2014 Senatorial Predictions
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Latest 2014 Predictions (Highest Scores)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
K.Dobrev (O-BGR)MapProfile 11-04 1 R +8 23 (+8) 13 (-8) 0 (0) 0
Juin (R-CO)MapProfile 11-03 32 R +8 23 (+8) 13 (-8) 0 (0) 0
ryer (R-VA)Map 11-02 3 R +10 25 (+10) 11 (-10) 0 (0) 0
kgt107 ()Map 10-21 1 R +9 24 (+9) 12 (-9) 0 (0) 0
jamesyons (R-VA)MapProfile 10-23 10 R +8 23 (+8) 13 (-8) 0 (0) 0
Oldiesfreak1854 (R-MI)MapProfile 10-31 13 R +8 23 (+8) 13 (-8) 0 (0) 0
PandaExpress (D-JPN)MapProfile 11-01 2 R +7 22 (+7) 14 (-7) 0 (0) 0
deus naturae (L-NY)MapProfile 11-02 6 R +8 23 (+8) 13 (-8) 0 (0) 0
liberal96 (D-NY)MapProfile 11-03 8 R +8 23 (+8) 13 (-8) 0 (0) 0
dmurphy1984 (R-NY)Map 11-03 2 R +9 24 (+9) 12 (-9) 0 (0) 1
Latest 2014 Predictions (Most Recent Entries)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
Ben Kenobi ()MapProfile 11-04 1 R +12 27 (+12) 9 (-12) 0 (0) 0
Gass3268 (D-MD)MapProfile 11-04 2 R +6 21 (+6) 14 (-7) 1 (+1) 0
ThePoliticalGuy (D-CA)MapProfile 11-04 20 R +6 21 (+6) 14 (-7) 1 (+1) 0
Olawakandi (G-CA)MapProfile 11-04 435 Even 16 (+1) 19 (-2) 1 (+1) 0
albaleman (D-MN)MapProfile 11-04 8 R +5 20 (+5) 15 (-6) 1 (+1) 0
ground_x (D-NY)MapProfile 11-04 5 R +4 19 (+4) 16 (-5) 1 (+1) 0
MilesC56 (I-VA)MapProfile 11-04 37 R +6 21 (+6) 15 (-6) 0 (0) 0
ilikeverin (D-NY)MapProfile 11-04 1 R +7 22 (+7) 14 (-7) 0 (0) 0
Xiivi (D-FRA)MapProfile 11-04 5 R +7 22 (+7) 13 (-8) 1 (+1) 0
benconstine (D-VA)MapProfile 11-04 9 R +7 22 (+7) 14 (-7) 0 (0) 0
Latest 2014 Predictions (Most Recent Comments)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
slick67 (R-SC)
by slick67 on 2014-12-10 @ 08:29:37
MapProfile 11-03 21 R +10 25 (+10) 11 (-10) 0 (0) 1
nkpolitics1279 (D-MA)
by nkpolitics1279 on 2014-12-04 @ 13:19:50
MapProfile 10-19 97 R +7 22 (+7) 13 (-8) 1 (+1) 6
colin (I-ON)
by KS21 on 2014-11-20 @ 08:45:47
MapProfile 10-25 17 R +10 25 (+10) 11 (-10) 0 (0) 6
MATTROSE94 (D-NJ)
by MATTROSE94 on 2014-11-10 @ 10:44:28
MapProfile 10-30 38 R +7 22 (+7) 14 (-7) 0 (0) 1
dmurphy1984 (R-NY)
by dmurphy1984 on 2014-11-05 @ 05:41:19
Map 11-03 2 R +9 24 (+9) 12 (-9) 0 (0) 1
nyancat (R-CA)
by nyancat on 2014-11-04 @ 01:58:43
MapProfile 11-04 10 R +8 23 (+8) 13 (-8) 0 (0) 1
IceSpear (D-PA)
by IceSpear on 2014-11-04 @ 01:02:42
MapProfile 11-04 22 R +6 21 (+6) 14 (-7) 1 (+1) 2
BushCountry (I-IN)
by wingindy on 2014-11-04 @ 00:29:01
MapProfile 11-03 34 R +6 21 (+6) 14 (-7) 1 (+1) 5
Olawakandi (G-CA)
by nyancat on 2014-11-02 @ 17:16:21
MapProfile 11-02 433 R +2 17 (+2) 18 (-3) 1 (+1) 1
nyancat (R-CA)
by nyancat on 2014-11-02 @ 16:44:11
MapProfile 11-02 9 R +7 22 (+7) 13 (-8) 1 (+1) 1
Latest Discussion Topics
Author Topic: 2014 Senatorial Predictions  (Read 225076 times)
International Brotherhood of Bernard
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« Reply #50 on: February 16, 2014, 04:49:07 PM »
« edited: February 17, 2014, 12:39:16 AM by interstate73 »

