Predict who will be elected governor in Nov 2014 in each of the following states
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  Predict who will be elected governor in Nov 2014 in each of the following states
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Author Topic: Predict who will be elected governor in Nov 2014 in each of the following states  (Read 11003 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: March 06, 2013, 09:44:08 PM »

Predict which *individual* will win the 2014 gubernatorial election in each of these states.  (Individual candidate, not just party.)

California
Texas
Florida
Illinois
Pennsylvania
Ohio
Michigan
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publicunofficial
angryGreatness
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« Reply #1 on: March 07, 2013, 12:27:16 AM »

Jerry Brown
Rick Perry
Charlie Crist
Lisa Madigan
Allyson Schwartz
John Kasich
Gary Peters
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free my dawg
SawxDem
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« Reply #2 on: March 07, 2013, 12:39:45 AM »

California - Jerry Brown
Texas - Greg Abbott
Florida - Pam Iorio
Illinois - Lisa Madigan
Pennsylvania - Allyson Schwartz
Ohio - John Kasich
Michigan - Mark Schauer
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Napoleon
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« Reply #3 on: March 07, 2013, 12:48:21 AM »

Gavin Newsom
Random fringe far right candidate we haven't yet heard of
Rick Scott
Lisa Madigan
Tom Corbett
John Kasich
Gary Peters
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seanNJ9
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« Reply #4 on: March 07, 2013, 01:09:09 AM »

My list will consist of who I think WILL win followed by who I WANT to win

California - Jerry Brown/Kamala Harris
Texas - Greg Abbott/Julian Castro
Florida - Charlie Crist/Kathy Castor
Illinois - Lisa Madigan/Lisa Madigan
Pennsylvania - Allyson Schwartz/Allyson Schwartz
Ohio - John Kasich/Richard Cordray
Michigan - Gary Peters/Gretchen Whitmer
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #5 on: March 07, 2013, 04:20:27 PM »

I'll try to do every state...
2013 elections
New Jersey- Chris Christie
Virginia- Terry McAuliffe

2014- Elections-
Alabama- Robert J. Bentley
Alaska- Sean Parnell
Arizona- Tom Horne
Arkansas- Mike Ross
California- Jerry Brown
Colorado-John Hickenlooper
Connecticut- Chris Shays
Florida- Nan Rich
Georgia- Nathan Deal
Hawaii- Shan Tsutsi
Idaho- Butch Otter
Illinois- Lisa Madigan
Iowa- Chet Culver
Kansas- Sam Brownback
Maine- Mike Michaud
Maryland- Doug Gansler
Massachusetts- Martha Coakley
Michigan- Gary Peters
Minnesota- Mark Dayton
Nebraska- Don Stenberg
Nevada- Brian Sandoval
New Hampshire- Charlie Bass
New Mexico- Susana Martinez
New York- Andrew Cuomo
Ohio- Richard Cordray
Oklahoma- Mary Fallin
Oregon- John Kitzhaber
Pennsylvania- Allyson Schwartz
Rhode Island- Gina Raimondo
South Carolina- Nikki Haley
South Dakota- Dennis Dauggard
Tennessee- Bill Haslam
Texas- Bob Deuell (St. Sen)
Vermont- Peter Shumlin
Wisconsin- Scott Walker
Wyoming- Matt Mead

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Maxwell
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« Reply #6 on: March 07, 2013, 04:29:45 PM »

California - Governor JERRY
Texas - Eh, Rick Perry, unless the national mood against Republicans is too strong
Florida - Someone not named Rick Scott
Illinois - Lisa Madigan
Pennsylvania - Allyson Schwartz
Ohio - John Kasich
Michigan - Gary Peters
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #7 on: March 07, 2013, 05:13:34 PM »

CA: Jerry Brown
TX: Rick Perry
Florida: Rick Scott
Illinois: Lisa Madigan
PA: Allyson Schwartz
OH: John Kasich
MI: Rick Snyder
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Warren 4 Secretary of Everything
Clinton1996
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« Reply #8 on: March 07, 2013, 05:34:28 PM »

