Brazil Election - 5 October 2014
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  Brazil Election - 5 October 2014
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Author Topic: Brazil Election - 5 October 2014  (Read 124939 times)
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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« Reply #375 on: October 05, 2014, 04:26:12 PM »

Where can I find live presidential results?
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #376 on: October 05, 2014, 04:32:28 PM »

Where can I find live presidential results?

http://divulga.tse.jus.br/oficial/index.html

Click at the small Brazil map in half an hour. Polls haven't closed in Acre and western Amazonas yet.
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Double Carpet
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« Reply #377 on: October 05, 2014, 04:41:55 PM »

Paleo, many thanks for all the updates, really appreciate!

Why is the count in RJ so slow?

Site says 0.0% counted v 46.8% for SP, ES is 96%!!
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #378 on: October 05, 2014, 04:45:20 PM »

Paleo, many thanks for all the updates, really appreciate!

Why is the count in RJ so slow?

Site says 0.0% counted v 46.8% for SP, ES is 96%!!

Huge trouble with the fingerprint system in Rio. This will be a huge hit to the reliability of the electronic ballot.
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Hash
Hashemite
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« Reply #379 on: October 05, 2014, 04:48:00 PM »

Jesus, Serra is delivering quite the smacking to Suplicy right now.
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Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
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« Reply #380 on: October 05, 2014, 04:51:30 PM »

Jesus, Serra is delivering quite the smacking to Suplicy right now.

Sad and amazing at the same time.

PT is overperforming in many state races (but not in RS). Let's see if Dilma manages to overperform, too. I hope she doesn't, I want to vote again! But, TBH, I won't b too upset if she does.
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Double Carpet
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« Reply #381 on: October 05, 2014, 04:53:44 PM »

Thanks Paleo - with the problems in Rio, no-one's going to be raising the spectre of electoral fraud, are they? Hopefully not...!
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #382 on: October 05, 2014, 04:57:01 PM »

Thanks Paleo - with the problems in Rio, no-one's going to be raising the spectre of electoral fraud, are they? Hopefully not...!

Complaints about trouble using the ballot increased significantly this year. Of course, social networks have a relevant weight here.
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #383 on: October 05, 2014, 04:59:42 PM »

National exit poll coming in seconds!
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #384 on: October 05, 2014, 05:01:54 PM »

National exit poll:

Dilma: 44%
Aecio: 30%
Marina: 22%
L. Genro: 2%
Rev. Feliciano: 1%
Others: 1%

Aecio closes very strongly.
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Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
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« Reply #385 on: October 05, 2014, 05:07:40 PM »

National exit poll:

Dilma: 44%
Aecio: 30%
Marina: 22%
L. Genro: 2%
Rev. Feliciano: 1%
Others: 1%

Aecio closes very strongly.

I hope you mean Pastor Everaldo Tongue
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Simfan34
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« Reply #386 on: October 05, 2014, 05:10:08 PM »

Jesus, Serra is delivering quite the smacking to Suplicy right now.

And Alckmin with Skaf. Muito bem. Tongue

I really do hope Aecio can go all the away. Brazil needs it, that's for sure.
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #387 on: October 05, 2014, 05:10:24 PM »

National exit poll:

Dilma: 44%
Aecio: 30%
Marina: 22%
L. Genro: 2%
Rev. Feliciano: 1%
Others: 1%

Aecio closes very strongly.

I hope you mean Pastor Everaldo Tongue

I beg your pardon.
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #388 on: October 05, 2014, 05:13:55 PM »
« Edited: October 05, 2014, 05:17:45 PM by Paleobrazilian »

With nearly 70% of the votes counted Alckmin has nearly 58% of the votes and I'm calling the election for him. Padilha has 17.5% of the votes, so he's definitely overperformed, but on the expense of Skaf, not Alckmin, as I predicted yesterday.
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #389 on: October 05, 2014, 05:15:02 PM »

With 75% of the votes counted Dilma has 40% and Aecio 35%!!!!!
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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« Reply #390 on: October 05, 2014, 05:17:33 PM »

What a shame. A Dilma/Marina runoff would have been so much more interesting...
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #391 on: October 05, 2014, 05:21:16 PM »

With nearly 90% of the votes counted in Rio de Janeiro Crivella is ahead of Garotinho on the battle for the runoff against Pimentel. IBOPE has made some serious mistakes on their exit polls this year.
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jaichind
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« Reply #392 on: October 05, 2014, 05:21:32 PM »

With 75% of the votes counted Dilma has 40% and Aecio 35%!!!!!