Alabama - Jeff Sessions
Alaska - Mark Begich (slew of right wing indies and a potential Miller nomination will pull him over the line)
Arkansas - Tom Cotton R+1 (Luck has run out for Arkansas Dems, and Cotton is a compelling candidate)
Colorado - Mark Udall
Delaware - Chris Coons
Georgia - Michelle Nunn D+1 (The GOP field is a sh**t sandwich, and if Nunn is still leading after the Obamacare rollout fiasco then I like her chances)
Hawaii Class III - Brian Schatz (I have confidence he'll beat Hanabusa in the primary, but it's safer than Safe D no matter who Dems nominate)
Idaho - Jim Risch
Illinois - Dick Durbin
Iowa - Bruce Braley (Like Georgia, the GOP field is a sh**t sandwich and that will throw it to Braley)
Kansas - Pat Roberts (I do, however, think he'll lose renomination if someone of higher caliber than Milton Wolfe jumps in)
Kentucky - Alison Lundergan Grimes D+1 (She's proven that she has appeal in Coal Country and Obamacare is working exceedingly well in Kentucky, to the detriment of the viciously anti-Obamacare McConnell)
Louisiana - Mary Landrieu (Even if it does go to a runoff, Landrieu has pulled it off before. Remember "Operation Icing on the Cake"?)
Maine - Susan Collins
Massachusetts - Ed Markey
Michigan - Gary Peters (His deficits now are likely due to low name recognition, and the polls may be under-sampling the Detroit metro)
Minnesota - Al Franken
Mississippi - Chris McDaniel (Cochran will go down easy in the primary, but it could go to Childers if he ends up saying something so mind-numbingly, ear-meltingly offensive that even Mississippi won't want him, which is certainly possible given his previous record)
Montana - Steve Daines R+1 (Walsh will put up a solid fight, but this one is gone barring a Libertarian peeling off enough Republican votes to throw it our way like in 2012)
Nebraska - Shane Osborn
New Hampshire - Jeanne Shaheen (Scott Brown is just looking for attention with his potential Senate bid, and even if he does go for it the attack ads will write themselves and he might not even make it out of the primary)
New Jersey - Cory Booker
New Mexico - Tom Udall
North Carolina - Kay Hagan (She needs to thank God every second of every day for giving her such sh**tty opponents, otherwise she'd be gone in a heartbeat)
Oklahoma - Jim Inhofe
Oklahoma Class III - Jim Lankford
Oregon - Jeff Merkley
Rhode Island - Jack Reed
South Carolina - Lee Bright (Graham doesn't have a snowball's chance in hell in a primary runoff)
South Carolina Class III - Tim Scott
South Dakota - Mike Rounds R+1 (Could change if Weiland drops out and endorses Pressler)
Tennessee - Lamar Alexander
Texas - John Cornyn
Virginia - Mark Warner (The Beltway Press's constant fluffing of Gillespie is quite humorous)
West Virginia - Shelly Moore Capito R+1 (Like Arkansas, luck has run out for West Virginia Dems)
Wyoming Mike Enzi

So that's 2 Dem pickups and 4 GOP pickups, for a net change of R+2, leaving us with a 53D-47R Senate.
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Bojack Horseman
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« Reply #51 on: February 19, 2014, 04:57:15 PM »

Alabama: Jeff Sessions (R)
Alaska: Mark Begich (D)
Arkansas: Tom Cotton (R)
Colorado: Jane Norton (R)
Delaware: Chris Coons (D)
Georgia: Michelle Nunn (D)
Hawaii special: Brian Schatz (D)
Idaho: Jim Risch (R)
Illinois: Dick Durbin (D)
Iowa: Bruce Braley (D)
Kansas: Pat Roberts (R)
Kentucky: Alison Lundergan Grimes
Louisiana: Mary Landrieu (D)
Maine: Susan Collins (R)
Massachusetts: Ed Markey (D)
Michigan: Gary Peters (D)
Minnesota: Al Franken (D)
Mississippi: Thad Cochran (R)
Montana: John Walsh (D)
Nebraska: Dave Heineman (R)
New Hampshire: Jeanne Shaheen (D)
New Jersey: Cory Booker (D)
New Mexico: Tom Udall (D)
North Carolina: Kay Hagan (D)
Oklahoma: Jim Inhofe (R)
Oregon: Jeff Merkley (D)
Rhode Island: Jack Reed (D)
South Carolina: Lee Bright (R)
South Carolina special: Tim Scott (R)
South Dakota: Mike Rounds (R)
Tennessee: Lamar Alexander (R)
Texas: John Cornyn (R)
Virginia: Mark Warner (D)
West Virginia: Shelley Moore Capito (R)
Wyoming: Mike Enzi (R)
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #52 on: February 20, 2014, 10:59:27 PM »

Update (hopefully you can see this)



Yes, this is probably a bit favorable to the republicans, but I'll make a few special notes:

Michigan: Only because Land has been consistently leading, will most likely pull back to Lean D before election time.

Oregon: Well, Merkley is getting some tough opponents, but no doubt I expect him to win.

Colorado: Lead has been shrunk to ~5 points, but GOP field is weak. This should resemble NV'10 or WA'10.

Arkansas: Base is dying, Pryor approval is awful, and Cotton is now leading in the polls.

Montana: This could be Lean R or Likely R, but I think people are really overestimating Walsh here.

Georgia and Kentucky: Despite ties in the polls, Georgia has in-elasticity for republicans and Kentucky has an incumbent. Both states should both resemble their elections from '08.