California- Gavin Newsom
Texas- Julian Castro
Florida- Charlie Crist
Illinois- Lisa Madigan
Pennsylvania- Joe Sestak
Ohio- Richard Cordray, though 50/50 with John Kasich
Michigan- Mark Schauer
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Donerail
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« Reply #9 on: March 07, 2013, 08:32:43 PM »

California: Jerry Brown
Texas: Rick Perry
Florida: Charlie Crist
Illinois: Lisa Madigan
Pennsylvania: Joe Sestak
Ohio: John Kasich
Michigan: Gary Peters

LOL @ NYExpress. Nan Rich? It'd be Scott over her.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #10 on: March 08, 2013, 01:26:17 AM »
« Edited: March 08, 2013, 02:45:17 PM by OC »


25D-25GOP
OH Kasich
WI Walker
TX Perry

MI Schauer
CA Brown
IL Madigan
ME Manchard
RI Democrat
PA Schwartz
FL Crist
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Napoleon
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« Reply #11 on: March 08, 2013, 03:21:12 AM »

When was the last time Pennsylvania booted an incumbent Governor?
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BRTD
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« Reply #12 on: March 08, 2013, 10:02:22 AM »

When was the last time Pennsylvania booted an incumbent Governor?

Never, but there aren't too many examples of a Governor running for re-election since it only allowed Governors to run for a second term relatively recently.
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Napoleon
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« Reply #13 on: March 08, 2013, 10:40:48 AM »

When was the last time Pennsylvania booted an incumbent Governor?

Never, but there aren't too many examples of a Governor running for re-election since it only allowed Governors to run for a second term relatively recently.

They changed it for 1970 IIRC. This state doesn't easily toss out incumbents.
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BRTD
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« Reply #14 on: March 08, 2013, 11:26:05 AM »

They changed it for 1970 IIRC. This state doesn't easily toss out incumbents.

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tmthforu94
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« Reply #15 on: March 08, 2013, 11:52:52 AM »

California - Jerry Brown
Texas - Greg Abbott
Florida - Rick Scott
Illinois - Lisa Madigan
Pennsylvania - Allyson Schwartz
Ohio - John Kasich
Michigan - Rick Snyder
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Indy Texas
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« Reply #16 on: March 08, 2013, 12:15:03 PM »


I would love to see him win the GOP primary. It takes cojones to call out the Tea Party paranoids in your party as "scared of black helicopters" on the floor of the Senate.
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Obamanation
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« Reply #17 on: March 08, 2013, 12:43:43 PM »

California - Jerry Brown
Texas - Greg Abbott
Florida - Rick Scott
Illinois - Lisa Madigan
Pennsylvania - Allyson Schwartz
Ohio - John Kasich
Michigan - Rick Snyder

Under current conditions, no way Scott and Snyder are reelected.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #18 on: March 08, 2013, 02:41:06 PM »

With appropriate corrections:

California - Jerry Brown
Texas - Greg Abbott
Florida - anyone but Rick Scott
Illinois - Lisa Madigan
Pennsylvania - Allyson Schwartz
Ohio - John Kasich
Michigan - anyone but Rick Snyder
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Donerail
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« Reply #19 on: March 08, 2013, 02:45:51 PM »

Under current conditions, no way Scott and Snyder are reelected.

You don't seem to be familiar with the concept. Rick Scott is being opposed by the good folks of the Florida Democratic Party, who have an exceedingly spectacular talent for losing elections they really have no business losing. If there was a version of American Idol for mismanagement and general ineptitude, they'd win easily. Rick Scott has money and fairly decent organization; the FL Dems have neither. Someone like Charlie could make it a race, but Scott is not so easily discounted.
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free my dawg
SawxDem
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« Reply #20 on: March 08, 2013, 04:25:54 PM »

Under current conditions, no way Scott and Snyder are reelected.

You don't seem to be familiar with the concept. Rick Scott is being opposed by the good folks of the Florida Democratic Party, who have an exceedingly spectacular talent for losing elections they really have no business losing. If there was a version of American Idol for mismanagement and general ineptitude, they'd win easily. Rick Scott has money and fairly decent organization; the FL Dems have neither. Someone like Charlie could make it a race, but Scott is not so easily discounted.

