
Elizabeth Warren: 3%
Kirsten Gillibrand: 3%
Undecided: 18%

Cuomo continues to run laps around the field in fundraising, Warren surprising runner-up



Gillibrand re-evalulating campaign due to weak fundraising



Tom Vilsack endorses Damon, Jerry Brown endorses Warren, Janet Napolitano endorses Sebelius

[Maxwell]

Santorum drops out of the race, Rubio refuses to do the same



"I will not be continuing running for the Presidency due to a lack of funds. I will endorse Former Governor Bobby Jindal, as he represents true conservatism that I am fighting for. I hope to campaign for him against the Northeastern moderate Chris Christie."



"This scandal is a sham, I will not be leaving this race for the Presidency! We will let the people decide this race!"

National Polls:
Chris Christie: 21%
Bobby Jindal: 15%
Paul Ryan: 13%
Condoleezza Rice: 10%
Tom Coburn: 8%
John Thune: 6%
Brian Sandoval: 5%
Marco Rubio: 4%
Undecided: 18%

Thune receives major endorsement from the NRA



Coburn last place in Fundraising, dipping into personal funds



Meanwhile, on the Democrat side...

Damon first policy speech flawed, mixed response from the audience



Gillibrand exits race, endorses Cuomo



"I know we don't agree on every issue, but I know Governor Cuomo, and he is a man who knows the issues and knows how to work with people, so I will be endorsing him for president."

Biden gearing up for next debate, latest policy speech going strong



"I want yall to know something: when I'm on, I'm on, and I'm ready for this debate coming up. Matt Damon is a nice boy, but he's not ready for Joe the Regulator!"

National Polls:
Matt Damon: 22%
Andrew Cuomo: 20%
Joe Biden: 13%
Elizabeth Warren: 12%
Deval Patrick: 12%
Martin O'Malley: 7%
Kathleen Sebelius: 6%
Rahm Emanuel: 3%
Undecided: 5%

Debate Coming Up...

[Niemeyerite]

As I know you won't let Biden win... I think I'm supporting Sebelius

[Maxwell]

As I know you won't let Biden win... I think I'm supporting Sebelius

You don't know that, he's gearing up for his debate performance

[Maxwell]

Comeback Biden!



"What'd I tell ya?"

Who won the Debate?
Joe Biden: 30%
Deval Patrick: 18%
Kathleen Sebelius: 10%
Rahm Emanuel: 8%
Andrew Cuomo: 7%
Martin O'Malley: 7%
Elizabeth Warren: 6%
Matt Damon: 3%
Tie: 1%
Undecided: 10%

Biden came out sounding polished, smooth, and yet came on aggressive. It was his best debate performance since scalding VP candidate Paul Ryan back in 2012. He crushed the field, with higher class debaters Sebelius and Patrick coming with their usual skill on the issues. Emanuel impressed some on the debate stage, but mostly was a non-factor, much like Cuomo, O'Malley, and Warren. Damon was the one who fell: he looked more and more like the inexperienced political that Biden had pointed out he was. At many points he just lacked the detail that any of the other candidates had.

National Polls:
Andrew Cuomo: 20%
Matt Damon: 16%
Joe Biden: 16%
Deval Patrick: 14%
Elizabeth Warren: 11%
Kathleen Sebelius: 8%
Martin O'Malley: 6%
Rahm Emanuel: 4%
Undecided: 5%

Christie v. Thune



Who Won?
Chris Christie: 24%
John Thune: 20%
Tom Coburn: 13%
Condoleezza Rice: 10%
Brian Sandoval: 10%
Bobby Jindal: 6%
Marco Rubio: 6%
Paul Ryan: 4%

On the Republican side, Chris Christie won the debate, though voters said that John Thune did a massively more impressive job than they expected. Tom Coburn, who had needed a debate win to keep his fundraising together, came in third, with many voters saying he was stronger on fiscal issues than he was on foreign policy, in which he bungled a few details. Opposite of Condoleezza Rice, of course, whose stronger points are on foreign policy. Sandoval sounded knowledgeable but boring, and didn't stand out too much to people who weren't paying as much attention. Rubio and Jindal's numbers look bad, but they really just performed averagely, so their numbers represent that, and didn't stand out at all in the night. The only bad performance was Paul Ryan, who was attacked by Chris Christie over his budget plan, and he wasn't able to explain it, again.