Everything else I think is self explanatory. R's should pick up anywhere from 4 to 7 seats (I'm currently predicting 5). Subject to change of course for many of these races.
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SPC
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« Reply #53 on: February 27, 2014, 07:23:44 PM »
« Edited: February 28, 2014, 12:16:29 PM by SPC »

Alabama: Jeff Sessions
Alaska: Mead Treadwell Dan Sullivan
Arkansas: Tom Cotton
Colorado: Mark Udall Cory Gardner
Delaware: Chris Coons
Georgia: Paul Broun
Hawaii: Brian Schatz
Idaho: Jim Risch
Illinois: Dick Durbin
Iowa: Matt Whitaker Bruce Braley
Kansas: Pat Roberts
Kentucky: Mitch McConnell
Louisiana: David Cassidy
Maine: Susan Collins
Massachusetts: Ed Markey
Michigan: Terri Lynn Land
Minnesota: Al Franken
Mississippi: Chris McDaniel
Montana: Steve Daines
Nebraska: Shane Osborn
New Hampshire: Jeanne Shaheen
New Jersey: Cory Booker
New Mexico: Tom Udall
North Carolina: Greg Brannon
Oklahoma: Jim Inhofe
Oklahoma: Randy Brogdon
Oregon: Jeff Merkley
Rhode Island: Jack Reed
South Carolina: Lee Bright
South Carolina: Tim Scott
South Dakota: Mike Rounds
Tennessee: Lamar Alexander
Texas: John Cornyn
Virginia: Mark Warner
West Virginia: Shelley Moore Capito
Wyoming: Mike Enzi

updated
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #54 on: February 27, 2014, 10:50:20 PM »

AL: Safe R
AK: Tossup
AR: Lean R
CO: Lean D
DE: Safe D
GA: Likely R
HI: Lean Hanabusa/Safe D
ID: Safe R
IL: Safe D
IA: Likely D
KS: Safe R/Roberts
KY: Likely R
LA: Tossup
ME: Safe R
MI: Likely D
MS: Safe R/Tossup
MT: Likely R
NJ: Safe D
NM: Safe D
NC: Tossup
OK: Safe R
OK-S: Lean Lankford
SC: Safe R
SD: Safe R
WV: Likely R
WY: Safe R
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SWE
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« Reply #55 on: March 01, 2014, 01:16:04 PM »

UPDATE:
Alabama: Jeff Sessions (R) SAFE R
Alaska: Mark Begich (D) LEAN D
Arkansas: Tom Cotton (R) TOSSUP
Colorado: Mark Udall (D) LIKELY D
Delaware: Chris Coons (D) SAFE D
Georgia: Michelle Nunn (D) TOSSUP
Hawaii special: Brian Schatz (R) SAFE D

Idaho: Jim Risch (R) SAFE R
Illinois: Dick Durbin (D) SAFE D
Iowa: Bruce Baley (D) LIKELY D

Kansas: Pat Roberts (R) SAFE R
Kentucky: Mitch McConnell (R) TOSSUP

Louisiana: Mary Landrieau (D) LEAN D
Maine: Susan Collins (R) SAFE R
Massachusetts: Ed Markey (D) SAFE D
Michigan: Gary Peters (D) TOSSUP
Minnesota: Al Franken (D) SAFE D

Mississippi: Thad Cochran (R) LIKELY R
Montana: Steve Daines (R) LIKELY R
Nebraska: Shane Osborn (R) SAFE R

New Hampshire: Jeanne Shaheen (D) SAFE D
New Jersey: Cory Booker (D) SAFE D
New Mexico: Tom Udall (D) SAFE D
North Carolina: Kay Hagan (D) TOSSUP

Oklahoma: Jim Inhofe (R) SAFE R
Oklahoma special: TW Shannon (R) SAFE R

Oregon: Jeff Merkley (D) SAFE D
Rhode Island: Jack Reed (D) SAFE D
South Carolina: Lindsey Graham (R) SAFE R
South Carolina special: Tim Scott (R) SAFE R
South Dakota: Mike Rounds (R) LIKELY R
Tennessee: Lamar Alexander (R) SAFE R
Texas: John Cornyn (R) SAFE R

Virginia: Mark Warner (D) SAFE D
West Virginia: Shelley Moore Capito (R) LEAN R
Wyoming: Mike Enzi (R) SAFE R


For a net gain of R+3
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #56 on: March 20, 2014, 10:53:43 AM »
« Edited: March 20, 2014, 10:56:26 AM by Del Tachi »

Alabama:  Jeff Sessions (R); SAFE R
Alaska: Mead Treadwell (R); TOSSUP (+1)
Arkansas: Tom Cotton (R); LIKELY R (+1)

Colorado: Mark Udall (D); LEAN D
Delaware: Chris Coons (D); SAFE D
Georgia: Jack Kingston (R); LIKELY R
Hawaii: Colleen Hanabusa (D); SAFE D
Idaho: Jim Risch (R); SAFE R
Illinois: Dick Durbin (D); SAFE D
Iowa: Bruce Braley (D); LIKELY D

Kansas: Pat Roberts (R); SAFE R
Kentucky: Mitch McConnell (R); LIKELY R
LA: Bill Cassidy (R); TOSSUP (+1)
ME: Susan Collins (R); SAFE R

MI: Gary Peters (D); LEAN D
MS: Thad Cochran (R); SAFE R
MT: Steve Daines (R); LEAN R

NH:  Jeanne Shaheen (D); LIKELY D
NJ: Cory Booker (D); SAFE D
NM: Tom Udall (D); SAFE D

NC: Thom Tillis (R); TOSSUP (+1)
OK: Jim Inhofe (R); SAFE R
OK-S:  James Lankford (R); SAFE R
SC: Lindsey Graham (R); SAFE R
SC-S: Tim Scott (R); SAFE R
SD: Mike Rounds (R); LIKELY R (+1)
WV: Shelly Moore Capito (R); LEAN R (+1)
WY: Mike Enzi (R); SAFE R


7 GOP Pickups result in a switch in Senate control; 52R-47D
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Potatoe
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« Reply #57 on: March 20, 2014, 02:32:39 PM »
« Edited: March 20, 2014, 02:35:22 PM by Guntaker »