I honestly don't even know if Scott will even make it past the primary. The Tea Party's already gearing up against him for the Medicaid expansion.

But Snyder? No chance in hell. With a deep Democratic bench (Peters, Schauer, Bernero), they can fairly easily flip the seat if they can make right-to-work a big issue in the campaign.
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Obamanation
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« Reply #21 on: March 08, 2013, 04:34:21 PM »

Under current conditions, no way Scott and Snyder are reelected.

You don't seem to be familiar with the concept. Rick Scott is being opposed by the good folks of the Florida Democratic Party, who have an exceedingly spectacular talent for losing elections they really have no business losing. If there was a version of American Idol for mismanagement and general ineptitude, they'd win easily. Rick Scott has money and fairly decent organization; the FL Dems have neither. Someone like Charlie could make it a race, but Scott is not so easily discounted.

I'm honestly surprised at the ineptitude of the Dem state party in FL. For a major battleground state (every 4 years) you would think that the national party would come in and take control (fix) the situation....
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Donerail
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« Reply #22 on: March 08, 2013, 04:51:15 PM »

Under current conditions, no way Scott and Snyder are reelected.

You don't seem to be familiar with the concept. Rick Scott is being opposed by the good folks of the Florida Democratic Party, who have an exceedingly spectacular talent for losing elections they really have no business losing. If there was a version of American Idol for mismanagement and general ineptitude, they'd win easily. Rick Scott has money and fairly decent organization; the FL Dems have neither. Someone like Charlie could make it a race, but Scott is not so easily discounted.

I honestly don't even know if Scott will even make it past the primary. The Tea Party's already gearing up against him for the Medicaid expansion.

Except none of the three constitutional officials (Putnam/Bondi/Atwater) want to risk their careers on a primary challenge to Scott. West has already ruled it out as well. Maybe Will Weatherford, but he's presently preoccupied.
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Dereich
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« Reply #23 on: March 08, 2013, 05:49:55 PM »

Under current conditions, no way Scott and Snyder are reelected.

You don't seem to be familiar with the concept. Rick Scott is being opposed by the good folks of the Florida Democratic Party, who have an exceedingly spectacular talent for losing elections they really have no business losing. If there was a version of American Idol for mismanagement and general ineptitude, they'd win easily. Rick Scott has money and fairly decent organization; the FL Dems have neither. Someone like Charlie could make it a race, but Scott is not so easily discounted.

I honestly don't even know if Scott will even make it past the primary. The Tea Party's already gearing up against him for the Medicaid expansion.

Except none of the three constitutional officials (Putnam/Bondi/Atwater) want to risk their careers on a primary challenge to Scott. West has already ruled it out as well. Maybe Will Weatherford, but he's presently preoccupied.

Definitely not Weatherford. Florida only allows you one term as speaker of the house, Weatherford isn't going to waste his in a primary which would have him outspent 10 to 1 on a good day.
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free my dawg
SawxDem
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« Reply #24 on: March 08, 2013, 06:02:35 PM »

Under current conditions, no way Scott and Snyder are reelected.

You don't seem to be familiar with the concept. Rick Scott is being opposed by the good folks of the Florida Democratic Party, who have an exceedingly spectacular talent for losing elections they really have no business losing. If there was a version of American Idol for mismanagement and general ineptitude, they'd win easily. Rick Scott has money and fairly decent organization; the FL Dems have neither. Someone like Charlie could make it a race, but Scott is not so easily discounted.

I honestly don't even know if Scott will even make it past the primary. The Tea Party's already gearing up against him for the Medicaid expansion.

Except none of the three constitutional officials (Putnam/Bondi/Atwater) want to risk their careers on a primary challenge to Scott. West has already ruled it out as well. Maybe Will Weatherford, but he's presently preoccupied.

Who said they had to come from the political arena? Scott himself had no political experience outside of a pressure group he founded. Some candidate that isn't on our radar may very well beat him if the Tea Party throws its support around him/her.
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