Which of the Democrats would win the nomination?

[justfollowingtheelections]

So lets imagine these are the Democrats who run.  They participate in the debates and are still in the race the day of the Iowa caucuses.

The candidates I picked were all born after 1954 and haven't been listed in any PPP polls yet.  They are however all listed on wikipedia's 2016 election page as potential candidates.

While I understand this is a very unlikely scenario, imagine that Hilary and Biden don't run, and some other favorites prove to be too early frontrunners (or choose not to run for whatever reason).  If these were the 11 candidates the Democrats were left with, who would win?
I have a feeling Amy Klobuchar could surprise since many would want a female candidate to win, and if she manages to win neighboring Iowa she could pull an Obama.

[Vosem]

Gillibrand, I think.

[Grumpier Than Thou]

Of these, Tim Kaine.

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

Gillibrand seems able to unify the party well enough, so her.

[Incipimus iterum]

Kirsten Gillibrand

[justfollowingtheelections]

Would Gillibrand be able to win in Iowa though?  Who would win in Iowa if these were the candidates?

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

Who Would I Vote For: Castro/Bayh/Emanuel
Who Would Win Iowa: Castro/Bayh/Kaine/Klobucher/Emanuel
Who Would Win The Democratic Nod: Gillibrand

[Blue3]

Gillibrand is very good at organizing and fundraising, and has already built up a grassroots network of support in all 50 states.

[Goodwin]

I think Gillibrand would eventually win the nomination in field like this. Although I could see either Evan Bayh or Amy Klobuchar winning Iowa.   

[TomC]

Yeah, I think if Hillary doesn't run, NY Sen Gillibrand could fill a void there. Works for me though I'd likely vote Kaine.

[morgieb]

Gillibrand probably - has stronger appeal to the base than say Klobuchar and may also garner support from the 'woman's touch' factor.

[justfollowingtheelections]

How does Gillibrand have stronger appeal to the base?  In the most recent poll, her favorability ratings among Democrats were 16% favorable, 16% unfavorable and 68% no opinion.  This is the same person who once claimed to be the most conservative Democrat in the House.
Can't we nominate a truly progressive woman?

[bballrox4717]

How does Gillibrand have stronger appeal to the base?  In the most recent poll, her favorability ratings among Democrats were 16% favorable, 16% unfavorable and 68% no opinion.  This is the same person who once claimed to be the most conservative Democrat in the House.
Can't we nominate a truly progressive woman?

Gillibrand won Congressional office by winning in a heavily Republican district. She became a progressive after Paterson appointed her.

[Mister Mets]

In this group, I'd go with Rahm Emanuel.

It's more a process of elimination.
Kamala Harris needs to become Governor or Senator.
Cory Booker, as a second year Senator, would be at a severe disadvantage.
Jack Merkell and Janet Napolitano seem to lack the necessary talent.
Julian Castro, Kirsten Gilibrand, Amy Klobuchar and Tim Kaine would be plausible.
But Rahm Emanuel would have more name recognition and access to fundraisers, as well as credible accomplishments.

[Donerail]

Evan Bayh: Maybe, but would likely get overshadowed by one of the fresher names.
Cory Booker: Mayor. No.
Julian Castro: Mayor. No.
Rahm Emanuel: Mayor. No.
Kirsten Gillibrand: Possibly, but could be seen as flip-flopping from House to Senate.
Kamala Harris: Who?
Tim Kaine: Pretty good shot. Swing state Senator.
Amy Klobuchar: Would be decent in Iowa I guess, but is a HP on civil liberties. Doubtful she becomes popular.
Jack Markell: Governor of a small state without a big national profile.
Janet Napolitano: Would have been out of elected office for the last 8 years.
Jay Nixon: Governor of a mid-sized state, but very Blue Dog. Not popular with the base.