How do you think the 2014 elections will go?
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  How do you think the 2014 elections will go?
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Poll
Question: ...
#1
Democrats gain in the House and Senate
 
#2
Democrats gain in the House, lose in the Senate
 
#3
Democrats lose in the House, gain in the Senate
 
#4
Democrats lose in the House and Senate
 
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Total Voters: 39

Author Topic: How do you think the 2014 elections will go?  (Read 2065 times)
The world will shine with light in our nightmare
Just Passion Through
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« on: February 13, 2013, 02:02:11 PM »

Lately, the Democrats have been building on issues they can run on during the midterms, with the exception of gun control in some races.  They have too many Senate seats up in this cycle for them to gain, and West Virginia is probably gone at this point, so right now I'd put them at gaining slightly in the House and losing a few seats in the Senate.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1 on: February 13, 2013, 02:03:14 PM »

Slight Dem losses (3-5) in House. Dunno about the Senate, just that SD and WV are Pub.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #2 on: February 13, 2013, 03:20:30 PM »

Keep control of Senate, but still minority in House. 2-5 seat net loss in the senate.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #3 on: February 13, 2013, 06:20:14 PM »

Slight loss in the Senate, slight gains in the House.  Gain in governorships. 
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #4 on: February 13, 2013, 06:24:53 PM »

Slight losses in both houses. A good surprise is always possible, but let's be prudent so early before the election.
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badgate
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« Reply #5 on: February 13, 2013, 07:43:20 PM »

The House will stay status quo, the majority in the Senate will fall at least back to the 112th makeup.
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Vosem
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« Reply #6 on: February 13, 2013, 07:49:24 PM »

Obama's 1986. Small Republican gains in the House -- large Republican gains in the Senate, perhaps Republicans even take the majority -- but a reasonably. successful cycle for the Democrats in terms of governorships and state legislatures.

Slight losses in both houses. A good surprise is always possible, but let's be prudent so early before the election.

So is a bad surprise Wink...
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Rocky Rockefeller
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« Reply #7 on: February 13, 2013, 10:21:04 PM »

In the House dems either break even or gain a few seats. In the Senate they lose at least 1 seat but possibly more. I think they keep control though.
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morgieb
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« Reply #8 on: February 13, 2013, 10:44:41 PM »

Slight loss in the House due to turnout differences, effectively a wash though.

Losses in the Senate but not enough to lose it.

Solid gains at the state level.
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bballrox4717
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« Reply #9 on: February 14, 2013, 11:28:40 AM »

Lose a couple of Senate seats but keep control, House remains pretty stagnant, and Democrats gain governorships. Low turnout will help Republicans but the mood of the country is anti-Republican at the moment. The GOP will lose many winnable seats if they keep on blocking more bills and the Tea Party/establishment split keeps on killing more of their credibility. The faster the GOP gets away from being the second Do-Nothing Congress, the better they will do at the midterms. The anger against Obama just isn't there the way it was in 2010 and 2011.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #10 on: February 14, 2013, 05:58:02 PM »

Obama's 1986. Small Republican gains in the House -- large Republican gains in the Senate, perhaps Republicans even take the majority -- but a reasonably. successful cycle for the Democrats in terms of governorships and state legislatures.

Slight losses in both houses. A good surprise is always possible, but let's be prudent so early before the election.

So is a bad surprise Wink...

I could very well see this. 
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Frodo
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« Reply #11 on: February 14, 2013, 06:04:42 PM »

Obama's 1986. Small Republican gains in the House -- large Republican gains in the Senate, perhaps Republicans even take the majority -- but a reasonably. successful cycle for the Democrats in terms of governorships and state legislatures.

Which states in particular do you think Democrats will do well in? 
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Asian Nazi
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« Reply #12 on: February 14, 2013, 06:11:26 PM »
« Edited: February 14, 2013, 06:55:16 PM by d32123 »

I could see the GOP gaining 2-5 Senate seats and 5-10 seats in the House.

The Democrats will not gain seats in either.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #13 on: February 14, 2013, 06:11:32 PM »

Obama's 1986. Small Republican gains in the House -- large Republican gains in the Senate, perhaps Republicans even take the majority -- but a reasonably. successful cycle for the Democrats in terms of governorships and state legislatures.

Which states in particular do you think Democrats will do well in? 

Democrats got killed so badly in governorships and state legislatures in 2010, there is really no where to go but up there.  
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #14 on: February 14, 2013, 06:12:14 PM »

I could see the GOP gaining 2-5 Senate seats and 10-20 seats in the House.

The Democrats will not gain seats in either.

