Canadian by-elections, 2013

[MaxQue]

Viau:


Outremont:


On Outremont, we can see than the Liberal majority is coming from immigrant Côte-des-Neiges, not from Outremont borough. Université de Montréal is also easy to spot on the map (it's usually hard to spot, given turnout is very low usually, but we all remember the circumstances of the 2012 election)

Random piece of trivia: PQ-QS sum is only 79 votes behind the Liberals, so I doubt it will be a blowout win for Couillard.

[RogueBeaver]

I feel for the residents of Outremont (one of my favourite neighbourhoods), since they can never have someone local. That said, this makes more sense than Roberval.

[Hatman 🍁]

Outremont will be an interesting north-south race.

Thanks, Max.

[MaxQue]

Outremont will be an interesting north-south race.

Thanks, Max.

Earl, I'm not proud of you. It's West-East, given the wierd cardinal points in Montreal. North is towards Rivière des Prairies river, South is towards the St. Lawrence, West is towards West Island, East is towards the tip of island (which is more north). The usual Montreal map is tilted, so the cardinal points are fitting the street grid.

Results by borough, Outremont riding.

Côte-des-Neiges (technically it's Côte-des-Neiges--Notre-Dame-de-Grâce, but none of NdG is in this riding):
Liberal: 4371 votes (50.68%)
PQ: 1494 votes (17.32%)
QS: 1249 votes (14.48%)
CAQ: 1187 votes (13.76%)
ON: 159 votes (1.84%)
Null Party: 87 votes (1.01%)
UCQ: 56 votes (.65%)
CC (Coalition for a Constituant): 21 votes (.24%)

Outremont:
Liberal: 2936 votes (34.00%)
PQ: 2489 votes (28.82%)
QS: 1560 votes (18.06%)
CAQ: 1413 votes (16.36%)
ON: 135 votes (1.56%)
Null Party: 70 votes (.81%)
UCQ: 26 votes (.30%)
CC (Coalition for a Constituant): 7 votes (.08%)

Plateau-Mont-Royal:
Liberal: 1066 votes (32.67%)
QS: 1052 votes (32.24%)
PQ: 675 votes (20.69%)
CAQ: 314 votes (9.62%)
ON: 75 votes (2.30%)
Null Party: 49 votes (1.50%)
UCQ: 26 votes (.80%)
CC (Coalition for a Constituant): 6 votes (.18%)

[MaxQue]

Outremont:
Liberals' best poll: 2 (81%). It's apartment buildings on and around Bonavista Av, near NdG and Westmount
Liberals' worst poll: 68 (11%). It's the university itself, including the university halls, the only precinct where the student vote isn't diluted (university is in an upper-class, old neighboorhood).

PQ best precinct: 102 (46%): The rectangle between Van Horne, Outremont, Lajoie and Wiseman, very close of the Outremont subway station.
PQ worst precinct: 3 (4%): Apartment buildings along Côte-St-Luc Rd, near NdG and Westmount.

QS best precinct: 142 (42%): Park Av, between St.Joseph Blvd. and Mt. Royal Av. We are in the Mile End, here.
QS worst precinct: 72 (3%): Upper Outremont, on the slopes of the Mt. Royal. Big houses, wealhy people. It's in the wealthy part of Outremont (south of Ste.Catherine Rd, which is quite obvious on the map (it's the curved road/precinct limits).

CAQ best poll: 74 (29%): It's including the Marie-Victorin building of the university, a private Catholic boarding school for girls and a private reknowned music school. South of Ste.Catherine Rd in Outremont, so, look the description for the worse QS poll.
CAQ worst poll: 118 (4%): Jeanne-Mance St,north of Bernard St. The Mile End, again.

