2004 Democratic Primary
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Author Topic: 2004 Democratic Primary  (Read 438326 times)
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« Reply #1050 on: March 30, 2004, 12:06:28 PM »

Just what is the story with Alberta? Is it all conservative?
What about Edmonton, how does that vote? That's blue collar isn't it?
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #1051 on: March 30, 2004, 01:37:37 PM »

Just what is the story with Alberta? Is it all conservative?
What about Edmonton, how does that vote? That's blue collar isn't it?

Edmonton is a moderate City with areas of Liberal and NDP support (the only non-Conservative MLA's in Alberta and the only non-CPC MP's in Alberta are from Edmonton).
Calgary is about as right wing as Cities get, and most of rural Alberta is full of... er... Rednecks.
The far-northern riding (Athabasca) is potentially competative due to a high First Nations population.
Alberta is very conservative because it is paranoid about Ontario.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #1052 on: March 30, 2004, 06:20:28 PM »

I think that the CPC might finish a distant third in urban ontario...just a vibe..
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #1053 on: March 31, 2004, 03:20:53 AM »

I think that the CPC might finish a distant third in urban ontario...just a vibe..

That looks quite likely... (call it the Layton-Miller effect) but they are probably going to give the Liberals a scare in the "905" suburbs.
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Siege40
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« Reply #1054 on: March 31, 2004, 04:27:59 PM »

I think that the CPC might finish a distant third in urban ontario...just a vibe..

That looks quite likely... (call it the Layton-Miller effect) but they are probably going to give the Liberals a scare in the "905" suburbs.

I live in the 905. Nice place, it will likely go Liberal, Conservative, and NDP. Usually the 905 work as a block, however, I think that since this election is really getting close I think that the 905 could break on the issues. But I content that the Cons might not do too well here, or the Liberals, they have a bad taste in their mouths from both the Federal and Provincial levels for both parties.

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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #1055 on: March 31, 2004, 04:42:34 PM »

What districts constitute the '905 suburbs'?
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #1056 on: March 31, 2004, 04:45:06 PM »

Never mind, Ajax-Pickering, etc...
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Siege40
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« Reply #1057 on: March 31, 2004, 05:13:38 PM »

What districts constitute the '905 suburbs'?

Go to http://www.elections.ca/scripts/eddb2/Default.asp?L=E&Page=SearchStart  All of those ridings surrounding Toronto is the 905.

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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #1058 on: March 31, 2004, 05:51:43 PM »


Thank you...site VERY Helpful.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #1059 on: April 01, 2004, 04:06:25 AM »

I live in the 905. Nice place, it will likely go Liberal, Conservative, and NDP. Usually the 905 work as a block, however, I think that since this election is really getting close I think that the 905 could break on the issues. But I content that the Cons might not do too well here, or the Liberals, they have a bad taste in their mouths from both the Federal and Provincial levels for both parties.
Siege40

Depending on how the 905 is defined, the NDP have a good chance at picking up a few blue collar ridings in the area: Oshawa (Chretienist MP ditched for Martinite...), Hamilton Centre, Hamilton East-Stoney Creek (see Oshawa), Welland
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #1060 on: April 01, 2004, 08:32:53 AM »

I've sent a few predictions to www.electionprediction.com, and although there are a lot of good quality predictions, yet again partizan idiots have raised their ugly heads... the worst offenders (and by a long way) are the Tory supporters, many of which cannot understand that CA+PC does Not=CPC...
However those predictions don't seem to have been given a lot (if any) weight by the editorial people.
Worth a look.
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Kevinstat
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« Reply #1061 on: April 01, 2004, 11:14:04 AM »

I've noticed that www.electionprediction.com uses the new ridings for predicting the coming Canadian Federal Election.  It may be that they have information to suggest that Martin, hoping for the sponsorship scandal to die down, will not drop the writ until August 25 or later, and having people make predictions for both the old and new ridings would be very confusing.  Parties have already started chosing nominees for the election (presumably for the new ridings) though, which makes me wonder if it isn't set in stone that the new ridings will be used for the next election, whenever it is called and held.  Can somebody confirm one way or the other if it is certain that the new ridings will be used?  And if not, can someone tell me if the parties are choosing nominees for the old ridings, the new ridings, both, or if it varies from party to party and riding to riding?

