Brazil Election - 5 October 2014
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  Brazil Election - 5 October 2014
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Author Topic: Brazil Election - 5 October 2014  (Read 124411 times)
jaichind
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« Reply #725 on: October 26, 2014, 05:01:04 PM »

51-49 Dilma
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buritobr
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« Reply #726 on: October 26, 2014, 05:01:20 PM »

Dilma 51 Aécio 49
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #727 on: October 26, 2014, 05:02:01 PM »

So Dilma will probably win by about 2 million votes.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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« Reply #728 on: October 26, 2014, 05:02:11 PM »

Well, that was close.
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Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
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« Reply #729 on: October 26, 2014, 05:02:54 PM »

Yikes.
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Edu
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« Reply #730 on: October 26, 2014, 05:05:39 PM »

Awful.
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jaichind
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« Reply #731 on: October 26, 2014, 05:06:14 PM »

Given what we know about the post-election Brazil and how close this election was, as someone else mentioned here, this will be a Pyrrhic victory.  
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RodPresident
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« Reply #732 on: October 26, 2014, 05:06:23 PM »

50.99% Dilma
49.01% Aécio
95.35% counted
6.640.430 to count
Dilma's advantage of 1.990.030 votes...
I can project Dilma's victory now...
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #733 on: October 26, 2014, 05:07:52 PM »

Minas Gerais and Pernambuco cost Aecio this election.
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #734 on: October 26, 2014, 05:10:06 PM »

In fact, if weren't for the massive landslide win in the Northeast for Dilma, Aecio would have easily won. This will hugely increase regional tensions in Brazil.

Can't stress how sad I am right now.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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« Reply #735 on: October 26, 2014, 05:12:05 PM »

Well, I guess if Brazil used an Electoral College system, Aecio would be winning comfortably. Tongue
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jaichind
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« Reply #736 on: October 26, 2014, 05:12:59 PM »

The Ibovespa futures market will open way down.  BRL will be down significantly once FX trading starts.
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Hash
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« Reply #737 on: October 26, 2014, 05:14:30 PM »

The Ibovespa futures market will open way down.  BRL will be down significantly once FX trading starts.

This isn't the Economics board.
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #738 on: October 26, 2014, 05:16:29 PM »

Actually, when looking for the political future of Brazil, the economic debate will be hugely important, because Dilma swears she'll double down on the economic fundamentals that are making the economy tumble.
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jaichind
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« Reply #739 on: October 26, 2014, 05:20:32 PM »

Dilma seems to be still gaining and is up to 51.26% now with 96.73% of the vote counted.  Most likely the result will be something like 51.5 vs 48.5, a 3% gap. 
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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« Reply #740 on: October 26, 2014, 05:23:08 PM »

Actually, when looking for the political future of Brazil, the economic debate will be hugely important, because Dilma swears she'll double down on the economic fundamentals that are making the economy tumble.

Thankfully it's the voters, and not the stock markets, who resolved this debate.
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MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
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« Reply #741 on: October 26, 2014, 05:27:47 PM »


The closest presidential election in Brazil history.

And now I shall accept my accolades Tongue
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MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
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« Reply #742 on: October 26, 2014, 05:30:12 PM »

Minas Gerais and Pernambuco cost Aecio this election.

How the hell did Aecio experienced such problems with his home state, given his astronomical approvals?
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Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
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« Reply #743 on: October 26, 2014, 05:30:38 PM »


I will now accept my accolades.
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jaichind
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« Reply #744 on: October 26, 2014, 05:31:44 PM »


Congrats.  Although my prediction of 51-49 was not that bad either.
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MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
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« Reply #745 on: October 26, 2014, 05:32:10 PM »


I bow before thy and thy prediction skills.
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Paleobrazilian
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« Reply #746 on: October 26, 2014, 05:35:16 PM »

Minas Gerais and Pernambuco cost Aecio this election.

How the hell did Aecio experienced such problems with his home state, given his astronomical approvals?

It's the northern part of the state, which is basically a northeastern area in the southeast. I guess Aecio had huge wins in the southern part of Minas Gerais.
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jaichind
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E: 9.03, S: -5.39

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« Reply #747 on: October 26, 2014, 05:39:42 PM »

Minas Gerais and Pernambuco cost Aecio this election.

How the hell did Aecio experienced such problems with his home state, given his astronomical approvals?

It's the northern part of the state, which is basically a northeastern area in the southeast. I guess Aecio had huge wins in the southern part of Minas Gerais.

But I thought he had an 92% approval rating when he left office, would that not have translated into a lot of support for him even in the northern part of the state which I gather from what you wrote has a pro-PT tilt.
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jaichind
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« Reply #748 on: October 26, 2014, 05:41:02 PM »

Where can I get a regional breakdown of the election results. 

http://divulga.tse.jus.br/oficial/index.html

Seems to give overall totals and not regional breakdowns or I do not know how to work that website.
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buritobr
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« Reply #749 on: October 26, 2014, 05:42:14 PM »

We are not the red states and the blue states. We are Brazil.
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