Brazil Election - 5 October 2014
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Niemeyerite
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« Reply #175 on: August 25, 2014, 07:18:22 AM »

BTW, October 5th I'll be voting those:

President: Aécio Neves (PSDB-MG)/Aloysio Nunes (PSDB-SP)
Governor: Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB-SP)/Marcio França (PSB-SP)
Senator: José Serra (PSDB-SP)
Representative: Carlos Sampaio (PSDB-SP)
State Rep.: Fernando Capez (PSDB-SP)

A full house of toucans Tongue

I like this. And Serra is running for Senate? Will that man just retire?

He may even win this time!! He's running against Suplicy and the last poll indicattes he's 3 points ahead...
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buritobr
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« Reply #176 on: August 25, 2014, 08:18:34 AM »

Eduardo Suplicy did the ice bucket challenge
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KYRpIkpHVHY

Gilberto Kassab too
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HDxGNaTIqPw

José Serra is the only candidate to senator of the state of São Paulo who did not accept the ice bucket challenge yet
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #177 on: August 25, 2014, 08:26:55 AM »

Alckmin tried hard to negotiate this Senate run spot, but the most attractive partner (Gilberto Kassab and his PSD) decided to go with Paulo Skaf. Celso Russomano (PRB) was also considered but in the end the PSDB didn't have to surrender this spot to get PRB's support. This way, Serra ended up being a natural name for the PSDB, as he could well flip a Senate seat that has been red for the last 24 years.

Oh, and what about Paulo Maluf's fake ice bucket challenge? Tongue

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Simfan34
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« Reply #178 on: August 25, 2014, 10:37:55 AM »

This is ridiculous. Unless he talked about ALS in Brazil...
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RodPresident
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« Reply #179 on: August 25, 2014, 06:47:15 PM »

Beto Albuquerque, Marina's running-mate will be replaced in Rio Grande do Sul's Senate dispute by incumbent Pedro Simon who'll run for 5th senate term. He planned to retire, but he was seen as only electable name.
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #180 on: August 26, 2014, 04:04:37 PM »

IBOPE numbers are out:



Aecio is probably dead and Dilma is now in huge trouble.

Margin of error: 2%
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #181 on: August 26, 2014, 05:43:11 PM »

Several important state numbers are out:

São Paulo:

Governor:

Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB) – 50%
Paulo Skaf (PMDB) – 20%
Alexandre Padilha (PT) – 5%
Gilberto Natalini (PV) – 1%
Raimundo Sena (PCO) – 1%
Laércio Benko (PHS) – 1%
Wagner Farias (PCB) – 0%
Gilberto Maringoni (PSOL) – 0%
Walter Ciglioni (PRTB) – 0%
Null: 10%
Undecided: 11%

Alckmin wins runoff against Skaf 55% x 28%, 9% undecided.

Senator:

José Serra (PSDB) - 33% das intenções de voto
Eduardo Suplicy (PT) - 24%
Gilberto Kassab (PSD) - 7%
Ana Luiza (PSTU) - 2%
Marlene Campos Machado (PTB) - 1%
Fernando Lucas (PRP) - 1%
Kaka Wera (PV) - 1%
Genildo Moreira (PSB) – 1%
Edmilson Costa (PCB) - 0%
Senador Fláquer (PRTB) – 0%
Juraci Garcia (PCO) – 0%
Null - 12%
Undecided - 18%

Rio de Janeiro:

Governor:

Anthony Garotinho (PR) – 28%
Luiz Fernando Pezão (PMDB) –  18%
Marcelo Crivella (PRB) -  16%
Lindberg Farias (PT) –  12%
Tarcísio Motta (PSOL) – 3%
Dayse Oliveira (PSTU) – 1%
Ney Nunes (PCB)  - 1%
Null – 15%
Undecided -  6%

Garotinho leads runoff against Crivella 34% x 33%, leads against Pezão 38% x 31%, leads against Farias 37% x 29%. All scenarios have at least 25% of null votes.