Wow.  With 79% in it is about the same.  Any insight on the nature of the 21% that did not report in yet?  Aecio's momentum last few days is quite impressive.  And just think, he was left for dead just a few weeks ago.
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #393 on: October 05, 2014, 05:24:05 PM »

With 75% of the votes counted Dilma has 40% and Aecio 35%!!!!!

Wow.  With 79% in it is about the same.  Any insight on the nature of the 21% that did not report in yet?  Aecio's momentum last few days is quite impressive.  And just think, he was left for dead just a few weeks ago.

Most are in the North-Northeast area where the margin should widen a little bit in Dilma's favor. But there's no denying, there was a significant swing from both Dilma and Marina to Aecio. For the 1st time in 12 years, the PSDB actually has a chance of winning the runoff against the PT.

Aecio desperately needs help on the Northeast, though.
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jaichind
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« Reply #394 on: October 05, 2014, 05:27:07 PM »


Most are in the North-Northeast area where the margin should widen a little bit in Dilma's favor. But there's no denying, there was a significant swing from both Dilma and Marina to Aecio. For the 1st time in 12 years, the PSDB actually has a chance of winning the runoff against the PT.

Aecio desperately needs help on the Northeast, though.

In retrospect I think once the polls shows that Dilma would most likely lose in the second round starting a week or two ago, the anti-Dilma vote went over to Aecio.  That Dilma under-performed both polls and exit polls should have PT very concerned.
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jaichind
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« Reply #395 on: October 05, 2014, 05:29:08 PM »

Did the exit polls ask hypothetical match-ups between the three front runners in the second round ?
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jaichind
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« Reply #396 on: October 05, 2014, 05:30:32 PM »

Brazil's "Bin Laden" arrested for campaigning at polls

Oct. 5 (AFP) -- A candidate running for the Amazonia state assembly in northern Brazil under the monicker Osama Bin Laden was detained during Sunday's vote for illegal campaigning outside the local polls, electoral officials said.
'Bin Laden', real name Manoel Nunes de Assis, was standing for the tiny centrist National Labor Party (PTN).
Clad in a tunic similar to that worn by the Al-Qaeda mastermind killed in a US raid in Pakistan three years ago, Nunes was arrested in regional capital, Manaus, as he urged voters to cast their ballots while handing out bottles of water, and hauled off to the regional electoral court for questioning.
"He was stood in the doorway on the pretext of selling water while approaching people and asking for votes," the G1 web portal quoted electoral magistrate Henrique Veiga as saying.
Electoral rules allow candidates to stand under whatever name they choose and this year has seen an imaginative crop, including Wonder Woman and Rambo, while a handful also stood as Barack Obama.
Nunes, one of three candidates named Bin Laden standing in Sunday's presidential and legislative elections, faces being removed from the race if he is found to have violated election rules.
The Superior Electoral Court (TSE) had detained 551 people in all, including 55 candidates, for various indiscretions nationwide an hour before polls closed at 2000 GMT in most of Brazil's 27 states.
In the last national elections four years ago, a Sao Paulo clown named Tiririca (Grumpy) ran for Congress on the campaign slogan "It can't get any worse."
He won the most votes of any congressional candidate in the country, 1.3 million, and had to learn to write his name to start his new job.
He's also standing again.
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #397 on: October 05, 2014, 05:31:44 PM »

Did the exit polls ask hypothetical match-ups between the three front runners in the second round ?

No, unfortunately.

But looking at how badly IBOPE polled São Paulo, Rio de Janeiro and Rio Grande do Sul today, perhaps not running such a poll was a good idea.
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Tetro Kornbluth
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« Reply #398 on: October 05, 2014, 05:32:52 PM »

Anywhere we can see live results by regional breakdown?
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Hash
Hashemite
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« Reply #399 on: October 05, 2014, 05:36:41 PM »

Anywhere we can see live results by regional breakdown?

http://placar.eleicoes.uol.com.br/2014/1turno/ac/
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