Current Republican Deep South counties that could become Dem
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  Current Republican Deep South counties that could become Dem
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Author Topic: Current Republican Deep South counties that could become Dem  (Read 774 times)
Mr.Phips
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« on: January 26, 2013, 12:28:24 PM »
« edited: January 26, 2013, 12:47:12 PM by Mr.Phips »

Im trying to think of current GOP counties in the Deep South that could become Democratic in the near future as black percentage of the voting population rises there.  

Here is a list I come up with:

Alabama:

Butler
Clarke
Choctaw
Pike
Pickens
Coosa
Talledega
Chambers
Monroe

Mississippi:

Lowndes
Walthall
Forrest
Leake
Scott
Grenada
Yalobusha
Montgomery
Winston

Louisiana:

Bienville
Nachodoches
Red River
Bienville
Morehouse
Point Coupe
West Baton Rouge
East Feliciana

Georgia:

Gwinnett
Mitchell
Henry

South Carolina:

Florence
Union


What are some thoughts about this?





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Benj
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« Reply #1 on: January 26, 2013, 12:35:35 PM »
« Edited: January 26, 2013, 12:37:29 PM by Benj »

Henry, Cobb and Gwinnett Counties in Georgia are the most obvious. In the long run, add Fayette. De Soto County in Mississippi is a sleeper for a dramatic transformation in the next couple of decades.
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
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« Reply #2 on: January 26, 2013, 11:12:18 PM »

Florence has been trending Democratic compared to South Carolina as a whole, but Union has for last couple decades been fairly consistently a few percentage points more Republican than the nation and a few points more Democratic than the state.
While it would have further to go to become a Democratic county than Union would, I'd say Newberry County is the most likely to next go Democratic after Florence.  It's not your typical Deep South county, in part because of its German influence. (It's the only South Carolina county where over 10% of the population is estimated to be Lutheran.)  While it's not there yet, nor even close, if any place in South Carolina is likely to become our version of Asheville, it's Newberry.
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memphis
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« Reply #3 on: January 27, 2013, 02:36:25 PM »

De Soto County in Mississippi is a sleeper for a dramatic transformation in the next couple of decades.
^^^^^^^
It's not gonna be for another decade or two because we're not growing too fast, but it's not hard to see the future demographics of DeSoto. Better question might be where the next greener pasture for suburban whites will be. Probably Fayette.
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