Senator:

Romário (PSB) – 37%
Cesar Maia (DEM) – 22%
Eduardo Serra (PCB) – 5%
Carlos Lupi (PDT) – 3%
Pedro Rosa (PSOL) – 2%
Liliam Sá (PROS) – 2%
Diplomata Sebastião Neves (PRB) – 1%
Heitor Fernandes (PSTU) – 1%
Null – 17%
Undecided - 10%

Minas Gerais:

Governor:

Fernando Pimentel (PT) – 37%
Pimenta da Veiga (PSDB) – 23%
Tarcísio Delgado (PSB) – 3%
Cleide Donária (PCO) – 1%
Eduardo Ferreira (PSDC) – 1%
Fidélis (PSOL) – 1%
Professor Túlio Lopes (PCB) – 1%
Null: 11%
Undecided: 22%

Pimentel leads runoff against da Veiga 42% x 26%, 21% undecided.

Senator:

Antonio Anastasia (PSDB) - 45%
Josué Alencar (PMDB) - 10%
Margarida (PSB) - 2%
Edilson Nascimento (PTdoB) - 1%
Geraldo Batata (PSTU) - 1%
Graça (PCO) - 1%
Pablo Lima (PCB) - 1%
Tarcísio (PSDC) - 1%
Null - 13%
Undecided - 26%

Federal District:

Governor:

- José Roberto Arruda (PR): 37%
- Agnelo Queiroz (PT): 16%
- Rodrigo Rollemberg (PSB): 16%
- Toninho do PSOL (PSOL): 4%
- Luiz Pitiman (PSDB): 3%
- Perci Marrara (PCO): 0%
- Null: 7%
- Undecided: 17%

Arruda leads runoff against Queiroz 45% x 23%, 19% undecided, leads Rollemberg 39% x 30%, 22% undecided.

Senator:

- Reguffe (PDT): 29%
- Magela (PT): 16%
- Gim Argello (PTB): 13%
- Aldemário (PSOL): 1%
- Expedito Mendonça (PCO): 1%
- Robson (PSTU): 1%
- Sandra Quezado (PSDB): 2%
- Jamil Magari (PCB): 0%
- Null: 9%
- Undecided: 28%

Pernambuco:

Governor:

Armando Monteiro (PTB): 38%
Paulo Câmara (PSB): 29%
Jair Pedro (PSTU): 1%
Miguel Anacleto (PCB): 1%
Pantaleão (PCO): 1%
Zé Gomes (PSOL): 1%
Null: 13%
Undecided: 16 %

No runoff simulation.

Senator:

João Paulo (PT) - 35%
Fernando Bezerra Coelho (PSB) - 22%
Simone Fontana (PSTU) - 2%
Albanise Pires (PSOL) - 1%
Oxis (PCB) - 1%
Null - 15%
Undecided - 24%

Paraná:

Governor:

Beto Richa (PSDB) – 43%
Requião (PMDB) – 26%
Gleisi Hoffmann (PT) –14%
Tulio Bandeira (PTC) – 1%
Outros com menos de 1% - 1%
Null - 8%
Undecided - 7%

No runoff simulation.

Senator:

Alvaro Dias (PSDB) – 64%
Ricardo Gomyde (PC do B) – 4%
Marcelo Almeida (PMDB) – 2%
Luiz Barbara (PTC) – 1%
Professor Piva (PSOL) – 1%
Outros com menos de 1% - 1%
Null - 12%
Undecided - 15%
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buritobr
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« Reply #182 on: August 26, 2014, 08:01:13 PM »

First debate of the presidential candidates on TV

NOW
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Simfan34
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« Reply #183 on: August 26, 2014, 08:54:04 PM »

Gilberto Kassab is running against Serra!? And good to see Beto Richa in the lead; I remember being told he'd have a hard time against Hoffmann, which isn't the case. I think he's a strong contender for the nomination in 2018/2022.
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #184 on: August 26, 2014, 09:41:17 PM »

Gilberto Kassab is running against Serra!? And good to see Beto Richa in the lead; I remember being told he'd have a hard time against Hoffmann, which isn't the case. I think he's a strong contender for the nomination in 2018/2022.

Many expected Hoffmann would be a strong candidate because she'd have strong Lula/Dilma support. The problem is that Paraná may well be Brazil's most conservative and anti-PT state. Also, Richa's ratings are quite high. The PT wanted to have stronger footing in Paraná, but in the end this may end up backfiring and could even hurt Dilma in a state with nearly 8 million voters.

I do think Richa could be a viable name for 2018/2022, but right now Alckmin is clearly the pole-sitter - specially if he crushes his opposition in São Paulo as it looks like right now. Alckmin is already known nationally, has the support of many within the higher ranks of the PSDB, and is a strong fundraiser (important if private funding is kept until 2018). In fact, Alckmin knows all this very well and due to this is not really putting much effort on Neves' campaign. Don't forget he's working with Marina's PSB in São Paulo.