Alabama: Jeff Sessions (R) def. No One. Safe R
Alaska: Mark Begich (D) def. Daniel Sullivan (R). Lean D
Arkansas: Tom Cotton (R) def. Mark Pryor (D) Likely R
Colorado: Mark Udall (D) def. Cory Gardner (R) Likely D
Delaware: Chris Coons (D) def. Tom Kovach(R). Safe D
Georgia: Michelle Nunn (D) def. Phil Gingrey(R). Tossup.
Hawaii special: Colleen Hanabusa (D) def. Campbell Cavasso(R). Safe D
Idaho: Jim Risch (R) def Generic(D). Safe R
Illinois: Dick Durbin (D) def. Jim Oberweis (R). Safe D.
Iowa: Bruce Braley (D) def. Mark Jacobs (R). Lean D
Kansas: Pat Roberts (R) def. Chad Taylor (D). Safe R
Kentucky: Alison Lundergan Grimes def. Mitch McConnell (R). Tossup
Louisiana: Mary Landrieu (D) def. Bill Cassidy (R). Lean D.
Maine: Susan Collins (R) def. Shenna Bellows (D). Safe R
Massachusetts: Ed Markey (D) def. Mark Inman (R). Safe D
Michigan: Gary Peters (D) def. Terry Lynn Rand (R). Tossup
Minnesota: Al Franken (D) def. Julianne Ortman (R). Safe D
Mississippi: Thad Cochran (R) def. Travis Childers (D). Safe R
Montana: Steve Daines (R) def. John Walsh (D). Likely R
Nebraska: Dave Heineman (R) def. Kim Robak (D). Likely R
New Hampshire: Jeanne Shaheen (D) def. Scott Brown. Likely D
New Jersey: Cory Booker (D) def. Murray Sabrin (R). Safe D
New Mexico: Tom Udall (D) def. Allen Weh (R). Safe D
North Carolina: Kay Hagan (D) def. Tom Tillis (R). Tossup.
Oklahoma: Jim Inhofe (R) def. Matt Silverstein (D). Safe R
Oregon: Jeff Merkley (D) def. Jason Conger (R). Safe D
Rhode Island: Jack Reed (D) def. Curt Schilling (R). Safe D
South Carolina: Lindsey Graham (R) def. Jay Stamper (D). Likely R
South Carolina special: Tim Scott (R) def. HuhHuhHuhHuh. Safe R
South Dakota: Mike Rounds (R) def. Rick Weiland (D). Likely R
Tennessee: Lamar Alexander (R) def. Terry Adams (D). Likely R
Texas: John Cornyn (R) def. Kesha Rogers (D). Safe R
Virginia: Mark Warner (D) def. Ed Gilliseppe (R). Safe D
West Virginia: Shelley Moore Capito (R) def. Natalie Tennant (D). Lean R
Wyoming: Mike Enzi (R) def. Dave Freudenthal (D). Safe R

Dem:51 (-2)

Rep:47 (+2)

What do you all think?
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moderatevoter
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« Reply #58 on: March 20, 2014, 02:34:07 PM »


Alabama: Jeff Sessions (R) def. No One. Safe R
Alaska: Mark Begich (D) def. Daniel Sullivan (R). Lean D
Arkansas: Tom Cotton (R) def. Mark Pryor (D) Likely R
Colorado: Mark Udall (D) def. Cory Gardner (R) Likely D
Delaware: Chris Coons (D) def. Tom Kovach(R). Safe D
Georgia: Michelle Nunn (D) def. Phil Gingrey(R). Tossup.
Hawaii special: Colleen Hanabusa (D) def. Campbell Cavasso(R). Safe D
Idaho: Jim Risch (R) def Generic(D). Safe R
Illinois: Dick Durbin (D) def. Jim Oberweis (R). Safe D.
Iowa: Bruce Braley (D) def. Mark Jacobs (R). Lean D
Kansas: Pat Roberts (R) def. Chad Taylor (D). Safe R
Kentucky: Alison Lundergan Grimes def. Mitch McConnell (R). Tossup
Louisiana: Mary Landrieu (D) def. Bill Cassidy (R). Lean D.
Maine: Susan Collins (R) def. Shenna Bellows (D). Safe R
Massachusetts: Ed Markey (D) def. Mark Inman (R). Safe D
Michigan: Gary Peters (D) def. Terry Lynn Rand (R). Tossup
Minnesota: Al Franken (D) def. Julianne Ortman (R). Safe D
Mississippi: Thad Cochran (R) def. Travis Childers (D). Safe R
Montana: Steve Daines (R) def. John Walsh (D). Likely R
Nebraska: Dave Heineman (R) def. Kim Robak (D). Likely R
New Hampshire: Jeanne Shaheen (D) def. Scott Brown. Likely D
New Jersey: Cory Booker (D) def. Murray Sabrin (R). Safe D
New Mexico: Tom Udall (D) def. Allen Weh (R). Safe D
North Carolina: Kay Hagan (D) def. Tom Tillis (R). Tossup.
Oklahoma: Jim Inhofe (R) def. Matt Silverstein (D). Safe R
Oregon: Jeff Merkley (D) def. Jason Conger (R). Safe D
Rhode Island: Jack Reed (D) def. Curt Schilling (R). Safe D
South Carolina: Lindsey Graham (R) def. Jay Stamper (D). Likely R
South Carolina special: Tim Scott (R) def. HuhHuhHuhHuh. Safe R
South Dakota: Mike Rounds (R) def. Rick Weiland (D). Likely R
Tennessee: Lamar Alexander (R) def. Terry Adams (D). Likely R
Texas: John Cornyn (R) def. Kesha Rogers (D). Safe R
Virginia: Mark Warner (D) def. Ed Gilliseppe (R). Safe D
West Virginia: Shelley Moore Capito (R) def. Natalie Tennant (D). Lean R
Wyoming: Mike Enzi (R) def. Dave Freudenthal (D). Safe R

Dem:52 (-1)

Rep:46 (+1)

What do you all think?