National Polls:
Chris Christie: 24%
Bobby Jindal: 15%
Condoleezza Rice: 11%
Paul Ryan: 11%
Tom Coburn: 8%
John Thune: 8%
Brian Sandoval: 4%
Marco Rubio: 4%
Undecided: 15%

[Maxwell]

Emanuel support grows in Iowa, Damon, Cuomo dips



Iowa:
Martin O'Malley: 14%
Joe Biden: 14%
Elizabeth Warren: 12%
Rahm Emanuel: 12%
Andrew Cuomo: 10%
Matt Damon: 9%
Kathleen Sebelius: 8%
Deval Patrick: 3%
Undecided: 18%

Patrick Campaign leaves the Margin of Error in New Hampshire, Warren support wanes



New Hampshire:
Deval Patrick: 22%
Andrew Cuomo: 17%
Elizabeth Warren: 14%
Matt Damon: 12%
Joe Biden: 9%
Rahm Emanuel: 4%
Kathleen Sebelius: 4%
Martin O'Malley: 2%
Undecided: 16%

Big Guns: Biden finally picks up endorsement from President Obama



Sebelius Campaign struggles with funds, announces focus of resources on Iowa



Meanwhile, on the Republican side...

Coburn surge in Iowa, Ryan sinks



In spite of his lack of regular funds, his retail politician approach in Iowa has endeared him a 78/15 approval among the states Republicans. While his numbers drop elsewhere, he ssees a surge of support in the state. Meanwhile, Ryan has busied himself with a negative ad war with Bobby Jindal, and has upped his negatives up to 44/45. This, along with his poor debate performances, have sunk him in the state. Jindal is still in the positive, with 58/24 approval among state Republicans, but he hasn't made much of a budge in numbers in the state.

Iowa:
Tom Coburn: 23%
Bobby Jindal: 16%
Paul Ryan: 13%
John Thune: 12%
Chris Christie: 7%
Marco Rubio: 4%
Condoleezza Rice: 4%
Brian Sandoval: 2%
Undecided: 19%

Christie leads in New Hampshire, Thune surges



New Hampshire:
Chris Christie: 20%
Condoleezza Rice: 18%
John Thune: 18%
Brian Sandoval: 13%
Paul Ryan: 5%
Bobby Jindal: 3%
Tom Coburn: 3%
Marco Rubio: 2%
Undecided: 18%

Brian Sandoval endorsed by Former California Governor Pete Wilson



Rubio re-evaluating Presidential Campaign, considers dropping out



Iowa Caucuses Coming... One More Debate!

[Niemeyerite]

Biden is da'best!

[Maxwell]

Rubio drops out, doesn't endorse



"I don't want to put my family in harms way any longer. I will deal with the charges against me without the distraction of a presidential run. I am ending my campaign, and will not be giving a candidate my endorsement."

Big Guns: Christie endorsed by H.W. Bush



Ryan shuffling resources, fundraising drying



Rice pushes New England tour, challenges Thune to a town hall event



Jindal lead in South Carolina grows thanks to Haley endorsement

South Carolina:
Bobby Jindal: 31%
Tom Coburn: 16%
Chris Christie: 15%
Paul Ryan: 12%
John Thune: 8%
Condoleezza Rice: 6%
Brian Sandoval: 4%
Undecided: 8%

Meanwhile, on the Democratic side

Damon leads fundraising, Cuomo, Biden not far behind



O'Malley fundraising fumbles, last place among the candidates



Comeback Biden building a strong lead in South Carolina

South Carolina:
Joe Biden: 25%
Matt Damon: 18%
Andrew Cuomo: 15%
Kathleen Sebelius: 8%
Martin O'Malley: 7%
Deval Patrick: 7%
Rahm Emanuel: 6%
Elizabeth Warren: 2%
Undecided: 12%

Next Update... The Last Debate before the Nominating Process!

[Maxwell]

Jindal's best performance, contentious with Coburn



Who Won the Third Debate?
Bobby Jindal: 25%
Tom Coburn: 22%
Chris Christie: 10%
Brian Sandoval: 10%
Condoleezza Rice: 10%
John Thune: 10%
Paul Ryan: 6%
Tie: 3%
Undecided: 4%

Jindal came out of the debate with easily the best performance of his career. He clearly practiced, and came off like a President. Coburn came second with the strong policy knowledge, and the rest of the field was flailing behind. Christie, Sandoval, Rice, Thune didn't say much that was notable, and Ryan scrambled for the third time in a row.