Richa could be viable, but he'd have a hard time raising his name recognition around the country. He's a complete unknown outside Paraná. This is a problem Aécio is having right now, he's still unknown to about 1/4 of Brazil.

Now an Alckmin-Richa ticket would be sweet, and probably excellent to unify a pparty that's been hurt way too much by internal fighting.
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buritobr
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« Reply #185 on: August 26, 2014, 09:46:13 PM »

What a horrible debate!

Only the Green Party candidate Eduardo Jorge is a little bit better
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RodPresident
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« Reply #186 on: August 26, 2014, 10:20:04 PM »

What a horrible debate!

Only the Green Party candidate Eduardo Jorge is a little bit better
Eduardo Jorge's rhetorics are more left-wing aggressive than Luciana Genro. And he served as secretary in Serra-Kassab government in São Paulo. And running-mate Célia Sacramento is ACM Neto's deputy mayor.
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buritobr
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« Reply #187 on: August 26, 2014, 10:22:39 PM »

Even on a topic which I though that Luciana Genro could have a good performance, about the conflict between landowners and native Brazilians, she was unable to offer a convincing answer
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buritobr
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« Reply #188 on: August 26, 2014, 10:25:18 PM »

The mediators are more rightist than the right-wing candidates
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RodPresident
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« Reply #189 on: August 26, 2014, 10:26:59 PM »

Gilberto Kassab is running against Serra!? And good to see Beto Richa in the lead; I remember being told he'd have a hard time against Hoffmann, which isn't the case. I think he's a strong contender for the nomination in 2018/2022.

Many expected Hoffmann would be a strong candidate because she'd have strong Lula/Dilma support. The problem is that Paraná may well be Brazil's most conservative and anti-PT state. Also, Richa's ratings are quite high. The PT wanted to have stronger footing in Paraná, but in the end this may end up backfiring and could even hurt Dilma in a state with nearly 8 million voters.

I do think Richa could be a viable name for 2018/2022, but right now Alckmin is clearly the pole-sitter - specially if he crushes his opposition in São Paulo as it looks like right now. Alckmin is already known nationally, has the support of many within the higher ranks of the PSDB, and is a strong fundraiser (important if private funding is kept until 2018). In fact, Alckmin knows all this very well and due to this is not really putting much effort on Neves' campaign. Don't forget he's working with Marina's PSB in São Paulo.

Richa could be viable, but he'd have a hard time raising his name recognition around the country. He's a complete unknown outside Paraná. This is a problem Aécio is having right now, he's still unknown to about 1/4 of Brazil.

Now an Alckmin-Richa ticket would be sweet, and probably excellent to unify a pparty that's been hurt way too much by internal fighting.
Paraná's PT had many problems. A Hoffmann's secretary was jailed for paedophilia and congressman André Vargas' (former PT) dealings with lobbysts went very bad. Curitiba's mayor Gustavo Fruet  (PDT), a Gleisi's ally isn't at his best. And Richa helped Requião some way by trying to get PMDB support anyway. This energized Requião group to fight back after almost losing 2010 senatorial election. And Requião runs to Gleisi's left. He's a sui generis PMDB as being most progressive Senator. And this IBOPE poll can't be trusted.
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buritobr
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« Reply #190 on: August 28, 2014, 07:55:32 PM »

Recent polls in some big states

São Paulo
Dilma 23%, Marina 35%, Aécio 19%

Rio de Janeiro
Dilma 38%, Marina 30%, Aécio 11%

Minas Gerais
Dilma 31%, Marina 20%, Aécio 34%

Bahia
Dilma 47%, Marina 23%, Aécio 10%

Pernambuco
Dilma 37%, Marina 41%, Aécio 3%

Paraná
Dilma 28%, Marina 29%, Aécio 24%

Distrito Federal
Dilma 20%, Marina 35%, Aécio 18%


It is unbeliaveble that the PSDB candidate has only 19% in São Paulo. I think Aécio vote will increase after the end of the peak of the Marina wave. In Pernambuco, Marina could hold all Eduardo Campos' votes.
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #191 on: August 28, 2014, 08:50:59 PM »

Actually it doesn't surprise me because the state PSDB has completely thrown Neves under the bus. After Serra's last big loss (2012), Alckmin has completely taken over PSDB's leadership in São Paulo. As I said before, his goal now is sealing his reelection and setting up his 2018 presidential run. Just yesterday Alckmin was running ads with Marina's running mate endorsing him. Alckmin won't even be shy about endorsing a Marina Silva-Geraldo Alckmin vote, just like many PSDB cells in Minas Gerais ran the absurd "Lula-Aécio" double back in 2006, something that really hurt Alckmin's presidential campaign that year.