This would be GOP +2. You're counting Iowa as a R seat currently, which it's not.
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Potatoe
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« Reply #59 on: March 20, 2014, 02:36:31 PM »


Alabama: Jeff Sessions (R) def. No One. Safe R
Alaska: Mark Begich (D) def. Daniel Sullivan (R). Lean D
Arkansas: Tom Cotton (R) def. Mark Pryor (D) Likely R
Colorado: Mark Udall (D) def. Cory Gardner (R) Likely D
Delaware: Chris Coons (D) def. Tom Kovach(R). Safe D
Georgia: Michelle Nunn (D) def. Phil Gingrey(R). Tossup.
Hawaii special: Colleen Hanabusa (D) def. Campbell Cavasso(R). Safe D
Idaho: Jim Risch (R) def Generic(D). Safe R
Illinois: Dick Durbin (D) def. Jim Oberweis (R). Safe D.
Iowa: Bruce Braley (D) def. Mark Jacobs (R). Lean D
Kansas: Pat Roberts (R) def. Chad Taylor (D). Safe R
Kentucky: Alison Lundergan Grimes def. Mitch McConnell (R). Tossup
Louisiana: Mary Landrieu (D) def. Bill Cassidy (R). Lean D.
Maine: Susan Collins (R) def. Shenna Bellows (D). Safe R
Massachusetts: Ed Markey (D) def. Mark Inman (R). Safe D
Michigan: Gary Peters (D) def. Terry Lynn Rand (R). Tossup
Minnesota: Al Franken (D) def. Julianne Ortman (R). Safe D
Mississippi: Thad Cochran (R) def. Travis Childers (D). Safe R
Montana: Steve Daines (R) def. John Walsh (D). Likely R
Nebraska: Dave Heineman (R) def. Kim Robak (D). Likely R
New Hampshire: Jeanne Shaheen (D) def. Scott Brown. Likely D
New Jersey: Cory Booker (D) def. Murray Sabrin (R). Safe D
New Mexico: Tom Udall (D) def. Allen Weh (R). Safe D
North Carolina: Kay Hagan (D) def. Tom Tillis (R). Tossup.
Oklahoma: Jim Inhofe (R) def. Matt Silverstein (D). Safe R
Oregon: Jeff Merkley (D) def. Jason Conger (R). Safe D
Rhode Island: Jack Reed (D) def. Curt Schilling (R). Safe D
South Carolina: Lindsey Graham (R) def. Jay Stamper (D). Likely R
South Carolina special: Tim Scott (R) def. HuhHuhHuhHuh. Safe R
South Dakota: Mike Rounds (R) def. Rick Weiland (D). Likely R
Tennessee: Lamar Alexander (R) def. Terry Adams (D). Likely R
Texas: John Cornyn (R) def. Kesha Rogers (D). Safe R
Virginia: Mark Warner (D) def. Ed Gilliseppe (R). Safe D
West Virginia: Shelley Moore Capito (R) def. Natalie Tennant (D). Lean R
Wyoming: Mike Enzi (R) def. Dave Freudenthal (D). Safe R

Dem:52 (-1)

Rep:46 (+1)

What do you all think?

This would be GOP +2. You're counting Iowa as a R seat currently, which it's not.
Alright, fixed, I thought that it was an open seat.

But other than that, what do you think?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #60 on: March 20, 2014, 07:13:54 PM »
« Edited: March 20, 2014, 07:25:28 PM by OC »

Begich I def Sullivan (Treadwill implosion) LD
Cotton def Pryor I R+1 LR
Udall I LD
Handel LR
Braley LD
Cassidy def Landrieu I R+1 tossup
Peters def Land tossup
Daines def Walsh I  R+1 LR
Hagen I def Tillis tossup
Rounds def Weiland  R+1 LR
SMC def Tennant R+1 LR

50/50 senate
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #61 on: March 20, 2014, 10:23:17 PM »
« Edited: May 17, 2014, 03:30:56 PM by ElectionsGuy »

Alabama: Richard Shelby (R) - Safe R
*Alaska: Dan Sullivan (R) - Toss-Up
*Arkansas: Tom Cotton (R) - Lean R
Colorado: Mark Udall (D) - Lean D
Delaware: Chris Coons (D) - Safe D
Georgia: Phil Gingrey (R) - Lean R
Hawaii: Brian Schatz (D) - Safe D
Idaho: Jim Risch (R) - Safe R
Illinois: Dick Durbin (D) - 58%, Jim Oberweis (R) - 39%. Safe D
Iowa: Bruce Braley (D) - Likely D
Kansas: Pat Roberts (R) - Safe R
Kentucky: Mitch McConnell (R) - Lean R
*Louisiana: Bill Cassidy (R) - Toss-Up
Maine: Susan Collins (R) - Safe R
Massachusetts: Ed Markey (D) - Safe D
Michigan: Gary Peters (D) - Lean D
Minnesota: Al Franken (D) - Safe D