National:
Chris Christie: 23%
Bobby Jindal: 21%
Tom Coburn: 12%
Condoleezza Rice: 10%
Paul Ryan: 8%
John Thune: 8%
Brian Sandoval: 6%
Undecided: 12%

Comeback Biden faced some stiff competition



Who Won the Third Debate?
Joe Biden: 20%
Rahm Emanuel: 19%
Matt Damon: 18%
Andrew Cuomo: 12%
Deval Patrick: 10%
Kathleen Sebelius: 9%
Elizabeth Warren: 2%
Martin O'Malley: 2%
Tie: 3%
Undecided: 5%

There was definitely a top tier in this debate: Rahm Emanuel, Joe Biden, and Matt Damon, and while Biden won the debate, Emanuel and Damon were the most impressive of the bunch, considering their previous performances on the debate stage. Cuomo, Sebelius, and Patrick performed respectably, but not really well, and Warren and O'Malley crashed. Their campaigns after this debate performance look a bit closer to done than not so.

National:
Joe Biden: 18%
Matt Damon: 18%
Andrew Cuomo: 18%
Deval Patrick: 15%
Elizabeth Warren: 9%
Kathleen Sebelius: 9%
Rahm Emanuel: 7%
Martin O'Malley: 4%
Undecided: 2%

[Maxwell]

Last Poll Before Iowa:

Republicans:
Tom Coburn: 24%
Bobby Jindal: 23%
John Thune: 17%
Paul Ryan: 10%
Chris Christie: 10%
Condoleezza Rice: 4%
Brian Sandoval: 2%
Undecided: 10%

Democrats:
Joe Biden: 17%
Rahm Emanuel: 17%
Martin O'Malley: 14%
Andrew Cuomo: 13%
Kathleen Sebelius: 11%
Elizabeth Warren: 9%
Matt Damon: 8%
Deval Patrick: 2%
Undecided: 9%

[badgate]

Poor Matt Damon

[Maxwell]

Iowa Results:

Coburn wins Iowa Caucuses, Thune at 20, Christie pulls double digits!



"Thank you Iowa, and now we will continue our conservative campaign throughout the rest of the nation, and then to the presidency!"

Republicans:
Tom Coburn: 28%
Bobby Jindal: 25%
John Thune: 20%
Chris Christie: 12%
Paul Ryan: 8%
Condoleezza Rice: 5%
Brian Sandoval: 2%



"Now, I'm not one to be disappointed in good things. I would've liked to win, but we performed great in a state we needed to, so I'm perfectly happy with this result. On to South Carolina!"

Statement from the Christie Campaign

"We at the Christie Campaign are happy with the result, as we expected much worse. Getting double digits in a state we put no resources in is a strong result, as our true first state is New Hampshire."

Paul Ryan withdraws, endorses Jindal



"Iowa was our first and our last shot, if we didn't make it here, we weren't going to make it elsewhere, so I am dropping my Presidential Campaign and endorsing my good friend, Bobby Jindal, who I hope will be able to turn out this race and turn America around!"

Delegate Count:
Tom Coburn: 11
Bobby Jindal: 9
John Thune: 8

National Polls:
Bobby Jindal: 25%
Chris Christie: 22%
Tom Coburn: 16%
John Thune: 13%
Condoleezza Rice: 10%
Brian Sandoval: 6%
Undecided: 8%

New Hampshire Polls:
John Thune: 25%
Chris Christie: 24%
Condoleezza Rice: 18%
Brian Sandoval: 17%
Bobby Jindal: 3%
Tom Coburn: 3%
Undecided: 10%

South Carolina:
Bobby Jindal: 35%
Tom Coburn: 21%
Chris Christie: 17%
John Thune: 11%
Condoleezza Rice: 5%
Brian Sandoval: 5%
Undecided: 6%

Florida:
Chris Christie: 25%
Bobby Jindal: 24%
Condoleezza Rice: 18%
Tom Coburn: 9%
John Thune: 6%
Brian Sandoval: 3%
Undecided: 15%

Comeback Biden sweeps Iowa, Sebelius over-performs where O'Malley under-performs



"I heard all the time, Joe can't win this, Joe can't do that, well, it looks like Joe did America, AND SO CAN YOU!"

Democratic Results:
Joe Biden: 24%
Rahm Emanuel: 21%
Kathleen Sebelius: 13%
Andrew Cuomo: 13%
Martin O'Malley: 10%
Matt Damon: 9%
Elizabeth Warren: 8%
Deval Patrick: 2%



"If you told us we were going to be second in Iowa, I would've laughed at you, but now this is a serious campaign, and we are moving forward, continuing the tradition of President Obama!"

Damon Campaign Statement:

"The results are in in Iowa and frankly, we don't really have much interest. We invested in the people of all the states, not just Iowa and the early states, so our campaign continues in spite of what the pundits may have to say on this matter. It's not an issue to us."