Sincerely,

Kevin Lamoreau
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #1062 on: April 01, 2004, 11:16:35 AM »

I've noticed that www.electionprediction.com uses the new ridings for predicting the coming Canadian Federal Election.  It may be that they have information to suggest that Martin, hoping for the sponsorship scandal to die down, will not drop the writ until August 25 or later, and having people make predictions for both the old and new ridings would be very confusing.  Parties have already started chosing nominees for the election (presumably for the new ridings) though, which makes me wonder if it isn't set in stone that the new ridings will be used for the next election, whenever it is called and held.  Can somebody confirm one way or the other if it is certain that the new ridings will be used?  And if not, can someone tell me if the parties are choosing nominees for the old ridings, the new ridings, both, or if it varies from party to party and riding to riding?

Sincerely,

Kevin Lamoreau

The parties are selecting candidates for the new ridings and are acting as though the new ones will certainly be used.
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Canadian observer
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« Reply #1063 on: April 01, 2004, 12:52:47 PM »

I've noticed that www.electionprediction.com uses the new ridings for predicting the coming Canadian Federal Election.  It may be that they have information to suggest that Martin, hoping for the sponsorship scandal to die down, will not drop the writ until August 25 or later, and having people make predictions for both the old and new ridings would be very confusing.  Parties have already started chosing nominees for the election (presumably for the new ridings) though, which makes me wonder if it isn't set in stone that the new ridings will be used for the next election, whenever it is called and held.  Can somebody confirm one way or the other if it is certain that the new ridings will be used?  And if not, can someone tell me if the parties are choosing nominees for the old ridings, the new ridings, both, or if it varies from party to party and riding to riding?

Sincerely,

Kevin Lamoreau
I'm not sure, but I think an amendment to the Federal Election Laws has been passed by Parliament.  This amendment permits the enforcement of a new riding map 6 months after its creation (instead of one year in the former law).  Hence, the new electoral map is in place today (no April fool here) Wink
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Apostle
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« Reply #1064 on: April 01, 2004, 11:26:57 PM »

My coputer width is 1024x768 but the current width works just fine for me.  I hopw this might help you.
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dunn
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« Reply #1065 on: April 02, 2004, 04:29:33 AM »

mine is 800x600
it's working ok
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ShapeShifter
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« Reply #1066 on: April 02, 2004, 02:50:20 PM »

I'm curious to know how wide your web browsers are when you visit the site.  I have kept the layout rather narrow to accomodate the 640 x 480 monitor resolution.  However, a wider format provides more information in a cleaner table layout.  Feedback Welcome.

Dave

How do I check for monitor resolution?
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JohnFKennedy
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« Reply #1067 on: April 02, 2004, 04:26:38 PM »

1280 mine is, my resolution is 1280 x 1024

Shapeshifter, go to the desktop, right click, go to properties, a window will open, go to settings and it will say there.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #1068 on: April 02, 2004, 04:28:49 PM »

1024x768
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ShapeShifter
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« Reply #1069 on: April 02, 2004, 05:29:29 PM »

1280 mine is, my resolution is 1280 x 1024

Shapeshifter, go to the desktop, right click, go to properties, a window will open, go to settings and it will say there.

Thank You!
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #1070 on: April 02, 2004, 05:31:47 PM »

My Tentative prediction map:



No shaded colors YET, Iw ill get to that...maybe.
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Siege40
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« Reply #1071 on: April 02, 2004, 07:53:04 PM »

My Tentative prediction map:



No shaded colors YET, Iw ill get to that...maybe.

The Liberals to win in BC? NS? and NB? Wow. I would of thought that the Cons would win BC, and maybe the Liberals will win the east, but the NDP will be a very close second.

Siege40
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #1072 on: April 02, 2004, 07:53:58 PM »

I think the libs will win *almost* everywhere.
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Canadian observer
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« Reply #1073 on: April 02, 2004, 07:56:00 PM »
« Edited: April 02, 2004, 07:56:25 PM by Canadian observer »

My Tentative prediction map:
No shaded colors YET, Iw ill get to that...maybe.

Cool map indeed. However you should know Canadian federal elections aren't like Presidentials.

A map like what you did may be just useful to know which party got the most votes and/or seats...
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #1074 on: April 02, 2004, 07:56:48 PM »

My Tentative prediction map:
No shaded colors YET, Iw ill get to that...maybe.

Cool map ! However you should know Canadian federal elections aren't like Presidentials.

A map like what you did may be just useful to know which party got the most votes and/or seats...

I know that...I did it based on who would win the mostseats.
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