Mississippi: Thad Cochran (R) - Safe R
*Montana: Steve Daines (R) - Likely R
Nebraska: Ben Sasse (R) - 61%, Dave Domina (D) - 36%. Safe R
New Hampshire: Jeanne Shaheen (D) - Likely D
New Jersey: Cory Booker (D) - Safe D
New Mexico: Tom Udall (D) - Safe D

North Carolina: Kay Hagan (D) - 49%, Thom Tillis - 48%. Toss-Up
Oklahoma: Jim Inhofe (R) - Safe R
Oklahoma: James Lankford (R) - Safe R

Oregon: Jeff Merkley (D) - Safe D
Rhode Island: Jack Reed (D) - Safe D

South Carolina: Lindsey Graham (R) - Safe R
South Carolina: Tim Scott (R) - Safe R

*South Dakota: Mike Rounds (R) - Safe R
Tennessee: Lamar Alexander (R) - Safe R
Texas: John Cornyn (R) - 57%, David Alameel (D) - 40%. Safe R

Virginia: Mark Warner (D) - Safe D
*West Virginia: Shelley Moore Capito (R) - 56%, Natalie Tennant (D) - 42%. Likely R
Wyoming: Mike Enzi (R) - Safe R

* Pickup

Net R+6, republicans barely take the senate 51-47-2
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #62 on: March 23, 2014, 03:51:55 PM »



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SWE
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« Reply #63 on: March 23, 2014, 07:45:11 PM »

UPDATE:
Alabama: Jeff Sessions (R) SAFE R
Alaska: Mark Begich (D) LEAN D
Arkansas: Tom Cotton (R) LEAN R
Colorado: Mark Udall (D) LEAN D
Delaware: Chris Coons (D) SAFE D
Georgia: Michelle Nunn (D) TOSSUP
Hawaii special: Brian Schatz (R) SAFE D

Idaho: Jim Risch (R) SAFE R
Illinois: Dick Durbin (D) SAFE D
Iowa: Bruce Baley (D) LIKELY D

Kansas: Pat Roberts (R) SAFE R
Kentucky: Mitch McConnell (R) TOSSUP

Louisiana: Mary Landrieau (D) TOSSUP
Maine: Susan Collins (R) SAFE R
Massachusetts: Ed Markey (D) SAFE D
Michigan: Gary Peters (D) TOSSUP
Minnesota: Al Franken (D) SAFE D

Mississippi: Thad Cochran (R) LIKELY R
Montana: Steve Daines (R) LIKELY R
Nebraska: Shane Osborn (R) SAFE R

New Hampshire: Jeanne Shaheen (D) SAFE D
New Jersey: Cory Booker (D) SAFE D
New Mexico: Tom Udall (D) SAFE D
North Carolina: Kay Hagan (D) TOSSUP

Oklahoma: Jim Inhofe (R) SAFE R
Oklahoma special: James Lankford (R) SAFE R

Oregon: Jeff Merkley (D) SAFE D
Rhode Island: Jack Reed (D) SAFE D
South Carolina: Lindsey Graham (R) SAFE R
South Carolina special: Tim Scott (R) SAFE R
South Dakota: Mike Rounds (R) LIKELY R
Tennessee: Lamar Alexander (R) SAFE R
Texas: John Cornyn (R) SAFE R

Virginia: Mark Warner (D) SAFE D
West Virginia: Shelley Moore Capito (R) LEAN R
Wyoming: Mike Enzi (R) SAFE R


For a net gain of R+3
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #64 on: March 24, 2014, 08:16:29 PM »

Primaries:

AK: Dan Sullivan
CO: Cory Gardner
GA: Michelle Nunn, Jack Kingston
HI: Colleen Hanabusa
IA: Mark Jacobs
KY: Mitch McConnell
LA: Bill Cassidy
MS: Thad Cochran
NE: Shane Osborn
NH: Scott Brown
OK: TW Shannon
OR: Monica Wehby
SD: Mike Rounds
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #65 on: March 24, 2014, 11:14:38 PM »


I don't this map making it. We will win MI before we win GA.
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #66 on: March 26, 2014, 04:21:25 PM »
« Edited: April 14, 2014, 01:56:58 AM by angryGreatness »

Winner in Bold

Alabama: Jeff Sessions (R)
Alaska: Mark Begich (D) vs. Dan Sullivan (R)
Arkansas: Mark Pryor (D) vs. Tom Cotton (R) (R+1)
Colorado: Mark Udall (D) vs. Cory Gardner (R)
Delaware: Chris Coons (D)
Georgia: Karen Handel (R) vs. Michelle Nunn (D)
Idaho: Jim Risch (R)
Illinois: Dick Durbin (D) vs. Jim Oberweis (R)
Iowa: Bruce Braley (D) vs. Matt Whitaker (R)
Kansas: Pat Roberts (R) vs. Chad Taylor (D)
Kentucky: Mitch McConnell (R) vs. Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) (D+1)
Louisiana: Mary Landrieu (D) vs. Bill Cassidy (R) vs. Rob Maness (R) vs. Paul Hollis (R)
Maine: Susan Collins (R) vs. Shenna Bellows (D)
Massachusetts: Ed Markey (D) vs. Brian Herr (R)
Michigan: Gary Peters (D) vs. Terri Lynn Land (R)
Minnesota: Al Franken (D) vs. Jim Abeler (R)
Mississippi: Chris McDaniel (R) vs. Travis Childers (D)
Montana: John Walsh (D) vs. Steve Daines (R) (R+1)
Nebraska: Ben Sasse (R) vs. Dave Domina (D)
New Hampshire: Jeanne Shaheen (D) vs. Scott Brown (R)
New Jersey: Cory Booker (D) vs. Brian Golberg (R)
New Mexico: Tom Udall (D) vs. Allen Weh (R)
North Carolina: Kay Hagan (D) vs. Thom Tillis (R)
Oklahoma: Jim Inhofe (R) vs. Matt Silverstein (D)
Oregon: Jeff Merkley (D) vs. Monica Wehby (R)
Rhode Island: Jack Reed (D)
South Carolina: Lindsey Graham (R) vs. Brad Hutto (D)
South Dakota: Rick Weiland (D) vs. Mike Rounds (R) vs. Larry Pressler (I) (R+1)
Tennessee: Lamar Alexander (R) vs. Larry Crim (D)
Texas: John Cornyn (R) vs. David Alameel (D)
Virginia: Mark Warner (D) vs. Ed Gillespie (R)
West Virginia: Natalie Tennant (D) vs. Shelley Moore Capito (R) (R+1)
Wyoming: Mike Enzi (R)