Tactical vote is also a relevant factor. With new polls showing Marina gaining, many wealthier and middle-class voters that would normally vote PSDB for president will vote Marina-Alckmin. For about 30% of São Paulo, taking the PT out of the federal government is more important than electing someone from the PSDB.

Finally, many on the PSDB's national committee also believe now that endorsing Marina in a runoff and being part of an eventual Marina Silva government coalition wouldn't be that bad. In fact, even leading figures like FHC seem to flirt with this idea. Not to mention that in a runoff Marina could be very useful for the PSDB if she also endorses some government candidates. The PSDB is well placed in some important states. They have a strong chance of retaining São Paulo, Paraná, Goiás and Pará, could still rebound in Minas Gerais, and could perhaps bring new states into play, as Paraíba and Santa Catarina. Also, PSDB allies are leading in important places, such as Bahia and Rio Grande do Sul. All in, there's a growing consensus that it would be better to spend resources on competitive state races, and that helping Marina Silva to (finally) defeat their nemesis wouldn't be such a bad outcome. 2016 and 2018 are just around the corner Tongue and Marina has promised she won't run for reelection if elected Tongue
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Zanas
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« Reply #192 on: August 29, 2014, 03:28:02 AM »

Why are Brazilians apparently so keen on naming people by their first name only ? Lack of variety in family names ? But surely Rousseff is remarkable enough to stand out ? Is it Iceland in disguise ?

And since Silva's candidacy following Campos' death, several of you have predicted the end of her fad : are you sure it will end, and when would you estimate it will ?
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #193 on: August 29, 2014, 07:11:44 AM »
« Edited: August 29, 2014, 07:13:46 AM by Paleobrazilian »

Why are Brazilians apparently so keen on naming people by their first name only ? Lack of variety in family names ? But surely Rousseff is remarkable enough to stand out ? Is it Iceland in disguise ?

And since Silva's candidacy following Campos' death, several of you have predicted the end of her fad : are you sure it will end, and when would you estimate it will ?


Interesting question. Lack of variety is a factor, the most frequent family names are from a small bunch of portuguese Jews that were forced to convert to Catholicism and later emigrated to Brazil. Also, it's said that Brazil's sad past of slavery is a cause of this, because slaves had their family names ignored by the land owners.

And women in politics are still pretty rare in Brazil, so it's actually easy to cala them by first name.
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Niemeyerite
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« Reply #194 on: August 29, 2014, 10:22:11 AM »

Why are Brazilians apparently so keen on naming people by their first name only ? Lack of variety in family names ? But surely Rousseff is remarkable enough to stand out ? Is it Iceland in disguise ?

And since Silva's candidacy following Campos' death, several of you have predicted the end of her fad : are you sure it will end, and when would you estimate it will ?


I don't think it will... Aecio is a very weak candidate and, IMHO, she's not as weak as people are predicting here. She had a good debate performance and the "attacks" on her are a bit ridiculous so far... The media keeps talking about the plane that killed Campos.
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buritobr
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« Reply #195 on: August 29, 2014, 06:13:05 PM »

Adding further explanation for the question...

Brazilians like to refer to people using only one name. It makes our conversation easier. Journalists like it too, because writing only one name is better to use the space in the newspaper.
People can be called by the first name, by the last name, by a nickname or by an acronym. The decision of which name to use is spontaneous.

Presidents called by their first name: Getúlio Vargas is Getúlio, Jânio Quadros is Jânio, Tancredo Neves is Tancredo, Itamar Franco is Itamar and Dilma Roussef is Dilma

Presidents called by their last name: All generals of the military dictatorship - Humberto Castelo Branco is Castelo Branco, Artur da Costa e Silva is Costa e Silva, Emílio Gastarrazu Médici is Médici, Ernesto Geisel is Geisel and João Batista Figueiredo is Figueiredo. Two presidents after the redemocratization were called by their last names. José Sarney is Sarney. Fernando Collor de Melo is Collor.