10-20 in the House?  Which seats?  Democrats simply dont hold that many vulnerable seats any more. 
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Asian Nazi
d32123
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« Reply #15 on: February 14, 2013, 06:56:02 PM »

I could see the GOP gaining 2-5 Senate seats and 10-20 seats in the House.

The Democrats will not gain seats in either.

10-20 in the House?  Which seats?  Democrats simply dont hold that many vulnerable seats any more. 

Changed it to 5-10.  Figured out I was making a big-time math error in my previous calculation. This is what happens when you don't get enough sleep, folks.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #16 on: February 15, 2013, 09:32:05 AM »

Obama's 1986. Small Republican gains in the House -- large Republican gains in the Senate, perhaps Republicans even take the majority -- but a reasonably. successful cycle for the Democrats in terms of governorships and state legislatures.

Which states in particular do you think Democrats will do well in? 

Democrats got killed so badly in governorships and state legislatures in 2010, there is really no where to go but up there.  

True.

House -- the Tea Party pols are getting stale, and some moderate districts could tire of extremists. President Obama has exploited potential rifts in the R-leaning electorate. Republicans would have been wise to offer at the least some token alternative to the President's proposals for gun control. Maybe moderates can challenge extremists in the district primaries and win (which would be an improvement even if Democrats don't win the House).

Senate -- More D pols than R pols are vulnerable unless many Southern states tire of the GOP. The most vulnerable Senate Republicans are Susan Collins (primaries) and McConnell (underachievement). I expect the Republicans at the least to pick up a Senate seat in West Virginia -- maybe Montana or South Dakota. Of course that is not enough to get a majority.

Governorships -- look at all the unpopular GOP Governors -- Scott, Kasich, Corbett, LePage, Snyder, Walker, Deal, Haley, Jindal, Perry... the surprise is on the latter four. 
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Frodo
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« Reply #17 on: February 16, 2013, 02:24:43 PM »

Obama's 1986. Small Republican gains in the House -- large Republican gains in the Senate, perhaps Republicans even take the majority -- but a reasonably. successful cycle for the Democrats in terms of governorships and state legislatures.

Which states in particular do you think Democrats will do well in? 
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Vosem?
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Vosem
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« Reply #18 on: February 16, 2013, 05:47:28 PM »

Obama's 1986. Small Republican gains in the House -- large Republican gains in the Senate, perhaps Republicans even take the majority -- but a reasonably. successful cycle for the Democrats in terms of governorships and state legislatures.

Which states in particular do you think Democrats will do well in? 
-------------

Vosem?

State legislatures, I don't really know. But Governorships, from my vantage point right now I can see FL, SC, PA, or MI falling to the Democrats, and many other states, like IA and OH, look vulnerable (and big parts of the rural West have supported Democratic governors before). Really, it's the reverse of the Senate elections; the Democrats have so much more opportunities than the Republicans do that they're bound to do well somewhere. The reverse is the case in the Senate.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #19 on: February 16, 2013, 05:57:09 PM »

Obama's 1986. Small Republican gains in the House -- large Republican gains in the Senate, perhaps Republicans even take the majority -- but a reasonably. successful cycle for the Democrats in terms of governorships and state legislatures.

Which states in particular do you think Democrats will do well in? 
-------------

Vosem?

State legislatures, I don't really know. But Governorships, from my vantage point right now I can see FL, SC, PA, or MI falling to the Democrats, and many other states, like IA and OH, look vulnerable (and big parts of the rural West have supported Democratic governors before). Really, it's the reverse of the Senate elections; the Democrats have so much more opportunities than the Republicans do that they're bound to do well somewhere. The reverse is the case in the Senate.

For state legislatures, im thinking all across the midwest.  The Iowa House, the Michigan House, the Pensslyvania House(obviously wont flip though) and maybe the Pennsylvania Senate.  The Michigan Senate wont flip, but its bound to see Dem gains, as Republicans picked up a ridiculous number of seats and some in very Democratic areas like Flint and the Western half of the UP. 
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Horus
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« Reply #20 on: February 16, 2013, 06:14:14 PM »

Dems lose 3 in Senate (WV, SD, MT), gain 4-5 in house.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #21 on: February 17, 2013, 07:02:23 AM »

Second options: loss in the Senate, gains in the House for Democrats. Republicans have almost nobody to lose in "Class 2008" - it was extremely good Democratic year, so they lost all they could then
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #22 on: February 17, 2013, 11:48:07 AM »

Slight gain in the House, slight loss in the Senate.
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free my dawg
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« Reply #23 on: February 17, 2013, 11:51:42 AM »

Dems lose SD and WV, but they gain anywhere from 3-7 seats.
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TNF
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« Reply #24 on: February 17, 2013, 11:53:05 AM »

Depends on how the economy is.
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