Beezer
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,902
Political Matrix
E: 1.61, S: -2.17
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« on: December 21, 2012, 01:17:19 PM » |
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« edited: December 21, 2012, 01:23:36 PM by Beezer »
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Population movements have been helping the GOP for some time now. Back in 04, if Kerry had won OH, he'd have won the presidency. If Obama had won the same states as Kerry along with OH, he'd have been a couple of electoral votes short. I had a look a while ago at the last 6 elections (92-12). States that are solid Republican (ie a GOP candidate won 5 to 6 elections there) have gained 12 seats/EVs since the 1990s while solid Democratic states (Dem candidate has won 5 to 6 times there) have lost 14 seats/EVs (NY, PA, IL, MI by themselves have lost 11 seats).
Still, looking at the 2012 election it's hard to get excited about this if you're a Republican since a lot of the growth in these areas stems from Hispanics and Northerners, not exactly two voting blocks that are solidly Republican.
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