Hawaii (Special): Brian Schatz (D) vs. Cam Cavasso (R)
Oklahoma (Special): T.W. Shannon (R) vs. Constance Johnson (D)
South Carolina (Special): Tim Scott (R) vs. Joyce Dickerson (D)


Overall: R+3
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WillTheMormon
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« Reply #67 on: April 11, 2014, 06:01:52 PM »
« Edited: April 11, 2014, 08:15:10 PM by WillTheMormon »

Alabama: Jeff Sessions (R)
Alaska: Dan Sullivan (R)
Arkansas: Tom Cotton (R)
Colorado: Cory Gardner (R)

Delaware: Chris Coons (D)
Georgia: David Perdue (R)
Hawaii special: Brian Schatz (D)
Idaho: Jim Risch (R)
Illinois: Dick Durbin (D)
Iowa: Bruce Braley (D)

Kansas: Pat Roberts (R)
Kentucky: Mitch McConnell (R)
Louisiana: Bill Cassidy (R)
Maine: Susan Collins (R)
Massachusetts: Ed Markey (D)
Michigan: Terri Lynn Land (R)
Minnesota: Al Franken (D)
Mississippi: Thad Cochran (R)
Montana: Steve Daines (R)
Nebraska: Shane Osborn (R)

New Hampshire: Jeanne Shaheen (D)
New Jersey: Cory Booker (D)
New Mexico: Tom Udall (D)

North Carolina: Thom Tillis (R)
Oklahoma: Jim Inhofe (R)
Oklahoma special: T.W. Shannon (R)

Oregon: Jeff Merkley (D)
Rhode Island: Jack Reed (D)
South Carolina: Lindsey Graham (R)
South Carolina special: Tim Scott (R)
South Dakota: Mike Rounds (R)
Tennessee: Lamar Alexander (R)
Texas: John Cornyn (R)
Virginia: Mark Warner (D)
West Virginia: Shelley Moore Capito (R)
Wyoming: Mike Enzi (R)


R + 9
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moderatevoter
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« Reply #68 on: April 11, 2014, 07:00:08 PM »

Hey Will, that would be R+9. You didn't count SD or MT.
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WillTheMormon
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« Reply #69 on: April 11, 2014, 08:11:24 PM »

Hey Will, that would be R+9. You didn't count SD or MT.

Thanks, I fixed it.
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #70 on: April 17, 2014, 11:06:20 AM »

Alabama: Jeff Sessions (Republican)
Alaska: Dan Sullivan (Republican)
Arkansas: Tom Cotton (Republican)
Colorado: Corey Gardner (Republican)

Delaware: Chris Coons (Democrat)
Georgia: David Perdue (Republican)
Hawaii special: Brian Schatz (Democrat)
Idaho: Jim Risch (Republican)
Illinois: Dick Durbin (Democrat)
Iowa: Joni Ernst (Republican)
Kansas: Pat Roberts (Republican)
Kentucky: Mitch McConnell (Republican)
Louisiana: Bill Cassidy (Republican)
Maine: Susan Collins (Republican)
Massachusetts: Ed Markey (Democrat)
Michigan: Terri Lyn Land (Republican)
Minnesota: Al Franken (Democrat)
Mississippi: Chris McDaniel (Republican)
Montana: Steve Daines (Republican)
Nebraska: Dave Heineman (Republican)
New Hampshire: Scott Brown (Republican)
New Jersey: Cory Booker (Democrat)
New Mexico: Tom Udall (Democrat)

North Carolina: Thom Tillis (Republican)
Oklahoma: Jim Inhofe (Republican)
Oklahoma (Special Election): James Lankford (Republican)

Oregon: Jeff Merkley (Democrat)
Rhode Island: Jack Reed (Democrat)
South Carolina: Lee Bright (Republican)
South Carolina special: Tim Scott (Republican)

South Dakota: Mike Rounds (Republican)
Tennessee: Joe Carr (Republican)
Texas: John Cornyn (Republican)
Virginia: Mark Warner (Democrat)
West Virginia: Shelley Moore Capito (Republican)
Wyoming: Mike Enzi (Republican)

All in all, the Senate races will turn out badly for the Democrats. In 2016, however, there is a strong possibility that the Democrats will regain the Senate due to the fact that many vulnerable Republicans first elected in 2010 are up for re-election in states that will likely go Democratic in the Presidential race.
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Randy Bobandy
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« Reply #71 on: April 17, 2014, 11:15:15 AM »