[MaxQue]

Viau:
Liberal best poll: 64 (79%): 2nd and 6th Av (numbering is clearly not their forte), in proper St.Michel (part of the riding is south of the highway 40, which is still St.Michel, but with influence from nearby "hipster" Villeray and French Rosemont (it's the municipal district of François-Perrault), which result in a much more balance area, as you can see on the map.
Liberal worst poll: 102 (14%): Around Gabriel-Sagard park, Louis-Émond St and Sagard St between Bélanger St and Jean-Talon St. It's on the boundary with Rosemont borough and Gouin riding (Françoise David riding).

PQ best poll: 98 (41%): De Lorimier St and De Bordeaux St between Bélanger St and Jean-Talon St. See Liberal worst poll, it's very close to it.
PQ worst poll: 122 (6%) 15, 16 and 17 Av, just south of Highway 40. Arabic area, if my memory is good.

CAQ best poll: 142 (22%): 20, 21 and 22 Av between Jean-Talon St and Everett St. No clue about that area. Arabic again?
CAQ worst poll: 132 (4%): 13 Av and Musset Av between Bélair St and Jean-Talon St. We are close of Rosemont, here too.

QS best poll: 102 (29%): It's the worst Liberal poll, cited earlier.
QS worst poll: 71 (2%): 8h Av, south of Legendre St. In proper St. Michel, Haitian area, I think

[lilTommy]

Outremont will be an interesting north-south race.

Thanks, Max.

Earl, I'm not proud of you. It's West-East, given the wierd cardinal points in Montreal. North is towards Rivière des Prairies river, South is towards the St. Lawrence, West is towards West Island, East is towards the tip of island (which is more north). The usual Montreal map is tilted, so the cardinal points are fitting the street grid.

Results by borough, Outremont riding.

Côte-des-Neiges (technically it's Côte-des-Neiges--Notre-Dame-de-Grâce, but none of NdG is in this riding):
Liberal: 4371 votes (50.68%)
PQ: 1494 votes (17.32%)
QS: 1249 votes (14.48%)
CAQ: 1187 votes (13.76%)
ON: 159 votes (1.84%)
Null Party: 87 votes (1.01%)
UCQ: 56 votes (.65%)
CC (Coalition for a Constituant): 21 votes (.24%)

Outremont:
Liberal: 2936 votes (34.00%)
PQ: 2489 votes (28.82%)
QS: 1560 votes (18.06%)
CAQ: 1413 votes (16.36%)
ON: 135 votes (1.56%)
Null Party: 70 votes (.81%)
UCQ: 26 votes (.30%)
CC (Coalition for a Constituant): 7 votes (.08%)

Plateau-Mont-Royal:
Liberal: 1066 votes (32.67%)
QS: 1052 votes (32.24%)
PQ: 675 votes (20.69%)
CAQ: 314 votes (9.62%)
ON: 75 votes (2.30%)
Null Party: 49 votes (1.50%)
UCQ: 26 votes (.80%)
CC (Coalition for a Constituant): 6 votes (.18%)

This could be an opportunity for QS to due rather well; The PQ is not running a candidate against Couillard
http://www.lapresse.ca/actualites/politique/politique-quebecoise/201311/04/01-4707174-le-pq-nopposera-pas-de-candidat-a-couillard-dans-outremont.php
Much of the PQ vote (if it bothers to show up) would likely vote for QS and to a lesser extent ON. If there is opposition to the Charter, i believe QS might grab a chunk of that vote as the PLQ has seemed only mildly opposed, and even some MNAs have "supported" the idea if not the charter. The last poll i saw by CROP has QS 10% province wide, not sure what the % was in Montreal but this is their base and their two MNAs are next door. Based on the Map; the Plateau and Outremont could be Orange and Cote-des-neiges be red. Couillard will win, but i think QS will do much better then 2012

[Hatman 🍁]

Outremont will be an interesting north-south race.

Thanks, Max.

Earl, I'm not proud of you. It's West-East, given the wierd cardinal points in Montreal. North is towards Rivière des Prairies river, South is towards the St. Lawrence, West is towards West Island, East is towards the tip of island (which is more north). The usual Montreal map is tilted, so the cardinal points are fitting the street grid.

Good point Max, my bad.