O'Malley drops out, endorses Biden



"It's time for me to face reality and end this presidential campaign. I realize the best candidate is the one who advocates change, but also who implements it. While I am a fan of Matt Damon, I believe Joe Biden is a true advocate of change because he really does get it done, first as a Senator, then as Vice President, and next as President."

Delegate Count:
Joe Biden: 30
Rahm Emanuel: 27

National Polls:
Joe Biden: 23%
Matt Damon: 17%
Andrew Cuomo: 17%
Deval Patrick: 15%
Kathleen Sebelius: 10%
Rahm Emanuel: 10%
Elizabeth Warren: 6%
Undecided: 2%

New Hampshire:
Deval Patrick: 22%
Andrew Cuomo: 18%
Joe Biden: 15%
Matt Damon: 11%
Elizabeth Warren: 10%
Rahm Emanuel: 8%
Kathleen Sebelius: 6%
Undecided: 10%

South Carolina:
Joe Biden: 30%
Matt Damon: 18%
Andrew Cuomo: 16%
Kathleen Sebelius: 11%
Deval Patrick: 9%
Rahm Emanuel: 6%
Elizabeth Warren: 2%
Undecided: 8%

Florida:
Joe Biden: 20%
Matt Damon: 20%
Andrew Cuomo: 20%
Rahm Emanuel: 12%
Deval Patrick: 10%
Elizabeth Warren: 5%
Kathleen Sebelius: 3%
Undecided: 10%

[Maxwell]

Matt Damon picks up major endorsement of AFL-CIO, ACLU



Biden picks up endorsement of Governor Hassan



Warren lays it all down on the line in New Hampshire



"While I am very passionate, I am in the real world. And the real world says that unless I get second or better in New Hampshire, this Presidential campaign ends."

Emanuel moves on from Iowa to Florida, skipping New Hampshire and South Carolina



Meanwhile, on the Republican side...

Coburn, Thune fundraising pick up due to Iowa performances



Sandoval pushes forward, says New Hampshire is a stepping stone



Christie gets endorsement from both Sununu's, Judd Gregg



Jindal picks up steam in the rustbelt, pulls ahead of Christie in Minnesota and Wisconsin



Next Up... New Hampshire Primary Polls and Results

[tmthforu94]

Very impressed with this - good job!

Were this to happen, I would be supporting Rice.

[Blackacre]

Very impressed with this - good job!

Were this to happen, I would be supporting Rice.

I might support Rice too, if not for President, then for the Senate. The Republican party needs a token... foreign policy expert. But she is the only Republican running who might get my support in the general election.

[Maxwell]

Very impressed with this - good job!

Were this to happen, I would be supporting Rice.

Playing President Forever helps alot with TLs haha

[Maxwell]

Last Poll Before New Hampshire:

Republicans:
Chris Christie: 26%
John Thune: 26%
Condoleezza Rice: 19%
Brian Sandoval: 18%
Bobby Jindal: 3%
Tom Coburn: 2%
Undecided: 6%

Democrats:
Deval Patrick: 23%
Andrew Cuomo: 19%
Joe Biden: 17%
Elizabeth Warren: 13%
Matt Damon: 11%
Rahm Emanuel: 9%
Kathleen Sebelius: 6%
Undecided: 2%

[Maxwell]

New Hampshire Results

Christie upsets Thune in New Hampshire, Sandoval beats Rice!



"Here we are and here we go: It's clear America wants Change. Not the Change that was touted around and then didn't accomplish anything, but real change, and thats what this campaign represents."

Republicans:
Chris Christie: 30%
John Thune: 26%
Brian Sandoval: 21%
Condoleezza Rice: 17%
Bobby Jindal: 4%
Tom Coburn: 2%



"Now this is a very serious campaign and I believe we are going to take our strong showings in these two states in turn that into a nomination!"



"Ladies and Gentleman, this is not a win, but it is a stepping stone to victory. We were polling around 2% everywhere in the nation, and now we came within single digits of victory. My friends, this campaign is just getting started. There are forty-eight states left in the union, and with our momentum, we can do it!"



"I'm not ready to be pushed out of this campaign yet, we still got good support here in New Hampshire and we still have good support elsewhere."

