Australia - 7 September 2013 (user search)
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Author Topic: Australia - 7 September 2013  (Read 156979 times)
RogueBeaver
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« on: January 29, 2013, 09:18:56 PM »
That's not exactly normal procedure. Tongue So dissolution on 6 July if my math's right, and game on.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1 on: January 29, 2013, 09:27:59 PM »
Balance & Repeal isn't good enough? Wink (Isn't for me either, as I've often said) Even Repeal can't be done without 39 Coalition senators, which certainly won't happen this cycle.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #2 on: January 29, 2013, 10:33:25 PM »
I'd say 52/48 2PP. I'll believe '96 if and when it happens, not before.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #3 on: February 01, 2013, 07:22:42 AM »
Jowls aside, Costello looks pretty much the same now as he did then.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #4 on: February 02, 2013, 11:29:16 PM »
True. Unless this becomes a stampede for the exits, which I doubt. How many Laborites quit in '96 or Liberals in '07?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #5 on: February 03, 2013, 07:56:06 AM »
I would say 2001 or 2004 at this point.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #6 on: February 03, 2013, 03:20:24 PM »
« Edited: February 03, 2013, 03:22:09 PM by RogueBeaver »
Anyone have the #?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #7 on: February 05, 2013, 04:53:48 PM »
Otherwise known as "How to piss off swing voters, women and pensioners while cementing your reputation as a dickish brawler in a single gesture." Wink
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #8 on: April 15, 2013, 10:40:05 AM »
Quote from: hifly15 on April 15, 2013, 10:32:55 AM
The Western Australian Labor Party Executive has just decided to drop openly gay senator Louise Pratt from the top of the Senate ticket and replace her with an anti-gay social conservative in Joe Bullock. If current polling holds up, Labor may struggle to get more than one senator elected from WA.

Clown show.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #9 on: May 01, 2013, 10:33:32 AM »
Quote from: Franzl on May 01, 2013, 10:30:44 AM
Quote from: Solopop on May 01, 2013, 06:59:20 AM
Anything that divides the right is good.

#praying4jules

What good does dividing the opposition do in Australia?

If a third party becomes strong enough, you can tip the balance. DLP preferences played a crucial role in the Coalition dynasty's success from '58 on and of course the Joh for Canberra train wreck ended Howard's chances in '87. Not that Palmer's remotely comparable to those 2.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #10 on: May 01, 2013, 06:06:23 PM »
They're trying anything in a doomed attempt to avert political death.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #11 on: May 01, 2013, 09:54:27 PM »
What exactly was Palmer asking for to begin with?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #12 on: May 05, 2013, 09:28:02 PM »
« Edited: May 05, 2013, 09:29:34 PM by RogueBeaver »
PVO talks of 1975 redux (40-50 Lab seats, towards the lower end) as being "smart money": basically today's polls hold till E-Day. I trust him, but that seems a tad optimistic to me.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #13 on: May 06, 2013, 06:12:31 PM »
Not that he'll be doing much with it, unlike Howard and even Fraser. One similarity is that Lab will fight tooth and nail against repeal, like they did against Howard's first-term agenda. So unless Abbott gets an exceedingly lucky roll of the Senate dice...
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #14 on: May 09, 2013, 11:55:25 AM »
Depends which strategy Labor decides on, plus how many candidates keep their seats. Do they want a stopgap leader? Rebuilder who's a plausible PM and if they stick around long enough might get an opening, a la Beazley? Go for broke? I don't see anyone who fits category 3.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #15 on: May 16, 2013, 08:51:17 PM »
Quote from: Reagan and Thatcher's Long Lost Son on May 16, 2013, 08:50:22 PM
As some of you would know by now, disgraced former Labor MP Craig Thomson is re-contesting his seat as an independent.

I think he'll finish fourth, behind the Liberals, Labor and the Greens.

As always with involuntary Indies.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #16 on: May 16, 2013, 09:01:57 PM »
Happened in 1998: polls suggested a big Labor win. Voters said otherwise.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #17 on: May 16, 2013, 09:20:24 PM »
PVO on the so-called black hole. It does exist but hardly ginormous.

1993 as well, but both incumbents won the campaign like in BC.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #18 on: May 18, 2013, 01:15:40 PM »
Yeah, I'd expect 52-3 2PP or so for now. 4 months to go, so much can still happen.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #19 on: May 19, 2013, 04:34:27 PM »
So no budget bounce then.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #20 on: May 20, 2013, 04:12:34 PM »
They did that for a long time- culminating in Gillard's misoygny speech. Didn't work.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #21 on: May 20, 2013, 05:28:19 PM »
Rudd now supports SSM.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #22 on: May 22, 2013, 06:37:04 PM »
On this side of the pond, we've had a few senators quit to run for the House. They all lost. Difference is that Joyce can't get reappointed if he loses. Wink So count me in the "bad idea" camp.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #23 on: May 22, 2013, 08:05:30 PM »
Ford is shutting down their last 2 plants. Dunno if outsourcing becomes an election issue, at least on the VIC front.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #24 on: May 30, 2013, 08:19:16 PM »
Intra-Liberal turbulence?
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