Which potential candidates have the toughest re-election to go through first?

[retromike22]

Assuming they do run for reelection and are not one termers.

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

Chris Christie in 2013-safe
Mark Warner in 2014-safe
Rick Snyder in 2014-very vulnerable
Susanna Martinez in 2014-probably safe
Nikki Haley in 2014-vulnerable, probably moreso in a primary than a general
John Kasich in 2014-vulnerable
Scott Walker in 2014-potentially vulnerable, but probably gained credibility with the recall
Brian Sandoval in 2014-probably safe
Rick Scott in 2014-LOL

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

Warner is the only on this list who's super safe and Christie vulnerability is overhyped at best.

Scott is obvious answer. Next I'd say Haley. After all she won the office only narrowly to virtual Democratic unknown in a year that was horrible for the Democrats.

[Grumpier Than Thou]

Snyder, Kasich, Walker + Scott

[RogueBeaver]

Haley and Scott.

[Tayya]

I'd say Snyder, Haley and Scott.

[Donerail]

Christie: Safe
Warner: Safe
Snyder: Trails closest potential Democratic challenger by 5 points. Dead in the water.
Martinez: Not sure; facing the current AG, son a 3-term Governor.
Haley: Vulnerable (Shaheen).
Kasich: Probably vulnerable.
Walker: Relatively vulnerable, but I'm not sure who the Ds would run (unless it's Feingold?)
Sandoval: Safe.
Scott: You made two mistakes here. One was putting him on a list of potential candidates. The other was making it possible to not vote for Scott.

[Mr. Morden]

At least a third of the options here have done absolutely nothing to suggest any interest in running for president.

[dudeabides]

Most of them are safe; Christie and Warner are pretty much shoe-ins. Rick Scott won't be re-elected though.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Snyder, Walker, Kasich, Scott

[NVGonzalez]

Likelyhood of a win

Chris Christie in 2013-99.99%
Mark Warner in 2014- 85%
Rick Snyder in 2014- 30%
Susanna Martinez in 2014- 98%
Nikki Haley in 2014-53%
John Kasich in 2014-48%
Scott Walker in 2014-65%
Brian Sandoval in 2014-96%
Rick Scott in 2014-0.000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000001%

[Maxwell]

Likelyhood of a win

Chris Christie in 2013-99.99%
Mark Warner in 2014- 85%
Rick Snyder in 2014- 30%
Susanna Martinez in 2014- 98%
Nikki Haley in 2014-53%
John Kasich in 2014-48%
Scott Walker in 2014-65%
Brian Sandoval in 2014-96%
Rick Scott in 2014-0.000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000001%

Why is Mark Warner only 85%?

[Wake Me Up When The Hard Border Ends]

Christie: Safe.
Warner: Safe.
Snyder: Has said before that he will step down after one term if he gets his agenda implemented, otherwise vulnerable.
Martinez: Safe.
Haley: Fairly vulnerable, likely to be primaried.
Kasich: Tough contest.
Walker: Somewhat safe, especially after winning the recall with an increased vote on an increased turnout.
Sandoval: Safe.
Scott: Toast.

[Donerail]

Likelyhood of a win

Chris Christie in 2013-99.99%
Mark Warner in 2014- 85%
Rick Snyder in 2014- 30%
Susanna Martinez in 2014- 98%
Nikki Haley in 2014-53%
John Kasich in 2014-48%
Scott Walker in 2014-65%
Brian Sandoval in 2014-96%
Rick Scott in 2014-0.000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000001%

Scott's pretty far above that figure. The FDP'll find a way to screw it up somehow.

[NVGonzalez]

Likelyhood of a win

Chris Christie in 2013-99.99%
Mark Warner in 2014- 85%
Rick Snyder in 2014- 30%
Susanna Martinez in 2014- 98%
Nikki Haley in 2014-53%
John Kasich in 2014-48%
Scott Walker in 2014-65%
Brian Sandoval in 2014-96%
Rick Scott in 2014-0.000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000001%

Why is Mark Warner only 85%?

If somehow it turns into another GOP wave year he may become beatable.

[NewYorkExpress]

Scott, Snyder (if he runs of course) and Walker to me have toughest bids... BTW if Scott is on that list why isn't Gov. Corbett (R-PA), they both have similar approval ratings and a similar lack of desire to run for President.

[© tweed]

Chris Christie in 2013-99.99%

no way.  80-85%.  99.99 is Schumer territory.

[morgieb]

Christie - safe
Warner - safe unless McDonnell runs, in that case probably safe.
Snyder - probably won't run, but in serious trouble if he does.
Martinez - probably safe
Haley - vulnerable, but more so in a primary.
Kasich - vulnerable.
Walker - potentially vulnerable but still is favoured to hold on hold on.
Sandoval - probably safe.
Scott - dead meat but may have a slight chance of being saved due to a weak opposition bench.

[RogueBeaver]

Christie- safe
Warner- safe
Snyder- highly vulnerable if he runs
Martinez- safe
Haley- vulnerable in GE, safe in primary
Kasich- vulnerable
Walker- safe
Sandoval- safe
Scott- highly vulnerable, "who do you dislike less" if facing Crist might enable him to hang on.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Why is Mark Warner only 85%?

If somehow it turns into another GOP wave year he may become beatable.

Nah.  He's as safe as can be.

[badgate]

I voted Christie and Warner because I didn't understand the poll.

[Simfan34]

Where's Cuomo? Not that I think he's vulnerable, but still...