Delegates:
John Thune: 11
Tom Coburn: 11
Bobby Jindal: 9
Chris Christie: 4
Brian Sandoval: 3
Condoleezza Rice: 2

Popular Vote:
Chris Christie: 24.09%
John Thune: 24.03%
Brian Sandoval: 14.57%
Condoleezza Rice: 13.06%
Bobby Jindal: 10.90%
Tom Coburn: 10.54%
Paul Ryan: 2.62%

National:
Chris Christie: 24%
Bobby Jindal: 23%
John Thune: 16%
Tom Coburn: 15%
Brian Sandoval: 10%
Condoleezza Rice: 7%
Undecided: 5%

South Carolina:
Bobby Jindal: 33%
Chris Christie: 20%
Tom Coburn: 18%
John Thune: 13%
Brian Sandoval: 7%
Condoleezza Rice: 4%
Undecided: 5%

Florida:
Chris Christie: 29%
Bobby Jindal: 23%
Condoleezza Rice: 17%
John Thune: 10%
Tom Coburn: 8%
Brian Sandoval: 7%
Undecided: 6%

Nevada:
Brian Sandoval: 44%
Chris Christie: 21%
John Thune: 12%
Bobby Jindal: 8%
Condoleezza Rice: 6%
Tom Coburn: 4%
Undecided: 5%

Colorado:
Tom Coburn: 32%
Brian Sandoval: 19%
Chris Christie: 18%
Bobby Jindal: 14%
John Thune: 8%
Condoleezza Rice: 3%
Undecided: 6%

Minnesota:
Bobby Jindal: 26%
John Thune: 25%
Chris Christie: 18%
Tom Coburn: 9%
Brian Sandoval: 8%
Condoleezza Rice: 6%
Undecided: 8%

Missouri:
Tom Coburn: 23%
John Thune: 23%
Chris Christie: 22%
Bobby Jindal: 10%
Brian Sandoval: 7%
Condoleezza Rice: 6%
Undecided: 9%

Deval Patrick defeats the Cuomo, Biden



"Thank you New Hampshire, and god bless America!"



"Right now its a game of hares out there, racing around. What they don't realize is I'm the tortoise. There was Biden, Damon, Biden again, and now Patrick. I respect Deval Patrick, he's a good man, but he's merely a rabbit in a rabbit field. He doesn't know any better!"

Democrats:
Deval Patrick: 25%
Andrew Cuomo: 21%
Joe Biden: 18%
Elizabeth Warren: 14%
Matt Damon: 10%
Rahm Emanuel: 7%
Kathleen Sebelius: 5%

Warren drops out, endorses Patrick



"I knew Deval Patrick when he was Governor, and I knew that he could really make a difference. He turned around Massachusetts, he can turn around America. Which is why I am endorsing him for President of the United States as I end my own bid for the Presidency."

Delegates:
Biden: 35
Emanuel: 27
Patrick: 18
Cuomo: 6

Popular Vote:
Joe Biden: 19.91%
Andrew Cuomo: 18.38%
Deval Patrick: 17.57%
Elizabeth Warren: 12.09%
Rahm Emanuel: 11.47%
Matt Damon: 9.68%
Kathleen Sebelius: 7.68%
Martin O'Malley: 3.19%

National:
Joe Biden: 23%
Deval Patrick: 20%
Andrew Cuomo: 18%
Matt Damon: 15%
Rahm Emanuel: 12%
Kathleen Sebelius: 7%
Undecided: 5%

South Carolina:
Joe Biden: 31%
Andrew Cuomo: 18%
Matt Damon: 17%
Deval Patrick: 15%
Kathleen Sebelius: 9%
Rahm Emanuel: 5%
Undecided: 5%

Florida:
Andrew Cuomo: 22%
Joe Biden: 21%
Matt Damon: 19%
Deval Patrick: 16%
Rahm Emanuel: 13%
Kathleen Sebelius: 3%
Undecided: 6%

Nevada:
Matt Damon: 30%
Andrew Cuomo: 24%
Joe Biden: 13%
Deval Patrick: 12%
Rahm Emanuel: 7%
Kathleen Sebelius: 6%
Undecided: 8%

Colorado:
Matt Damon: 25%
Andrew Cuomo: 24%
Deval Patrick: 19%
Joe Biden: 12%
Kathleen Sebelius: 9%
Rahm Emanuel: 6%
Undecided: 5%

Minnesota:
Deval Patrick: 34%
Matt Damon: 23%
Andrew Cuomo: 13%
Rahm Emanuel: 12%
Joe Biden: 7%
Kathleen Sebelius: 5%
Undecided: 6%

Missouri:
Rahm Emanuel: 26%
Joe Biden: 23%
Matt Damon: 15%
Andrew Cuomo: 12%
Kathleen Sebelius: 12%
Deval Patrick: 4%
Undecided: 8%