Hillary Clinton versus Sarah Palin 2016
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Author Topic: Hillary Clinton versus Sarah Palin 2016  (Read 20502 times)
Liberalrocks
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« on: March 05, 2013, 03:52:47 PM »
« edited: March 05, 2013, 04:23:13 PM by Liberalrocks »

OK so it would likely NEVER happen but a playful fun hypothetical...

Lets say that Sarah Palin somehow makes a comeback and decides to run in 2016 for the GOP nomination. She wins in a very dirty split primary with Tea Party support. Hillary Clinton is the democratic nominee. Just how badly would Sarah Palin lose?....Maps? Running Mates?
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Grumpier Than Thou
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« Reply #1 on: March 05, 2013, 04:53:17 PM »

Clinton just might crack 70%
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Goodwin
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« Reply #2 on: March 05, 2013, 04:58:55 PM »

Probably something like this........



The closest state being OK
Clinton receives about 65% in popular vote.
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SPC
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« Reply #3 on: March 05, 2013, 05:26:08 PM »

Probably something like this........



The closest state being OK
Clinton receives about 65% in popular vote.

Palin wouldn't win Alaska with her current favorability ratings there.
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #4 on: March 05, 2013, 05:27:36 PM »

Probably something like this........



The closest state being OK
Clinton receives about 65% in popular vote.


Alaska would probably be the deepest red state on that map. They HATE Palin and are at least okay with Clinton.
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Goodwin
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« Reply #5 on: March 05, 2013, 05:40:15 PM »

Probably something like this........



The closest state being OK
Clinton receives about 65% in popular vote.


Alaska would probably be the deepest red state on that map. They HATE Palin and are at least okay with Clinton.

Yeah, I was kind of 50/50 with Alaska. Come to think of it, there is very strong chance that Clinton would win every state in this scenario. 
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #6 on: March 05, 2013, 05:59:57 PM »

Mississippi, Wyoming and Utah would be the only GOP states. (and maybe Louisiana)
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Miles
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« Reply #7 on: March 05, 2013, 06:21:57 PM »

Mississippi, Wyoming and Utah would be the only GOP states. (and maybe Louisiana)

She's ahead of Ryan, Rubio and Jindal here. Palin would be much easier to beat.
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Cory
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« Reply #8 on: March 05, 2013, 06:42:09 PM »
« Edited: March 05, 2013, 08:33:26 PM by Mr. Morden »

I think this is more reasonable:



Texas being close.
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Blackacre
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« Reply #9 on: March 05, 2013, 07:30:40 PM »

Palin would make Mondale look like a successful Presidential candidate
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mattyman
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« Reply #10 on: March 05, 2013, 10:30:42 PM »

Surely a third party (reasonable republican) candidate would step in at this stage.
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BlueSwan
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« Reply #11 on: March 06, 2013, 06:33:18 AM »

I think people are underestimating the deep polarization of the current electorate. Even with someone as strong as Clinton facing someone as terrible as Palin, I don't see Palin getting less than 40% and still winning a majority of the McCain states. But obviously Clinton wins, I'm not arguing that.
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Harry
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« Reply #12 on: March 06, 2013, 08:30:10 AM »

Mississippi, Wyoming and Utah would be the only GOP states. (and maybe Louisiana)

You realize Mississippi was the 17th most Republican state in 2012?
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Stranger in a strange land
strangeland
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« Reply #13 on: March 06, 2013, 09:48:25 AM »

Mississippi, Wyoming and Utah would be the only GOP states. (and maybe Louisiana)

You realize Mississippi was the 17th most Republican state in 2012?

It also probably has the fewest persuadable voters of any state.
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Obamanation
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« Reply #14 on: March 06, 2013, 12:22:09 PM »

Mississippi, Wyoming and Utah would be the only GOP states. (and maybe Louisiana)

You realize Mississippi was the 17th most Republican state in 2012?

It also probably has the fewest persuadable voters of any state.

Source?
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old timey villain
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« Reply #15 on: March 06, 2013, 12:40:51 PM »

Mississippi, Wyoming and Utah would be the only GOP states. (and maybe Louisiana)

You realize Mississippi was the 17th most Republican state in 2012?

It also probably has the fewest persuadable voters of any state.

This is probably true. Whites in Mississippi and most of the deep south will always vote Republican, no matter how terrible the nominee is.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #16 on: March 06, 2013, 03:08:48 PM »
« Edited: March 06, 2013, 03:10:26 PM by Tmthforu94 »

Were Palin to win the nomination, she must have been able to completely restore her image and come across intellectual in the debates. Of course, the Palin of today would get slaughtered, but she would have had to become the Palin of September 2008 in order to clinch the nomination. She'd still lose, but it wouldn't be a historic landslide:



Mississippi, Wyoming and Utah would be the only GOP states. (and maybe Louisiana)

You realize Mississippi was the 17th most Republican state in 2012?

It also probably has the fewest persuadable voters of any state.

This is probably true. Whites in Mississippi and most of the deep south will always vote Republican, no matter how terrible the nominee is.
And lets not forget that the same could be said for African-Americans in Mississippi always voting Democratic.
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Obamanation
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« Reply #17 on: March 06, 2013, 03:20:28 PM »


I still think she would improve just enough with whites to carry the state.
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NHI
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« Reply #18 on: March 06, 2013, 03:35:12 PM »

Clinton/Kaine: 470 (59.9%)
Palin/Thune: 68 (39.0%)
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The world will shine with light in our nightmare
Just Passion Through
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« Reply #19 on: March 06, 2013, 03:46:13 PM »

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Obamanation
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« Reply #20 on: March 06, 2013, 05:50:25 PM »
« Edited: March 06, 2013, 05:53:33 PM by Obamanation »



450 - 88
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #21 on: March 06, 2013, 08:07:50 PM »

I'm starting to think the Democrats might get 450+ EV regardless of who runs.
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Sopranos Republican
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« Reply #22 on: March 06, 2013, 09:47:39 PM »



Hillary Clinton 496 Electoral Votes
Sarah Palin 42 Electoral Votes

None of the good GOP candidates run, and Palin ends up beating out Santorum, Rand Paul, Gingrich, and others. Sarah doesn't have to appeal to moderates to win the nomination, so she runs as a die hard conservative.
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King
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« Reply #23 on: March 06, 2013, 10:07:15 PM »

All 50 states.  Her numbers are already low to lose 40, but in three presidential debates she'll fall into the low 30s at best.
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Stranger in a strange land
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« Reply #24 on: March 06, 2013, 10:32:29 PM »
« Edited: March 08, 2013, 08:16:38 PM by Stranger in a strange land »

This is being fairly generous to Palin:



Clinton wins a bunch of states with pluralities due to 3rd parties and low Republican turnout. Hilariously, Palin still wins every county in Oklahoma.
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