Presidents called by nicknames: João Goulart is Jango, Luís Inácio da Silva is Lula

Presidents called by acronym: Juscelino Kubitschek is JK, Fernando Henrique Cardoso is FHC


Among the candidates in 2014, Dilma Roussef is Dilma, Marina Silva is Marina, Aécio Neves is Aécio and we don't know if Eduardo Campos would be Eduardo or Campos


Among the most important Brazilian politicians nowadays, the candidate for senator from the state of São Paulo José Serra is Serra, the governor of São Paulo Geraldo Alckmin is Alckmin, the mayor of São Paulo Fernando Haddad is Haddad, the mayor of Rio de Janeiro Eduardo Paes is Paes and the former governor of the state of Rio de Janeiro Sérgio Cabral is Cabral. So, all of them are called by their last names. On the other side, former governor of Rio de Janeiro and candidate in this election Anthony Garotinho is known as his nickname Garotinho. The governor of Rio de Janeiro and candidate to reelection Luiz Fernando de Souza is known by his nickname Pezão (Big Foot in Portuguese).
Senator Eduardo Suplicy is Suplicy. His former wife, former mayor of São Paulo and Minister of Culture Marta Suplicy is Marta.

Usually, when the first name is too ordinary, like José or Fernando, the politician is called by the last name. When the last name is too ordinary, like Silva, the politician is called by the first name.
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buritobr
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« Reply #196 on: August 29, 2014, 07:03:20 PM »

Datafolha August 28th and 29th

First Round
Dilma Roussef 34%
Marina Silva 34%
Aécio Neves 15%
Pastor Everaldo 2%
Others 1%
None 8%
Doesn't know 9%

Runoff

Marina Silva 50%
Dilma Roussef 40%

Dilma Roussef 48%
Aécio Neves 40%


Dilma's Administration

Good/Very good 35%
Regular 39%
Bad/Very bad 26%
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« Reply #197 on: August 29, 2014, 07:13:36 PM »

Adding further explanation for the question...

Brazilians like to refer to people using only one name. It makes our conversation easier. Journalists like it too, because writing only one name is better to use the space in the newspaper.
People can be called by the first name, by the last name, by a nickname or by an acronym. The decision of which name to use is spontaneous.

Presidents called by their first name: Getúlio Vargas is Getúlio, Jânio Quadros is Jânio, Tancredo Neves is Tancredo, Itamar Franco is Itamar and Dilma Roussef is Dilma

Presidents called by their last name: All generals of the military dictatorship - Humberto Castelo Branco is Castelo Branco, Artur da Costa e Silva is Costa e Silva, Emílio Gastarrazu Médici is Médici, Ernesto Geisel is Geisel and João Batista Figueiredo is Figueiredo. Two presidents after the redemocratization were called by their last names. José Sarney is Sarney. Fernando Collor de Melo is Collor.

Presidents called by nicknames: João Goulart is Jango, Luís Inácio da Silva is Lula

Presidents called by acronym: Juscelino Kubitschek is JK, Fernando Henrique Cardoso is FHC


Among the candidates in 2014, Dilma Roussef is Dilma, Marina Silva is Marina, Aécio Neves is Aécio and we don't know if Eduardo Campos would be Eduardo or Campos


Among the most important Brazilian politicians nowadays, the candidate for senator from the state of São Paulo José Serra is Serra, the governor of São Paulo Geraldo Alckmin is Alckmin, the mayor of São Paulo Fernando Haddad is Haddad, the mayor of Rio de Janeiro Eduardo Paes is Paes and the former governor of the state of Rio de Janeiro Sérgio Cabral is Cabral. So, all of them are called by their last names. On the other side, former governor of Rio de Janeiro and candidate in this election Anthony Garotinho is known as his nickname Garotinho. The governor of Rio de Janeiro and candidate to reelection Luiz Fernando de Souza is known by his nickname Pezão (Big Foot in Portuguese).
Senator Eduardo Suplicy is Suplicy. His former wife, former mayor of São Paulo and Minister of Culture Marta Suplicy is Marta.

Usually, when the first name is too ordinary, like José or Fernando, the politician is called by the last name. When the last name is too ordinary, like Silva, the politician is called by the first name.
Thank you very much for your input (and the others too), but that leave me with other questions (I hope I'm not hijacking the thread too much, it also helps me following this election better).