[Krago]

If you think Montreal is confusing, try Kitchener.

[Hatman 🍁]

If you think Montreal is confusing, try Kitchener.

How does Kitchener work?

I know North Bay happens to be on a weird axis as well.

[Krago]

• At the Waterloo-Kitchener municipal boundary, Westmount Rd South, King St South, and Weber St South, turn into Westmount Rd West, King St West, and Weber St West respectively.
• Combined, the K-W area has a King St North, South, East and West.
• Erb St West and East in Waterloo runs parallel to Victoria St South and North in Kitchener.
• In Kitchener, Victoria St South runs parallel to Highland Rd West.  Highland Rd West makes a 90-degree turn to the south and becomes Highland Rd East.
• Highland Rd West intersects Westmount Rd West.

[Hatman 🍁]

Quebec by-election profiles: http://canadianelectionatlas.blogspot.ca/2013/12/provincial-by-elections-today-in-viau.html

Thanks again to Max for the maps, etc.!

[MaxQue]

Quebec by-election profiles: http://canadianelectionatlas.blogspot.ca/2013/12/provincial-by-elections-today-in-viau.html

Thanks again to Max for the maps, etc.!

Just a note, I'm not a Montrealer anymore since May.

[lilTommy]

Quebec by-election profiles: http://canadianelectionatlas.blogspot.ca/2013/12/provincial-by-elections-today-in-viau.html

Thanks again to Max for the maps, etc.!

The new leader of the PVQ (greens) is also running in Outremont, does anyone have any insight to how well the PVQ might do/is doing?
http://www.forgetthebox.net/green-party-leader-alex-tyrrell-free-public-transit-anticosti-island-couillard-bailed-outremont-debate/

[Hatman 🍁]

Quebec by-election profiles: http://canadianelectionatlas.blogspot.ca/2013/12/provincial-by-elections-today-in-viau.html

Thanks again to Max for the maps, etc.!

Just a note, I'm not a Montrealer anymore since May.

Oops. You're back in Val-d'Or?

[MaxQue]

Quebec by-election profiles: http://canadianelectionatlas.blogspot.ca/2013/12/provincial-by-elections-today-in-viau.html

Thanks again to Max for the maps, etc.!

Just a note, I'm not a Montrealer anymore since May.

Oops. You're back in Val-d'Or?

For now, through I may move again (employment in my area isn't good in my domain).

[Hatman 🍁]

I've edited my entry to say that you are a former Montrealer. I've also noted that the Green candidate in Outremont is their leader. (thanks lil' Tommy!)

[Krago]

Another by-election tonight: http://blogs.windsorstar.com/category/windsor/ward-7/

[Hatman 🍁]

Another by-election tonight: http://blogs.windsorstar.com/category/windsor/ward-7/

Cool! So while the biggest city in the province fills its council vacancies though appointments, Windsor (and Ottawa, I'm proud to say) fills them with by-elections.

Do you know anything about the candidates?

[Hatman 🍁]

Quebec by-election results here: http://monvote.qc.ca/partielles/en/resultatsPreliminaires.asp?circ=421
Windsor Ward 7 by-election results here: http://results.windsorelections.ca/

Polls have closed all around. Only getting results from Windsor though. Angelo Margianni is winning with 14 votes (3/13 polls). I smell a terrible turnout.

[Hatman 🍁]

4/132 polls reporting in Outremont

PLQ: 110
QS: 26
PVQ: 9
ON: 3
Oth: 2

[Hatman 🍁]

Viau (4/131 polls)

PLQ: 105
PQ: 20
QS: 11
CAQ: 5
UCQ: 5
Oth: 8

[Hatman 🍁]

CAQ now in 6th tied with the Greens, behind UCQ lol

[RogueBeaver]

Radio-Canada and CP have called both for the PLQ.

[Hatman 🍁]

Viau (101/191)

PLQ: 62%
PQ: 14%
QS: 13%
ON: 4%
CAQ: 3% lol
Others: 4%