Am I the only one who thinks that Brown's New Hampshire campaign is hilarious? "Obamacare Isn't Working" lmao
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SWE
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« Reply #72 on: April 17, 2014, 12:36:00 PM »

New Hampshire: Scott Brown (Republican)
...
What?
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Potatoe
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« Reply #73 on: April 17, 2014, 12:41:49 PM »
« Edited: April 23, 2014, 08:16:06 AM by Ross Perot »

Alabama: Jeff Sessions (R) def. No One. Safe R
Alaska: Mark Begich (D) def. Daniel Sullivan (R). Lean D
Arkansas: Mark Pryor (D) def. Tom Cotton (R) Tossup/Tilt D
Colorado: Mark Udall (D) def. Cory Gardner (R) Likely D
Delaware: Chris Coons (D) def. Tom Kovach(R). Safe D
Georgia: Karen Handel (R) def. Michele Nunn (D). Tossup/Tilt R
Hawaii special: Colleen Hanabusa (D) def. Campbell Cavasso(R). Safe D
Idaho: Jim Risch (R) def Generic(D). Safe R
Illinois: Dick Durbin (D) def. Jim Oberweis (R). Safe D.
Iowa: Bruce Braley (D) def. Jodi Ernst (R). Lean D
Kansas: Pat Roberts (R) def. Chad Taylor (D). Safe R
Kentucky: Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) def. Mitch McConnell (R). Tossup/Tilt D
Louisiana: Mary Landrieu (D) def. Bill Cassidy (R). Tossup/Tilt D
Maine: Susan Collins (R) def. Shenna Bellows (D). Safe R
Massachusetts: Ed Markey (D) def. Mark Inman (R). Safe D
Michigan: Gary Peters (D) def. Terry Lynn Rand (R). Lean D
Minnesota: Al Franken (D) def. Julianne Ortman (R). Safe D
Mississippi: Thad Cochran (R) def. Travis Childers (D). Safe R
Montana: Steve Daines (R) def. John Walsh (D). Likely R
Nebraska: Dave Heineman (R) def. Kim Robak (D). Likely R
New Hampshire: Jeanne Shaheen (D) def. Scott Brown. Likely D
New Jersey: Cory Booker (D) def. Murray Sabrin (R). Safe D
New Mexico: Tom Udall (D) def. Allen Weh (R). Safe D
North Carolina: Kay Hagan (D) def. Tom Tillis (R). Tossup/Tilt D
Oklahoma: Jim Inhofe (R) def. Matt Silverstein (D). Safe R
Oregon: Jeff Merkley (D) def. Jason Conger (R). Safe D
Rhode Island: Jack Reed (D) def. Curt Schilling (R). Safe D
South Carolina: Lindsey Graham (R) def. Jay Stamper (D). Likely R
South Carolina special: Tim Scott (R) def. HuhHuhHuhHuh. Safe R
South Dakota: Mike Rounds (R) def. Rick Weiland (D) . Likely R
Tennessee: Lamar Alexander (R) def. Terry Adams (D). Safe R
Texas: John Cornyn (R) def. David Alameel (D). Safe R
Virginia: Mark Warner (D) def. Ed Gilliseppe (R). Safe D
West Virginia: Shelley Moore Capito (R) def. Natalie Tennant (D). Lean R
Wyoming: Mike Enzi (R) def. Dave Freudenthal (D). Safe R

Dem:51 (-2)

Rep:47 (+2)

What do you all think?

Decided to update my predictions, hope you guys like them Wink
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International Brotherhood of Bernard
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« Reply #74 on: April 17, 2014, 01:56:37 PM »

Alabama: Jeff Sessions (Republican)
Alaska: Dan Sullivan (Republican)
Arkansas: Tom Cotton (Republican)
Colorado: Corey Gardner (Republican)

Delaware: Chris Coons (Democrat)
Georgia: David Perdue (Republican)
Hawaii special: Brian Schatz (Democrat)
Idaho: Jim Risch (Republican)
Illinois: Dick Durbin (Democrat)
Iowa: Joni Ernst (Republican)
Kansas: Pat Roberts (Republican)
Kentucky: Mitch McConnell (Republican)
Louisiana: Bill Cassidy (Republican)
Maine: Susan Collins (Republican)
Massachusetts: Ed Markey (Democrat)
Michigan: Terri Lyn Land (Republican)
Minnesota: Al Franken (Democrat)
Mississippi: Chris McDaniel (Republican)
Montana: Steve Daines (Republican)
Nebraska: Dave Heineman (Republican)
New Hampshire: Scott Brown (Republican)
New Jersey: Cory Booker (Democrat)
New Mexico: Tom Udall (Democrat)

North Carolina: Thom Tillis (Republican)
Oklahoma: Jim Inhofe (Republican)
Oklahoma (Special Election): James Lankford (Republican)

Oregon: Jeff Merkley (Democrat)
Rhode Island: Jack Reed (Democrat)
South Carolina: Lee Bright (Republican)
South Carolina special: Tim Scott (Republican)

South Dakota: Mike Rounds (Republican)
Tennessee: Joe Carr (Republican)
Texas: John Cornyn (Republican)
Virginia: Mark Warner (Democrat)
West Virginia: Shelley Moore Capito (Republican)
Wyoming: Mike Enzi (Republican)

All in all, the Senate races will turn out badly for the Democrats. In 2016, however, there is a strong possibility that the Democrats will regain the Senate due to the fact that many vulnerable Republicans first elected in 2010 are up for re-election in states that will likely go Democratic in the Presidential race.
That's awfully pessimistic, things just aren't that dire and if anything the mood is improving for Democrats.
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