It seems to me from what you state that women are quite more likely to be referred to by their first names than men, in general, or is it just the examples you took ? I wouldn't be surprised if it were the case, it would be a classic case of patriarchal phallocratic paternalism. We also get it : one of the few recent French politicians referred to by their first name is Ségolène Royal.

Also, the thing about nicknames seems to go far, and even so far as to stick to Presidents even when elected. This is completely and utterly unimaginable in France and most of the dull European world I'm familiar with. Once again, where does it stem from ? Slaves that only got a nickname as an identity ?

To tie up loose ends, it seems from the latest poll you just posted that Campos is a goner, and Dilma can begin to seriously worry...
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« Reply #198 on: August 29, 2014, 08:06:01 PM »

Marina is not losing unless she makes a big mistake. In fact she could even get a 1st round win if Neves keeps bleeding votes.
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buritobr
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« Reply #199 on: August 29, 2014, 10:42:11 PM »

Adding further explanation for the question...

Brazilians like to refer to people using only one name. It makes our conversation easier. Journalists like it too, because writing only one name is better to use the space in the newspaper.
People can be called by the first name, by the last name, by a nickname or by an acronym. The decision of which name to use is spontaneous.

Presidents called by their first name: Getúlio Vargas is Getúlio, Jânio Quadros is Jânio, Tancredo Neves is Tancredo, Itamar Franco is Itamar and Dilma Roussef is Dilma

Presidents called by their last name: All generals of the military dictatorship - Humberto Castelo Branco is Castelo Branco, Artur da Costa e Silva is Costa e Silva, Emílio Gastarrazu Médici is Médici, Ernesto Geisel is Geisel and João Batista Figueiredo is Figueiredo. Two presidents after the redemocratization were called by their last names. José Sarney is Sarney. Fernando Collor de Melo is Collor.

Presidents called by nicknames: João Goulart is Jango, Luís Inácio da Silva is Lula

Presidents called by acronym: Juscelino Kubitschek is JK, Fernando Henrique Cardoso is FHC


Among the candidates in 2014, Dilma Roussef is Dilma, Marina Silva is Marina, Aécio Neves is Aécio and we don't know if Eduardo Campos would be Eduardo or Campos


Among the most important Brazilian politicians nowadays, the candidate for senator from the state of São Paulo José Serra is Serra, the governor of São Paulo Geraldo Alckmin is Alckmin, the mayor of São Paulo Fernando Haddad is Haddad, the mayor of Rio de Janeiro Eduardo Paes is Paes and the former governor of the state of Rio de Janeiro Sérgio Cabral is Cabral. So, all of them are called by their last names. On the other side, former governor of Rio de Janeiro and candidate in this election Anthony Garotinho is known as his nickname Garotinho. The governor of Rio de Janeiro and candidate to reelection Luiz Fernando de Souza is known by his nickname Pezão (Big Foot in Portuguese).
Senator Eduardo Suplicy is Suplicy. His former wife, former mayor of São Paulo and Minister of Culture Marta Suplicy is Marta.

Usually, when the first name is too ordinary, like José or Fernando, the politician is called by the last name. When the last name is too ordinary, like Silva, the politician is called by the first name.
Thank you very much for your input (and the others too), but that leave me with other questions (I hope I'm not hijacking the thread too much, it also helps me following this election better).

It seems to me from what you state that women are quite more likely to be referred to by their first names than men, in general, or is it just the examples you took ? I wouldn't be surprised if it were the case, it would be a classic case of patriarchal phallocratic paternalism. We also get it : one of the few recent French politicians referred to by their first name is Ségolène Royal.

Also, the thing about nicknames seems to go far, and even so far as to stick to Presidents even when elected. This is completely and utterly unimaginable in France and most of the dull European world I'm familiar with. Once again, where does it stem from ? Slaves that only got a nickname as an identity ?

To tie up loose ends, it seems from the latest poll you just posted that Campos is a goner, and Dilma can begin to seriously worry...

I agree with you. Almost all the Brazilian female politicians are referred by their first names. I think this is a case of patriarchal phallocratic paternalism.
Although two women are leading the presidential race, only 10% of the deputies and senators in Brazil are female. This is one of the lowest rates in the world.

Nickname is not only a Brazilian phenomenon. They existed in Russia too. Lenin and Stalin were nicknames.
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